safe3step girls Broadneck 1

  
Broadneck             
W-L: (14- 2)  PR =    93.7820
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 321 H North County                         ( 4- 9, 82.0)    18- 4   
 325 H Glenelg HS                           (16- 4, 93.6)    13- 7   
 328 A Chesapeake AA                        ( 9- 4, 87.1)    18- 6   
 401 A Mount Hebron                         ( 5-10, 89.3)    14- 4   
 404 A South River                          (10- 4, 92.1)     6- 5   
 405 A St Marys                             ( 9- 8, 94.8)    10-14   
 411 H Severna Park                         (18- 2, 95.0)     7- 8   
 423 H Southern                             ( 7- 9, 85.9)    14- 5   
 425 H Crofton                              ( 7- 8, 87.2)    14- 3   
 429 A Arundel                              ( 6- 7, 87.5)    14- 7   
 502 A Old Mill                             ( 3-10, 76.2)    17- 1   
 508 A Bowie                                ( 9- 4, 72.6)    21- 2   
 512 A Leonardtown                          (12- 3, 89.4)    14- 3   
 514 H Richard Montgomery                   ( 9- 6, 75.7)    18- 4   
 517 A Quince Orchard                       (14- 3, 86.4)    19-14   
 522 A Urbana                               (12- 5, 90.2)     8- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H North County           18- 4      14    12           0.00
   325 H Glenelg HS             13- 7       6     1    ++     4.40
   328 A Chesapeake AA          18- 6      12     6           0.00
   401 A Mount Hebron           14- 4      10     4           0.94
   404 A South River             6- 5       1     1          -0.26
   405 A St Marys               10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.52
   411 H Severna Park            7- 8      -1    -1          -0.26
   423 H Southern               14- 5       9     8           0.00
   425 H Crofton                14- 3      11     7           0.00
   429 A Arundel                14- 7       7     6           0.00
   502 A Old Mill               17- 1      16    17           0.00
   508 A Bowie                  21- 2      19    21           0.00
   512 A Leonardtown            14- 3      11     4           1.04
   514 H Richard Montgomery     18- 4      14    19           0.00
   517 A Quince Orchard         19-14       5     7           0.00
   522 A Urbana                  8- 6       2     3          -1.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A St Marys               10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Glenelg HS             13- 7       6     1    ++     4.40

Broadneck Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Annapolis Area Christian	Broadneck			Broadneck
Anne Arundel County	Broadneck			Broadneck
Archbishop Spalding	Archbishop Spalding		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)	Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh	Broadneck			Broadneck
Bishop McNamara	Broadneck		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Broadneck
Brookewood SG	Broadneck			Broadneck
Bryn Mawr SG	Bryn Mawr SG		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School	Broadneck			Broadneck
Calverton School	Broadneck			Broadneck
Catholic High Baltimore	Broadneck			Broadneck
Chapelgate Christian	Broadneck			Broadneck
Concordia Prep	Broadneck			Broadneck
Cristo Rey Jesuit	Broadneck			Broadneck
DC International	Broadneck			Broadneck
EL Haynes Charter	Broadneck			Broadneck
Elizabeth Seton	Broadneck			Broadneck
FCA	Broadneck			Broadneck
Field School	Broadneck			Broadneck
Friends School	Broadneck			Broadneck
Garrison Forest	Broadneck		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Georgetown Day School	Broadneck			Broadneck
Georgetown Visitation	Broadneck			Broadneck
Gerstell Academy	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Glenelg Country School	Broadneck		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Good Counsel	Good Counsel			Good Counsel
Gunston Day School	Broadneck			Broadneck
Holton-Arms School	Broadneck			Broadneck
Holy Child	Broadneck			Broadneck
Holy Cross	Broadneck			Broadneck
Indian Creek	Broadneck			Broadneck
Jackson-Reed	Broadneck			Broadneck
Jemicy	Broadneck			Broadneck
John Carroll	John Carroll		insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)	John Carroll
Key School	Broadneck			Broadneck
KIPP College Prep	Broadneck			Broadneck
Maret School	Broadneck			Broadneck
Maryvale Prep	Maryvale Prep		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School	McDonogh School		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	McDonogh School
