Burlington
W-L: ( 9- 7) PR = 94.2184Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 12-11 410 H U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 12-16 414 H Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 13-19 415 H Lamoille Union ( 2-12, 82.5) 20- 2 417 A South Burlington (12- 6, 96.9) 9-12 430 H Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 14- 4 502 A Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 20- 4 505 H Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 5-13 507 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham ( 8- 9, 93.2) 20-13 509 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 20- 3 512 H Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 16- 9 514 A Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 18-11 527 A Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 10-19 531 A St Johnsbury Academy (10- 6, 95.4) 10-11 603 H Brattleboro Union ( 3- 9, 92.7) 13-12 607 A Champlain Valley Union (15- 2, 98.9) 9-17
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 A Rice Memorial 12-11 1 -2 + 3.35
410 H U-32 12-16 -4 -1 - -3.04
414 H Essex 13-19 -6 -3 - -2.40
415 H Lamoille Union 20- 2 18 12 0.00
417 A South Burlington 9-12 -3 -3 0.16
430 H Harwood Union 14- 4 10 3 + 2.01
502 A Milton 20- 4 16 10 0.00
505 H Rice Memorial 5-13 -8 -1 - -3.60
507 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham 20-13 7 2 + 3.48
509 H Spaulding 20- 3 17 6 0.00
512 H Stowe 16- 9 7 5 0.25
514 A Colchester 18-11 7 4 0.68
527 A Hartford 10-19 -9 -4 -0.57
531 A St Johnsbury Academy 10-11 -1 -2 0.69
603 H Brattleboro Union 13-12 1 2 -1.01
607 A Champlain Valley Union 9-17 -8 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H U-32 12-16 -4 -1 - -3.04 414 H Essex 13-19 -6 -3 - -2.40 505 H Rice Memorial 5-13 -8 -1 - -3.60 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Rice Memorial 12-11 1 -2 + 3.35 430 H Harwood Union 14- 4 10 3 + 2.01 507 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham 20-13 7 2 + 3.48 |
Burlington Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy - S | Burlington | Burlington 3- 4 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Brattleboro Union | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Burr & Burton Academy | Burr & Burton Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Burr & Burton Academy | |
| Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | ||
| Colchester | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Essex | Essex | Essex | ||
| Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley 7- 0 vs 5- 2 | ||
| Hartford | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Harwood Union | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Lamoille Union | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Burlington | Burlington 7- 3 vs 1- 9 | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | tied - ( 5- 4) ( 5- 3) | Middlebury Union | |
| Milton | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Mt Anthony Union | |
| Mt Mansfield Union | Burlington | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 4) | Burlington | |
| Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | insuffient: ( 7- 5)( 8- 4) | Rice Memorial | |
| Rutland | Burlington | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Burlington | |
| South Burlington | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Spaulding | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Stowe | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Stratton Mountain School | Burlington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Burlington | |
| U-32 | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| Vergennes/Mt Abraham | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union 4- 2 vs 2- 4 |
PowerWise = 13
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 12-11 -3.80 13.60 0.48 0.97 13.67
0 H U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 12-16 -4.24 13.16 -0.48 0.97 -4.58
0 H Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 13-19 -2.60 14.80 -0.48 0.97 -2.99
0 H Lamoille Union ( 2-12, 82.5) 20- 2 -17.40 1.00 -0.48 0.97 0.51
0 A South Burlingt (12- 6, 96.9) 9-12 -3.00 14.41 0.48 0.97 -2.45
0 H Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 14- 4 -8.20 9.21 -0.48 0.97 8.48
0 A Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 20- 4 -15.91 1.49 0.48 0.97 1.91
0 H Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 5-13 -3.80 13.60 -0.48 0.97 -4.16
0 H Vergennes/Mt A ( 8- 9, 93.2) 20-13 -6.72 10.68 -0.48 0.97 9.91
0 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 20- 3 -10.95 6.45 -0.48 0.97 5.80
0 H Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 16- 9 -9.96 7.44 -0.48 0.97 6.77
0 A Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 18-11 -10.48 6.92 0.48 0.97 7.18
0 A Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 10-19 -1.73 15.67 0.48 0.97 -1.22
0 A St Johnsbury A (10- 6, 95.4) 10-11 -4.47 12.93 0.48 0.97 -3.88
0 H Brattleboro Un ( 3- 9, 92.7) 13-12 -7.21 10.19 -0.48 0.97 9.43
0 A Champlain Vall (15- 2, 98.9) 9-17 -1.04 16.36 0.48 0.97 -0.55
------
43.84
|
winning pts = 63.6576 losing points = -19.8224
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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