---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Christian Academy 1
  
Christian Academy     
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 84.8024

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 H Atherton ( 5-14, 80.9) 15- 1 306 A Assumption ( 7- 7, 86.8) 3-15 313 H Ballard ( 4- 9, 84.2) 15-10 317 H Eastern (10- 3, 97.1) 0-19 321 H Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 8- 6 322 H Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 4- 5 322 H South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 3- 5 327 A Lexington Christian (12- 3, 81.4) 8- 9 415 A Kentucky Country Day (19- 0, 99.9) 5-19 422 H North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 16- 6 425 A Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 15- 7 429 H Shelby County ( 5- 9, 79.8) 13- 5 506 A Sacred Heart Academy (15- 5, 95.6) 4-19 508 H Eastern (10- 3, 97.1) 2-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Atherton               15- 1      14     5           0.23
   306 A Assumption              3-15     -12    -3    -     -2.14
   313 H Ballard                15-10       5     1    +      3.54
   317 H Eastern                 0-19     -19   -11           0.00
   321 H Collins                 8- 6       2     3          -0.76
   322 H Oldham County           4- 5      -1     0          -1.14
   322 H South Oldham            3- 5      -2     2    -     -3.58
   327 A Lexington Christian     8- 9      -1     3    -     -3.60
   415 A Kentucky Country Day    5-19     -14   -16           0.00
   422 H North Oldham           16- 6      10     4           0.94
   425 A Oldham County          15- 7       8    -2    +++    6.50
   429 H Shelby County          13- 5       8     6           0.00
   506 A Sacred Heart Academy    4-19     -15   -12           0.00
   508 H Eastern                 2-21     -19   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Assumption              3-15     -12    -3    -     -2.14
   322 H South Oldham            3- 5      -2     2    -     -3.58
   327 A Lexington Christian     8- 9      -1     3    -     -3.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Oldham County          15- 7       8    -2    +++    6.50
   313 H Ballard                15-10       5     1    +      3.54

Christian Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Christian Academy   Christian Academy
Assumption Assumption Assumption  
Atherton Christian Academy Christian Academy  
Ballard Christian Academy Christian Academy  
Bowling Green Christian Academy   Christian Academy
Bryan Station Christian Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Christian Academy
Central Hardin Christian Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Christian Academy
Collins Christian Academy Christian Academy  
Cooper Christian Academy insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) Christian Academy
Dixie Heights Christian Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Christian Academy
DuPont Manual Christian Academy insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Christian Academy
Eastern Eastern Eastern  
Fern Creek Christian Academy   Christian Academy
Frederick Douglass Christian Academy insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Christian Academy
Great Crossing Christian Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Christian Academy
Greenwood Christian Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Christian Academy
Henry Clay Henry Clay tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) Henry Clay
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day  
Lafayette Christian Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Christian Academy
Lexington Catholic Christian Academy tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Christian Academy
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian  
Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Louisville Collegiate
Male Christian Academy Christian Academy   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Mercy Academy Christian Academy tied - ( 4- 5) ( 4- 4) Christian Academy
North Oldham Christian Academy Christian Academy  
Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy   4- 0 vs 2- 3
Oldham County Oldham County insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 6- 1) Oldham County
Owensboro Christian Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Christian Academy
Paul Laurence Dunbar Christian Academy tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Christian Academy
Presentation Academy Christian Academy   Christian Academy
Ryle Christian Academy Christian Academy   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy  
Sayre School Sayre School tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Sayre School
Scott County Christian Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Christian Academy
Shelby County Christian Academy Christian Academy  
South Oldham South Oldham South Oldham  
South Warren Christian Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Christian Academy
St Henry Christian Academy   Christian Academy
Tates Creek Christian Academy Christian Academy   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Woodford County Christian Academy Christian Academy   3- 2 vs 1- 3

PowerWise = 29


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Atherton        ( 5-14, 80.9)    15- 1      -19.05       9.25      -0.82         0.97             8.19
   0 A Assumption      ( 7- 7, 86.8)     3-15      -13.06      15.23       0.82         0.97           -11.90
   0 H Ballard         ( 4- 9, 84.2)    15-10      -15.73      12.57      -0.82         0.97            11.41
   0 H Eastern         (10- 3, 97.1)     0-19       -2.81      25.49      -0.82         0.97            -3.53
   0 H Collins         (12- 7, 82.9)     8- 6      -17.04      11.26      -0.82         0.97            10.15
   0 H Oldham County   (14- 5, 85.5)     4- 5      -14.42      13.88      -0.82         0.97           -14.82
   0 H South Oldham    ( 6-12, 84.0)     3- 5      -15.86      12.44      -0.82         0.97           -16.22
   0 A Lexington Chri  (12- 3, 81.4)     8- 9      -18.52       9.77       0.82         0.97           -17.21
   0 A Kentucky Count  (19- 0, 99.9)     5-19       -0.00      28.30       0.82         0.97            -0.80
   0 H North Oldham    ( 7-10, 81.6)    16- 6      -18.33       9.96      -0.82         0.97             8.89
   0 A Oldham County   (14- 5, 85.5)    15- 7      -14.42      13.88       0.82         0.97            14.29
   0 H Shelby County   ( 5- 9, 79.8)    13- 5      -20.10       8.19      -0.82         0.97             7.16
   0 A Sacred Heart A  (15- 5, 95.6)     4-19       -4.33      23.96       0.82         0.97            -3.41
   0 H Eastern         (10- 3, 97.1)     2-21       -2.81      25.49      -0.82         0.97            -3.53
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -11.32

winning pts = 60.0906 losing points = -71.4091

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------