---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:45 PDT

safe3step girls Carmel Catholic 1
  
Carmel Catholic       
W-L: (15- 6) PR = 88.3892

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Palatine (11- 8, 84.4) 7- 5 318 A Deerfield ( 8-10, 81.7) 13- 5 320 A Libertyville ( 8-12, 79.3) 14- 7 405 H Marist (16- 4, 91.9) 4-10 408 A Benet Academy (13- 7, 92.6) 9-14 412 A St Francis ( 9-11, 80.3) 13- 2 415 A Lake Forest Academy ( 0-11, 67.6) 17- 1 416 H St Viator (13- 8, 88.6) 6- 7 419 H Minooka ( 0-18, 73.6) 18- 3 421 A Lake Zurich (10- 7, 84.4) 16-10 425 H Stevenson ( 7- 6, 83.9) 13- 2 502 A Gurnee Warren ( 5-13, 79.8) 11- 5 503 A Neuqua Valley ( 3-15, 80.3) 13- 2 506 A Nazareth Academy (15- 5, 89.1) 14-13 508 A Mundelein ( 5-13, 76.8) 17- 9 509 H Glenbrook North ( 8-12, 84.0) 13- 4 515 H Huntley (19- 4, 91.2) 7- 8 517 A Evanston (17- 4, 94.6) 7-16 526 N Stevenson ( 7- 6, 83.9) 10- 4 528 N St Viator (13- 8, 88.6) 8- 7 530 N Barrington (21- 2, 92.6) 8-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Palatine                7- 5       2     4    -     -2.49
   318 A Deerfield              13- 5       8     6           0.00
   320 A Libertyville           14- 7       7     9           0.00
   405 H Marist                  4-10      -6    -3          -1.95
   408 A Benet Academy           9-14      -5    -5          -0.32
   412 A St Francis             13- 2      11     8           0.00
   415 A Lake Forest Academy    17- 1      16    20           0.00
   416 H St Viator               6- 7      -1     0          -1.29
   419 H Minooka                18- 3      15    15           0.00
   421 A Lake Zurich            16-10       6     4           1.48
   425 H Stevenson              13- 2      11     5           0.00
   502 A Gurnee Warren          11- 5       6     8           0.00
   503 A Neuqua Valley          13- 2      11     8           0.00
   506 A Nazareth Academy       14-13       1    -1    +      2.22
   508 A Mundelein              17- 9       8    11           0.00
   509 H Glenbrook North        13- 4       9     5           0.12
   515 H Huntley                 7- 8      -1    -2           1.35
   517 A Evanston                7-16      -9    -7           0.00
   526 N Stevenson              10- 4       6     5           0.49
   528 N St Viator               8- 7       1     0           1.21
   530 N Barrington              8-14      -6    -4          -0.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Palatine                7- 5       2     4    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Nazareth Academy       14-13       1    -1    +      2.22

