Cape Fear Academy
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 80.7096Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A North Brunswick ( 5-17, 75.3) 15- 3 226 H West Brunswick ( 2-15, 76.3) 17- 4 311 H North Brunswick ( 5-17, 75.3) 17- 7 312 H Swansboro (11- 6, 85.4) 3-12 314 H Greensboro Day School ( 3-11, 80.0) 14- 8 317 A West Brunswick ( 2-15, 76.3) 6- 4 325 H Arendell Parrott Acade ( 4- 8, 82.8) 13-12 328 H Fayetteville Academy (16- 0, 87.6) 6-18 401 A Ravenscroft School ( 8- 8, 83.3) 12-14 403 A New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 5-18 408 A St Davids School ( 4- 8, 81.1) 12-20 411 A South Brunswick ( 6-11, 82.2) 10-12 415 A Arendell Parrott Acade ( 4- 8, 82.8) 5-17 424 H St Davids School ( 4- 8, 81.1) 15-13 501 A Fayetteville Academy (16- 0, 87.6) 4-16 509 A Forsyth CDS (12- 6, 85.4) 2-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
224 A North Brunswick 15- 3 12 5 0.00
226 H West Brunswick 17- 4 13 5 0.25
311 H North Brunswick 17- 7 10 6 0.00
312 H Swansboro 3-12 -9 -4 -0.62
314 H Greensboro Day School 14- 8 6 1 + 4.00
317 A West Brunswick 6- 4 2 4 - -2.14
325 H Arendell Parrott Acade 13-12 1 -2 + 2.76
328 H Fayetteville Academy 6-18 -12 -7 0.00
401 A Ravenscroft School 12-14 -2 -3 0.90
403 A New Hanover 5-18 -13 -8 0.00
408 A St Davids School 12-20 -8 -1 -- -4.34
411 A South Brunswick 10-12 -2 -2 -0.16
415 A Arendell Parrott Acade 5-17 -12 -2 - -2.63
424 H St Davids School 15-13 2 0 + 2.05
501 A Fayetteville Academy 4-16 -12 -7 0.00
509 A Forsyth CDS 2-18 -16 -5 -0.04
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A St Davids School 12-20 -8 -1 -- -4.34 317 A West Brunswick 6- 4 2 4 - -2.14 415 A Arendell Parrott Acade 5-17 -12 -2 - -2.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Greensboro Day School 14- 8 6 1 + 4.00 325 H Arendell Parrott Acade 13-12 1 -2 + 2.76 424 H St Davids School 15-13 2 0 + 2.05 |
Cape Fear Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | ||
| Arendell Parrott Academy | Arendell Parrott Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) | Arendell Parrott Academy | |
| Asheville HS | Asheville HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Asheville HS | |
| Asheville School | Asheville School | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Asheville School | |
| Ashley | Ashley | Ashley 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | Athens Drive | ||
| Atkins | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Bishop McGuinness | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bishop McGuinness | |
| Broughton | Broughton | Broughton | ||
| Butler | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cannon School | |
| Cape Fear HS | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cardinal Gibbons | |
| Carrboro | Cape Fear Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Cary Academy | Cape Fear Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 4) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Cary HS | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Charlotte CDS | |
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Charlotte Christian | |
| Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Christ the King | Christ the King | Christ the King | ||
| Clayton | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Cleveland | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Community School Davidso | Community School Davidso | Community School Davidso | ||
| Corinth Holders | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Croatan | |
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davidson Day School | Davidson Day School | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | Davidson Day School | |
| Davie | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| DH Conley | Cape Fear Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Durham Academy | |
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| East Forsyth | Cape Fear Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Enloe | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Fayetteville Academy | Fayetteville Academy | Fayetteville Academy | ||
| Fike | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| First Flight | Cape Fear Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Forsyth CDS | Forsyth CDS | Forsyth CDS | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Garner | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Glenn | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | Green Hope | ||
| Green Level | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Greensboro Day School | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Grimsley | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Havelock | Cape Fear Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Heritage | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Hickory | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| High Point Central | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Hopewell | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Hough | Hough | Hough | ||
