---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:45 PDT

safe3step girls Buford 1
  
Buford                
W-L: (12- 7) PR = 85.3143

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Forsyth Central ( 1-12, 74.8) 18- 2 214 A Pope (14- 7, 90.5) 6-16 218 A East Forsyth ( 9- 9, 83.5) 10- 9 220 H Hebron Christian ( 2-14, 66.5) 19- 0 225 H North Gwinnett (13- 6, 93.2) 1-18 227 A Grayson ( 4-15, 71.2) 20- 3 304 A Parkview ( 8- 8, 79.1) 15- 3 307 A Marietta (13- 7, 82.4) 7- 4 313 A Dacula ( 9- 8, 76.0) 15- 3 318 A Mountain View (10- 7, 83.0) 11-10 320 H Greater Atlanta Christ (10- 6, 85.6) 15-14 325 H Mill Creek ( 8- 8, 89.0) 5-14 327 A Wesleyan School (14- 5, 89.5) 4-13 401 A Alpharetta (11- 8, 89.0) 8-19 403 H Chattahoochee (14- 3, 89.2) 10-11 417 H Peachtree Ridge ( 8-10, 77.4) 18- 2 422 H Collins Hill ( 0-17, 62.5) 20- 0 429 H North Cobb ( 8-10, 77.7) 17- 5 501 A Lambert (12- 5, 95.2) 2-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H Forsyth Central        18- 2      16    11           0.00
   214 A Pope                    6-16     -10    -6           0.00
   218 A East Forsyth           10- 9       1     1          -0.05
   220 H Hebron Christian       19- 0      19    20           0.00
   225 H North Gwinnett          1-18     -17    -7           0.00
   227 A Grayson                20- 3      17    13           0.00
   304 A Parkview               15- 3      12     6           0.00
   307 A Marietta                7- 4       3     2           0.79
   313 A Dacula                 15- 3      12     9           0.00
   318 A Mountain View          11-10       1     2          -0.57
   320 H Greater Atlanta Christ 15-14       1     0           0.51
   325 H Mill Creek              5-14      -9    -3    -     -2.04
   327 A Wesleyan School         4-13      -9    -5          -0.06
   401 A Alpharetta              8-19     -11    -4          -0.60
   403 H Chattahoochee          10-11      -1    -3    +      2.20
   417 H Peachtree Ridge        18- 2      16     9           0.00
   422 H Collins Hill           20- 0      20    24           0.00
   429 H North Cobb             17- 5      12     8           0.00
   501 A Lambert                 2-21     -19   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Mill Creek              5-14      -9    -3    -     -2.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Chattahoochee          10-11      -1    -3    +      2.20