Carmel Catholic Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Barrington Barrington Barrington  
Benet Academy Benet Academy Benet Academy  
Bloomington Carmel Catholic   Carmel Catholic
Buffalo Grove Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic   4- 0 vs 1- 4
Burlington Central Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Carmel Catholic
Conant Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 3) Carmel Catholic
Crystal Lake Crystal Lake Crystal Lake   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Deerfield Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
DePaul Prep Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic   4- 3 vs 1- 5
Downers Grove Co-Op Downers Grove Co-Op insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1) Downers Grove Co-Op
Dunlap Carmel Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Carmel Catholic
Edwardsville Carmel Catholic   Carmel Catholic
Elk Grove Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic   4- 0 vs 0- 5
Evanston Evanston Evanston  
Fenwick Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Fremd Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic   5- 1 vs 3- 4
Geneva Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic   3- 1 vs 0- 5
Glenbard West Glenbard West insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Glenbard West
Glenbrook North Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
Glenbrook South Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 7- 1)( 6- 3) Carmel Catholic
Gurnee Warren Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
Hampshire Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Carmel Catholic
Hersey Hersey tied - ( 5- 3) ( 5- 2) Hersey
Highland Park Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Hinsdale Central Hinsdale Central Hinsdale Central   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hoffman Estates Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Huntley Huntley Huntley  
Jones Carmel Catholic tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Carmel Catholic
Kenwood Carmel Catholic   Carmel Catholic
Lake Forest Academy Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
Lake Forest HS Lake Forest HS Lake Forest HS   8- 1 vs 6- 3
Lake Zurich Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
Lane Tech Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Carmel Catholic
Latin School Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) Carmel Catholic
Libertyville Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
Lincoln Park Carmel Catholic   Carmel Catholic
Lincoln-Way Co-Op Lincoln-Way Co-Op tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Lincoln-Way Co-Op
Lockport Lockport insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Lockport
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Loyola Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lyons Township Lyons Township insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 3) Lyons Township
Maine South Maine South tied - ( 6- 2) ( 6- 1) Maine South
Marist Marist Marist  
Mather Carmel Catholic   Carmel Catholic
McHenry Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Carmel Catholic
Metea Valley Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Carmel Catholic
Minooka Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
Montini Catholic Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) Carmel Catholic
Mother McAuley Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Carmel Catholic
Mundelein Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
Naperville Central Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Carmel Catholic
Naperville North Naperville North tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Naperville North
Nazareth Academy Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
Neuqua Valley Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
New Trier New Trier New Trier   5- 0 vs 2- 2
Normal Community Carmel Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Carmel Catholic
Northside Prep Carmel Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Carmel Catholic
Oak Park-River Forest Oak Park-River Forest tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Oak Park-River Forest
OFallon Carmel Catholic   Carmel Catholic
Palatine Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
Payton College Prep Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Carmel Catholic
Plainfield East Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Carmel Catholic
Prospect Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic   4- 0 vs 2- 3
Providence Catholic Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Carmel Catholic
Regina Dominican Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Resurrection Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Riverside-Brookfield Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Carmel Catholic
Rolling Meadows Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Carmel Catholic
Rosary Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Carmel Catholic
Sandburg Carmel Catholic tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Carmel Catholic
Schaumburg Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic   5- 1 vs 3- 3
St Charles Carmel Catholic tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Carmel Catholic
St Francis Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
St Ignatius Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 4) Carmel Catholic
St Laurence Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Carmel Catholic
St Viator St Viator insuffient: ( 6- 3)( 5- 5) St Viator
Stevenson Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
Streamwood Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Taft HS Carmel Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Carmel Catholic
Trinity Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Carmel Catholic
Vernon Hills Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic   7- 1 vs 1- 7
Washington Carmel Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Carmel Catholic
Wheaton United Carmel Catholic tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Carmel Catholic
Whitney Young Carmel Catholic   Carmel Catholic
York York tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) York

PowerWise = 63


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Palatine        (11- 8, 84.4)     7- 5      -15.50      23.11      -0.50         0.81            18.22
   0 A Deerfield       ( 8-10, 81.7)    13- 5      -18.18      20.43       0.50         0.81            16.87
   0 A Libertyville    ( 8-12, 79.3)    14- 7      -20.57      18.04       0.50         0.81            14.93
   0 H Marist          (16- 4, 91.9)     4-10       -7.96      30.65      -0.50         0.81            -6.82
   0 A Benet Academy   (13- 7, 92.6)     9-14       -7.33      31.28       0.50         0.81            -5.50
   0 A St Francis      ( 9-11, 80.3)    13- 2      -19.58      19.03       0.50         0.81            15.74
   0 A Lake Forest Ac  ( 0-11, 67.6)    17- 1      -32.35       6.26       0.50         0.81             5.45
   0 H St Viator       (13- 8, 88.6)     6- 7      -11.30      27.31      -0.50         0.81            -9.50
   0 H Minooka         ( 0-18, 73.6)    18- 3      -26.30      12.31      -0.50         0.81             9.52
   0 A Lake Zurich     (10- 7, 84.4)    16-10      -15.53      23.08       0.50         0.81            19.00
   0 H Stevenson       ( 7- 6, 83.9)    13- 2      -16.03      22.58      -0.50         0.81            17.79
   0 A Gurnee Warren   ( 5-13, 79.8)    11- 5      -20.13      18.48       0.50         0.81            15.29
   0 A Neuqua Valley   ( 3-15, 80.3)    13- 2      -19.63      18.98       0.50         0.81            15.70
   0 A Nazareth Acade  (15- 5, 89.1)    14-13      -10.79      27.82       0.50         0.81            22.81
   0 A Mundelein       ( 5-13, 76.8)    17- 9      -23.14      15.47       0.50         0.81            12.87
   0 H Glenbrook Nort  ( 8-12, 84.0)    13- 4      -15.89      22.72      -0.50         0.81            17.90
   0 H Huntley         (19- 4, 91.2)     7- 8       -8.66      29.95      -0.50         0.81            -7.38
   0 A Evanston        (17- 4, 94.6)     7-16       -5.25      33.36       0.50         0.81            -3.83
   0 N Stevenson       ( 7- 6, 83.9)    10- 4      -16.03      22.58      -0.00         0.81            18.19
   0 N St Viator       (13- 8, 88.6)     8- 7      -11.30      27.31      -0.00         0.81            22.00
   0 N Barrington      (21- 2, 92.6)     8-14       -7.29      31.32      -0.00         0.81            -5.88
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       203.36

winning pts = 242.2630 losing points = -38.9046

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------