---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Bryan Station 1
  
Bryan Station         
W-L: ( 7-10) PR = 79.6103

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Woodford County ( 5- 9, 79.9) 7-10 306 H Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 2-12 312 A Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 82.3) 4-10 314 A Tates Creek ( 1-12, 75.9) 11- 4 317 H Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 1- 6 321 H Scott County ( 1-10, 76.0) 18- 3 327 A Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 7-13 415 A Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 1-18 417 A Scott County ( 1-10, 76.0) 15- 3 421 H Paul Laurence Dunbar (14- 5, 84.7) 4-16 422 A Great Crossing ( 3-11, 76.3) 12- 4 425 H Lafayette ( 6- 9, 80.5) 8- 7 501 A Frederick Douglass ( 8- 9, 80.4) 9-16 503 A Lafayette ( 6- 9, 80.5) 4- 8 505 H Woodford County ( 5- 9, 79.9) 13- 9 508 N Scott County ( 1-10, 76.0) 15- 5 510 N Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 3-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Woodford County         7-10      -3    -1          -1.88
   306 H Henry Clay              2-12     -10    -6           0.00
   312 A Lexington Catholic      4-10      -6    -3          -1.54
   314 A Tates Creek            11- 4       7     3    +      2.14
   317 H Collins                 1- 6      -5    -2    -     -2.57
   321 H Scott County           18- 3      15     4           0.54
   327 A Collins                 7-13      -6    -4          -0.92
   415 A Sayre School            1-18     -17   -11           0.00
   417 A Scott County           15- 3      12     3    +      2.19
   421 H Paul Laurence Dunbar    4-16     -12    -4          -0.72
   422 A Great Crossing         12- 4       8     2    +      2.56
   425 H Lafayette               8- 7       1     0           1.05
   501 A Frederick Douglass      9-16      -7    -2    -     -3.39
   503 A Lafayette               4- 8      -4    -2    -     -2.31
   505 H Woodford County        13- 9       4     1    +      3.48
   508 N Scott County           15- 5      10     4           1.36
   510 N Sayre School            3-16     -13   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Collins                 1- 6      -5    -2    -     -2.57
   501 A Frederick Douglass      9-16      -7    -2    -     -3.39
   503 A Lafayette               4- 8      -4    -2    -     -2.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Tates Creek            11- 4       7     3    +      2.14
   417 A Scott County           15- 3      12     3    +      2.19
   422 A Great Crossing         12- 4       8     2    +      2.56
   505 H Woodford County        13- 9       4     1    +      3.48

Bryan Station Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Anderson County   Anderson County
Assumption Assumption insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Assumption
Atherton Atherton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Atherton
Ballard Ballard insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Ballard
Bowling Green Bowling Green   Bowling Green
Central Hardin Bryan Station tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Bryan Station
Christian Academy Christian Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Christian Academy
Collins Collins Collins  
Cooper Cooper insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 4) Cooper
Dixie Heights Bryan Station tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bryan Station
DuPont Manual DuPont Manual tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) DuPont Manual
Eastern Eastern Eastern   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fern Creek Fern Creek   Fern Creek
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass  
Great Crossing Bryan Station Bryan Station  
Greenwood Bryan Station   Bryan Station
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lafayette Lafayette insuffient: ( 4- 6)( 3- 6) Lafayette
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian   7- 2 vs 5- 6
Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Male Bryan Station   Bryan Station
Mercy Academy Mercy Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mercy Academy
North Oldham North Oldham tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) North Oldham
Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Oldham County Oldham County insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Oldham County
Owensboro Bryan Station   Bryan Station
Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar  
Presentation Academy Presentation Academy   Presentation Academy
Ryle Bryan Station tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Bryan Station
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Sayre School Sayre School Sayre School  
Scott County Bryan Station Bryan Station  
Shelby County Shelby County insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) Shelby County
South Oldham South Oldham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Oldham
South Warren Bryan Station insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Bryan Station
St Henry St Henry   St Henry
Tates Creek Bryan Station Bryan Station  
Woodford County Woodford County tied - ( 3- 6) ( 3- 5) Woodford County

PowerWise = 10


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Woodford Count  ( 5- 9, 79.9)     7-10      -19.99       8.31       0.82         0.80           -15.34
   0 H Henry Clay      (14- 6, 86.8)     2-12      -13.07      15.23      -0.82         0.80           -11.12
   0 A Lexington Cath  (10- 9, 82.3)     4-10      -17.65      10.65       0.82         0.80           -13.47
   0 A Tates Creek     ( 1-12, 75.9)    11- 4      -23.98       4.32       0.82         0.80             4.12
   0 H Collins         (12- 7, 82.9)     1- 6      -17.04      11.26      -0.82         0.80           -14.30
   0 H Scott County    ( 1-10, 76.0)    18- 3      -23.93       4.37      -0.82         0.80             2.84
   0 A Collins         (12- 7, 82.9)     7-13      -17.04      11.26       0.82         0.80           -12.98
   0 A Sayre School    (17- 5, 89.7)     1-18      -10.19      18.11       0.82         0.80            -7.50
   0 A Scott County    ( 1-10, 76.0)    15- 3      -23.93       4.37       0.82         0.80             4.16
   0 H Paul Laurence   (14- 5, 84.7)     4-16      -15.19      13.10      -0.82         0.80           -12.82
   0 A Great Crossing  ( 3-11, 76.3)    12- 4      -23.56       4.74       0.82         0.80             4.45
   0 H Lafayette       ( 6- 9, 80.5)     8- 7      -19.42       8.87      -0.82         0.80             6.45
   0 A Frederick Doug  ( 8- 9, 80.4)     9-16      -19.50       8.79       0.82         0.80           -14.95
   0 A Lafayette       ( 6- 9, 80.5)     4- 8      -19.42       8.87       0.82         0.80           -14.89
   0 H Woodford Count  ( 5- 9, 79.9)    13- 9      -19.99       8.31      -0.82         0.80             5.99
   0 N Scott County    ( 1-10, 76.0)    15- 5      -23.93       4.37      -0.00         0.80             3.50
   0 N Sayre School    (17- 5, 89.7)     3-16      -10.19      18.11      -0.00         0.80            -8.16
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -94.03

winning pts = 31.4963 losing points = -125.5311

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------