Caravel Academy
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 90.2928
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
326 H Milford (11- 6, 88.1) 12- 5
329 A Smyrna (10- 7, 85.7) 16- 1
331 A St Marks (11- 5, 87.6) 13- 6
405 H Sanford School ( 9- 9, 89.3) 13-12
408 H Concord ( 9- 7, 83.2) 14- 1
410 A Newark Charter School ( 6- 9, 82.4) 16- 5
414 H Caesar Rodney (12- 2, 95.7) 8-12
416 A Ursuline Academy ( 4- 9, 84.0) 15- 6
417 A Polytech ( 1-13, 74.4) 17- 0
430 H Wilmington Charter ( 5-10, 81.6) 15- 2
502 A Tower Hill School (17- 1, 96.2) 4-11
507 A Archmere Academy (10- 5, 91.5) 6-11
509 H Padua Academy ( 4-11, 82.4) 16- 4
520 H Sanford School ( 9- 9, 89.3) 9-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
326 H Milford 12- 5 7 2 + 2.71
329 A Smyrna 16- 1 15 5 0.48
331 A St Marks 13- 6 7 3 + 2.40
405 H Sanford School 13-12 1 1 -0.10
408 H Concord 14- 1 13 7 0.00
410 A Newark Charter School 16- 5 11 8 0.00
414 H Caesar Rodney 8-12 -4 -5 1.00
416 A Ursuline Academy 15- 6 9 6 0.00
417 A Polytech 17- 0 17 16 0.00
430 H Wilmington Charter 15- 2 13 9 0.00
502 A Tower Hill School 4-11 -7 -6 0.00
507 A Archmere Academy 6-11 -5 -1 - -3.70
509 H Padua Academy 16- 4 12 8 0.00
520 H Sanford School 9-11 -2 1 - -3.10
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
507 A Archmere Academy 6-11 -5 -1 - -3.70
520 H Sanford School 9-11 -2 1 - -3.10
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
326 H Milford 12- 5 7 2 + 2.71
331 A St Marks 13- 6 7 3 + 2.40
|
Caravel Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Glasglow |
Caravel Academy |
|
 
| Caravel Academy |
Appoquinimink |
Caravel Academy |
|
Caravel Academy   8- 1 vs 1- 7 |
|
Archmere Academy |
Archmere Academy |
Archmere Academy |
 
| |
Brandywine |
Caravel Academy |
|
Caravel Academy   2- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
Caesar Rodney |
Caesar Rodney |
Caesar Rodney |
 
| |
Cape Henlopen |
Cape Henlopen |
|
Cape Henlopen   6- 0 vs 3- 3 |
|
Christiana |
Caravel Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Caravel Academy |
Concord |
Caravel Academy |
Caravel Academy |
 
| |
Conrad School |
Caravel Academy |
|
Caravel Academy   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Delaware Military Academ |
Caravel Academy |
|
Caravel Academy   5- 2 vs 1- 5 |
|
Dover |
Caravel Academy |
|
Caravel Academy   6- 1 vs 1- 6 |
|
Hodgson Vo-Tech |
Caravel Academy |
|
Caravel Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Indian River |
Caravel Academy |
|
Caravel Academy   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
Lake Forest |
Caravel Academy |
|
Caravel Academy   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
Middletown |
Caravel Academy |
|
Caravel Academy   6- 0 vs 1- 5 |
|
Milford |
Caravel Academy |
Caravel Academy |
 
| |
Mt Pleasant |
Caravel Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Caravel Academy |
Newark |
Caravel Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Caravel Academy |
Newark Charter School |
Caravel Academy |
Caravel Academy |
 
| |
Odessa |
Caravel Academy |
|
Caravel Academy   4- 1 vs 2- 2 |
|
Padua Academy |
Caravel Academy |
Caravel Academy |
 
| |
Polytech |
Caravel Academy |
Caravel Academy |
 
| |
Sanford School |
Caravel Academy |
|
tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) |
Caravel Academy |
Smyrna |
Caravel Academy |
Caravel Academy |
 
| |
St Andrews |
Caravel Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 2) |
Caravel Academy |
St Georges Tech |
Caravel Academy |
|
Caravel Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
St Marks |
Caravel Academy |
Caravel Academy |
 
| |
Sussex Academy |
Sussex Academy |
|
tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) |
Sussex Academy |
Sussex Tech |
Caravel Academy |
|
 
| Caravel Academy |
Tatnall School |
Tatnall School |
|
tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 2) |
Tatnall School |
Tower Hill School |
Tower Hill School |
Tower Hill School |
 
| |
Ursuline Academy |
Caravel Academy |
Caravel Academy |
 
| |
Wilmington Charter |
Caravel Academy |
Caravel Academy |
 
| |
Wilmington Friends |
Wilmington Friends |
|
insuffient: ( 7- 3)( 8- 1) |
Wilmington Friends |
PowerWise = 27

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.83
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Milford (11- 6, 88.1) 12- 5 -11.84 21.76 -0.05 0.99 21.44
0 A Smyrna (10- 7, 85.7) 16- 1 -14.18 19.43 0.05 0.99 19.24
0 A St Marks (11- 5, 87.6) 13- 6 -12.26 21.34 0.05 0.99 21.14
0 H Sanford School ( 9- 9, 89.3) 13-12 -10.65 22.96 -0.05 0.99 22.62
0 H Concord ( 9- 7, 83.2) 14- 1 -16.70 16.90 -0.05 0.99 16.64
0 A Newark Charter ( 6- 9, 82.4) 16- 5 -17.50 16.11 0.05 0.99 15.97
0 H Caesar Rodney (12- 2, 95.7) 8-12 -4.18 29.43 -0.05 0.99 -4.18
0 A Ursuline Acade ( 4- 9, 84.0) 15- 6 -15.85 17.75 0.05 0.99 17.59
0 A Polytech ( 1-13, 74.4) 17- 0 -25.46 8.15 0.05 0.99 8.10
0 H Wilmington Cha ( 5-10, 81.6) 15- 2 -18.28 15.32 -0.05 0.99 15.08
0 A Tower Hill Sch (17- 1, 96.2) 4-11 -3.74 29.86 0.05 0.99 -3.64
0 A Archmere Acade (10- 5, 91.5) 6-11 -8.36 25.25 0.05 0.99 -8.20
0 H Padua Academy ( 4-11, 82.4) 16- 4 -17.54 16.06 -0.05 0.99 15.81
0 H Sanford School ( 9- 9, 89.3) 9-11 -10.65 22.96 -0.05 0.99 -10.57
------
147.04
|
winning pts = 173.6443 losing points = -26.6007
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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