| Hunt | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Independence | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Jack Britt | Cape Fear Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Jacksonville | Cape Fear Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| JH Rose | JH Rose | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | JH Rose | |
| Jordan | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | ||
| Laney | Laney | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Laney | |
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Leesville Road | |
| Lincoln Charter | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | Millbrook | ||
| Mooresville | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Mount Tabor | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | Myers Park | ||
| New Bern | New Bern | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | New Bern | |
| New Hanover | New Hanover | New Hanover | ||
| North Brunswick | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| North Davidson | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| North Lincoln | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Northern Guilford | Cape Fear Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Northside | Cape Fear Academy | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | ||
| Northwood | Cape Fear Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Page | Cape Fear Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Panther Creek | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Parkwood | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Patton | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Pine Forest | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | Pinecrest | ||
| Porter Ridge | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Providence | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Providence Day | |
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Ragsdale | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | ||
| Riverside Durham | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Ronald Reagan | Ronald Reagan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ronald Reagan | |
| Sanderson | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Seaforth | Seaforth | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Seaforth | |
| South Brunswick | South Brunswick | South Brunswick | ||
| South Iredell | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| South Mecklenburg | South Mecklenburg | South Mecklenburg | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Southeast Guilford | Southeast Guilford | ||
| Southlake Christian | Cape Fear Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Southwest Guilford | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| St Davids School | St Davids School | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | St Davids School | |
| St Marys | St Marys | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 1) | St Marys | |
| St Stephens | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Sun Valley | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Swansboro | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| TC Roberson | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Terry Sanford | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Union Pines | Union Pines | Union Pines | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Wakefield | Wakefield | Wakefield | ||
| Watauga | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | Weddington | ||
| West Brunswick | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| West Forsyth | West Forsyth | West Forsyth | ||
| West Stokes | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| White Oak | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 64
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A North Brunswic ( 5-17, 75.3) 15- 3 -24.60 15.20 0.31 1.05 16.35
0 H West Brunswick ( 2-15, 76.3) 17- 4 -23.64 16.17 -0.31 1.05 16.72
0 H North Brunswic ( 5-17, 75.3) 17- 7 -24.60 15.20 -0.31 1.05 15.70
0 H Swansboro (11- 6, 85.4) 3-12 -14.51 25.30 -0.31 1.05 -15.61
0 H Greensboro Day ( 3-11, 80.0) 14- 8 -19.89 19.92 -0.31 1.05 20.67
0 A West Brunswick ( 2-15, 76.3) 6- 4 -23.64 16.17 0.31 1.05 17.36
0 H Arendell Parro ( 4- 8, 82.8) 13-12 -17.13 22.68 -0.31 1.05 23.58
0 H Fayetteville A (16- 0, 87.6) 6-18 -12.33 27.47 -0.31 1.05 -13.32
0 A Ravenscroft Sc ( 8- 8, 83.3) 12-14 -16.60 23.21 0.31 1.05 -17.18
0 A New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 5-18 -11.13 28.68 0.31 1.05 -11.41
0 A St Davids Scho ( 4- 8, 81.1) 12-20 -18.83 20.97 0.31 1.05 -19.53
0 A South Brunswic ( 6-11, 82.2) 10-12 -17.65 22.15 0.31 1.05 -18.29
0 A Arendell Parro ( 4- 8, 82.8) 5-17 -17.13 22.68 0.31 1.05 -17.73
0 H St Davids Scho ( 4- 8, 81.1) 15-13 -18.83 20.97 -0.31 1.05 21.79
0 A Fayetteville A (16- 0, 87.6) 4-16 -12.33 27.47 0.31 1.05 -12.68
0 A Forsyth CDS (12- 6, 85.4) 2-18 -14.54 25.27 0.31 1.05 -15.00
------
-8.57
|
winning pts = 132.1762 losing points = -140.7455
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------