---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Cary Academy 1
  
Cary Academy          
W-L: ( 3-12) PR = 77.5830

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 H Rolesville ( 3-16, 68.8) 18- 1 304 A Fayetteville Academy (16- 0, 87.6) 3-16 306 A Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 1- 9 311 A Rolesville ( 3-16, 68.8) 14- 2 313 A St Davids School ( 4- 8, 81.1) 2-11 314 H St Marys (10- 7, 82.6) 1-16 320 A St Marys (10- 7, 82.6) 2-17 326 H Ravenscroft School ( 8- 8, 83.3) 2-19 327 A Seaforth (10- 7, 84.8) 2-15 408 A Durham Academy ( 6- 9, 81.6) 3-17 412 H Cannon School (11- 8, 90.0) 0-16 416 H Forsyth CDS (12- 6, 85.4) 2-14 417 H Carrboro (10-10, 79.6) 9- 5 429 A Durham Academy ( 6- 9, 81.6) 7-17 501 A Ravenscroft School ( 8- 8, 83.3) 3-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Rolesville             18- 1      17     9           0.00
   304 A Fayetteville Academy    3-16     -13   -10           0.00
   306 A Carrboro                1- 9      -8    -2    -     -2.71
   311 A Rolesville             14- 2      12     9           0.00
   313 A St Davids School        2-11      -9    -4          -1.21
   314 H St Marys                1-16     -15    -5          -0.30
   320 A St Marys                2-17     -15    -5           0.00
   326 H Ravenscroft School      2-19     -17    -5           0.00
   327 A Seaforth                2-15     -13    -7           0.00
   408 A Durham Academy          3-17     -14    -4          -0.72
   412 H Cannon School           0-16     -16   -12           0.00
   416 H Forsyth CDS             2-14     -12    -7           0.00
   417 H Carrboro                9- 5       4    -2    ++     5.68
   429 A Durham Academy          7-17     -10    -4          -0.72
   501 A Ravenscroft School      3-15     -12    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Carrboro                1- 9      -8    -2    -     -2.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Carrboro                9- 5       4    -2    ++     5.68

Cary Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS Asheville HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Asheville HS
Asheville School Asheville School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Asheville School
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop McGuinness
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cannon School Cannon School Cannon School  
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Cary Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cary Academy
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Carrboro
Cary HS Cary Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cary Academy
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Christ the King Christ the King tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Christ the King
Clayton Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cleveland Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Community School Davidso Community School Davidso tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Community School Davidso
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Corinth Holders
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Davidson Day School
Davie Cary Academy   Cary Academy
DH Conley Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Durham Academy Durham Academy Durham Academy  
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   3- 0 vs 1- 3
East Forsyth Cary Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cary Academy
Enloe Cary Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cary Academy
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy  
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS  
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner Cary Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cary Academy
Glenn Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day School Greensboro Day School insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) Greensboro Day School
Grimsley Grimsley   Grimsley
Havelock Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Heritage Heritage tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Heritage
Hickory Cary Academy   Cary Academy
High Point Central Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hopewell Hopewell   Hopewell
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Cary Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cary Academy
Independence Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Jack Britt Cary Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cary Academy
Jacksonville Cary Academy   Cary Academy
JH Rose JH Rose tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) JH Rose
Jordan Cary Academy insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) Cary Academy
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Millbrook
Mooresville Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Mount Tabor Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick Cary Academy   Cary Academy
North Davidson Cary Academy   Cary Academy
North Lincoln Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Northern Guilford Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Northside Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Cary Academy insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Cary Academy
Page Page tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek   Panther Creek
Parkwood Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Patton Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Pine Forest Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Pine Lake Prep Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Pinecrest Pinecrest insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day Providence Day   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Ragsdale Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School  
Riverside Durham Cary Academy insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) Cary Academy
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Cary Academy Cary Academy  
Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ronald Reagan
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth Seaforth  
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Iredell Cary Academy   Cary Academy
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford   Southeast Guilford
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Cary Academy   Cary Academy
St Davids School St Davids School St Davids School  
St Marys St Marys St Marys  
St Stephens Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Sun Valley Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Swansboro Swansboro insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Swansboro
TC Roberson Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Terry Sanford Cary Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Cary Academy
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wakefield
Watauga Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Cary Academy   Cary Academy
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes Cary Academy   Cary Academy
White Oak Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 47


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Rolesville      ( 3-16, 68.8)    18- 1      -31.13       8.68      -0.31         1.12             9.41
   0 A Fayetteville A  (16- 0, 87.6)     3-16      -12.33      27.47       0.31         1.12           -13.52
   0 A Carrboro        (10-10, 79.6)     1- 9      -20.33      19.47       0.31         1.12           -22.52
   0 A Rolesville      ( 3-16, 68.8)    14- 2      -31.13       8.68       0.31         1.12            10.10
   0 A St Davids Scho  ( 4- 8, 81.1)     2-11      -18.83      20.97       0.31         1.12           -20.83
   0 H St Marys        (10- 7, 82.6)     1-16      -17.31      22.49      -0.31         1.12           -19.81
   0 A St Marys        (10- 7, 82.6)     2-17      -17.31      22.49       0.31         1.12           -19.12
   0 H Ravenscroft Sc  ( 8- 8, 83.3)     2-19      -16.60      23.21      -0.31         1.12           -19.01
   0 A Seaforth        (10- 7, 84.8)     2-15      -15.13      24.67       0.31         1.12           -16.67
   0 A Durham Academy  ( 6- 9, 81.6)     3-17      -18.34      21.46       0.31         1.12           -20.28
   0 H Cannon School   (11- 8, 90.0)     0-16       -9.88      29.93      -0.31         1.12           -11.45
   0 H Forsyth CDS     (12- 6, 85.4)     2-14      -14.54      25.27      -0.31         1.12           -16.69
   0 H Carrboro        (10-10, 79.6)     9- 5      -20.33      19.47      -0.31         1.12            21.55
   0 A Durham Academy  ( 6- 9, 81.6)     7-17      -18.34      21.46       0.31         1.12           -20.28
   0 A Ravenscroft Sc  ( 8- 8, 83.3)     3-15      -16.60      23.21       0.31         1.12           -18.32
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -177.44

winning pts = 41.0634 losing points = -218.5051

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------