---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:45 PDT

safe3step girls Carmel 1
  
Carmel                
W-L: (15- 0) PR = 99.9000

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 313 A Hamilton Southeastern (13- 3, 96.0) 18-10 318 A Center Grove (10- 6, 90.2) 16- 2 401 H Guerin Catholic (15- 2, 98.4) 7- 6 417 H Zionsville (12- 4, 92.8) 19-14 421 A Brebeuf Jesuit Prep (10- 9, 89.4) 13- 3 424 A Noblesville ( 6-10, 86.7) 15- 3 426 N Penn ( 7-13, 83.7) 16- 3 428 H Bishop Chatard (13- 6, 92.3) 14- 8 430 H Westfield ( 7- 8, 88.2) 14- 1 501 A Cathedral (12- 6, 90.7) 14- 5 505 H Heritage Christian ( 9- 9, 88.5) 15- 5 510 H Penn ( 7-13, 83.7) 16- 4 516 H Brebeuf Jesuit Prep (10- 9, 89.4) 15- 5 527 H Bishop Chatard (13- 6, 92.3) 17- 8 531 H Guerin Catholic (15- 2, 98.4) 10- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Hamilton Southeastern  18-10       8     3           1.55
   318 A Center Grove           16- 2      14     9           0.00
   401 H Guerin Catholic         7- 6       1     2          -0.96
   417 H Zionsville             19-14       5     8           0.00
   421 A Brebeuf Jesuit Prep    13- 3      10    10           0.00
   424 A Noblesville            15- 3      12    13           0.00
   426 N Penn                   16- 3      13    16           0.00
   428 H Bishop Chatard         14- 8       6     8           0.00
   430 H Westfield              14- 1      13    12           0.00
   501 A Cathedral              14- 5       9     9           0.00
   505 H Heritage Christian     15- 5      10    12           0.00
   510 H Penn                   16- 4      12    17           0.00
   516 H Brebeuf Jesuit Prep    15- 5      10    11           0.00
   527 H Bishop Chatard         17- 8       9     8           0.00
   531 H Guerin Catholic        10- 6       4     2    +      2.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   531 H Guerin Catholic        10- 6       4     2    +      2.04

Carmel Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Avon Carmel Carmel   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bishop Chatard Carmel Carmel  
Bloomington Carmel   Carmel
Brebeuf Jesuit Prep Carmel Carmel  
Brownsburg Carmel Carmel   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Castle Carmel Carmel   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cathedral Carmel Carmel  
Center Grove Carmel Carmel  
Chesterton Carmel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Carmel
Columbus North Carmel   Carmel
Crown Point Carmel Carmel   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Culver Academy Carmel Carmel   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Evansville Bosse Carmel   Carmel
Evansville Central Carmel   Carmel
Evansville Memorial Carmel Carmel   8- 0 vs 0- 8
Evansville North Carmel Carmel   7- 0 vs 1- 6
Evansville Reitz Carmel   Carmel
Fishers Carmel Carmel   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Franklin Carmel   Carmel
Gibson Southern Carmel   Carmel
Guerin Catholic Carmel Carmel  
Hamilton Southeastern Carmel Carmel  
Heritage Christian Carmel Carmel  
Homestead Carmel Carmel   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lafayette Harrison Carmel   Carmel
Lawrence North Carmel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Carmel
Munster Carmel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Carmel
Noblesville Carmel Carmel  
North Central Carmel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Carmel
Northridge Carmel Carmel   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Park Tudor School Carmel Carmel   8- 0 vs 0- 8
Penn Carmel Carmel  
Perry Meridian Carmel   Carmel
Roncalli Carmel Carmel   3- 0 vs 0- 3
South Bend Carmel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Carmel
Southport Carmel   Carmel
St Joseph South Bend Carmel Carmel   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Warren Central Carmel   Carmel
Westfield Carmel Carmel  
Zionsville Carmel Carmel  

PowerWise = 40


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Hamilton South  (13- 3, 96.0)    18-10       -3.93      24.15       0.48         1.00            24.51
   0 A Center Grove    (10- 6, 90.2)    16- 2       -9.68      18.40       0.48         1.00            18.79
   0 H Guerin Catholi  (15- 2, 98.4)     7- 6       -1.48      26.60      -0.48         1.00            25.99
   0 H Zionsville      (12- 4, 92.8)    19-14       -7.11      20.97      -0.48         1.00            20.39
   0 A Brebeuf Jesuit  (10- 9, 89.4)    13- 3      -10.55      17.53       0.48         1.00            17.93
   0 A Noblesville     ( 6-10, 86.7)    15- 3      -13.18      14.90       0.48         1.00            15.31
   0 N Penn            ( 7-13, 83.7)    16- 3      -16.24      11.84      -0.00         1.00            11.78
   0 H Bishop Chatard  (13- 6, 92.3)    14- 8       -7.60      20.48      -0.48         1.00            19.89
   0 H Westfield       ( 7- 8, 88.2)    14- 1      -11.73      16.35      -0.48         1.00            15.79
   0 A Cathedral       (12- 6, 90.7)    14- 5       -9.15      18.93       0.48         1.00            19.32
   0 H Heritage Chris  ( 9- 9, 88.5)    15- 5      -11.44      16.64      -0.48         1.00            16.08
   0 H Penn            ( 7-13, 83.7)    16- 4      -16.24      11.84      -0.48         1.00            11.30
   0 H Brebeuf Jesuit  (10- 9, 89.4)    15- 5      -10.55      17.53      -0.48         1.00            16.96
   0 H Bishop Chatard  (13- 6, 92.3)    17- 8       -7.60      20.48      -0.48         1.00            19.89
   0 H Guerin Catholi  (15- 2, 98.4)    10- 6       -1.48      26.60      -0.48         1.00            25.99
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       279.93

winning pts = 279.9340 losing points = 0.0000

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------