---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Camden Hills Regional 1
  
Camden Hills Regiona  
W-L: (12- 5) PR = 92.5407

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 428 H Mount Ararat (16- 0, 96.3) 13-20 429 A Lincoln Academy (10- 4, 92.5) 4- 7 429 H Winslow/Lawrence ( 0-13, 82.2) 21- 5 503 H Winslow/Lawrence ( 0-13, 82.2) 21- 5 507 A Messalonskee ( 8- 8, 90.4) 17-11 512 H Bangor ( 9- 6, 89.7) 13- 9 515 A Gardiner-Hall-Dale ( 9- 6, 91.0) 6- 8 517 H Brunswick ( 5-10, 90.8) 15-14 519 H Houlton ( 4- 8, 85.6) 17- 3 520 H Brewer/Hampden ( 3-12, 85.5) 16- 4 523 A Mount Ararat (16- 0, 96.3) 9-16 527 A Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 90.0) 17- 8 529 H Lewiston ( 1-13, 86.7) 14- 3 530 H MCI/Nokomis ( 1-12, 81.1) 19- 2 604 H Mount Blue ( 7- 8, 88.5) 21- 5 614 N Cony (11- 4, 92.2) 11- 8 618 A Mount Ararat (16- 0, 96.3) 5-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Mount Ararat           13-20      -7    -3          -1.80
   429 A Lincoln Academy         4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.52
   429 H Winslow/Lawrence       21- 5      16    11           0.00
   503 H Winslow/Lawrence       21- 5      16    11           0.00
   507 A Messalonskee           17-11       6     2    +      3.34
   512 H Bangor                 13- 9       4     3           0.61
   515 A Gardiner-Hall-Dale      6- 8      -2     1    -     -3.00
   517 H Brunswick              15-14       1     2          -1.30
   519 H Houlton                17- 3      14     7           0.00
   520 H Brewer/Hampden         16- 4      12     8           0.00
   523 A Mount Ararat            9-16      -7    -4          -0.77
   527 A Erskine Academy        17- 8       9     2    +      3.01
   529 H Lewiston               14- 3      11     6           0.00
   530 H MCI/Nokomis            19- 2      17    12           0.00
   604 H Mount Blue             21- 5      16     5           0.48
   614 N Cony                   11- 8       3     0    +      2.70
   618 A Mount Ararat            5-10      -5    -4          -0.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Lincoln Academy         4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.52
   515 A Gardiner-Hall-Dale      6- 8      -2     1    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Messalonskee           17-11       6     2    +      3.34
   527 A Erskine Academy        17- 8       9     2    +      3.01
   614 N Cony                   11- 8       3     0    +      2.70

Camden Hills Regional Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bangor Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional  
Biddeford Camden Hills Regional   Camden Hills Regional
Bonny Eagle Camden Hills Regional   Camden Hills Regional
Brewer/Hampden Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional  
Brunswick Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional  
Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cape Elizabeth
Cheverus Cheverus tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Cheverus
Cony Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional  
Deering Camden Hills Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Camden Hills Regional
Edward Little Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional   8- 1 vs 3- 6
Erskine Academy Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional  
Falmouth Falmouth   Falmouth
Freeport Freeport tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Freeport
Fryeburg Academy Camden Hills Regional tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Camden Hills Regional
Gardiner-Hall-Dale Gardiner-Hall-Dale Gardiner-Hall-Dale  
Gorham Gorham   Gorham
Gray-New Gloucester/Pola Camden Hills Regional insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Camden Hills Regional
Greely Greely insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Greely
Houlton Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional  
Kennebunk Kennebunk   Kennebunk
Lake Region Camden Hills Regional   Camden Hills Regional
Lewiston Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional  
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy  
Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 7- 1) Maranacook/Winthrop
Marshwood Marshwood   Marshwood
Massabesic Massabesic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Massabesic
MCI/Nokomis Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional  
Messalonskee Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional  
Morse-Boothbay Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional   7- 3 vs 5- 5
Mount Ararat Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Mount Blue Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional  
Noble Camden Hills Regional   Camden Hills Regional
North Yarmouth Academy North Yarmouth Academy   North Yarmouth Academy
Oceanside Camden Hills Regional   Camden Hills Regional
Oxford Hills Comp Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional   7- 1 vs 4- 4
Portland Camden Hills Regional tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Camden Hills Regional
Sanford Sanford   Sanford
Scarborough Scarborough   Scarborough
South Portland Camden Hills Regional   Camden Hills Regional
St Dominic Academy Camden Hills Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Camden Hills Regional
Thornton Academy Thornton Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Thornton Academy
Traip Academy Traip Academy   Traip Academy
Waynflete School Waynflete School   Waynflete School
Wells Wells tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wells
Westbrook Camden Hills Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Camden Hills Regional
Windham Windham insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Windham
Winslow/Lawrence Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional  
Yarmouth Yarmouth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Yarmouth
York York insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) York

PowerWise = 26


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Mount Ararat    (16- 0, 96.3)    13-20       -3.64      15.11      -0.51         0.92            -3.83
   0 A Lincoln Academ  (10- 4, 92.5)     4- 7       -7.39      11.36       0.51         0.92            -6.34
   0 H Winslow/Lawren  ( 0-13, 82.2)    21- 5      -17.67       1.07      -0.51         0.92             0.52
   0 H Winslow/Lawren  ( 0-13, 82.2)    21- 5      -17.67       1.07      -0.51         0.92             0.52
   0 A Messalonskee    ( 8- 8, 90.4)    17-11       -9.53       9.21       0.51         0.92             8.97
   0 H Bangor          ( 9- 6, 89.7)    13- 9      -10.23       8.51      -0.51         0.92             7.38
   0 A Gardiner-Hall-  ( 9- 6, 91.0)     6- 8       -8.87       9.87       0.51         0.92            -7.71
   0 H Brunswick       ( 5-10, 90.8)    15-14       -9.14       9.60      -0.51         0.92             8.39
   0 H Houlton         ( 4- 8, 85.6)    17- 3      -14.26       4.49      -0.51         0.92             3.66
   0 H Brewer/Hampden  ( 3-12, 85.5)    16- 4      -14.41       4.34      -0.51         0.92             3.53
   0 A Mount Ararat    (16- 0, 96.3)     9-16       -3.64      15.11       0.51         0.92            -2.89
   0 A Erskine Academ  ( 8- 7, 90.0)    17- 8       -9.86       8.89       0.51         0.92             8.67
   0 H Lewiston        ( 1-13, 86.7)    14- 3      -13.22       5.53      -0.51         0.92             4.63
   0 H MCI/Nokomis     ( 1-12, 81.1)    19- 2      -18.75       1.00      -0.51         0.92             0.45
   0 H Mount Blue      ( 7- 8, 88.5)    21- 5      -11.36       7.38      -0.51         0.92             6.34
   0 N Cony            (11- 4, 92.2)    11- 8       -7.66      11.09      -0.00         0.92            10.23
   0 A Mount Ararat    (16- 0, 96.3)     5-10       -3.64      15.11       0.51         0.92            -2.89
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        39.62

winning pts = 63.2772 losing points = -23.6602

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------