---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Caravel Academy 1
  
Caravel Academy       
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 90.2928

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 326 H Milford (11- 6, 88.1) 12- 5 329 A Smyrna (10- 7, 85.7) 16- 1 331 A St Marks (11- 5, 87.6) 13- 6 405 H Sanford School ( 9- 9, 89.3) 13-12 408 H Concord ( 9- 7, 83.2) 14- 1 410 A Newark Charter School ( 6- 9, 82.4) 16- 5 414 H Caesar Rodney (12- 2, 95.7) 8-12 416 A Ursuline Academy ( 4- 9, 84.0) 15- 6 417 A Polytech ( 1-13, 74.4) 17- 0 430 H Wilmington Charter ( 5-10, 81.6) 15- 2 502 A Tower Hill School (17- 1, 96.2) 4-11 507 A Archmere Academy (10- 5, 91.5) 6-11 509 H Padua Academy ( 4-11, 82.4) 16- 4 520 H Sanford School ( 9- 9, 89.3) 9-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Milford                12- 5       7     2    +      2.71
   329 A Smyrna                 16- 1      15     5           0.48
   331 A St Marks               13- 6       7     3    +      2.40
   405 H Sanford School         13-12       1     1          -0.10
   408 H Concord                14- 1      13     7           0.00
   410 A Newark Charter School  16- 5      11     8           0.00
   414 H Caesar Rodney           8-12      -4    -5           1.00
   416 A Ursuline Academy       15- 6       9     6           0.00
   417 A Polytech               17- 0      17    16           0.00
   430 H Wilmington Charter     15- 2      13     9           0.00
   502 A Tower Hill School       4-11      -7    -6           0.00
   507 A Archmere Academy        6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.70
   509 H Padua Academy          16- 4      12     8           0.00
   520 H Sanford School          9-11      -2     1    -     -3.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Archmere Academy        6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.70
   520 H Sanford School          9-11      -2     1    -     -3.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Milford                12- 5       7     2    +      2.71
   331 A St Marks               13- 6       7     3    +      2.40

Caravel Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Glasglow Caravel Academy   Caravel Academy
Appoquinimink Caravel Academy Caravel Academy   8- 1 vs 1- 7
Archmere Academy Archmere Academy Archmere Academy  
Brandywine Caravel Academy Caravel Academy   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Caesar Rodney Caesar Rodney Caesar Rodney  
Cape Henlopen Cape Henlopen Cape Henlopen   6- 0 vs 3- 3
Christiana Caravel Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Caravel Academy
Concord Caravel Academy Caravel Academy  
Conrad School Caravel Academy Caravel Academy   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Delaware Military Academ Caravel Academy Caravel Academy   5- 2 vs 1- 5
Dover Caravel Academy Caravel Academy   6- 1 vs 1- 6
Hodgson Vo-Tech Caravel Academy Caravel Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Indian River Caravel Academy Caravel Academy   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Lake Forest Caravel Academy Caravel Academy   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Middletown Caravel Academy Caravel Academy   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Milford Caravel Academy Caravel Academy  
Mt Pleasant Caravel Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Caravel Academy
Newark Caravel Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Caravel Academy
Newark Charter School Caravel Academy Caravel Academy  
Odessa Caravel Academy Caravel Academy   4- 1 vs 2- 2
Padua Academy Caravel Academy Caravel Academy  
Polytech Caravel Academy Caravel Academy  
Sanford School Caravel Academy tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Caravel Academy
Smyrna Caravel Academy Caravel Academy  
St Andrews Caravel Academy insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 2) Caravel Academy
St Georges Tech Caravel Academy Caravel Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3
St Marks Caravel Academy Caravel Academy  
Sussex Academy Sussex Academy tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) Sussex Academy
Sussex Tech Caravel Academy   Caravel Academy
Tatnall School Tatnall School tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 2) Tatnall School
Tower Hill School Tower Hill School Tower Hill School  
Ursuline Academy Caravel Academy Caravel Academy  
Wilmington Charter Caravel Academy Caravel Academy  
Wilmington Friends Wilmington Friends insuffient: ( 7- 3)( 8- 1) Wilmington Friends

PowerWise = 27


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.83

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Milford         (11- 6, 88.1)    12- 5      -11.84      21.76      -0.05         0.99            21.44
   0 A Smyrna          (10- 7, 85.7)    16- 1      -14.18      19.43       0.05         0.99            19.24
   0 A St Marks        (11- 5, 87.6)    13- 6      -12.26      21.34       0.05         0.99            21.14
   0 H Sanford School  ( 9- 9, 89.3)    13-12      -10.65      22.96      -0.05         0.99            22.62
   0 H Concord         ( 9- 7, 83.2)    14- 1      -16.70      16.90      -0.05         0.99            16.64
   0 A Newark Charter  ( 6- 9, 82.4)    16- 5      -17.50      16.11       0.05         0.99            15.97
   0 H Caesar Rodney   (12- 2, 95.7)     8-12       -4.18      29.43      -0.05         0.99            -4.18
   0 A Ursuline Acade  ( 4- 9, 84.0)    15- 6      -15.85      17.75       0.05         0.99            17.59
   0 A Polytech        ( 1-13, 74.4)    17- 0      -25.46       8.15       0.05         0.99             8.10
   0 H Wilmington Cha  ( 5-10, 81.6)    15- 2      -18.28      15.32      -0.05         0.99            15.08
   0 A Tower Hill Sch  (17- 1, 96.2)     4-11       -3.74      29.86       0.05         0.99            -3.64
   0 A Archmere Acade  (10- 5, 91.5)     6-11       -8.36      25.25       0.05         0.99            -8.20
   0 H Padua Academy   ( 4-11, 82.4)    16- 4      -17.54      16.06      -0.05         0.99            15.81
   0 H Sanford School  ( 9- 9, 89.3)     9-11      -10.65      22.96      -0.05         0.99           -10.57
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       147.04

winning pts = 173.6443 losing points = -26.6007

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------