Buford Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allatoona Buford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Buford
Alpharetta Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Archer Buford Buford   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Blessed Trinity Blessed Trinity Blessed Trinity   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Bremen Buford   Buford
Brookwood Buford Buford   8- 0 vs 5- 3
Calvary Day Buford   Buford
Cambridge Cambridge Cambridge   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Campbell Buford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Buford
Carrollton Buford tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Buford
Centennial Buford tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Buford
Chamblee Buford Buford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Chattahoochee Chattahoochee Chattahoochee  
Cherokee Cherokee insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Cherokee
Collins Hill Buford Buford  
Columbus Buford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Buford
Creekview Creekview Creekview   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Dacula Buford Buford  
Dalton Buford Buford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Darlington Buford   Buford
Decatur Buford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Buford
Denmark Denmark tied - ( 6- 3) ( 6- 3) Denmark
Druid Hills Buford   Buford
Duluth Buford Buford   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Dunwoody Buford insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Buford
Dutchtown Buford   Buford
Eagles Landing Buford   Buford
Eagles Landing Christian Buford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Buford
East Coweta Buford   Buford
East Forsyth Buford Buford  
East Paulding Buford Buford   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Effingham County Buford   Buford
Etowah Buford Buford   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Evans Buford   Buford
Fayette County Buford   Buford
Fellowship Christian Fellowship Christian insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Fellowship Christian
Forsyth Central Buford Buford  
Gainesville Buford insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Buford
George Walton Academy Buford insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Buford
Grayson Buford Buford  
Greater Atlanta Christia Buford Buford  
Greenbrier Buford   Buford
Grovetown Buford   Buford
Hampton Buford   Buford
Harrison Harrison tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Harrison
Hebron Christian Buford Buford  
Hillgrove Hillgrove insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Hillgrove
Holy Innocents Buford   Buford
Jackson County Buford Buford   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Johns Creek Johns Creek Johns Creek   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Kell Buford   Buford
Kennesaw Mountain Buford Buford   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Kings Ridge Christian Buford insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Buford
Lakeside DeKalb Buford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Buford
Lakeside Evans Buford   Buford
Lambert Lambert Lambert  
Lanier Buford Buford   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Lassiter Lassiter Lassiter   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lovett Buford insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Buford
Marietta Buford Buford  
Marist Buford Buford   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Maynard Jackson Buford   Buford
McDonough Buford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Buford
McEachern Buford insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Buford
McIntosh Buford   Buford
Midtown Buford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Buford
Mill Creek Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Milton Milton Milton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mount Bethel Christian Buford insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Buford
Mount Paran Christian Mount Paran Christian tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Mount Paran Christian
Mount Pisgah Christian Buford Buford   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Mountain View Buford Buford  
Newnan Buford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Buford
Norcross Buford Buford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Atlanta Buford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Buford
North Cobb Buford Buford  
North Cobb Christian Buford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Buford
North Forsyth Buford insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 5) Buford
North Gwinnett North Gwinnett North Gwinnett  
North Oconee Buford tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Buford
North Paulding North Paulding tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) North Paulding
North Springs Buford   Buford
Northgate Buford   Buford
Northview Buford insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Buford
Oconee County Buford tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Buford
Ola Buford   Buford
Pace Academy Buford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Buford
Parkview Buford Buford  
Peachtree Ridge Buford Buford  
Pinecrest Academy Buford   Buford
Pope Pope Pope  
Richmond Hill Buford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Buford
River Ridge Buford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Buford
Riverwood Buford Buford   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Roswell Roswell insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Roswell
Savannah Christian Buford   Buford
Seckinger Buford Buford   7- 0 vs 3- 4
Sequoyah Buford insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Buford
South Effingham Buford   Buford
South Forsyth South Forsyth insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) South Forsyth
Southwest DeKalb Buford   Buford
Sprayberry Buford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Buford
St Pius X Buford insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Buford
St Vincents Buford   Buford
Starrs Mill Starrs Mill insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Starrs Mill
Stratford Academy Buford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Buford
Strong Rock Christian Buford   Buford
Trinity Christian Buford   Buford
Union Grove Buford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Buford
Walker School Buford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Buford
Walton Walton Walton   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Wesleyan School Wesleyan School Wesleyan School  
West Forsyth West Forsyth West Forsyth   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Westminster School Buford tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Buford
Wheeler Buford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Buford
Whitewater Buford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Buford
Woodland Buford   Buford
Woodstock Buford tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Buford
Woodward Academy Buford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Buford

PowerWise = 94


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.75

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Forsyth Centra  ( 1-12, 74.8)    18- 2      -25.13      19.28      -0.72         0.78            14.40
   0 A Pope            (14- 7, 90.5)     6-16       -9.43      34.98       0.72         0.78            -6.76
   0 A East Forsyth    ( 9- 9, 83.5)    10- 9      -16.36      28.05       0.72         0.78            22.34
   0 H Hebron Christi  ( 2-14, 66.5)    19- 0      -33.45      10.96      -0.72         0.78             7.95
   0 H North Gwinnett  (13- 6, 93.2)     1-18       -6.66      37.75      -0.72         0.78            -5.74
   0 A Grayson         ( 4-15, 71.2)    20- 3      -28.67      15.74       0.72         0.78            12.78
   0 A Parkview        ( 8- 8, 79.1)    15- 3      -20.84      23.57       0.72         0.78            18.86
   0 A Marietta        (13- 7, 82.4)     7- 4      -17.52      26.89       0.72         0.78            21.43
   0 A Dacula          ( 9- 8, 76.0)    15- 3      -23.89      20.52       0.72         0.78            16.49
   0 A Mountain View   (10- 7, 83.0)    11-10      -16.88      27.53       0.72         0.78            21.94
   0 H Greater Atlant  (10- 6, 85.6)    15-14      -14.35      30.06      -0.72         0.78            22.77
   0 H Mill Creek      ( 8- 8, 89.0)     5-14      -10.90      33.51      -0.72         0.78            -9.03
   0 A Wesleyan Schoo  (14- 5, 89.5)     4-13      -10.37      34.04       0.72         0.78            -7.49
   0 A Alpharetta      (11- 8, 89.0)     8-19      -10.91      33.50       0.72         0.78            -7.91
   0 H Chattahoochee   (14- 3, 89.2)    10-11      -10.66      33.75      -0.72         0.78            -8.84
   0 H Peachtree Ridg  ( 8-10, 77.4)    18- 2      -22.47      21.94      -0.72         0.78            16.47
   0 H Collins Hill    ( 0-17, 62.5)    20- 0      -37.40       7.01      -0.72         0.78             4.88
   0 H North Cobb      ( 8-10, 77.7)    17- 5      -22.23      22.18      -0.72         0.78            16.65
   0 A Lambert         (12- 5, 95.2)     2-21       -4.66      39.75       0.72         0.78            -3.06
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       148.16

winning pts = 196.9702 losing points = -48.8088

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------