Buffalo
W-L: (11- 4) PR = 91.7010Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 A Cretin-Derham Hall (12- 4, 92.6) 8-11 414 H Monticello ( 6- 8, 82.6) 19- 2 416 H Eden Prairie ( 3-12, 87.9) 20- 4 418 H Moorhead (12- 4, 87.1) 13- 6 421 A St Cloud Area ( 7- 8, 78.2) 21- 3 424 H Becker ( 6- 7, 78.0) 19- 4 426 H Lakeville North ( 5-11, 79.5) 18- 3 501 A Minnetonka (11- 5, 93.3) 17-11 506 H Edina (12- 4, 95.3) 7-10 508 A Wayzata (12- 3, 93.7) 8-11 515 H St Michael-Albertville ( 9- 6, 89.2) 12-10 517 A Big Lake ( 1-13, 73.3) 23- 5 520 A Hopkins ( 7- 8, 86.4) 12- 8 529 H Becker ( 6- 7, 78.0) 20- 4 603 H Elk River/Zimmerman (12- 6, 90.2) 12-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 A Cretin-Derham Hall 8-11 -3 -1 -1.50
414 H Monticello 19- 2 17 10 0.00
416 H Eden Prairie 20- 4 16 4 0.58
418 H Moorhead 13- 6 7 5 0.00
421 A St Cloud Area 21- 3 18 13 0.00
424 H Becker 19- 4 15 14 0.00
426 H Lakeville North 18- 3 15 13 0.00
501 A Minnetonka 17-11 6 -2 +++ 7.23
506 H Edina 7-10 -3 -3 0.05
508 A Wayzata 8-11 -3 -3 -0.38
515 H St Michael-Albertville 12-10 2 3 -1.12
517 A Big Lake 23- 5 18 18 0.00
520 A Hopkins 12- 8 4 5 -0.72
529 H Becker 20- 4 16 14 0.00
603 H Elk River/Zimmerman 12-14 -2 2 -- -4.10
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 603 H Elk River/Zimmerman 12-14 -2 2 -- -4.10 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Minnetonka 17-11 6 -2 +++ 7.23 |
Buffalo Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andover | Buffalo | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Buffalo | |
| Anoka | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Apple Valley | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Becker | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Benilde-St Margarets | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Big Lake | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Blaine | Buffalo | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Blake School | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Buffalo | |
| Bloomington Jefferson | Bloomington Jefferson | Bloomington Jefferson | ||
| Bloomington Kennedy/Burn | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Brainerd | Buffalo | Buffalo 6- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Breck School | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Centennial | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Buffalo | |
| Champlin Park | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Chanhassen | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Chaska | Buffalo | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Chisago Lakes | Buffalo | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Buffalo | |
| Columbia Heights | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall | ||
| Delano/Rockford | Buffalo | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Buffalo | |
| Duluth Co-Op | Buffalo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Buffalo | |
| Duluth Marshall | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| East Ridge | Buffalo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Eastview/Eagan | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Eden Prairie | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Edina | Edina | Edina | ||
| Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | ||
| Farmington | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Forest Lake | Buffalo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Gentry/Mounds Park Acade | Buffalo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Buffalo | |
| Grand Rapids-Greenway | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Hastings | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Hermantown-Proctor | Buffalo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Buffalo | |
| Hill-Murray | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Holy Angels Academy | Buffalo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Holy Family Catholic | Buffalo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Hopkins | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Hutchinson | Buffalo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Buffalo | |
| Irondale | Buffalo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Lakeville North | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Lakeville South | Lakeville South | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lakeville South | |
| Mahtomedi | Buffalo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Mankato Co-Op | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Maple Grove | Maple Grove | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Maple Grove | |
| Minneapolis Co-Op | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Minnetonka | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Monticello | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Moorhead | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Mound Westonka | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Mounds View | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Buffalo | |
| New Prague | Buffalo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Buffalo | |
| Northfield | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Orono | Orono | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Orono | |
| Osseo-Park Center | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Buffalo | |
| Owatonna | Buffalo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Buffalo | |
| Park of Cottage Grove | Park of Cottage Grove | Park of Cottage Grove 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Prior Lake | Prior Lake | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Prior Lake | |
| Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Buffalo | |
| Rochester Century | Buffalo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Buffalo | |
| Rochester JM/Lourdes | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Rochester Mayo | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Rocori | Buffalo | Buffalo 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Rogers | Buffalo | Buffalo 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Rosemount | Rosemount | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Rosemount | |
| Roseville | Buffalo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Sartell-Sauk Rapids | Buffalo | Buffalo 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Shakopee | Buffalo | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Simley | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Southwest Christian | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| St Cloud Area | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| St Croix Prep | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| St Louis Park | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Buffalo | |
| St Michael-Albertville | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| St Paul Academy | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| St Paul/Two Rivers | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Stillwater | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Tartan/North St Paul | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Totino-Grace | Buffalo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Visitation | Buffalo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Buffalo | |
| Waconia | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Wayzata | Wayzata | Wayzata | ||
| White Bear Lake | Buffalo | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Buffalo | |
| Woodbury | Buffalo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Buffalo |
PowerWise = 72
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Cretin-Derham (12- 4, 92.6) 8-11 -7.29 25.77 0.59 0.98 -6.56
0 H Monticello ( 6- 8, 82.6) 19- 2 -17.26 15.80 -0.59 0.98 14.89
0 H Eden Prairie ( 3-12, 87.9) 20- 4 -12.03 21.03 -0.59 0.98 20.00
0 H Moorhead (12- 4, 87.1) 13- 6 -12.76 20.30 -0.59 0.98 19.29
0 A St Cloud Area ( 7- 8, 78.2) 21- 3 -21.69 11.37 0.59 0.98 11.71
0 H Becker ( 6- 7, 78.0) 19- 4 -21.85 11.21 -0.59 0.98 10.39
0 H Lakeville Nort ( 5-11, 79.5) 18- 3 -20.39 12.67 -0.59 0.98 11.82
0 A Minnetonka (11- 5, 93.3) 17-11 -6.56 26.50 0.59 0.98 26.52
0 H Edina (12- 4, 95.3) 7-10 -4.56 28.50 -0.59 0.98 -5.04
0 A Wayzata (12- 3, 93.7) 8-11 -6.17 26.89 0.59 0.98 -5.46
0 H St Michael-Alb ( 9- 6, 89.2) 12-10 -10.72 22.34 -0.59 0.98 21.28
0 A Big Lake ( 1-13, 73.3) 23- 5 -26.58 6.48 0.59 0.98 6.92
0 A Hopkins ( 7- 8, 86.4) 12- 8 -13.51 19.55 0.59 0.98 19.71
0 H Becker ( 6- 7, 78.0) 20- 4 -21.85 11.21 -0.59 0.98 10.39
0 H Elk River/Zimm (12- 6, 90.2) 12-14 -9.70 23.36 -0.59 0.98 -10.08
------
145.79
|
winning pts = 172.9269 losing points = -27.1383
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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