Big Walnut
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 85.2007Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Delaware Hayes ( 9- 9, 83.9) 14-12 403 A Westerville South ( 4-11, 75.4) 18- 3 405 A Bexley (14- 5, 88.1) 11-14 407 A Bellbrook (11- 6, 83.9) 13- 9 408 A Dublin Scioto ( 9- 9, 85.8) 13-14 412 H Clay ( 9- 8, 81.0) 9- 3 412 N Bishop Watterson ( 8-12, 90.0) 7-13 414 A Worthington Kilbourne (16- 5, 92.9) 9-18 417 H Gahanna Lincoln ( 5-10, 85.8) 11-10 422 H St Francis DeSales (21- 1, 97.1) 4-22 423 A Wellington School ( 4-10, 76.1) 21- 3 429 H Columbus SG ( 9- 7, 88.0) 7-17 501 A Olentangy Orange (11- 9, 88.7) 12-15 506 H Westerville North ( 6-11, 76.4) 18- 0 509 A Olentangy Berlin ( 9- 9, 84.1) 7-11 515 H Olentangy Berlin ( 9- 9, 84.1) 12- 7 521 H Olentangy Orange (11- 9, 88.7) 6-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
401 H Delaware Hayes 14-12 2 2 0.02
403 A Westerville South 18- 3 15 9 0.00
405 A Bexley 11-14 -3 -4 0.58
407 A Bellbrook 13- 9 4 1 + 3.36
408 A Dublin Scioto 13-14 -1 -1 0.29
412 H Clay 9- 3 6 5 0.10
412 N Bishop Watterson 7-13 -6 -5 -0.20
414 A Worthington Kilbourne 9-18 -9 -8 0.00
417 H Gahanna Lincoln 11-10 1 0 0.93
422 H St Francis DeSales 4-22 -18 -11 0.00
423 A Wellington School 21- 3 18 8 0.00
429 H Columbus SG 7-17 -10 -2 - -2.89
501 A Olentangy Orange 12-15 -3 -4 1.18
506 H Westerville North 18- 0 18 9 0.00
509 A Olentangy Berlin 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.45
515 H Olentangy Berlin 12- 7 5 2 + 3.22
521 H Olentangy Orange 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.14
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 509 A Olentangy Berlin 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.45 429 H Columbus SG 7-17 -10 -2 - -2.89 521 H Olentangy Orange 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Bellbrook 13- 9 4 1 + 3.36 515 H Olentangy Berlin 12- 7 5 2 + 3.22 |
Big Walnut Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Anthony Wayne | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Big Walnut | |
| Archbishop Alter | Big Walnut | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Big Walnut | |
| Archbishop Hoban | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Archbishop McNicholas | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Aurora | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Avon | Avon | Avon | ||
| Avon Lake | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Bay | Bay | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bay | |
| Beaumont School | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Beavercreek | Beavercreek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Beavercreek | |
| Bellbrook | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Bexley | Bexley | Bexley | ||
| Bishop Fenwick | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Big Walnut | |
| Bishop Hartley | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 2- 5) | Big Walnut | |
| Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | ||
| Boardman | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Brecksville-Broadview | Brecksville-Broadview | Brecksville-Broadview | ||
| Brunswick | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Buckeye Valley | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Big Walnut | |
| Canfield | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Carroll | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Big Walnut | |
| Centerville | Centerville | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Centerville | |
| Chagrin Falls | Chagrin Falls | Chagrin Falls | ||
| Chaminade-Julienne | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Big Walnut | |
| Chardon | Chardon | Chardon | ||
| Chillicothe | Big Walnut | Big Walnut 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Cincinnati CDS | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Cincinnati Hills Christi | Cincinnati Hills Christi | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Cincinnati Hills Christi | |
| Clay | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Cleveland Heights | Cleveland Heights | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cleveland Heights | |
| Columbus Academy | Columbus Academy | Columbus Academy 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Columbus SG | Columbus SG | Columbus SG | ||
| Copley | Copley | Copley | ||
| Cuyahoga Valley Christia | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Delaware Hayes | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome 4- 2 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Dublin Scioto | Dublin Scioto | Dublin Scioto | ||
| Edgewood | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Big Walnut | |
| Fairfield | Big Walnut | Big Walnut 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fairmont | Big Walnut | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Big Walnut | |
| Findlay | Big Walnut | Big Walnut 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Gahanna Lincoln | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Gilmour Academy | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| GlenOak | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Granville | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Big Walnut | |
| Green | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Grove City | Big Walnut | Big Walnut 5- 3 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Hathaway Brown | Hathaway Brown | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | Hathaway Brown | |
| Hathaway Brown B | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Hawken School | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Highland | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Hilliard Bradley | Big Walnut | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Big Walnut | |
| Hilliard Darby | Hilliard Darby | insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 2) | Hilliard Darby | |
| Hilliard Davidson | Hilliard Davidson | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) | Hilliard Davidson | |
| Holy Name | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton | ||
| Hudson | Hudson | Hudson | ||
| Indian Hill | Indian Hill | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Indian Hill | |
| Jackson Massillon | Jackson Massillon | Jackson Massillon | ||
| Jonathan Alder | Big Walnut | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Big Walnut | |
| Kenston | Kenston | Kenston | ||
| Kent Roosevelt | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Kings | Kings | Kings | ||
| Lake | Lake | Lake | ||
| Lake Catholic | Lake Catholic | Lake Catholic | ||
| Lakewood | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Lakota East | Lakota East | Lakota East | ||
| Lakota West | Lakota West | Lakota West | ||
| Laurel School | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Lebanon | Lebanon | Lebanon | ||
| Lima | Big Walnut | Big Walnut 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Little Miami | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Louisville | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Loveland | Big Walnut | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Big Walnut | |
| Madeira | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Big Walnut | |
| Magnificat | Magnificat | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Magnificat | |
| Mariemont | Mariemont | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Mariemont | |
| Marysville | Big Walnut | Big Walnut 5- 3 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Mason | Mason | Mason | ||
| Maumee Valley CDS | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Medina | Medina | Medina | ||
| Mentor | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Mercy McAuley | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Miami Valley School | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Miamisburg | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Big Walnut | |
| Milford | Milford | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Milford | |
| Mt Notre Dame | Mt Notre Dame | Mt Notre Dame | ||
| New Albany | New Albany | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | New Albany | |
| Newark | Big Walnut | Big Walnut 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Northmont | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Big Walnut | |
| Notre Dame Academy | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Big Walnut | |
| Notre Dame-Cathedral Lat | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Oak Hills | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Oakwood | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Big Walnut | |
| Olentangy | Olentangy | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Olentangy | |
| Olentangy Berlin | Big Walnut | Big Walnut 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Olentangy Liberty | |
| Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | ||
| Olmsted Falls | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Orange | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Ottawa Hills | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Big Walnut | |
| Padua Franciscan | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Perrysburg | Big Walnut | Big Walnut 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Pickerington Central | Pickerington Central | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Pickerington Central | |
| Pickerington North | Pickerington North | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | Pickerington North | |
| Poland Seminary | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Princeton | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Revere | Revere | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Revere | |
| Riverside | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Rocky River | Rocky River | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Rocky River | |
| Roger Bacon | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| Seven Hills School | Seven Hills School | Seven Hills School | ||
| Shaker Heights | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Solon | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Southeast | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Springboro | Springboro | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Springboro | |
| St Francis DeSales | St Francis DeSales | St Francis DeSales | ||
| St Joseph Academy | St Joseph Academy | St Joseph Academy | ||
| St Ursula Cincinnati | St Ursula Cincinnati | St Ursula Cincinnati | ||
| St Ursula Toledo | Big Walnut | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Big Walnut | |
| St Vincent-St Mary | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Stow-Munroe Falls | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Strongsville | Strongsville | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Strongsville | |
| Summit CDS | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Sycamore | Sycamore | Sycamore | ||
| Sylvania Northview | Big Walnut | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Big Walnut | |
| Sylvania Southview | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Big Walnut | |
| Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington 3- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Tippecanoe | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Toledo Central Catholic | Big Walnut | Big Walnut 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Turpin | Turpin | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Turpin | |
| Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ursuline Academy | Ursuline Academy | Ursuline Academy | ||
| Wadsworth | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Walnut Hills | Walnut Hills | Walnut Hills | ||
| Walsh Jesuit | Walsh Jesuit | Walsh Jesuit | ||
| Waynesville | Big Walnut | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Big Walnut | |
| Wellington School | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| West Geauga | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Western Reserve Academy | Western Reserve Academy | Western Reserve Academy | ||
| Westerville Central | Big Walnut | Big Walnut 5- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Westerville North | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Westerville South | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Westlake | Big Walnut | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Big Walnut | |
| Wooster | Wooster | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Wooster | |
| Worthington Kilbourne | Worthington Kilbourne | Worthington Kilbourne | ||
| Wyoming | Wyoming | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Wyoming |
PowerWise = 88
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.74
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Delaware Hayes ( 9- 9, 83.9) 14-12 -16.02 15.67 -0.66 0.98 14.77
0 A Westerville So ( 4-11, 75.4) 18- 3 -24.46 7.22 0.66 0.98 7.77
0 A Bexley (14- 5, 88.1) 11-14 -11.78 19.90 0.66 0.98 -10.94
0 A Bellbrook (11- 6, 83.9) 13- 9 -16.00 15.68 0.66 0.98 16.09
0 A Dublin Scioto ( 9- 9, 85.8) 13-14 -14.07 17.61 0.66 0.98 -13.20
0 H Clay ( 9- 8, 81.0) 9- 3 -18.93 12.75 -0.66 0.98 11.90
0 N Bishop Watters ( 8-12, 90.0) 7-13 -9.90 21.79 -0.00 0.98 -9.74
0 A Worthington Ki (16- 5, 92.9) 9-18 -7.04 24.65 0.66 0.98 -6.28
0 H Gahanna Lincol ( 5-10, 85.8) 11-10 -14.10 17.58 -0.66 0.98 16.66
0 H St Francis DeS (21- 1, 97.1) 4-22 -2.82 28.86 -0.66 0.98 -3.43
0 A Wellington Sch ( 4-10, 76.1) 21- 3 -23.77 7.91 0.66 0.98 8.44
0 H Columbus SG ( 9- 7, 88.0) 7-17 -11.93 19.76 -0.66 0.98 -12.40
0 A Olentangy Oran (11- 9, 88.7) 12-15 -11.18 20.50 0.66 0.98 -10.35
0 H Westerville No ( 6-11, 76.4) 18- 0 -23.51 8.18 -0.66 0.98 7.40
0 A Olentangy Berl ( 9- 9, 84.1) 7-11 -15.81 15.87 0.66 0.98 -14.92
0 H Olentangy Berl ( 9- 9, 84.1) 12- 7 -15.81 15.87 -0.66 0.98 14.97
0 H Olentangy Oran (11- 9, 88.7) 6-11 -11.18 20.50 -0.66 0.98 -11.66
------
5.07
|
winning pts = 97.9948 losing points = -92.9211
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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