Mercy	Broadneck			Broadneck
Mount de Sales	Broadneck		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Broadneck
National Cathedral	Broadneck			Broadneck
Notre Dame Prep	Notre Dame Prep		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)	Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School	Broadneck			Broadneck
Park School	Broadneck			Broadneck
Rockbridge Academy	Broadneck			Broadneck
Roland Park Country	Roland Park Country		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Roland Park Country
Salisbury School	Broadneck			Broadneck
Sandy Spring Friends	Broadneck			Broadneck
School Without Walls	Broadneck			Broadneck
Severn School	Severn School		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Severn School
Sidwell Friends	Broadneck			Broadneck
St Andrews Episcopal	Broadneck			Broadneck
St James School	Broadneck			Broadneck
St Johns Catholic Prep	Broadneck			Broadneck
St Johns College	Broadneck			Broadneck
St Marys	St Marys	St Marys
St Marys Ryken	Broadneck			Broadneck
St Pauls SG	St Pauls SG		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	St Pauls SG
St Timothys	Broadneck			Broadneck
St Vincent Pallotti	Broadneck			Broadneck
Stone Ridge School	Stone Ridge School		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul	Broadneck		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Tome School	Broadneck			Broadneck
Washington Latin	Broadneck			Broadneck
Worcester Prep	Broadneck			Broadneck
Aberdeen	Broadneck			Broadneck
Academy for College & Ca	Broadneck			Broadneck
Annapolis	Broadneck		Broadneck 6- 1 vs 1- 6
Arundel	Broadneck	Broadneck
Atholton	Broadneck		Broadneck 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Baltimore Polytechnic	Broadneck			Broadneck
Bel Air	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Bethesda-Chevy Chase	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Bladensburg	Broadneck		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Broadneck
Blair	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Blake	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Bohemia Manor	Broadneck			Broadneck
Boonsboro	Broadneck			Broadneck
Bowie	Broadneck	Broadneck
Brunswick	Broadneck			Broadneck
Calvert	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Cambridge SD	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Carver A&T	Broadneck			Broadneck
Catoctin	Broadneck			Broadneck
Catonsville	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Centennial	Broadneck		Broadneck 4- 0 vs 2- 2
Central PG	Broadneck			Broadneck
Century	Broadneck		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Broadneck
CH Flowers	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Chesapeake AA	Broadneck	Broadneck
Chesapeake BC	Broadneck			Broadneck
Chopticon	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
City College	Broadneck			Broadneck
Clarksburg	Broadneck		Broadneck 3- 0 vs 0- 3
CM Wright	Broadneck		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Broadneck
CMIT North	Broadneck			Broadneck
Crofton	Broadneck	Broadneck
Damascus	Broadneck		Broadneck 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Dr Henry Wise	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Dulaney	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Broadneck
Dundalk	Broadneck			Broadneck
DuVal	Broadneck			Broadneck
Eastern Technical	Broadneck			Broadneck
Easton	Broadneck			Broadneck
Edgewood	Broadneck			Broadneck
Einstein	Broadneck			Broadneck
Eleanor Roosevelt	Broadneck		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Broadneck
Elkton	Broadneck			Broadneck
Fairmont Heights	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Fallston	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Francis Scott Key	Broadneck			Broadneck
Franklin	Broadneck			Broadneck
Frederick	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Frederick Douglass PG	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Gaithersburg	Broadneck		Broadneck 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Glen Burnie	Broadneck		Broadneck 5- 0 vs 0- 5
Glenelg HS	Broadneck	Broadneck
Gov Thomas Johnson	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Great Mills	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Guilford Park	Broadneck			Broadneck
Gwynn Park	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Hammond	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Harford Tech	Broadneck			Broadneck
Havre De Grace	Broadneck			Broadneck
Hereford	Broadneck			Broadneck
Howard	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1)	Broadneck
Huntingtown	Broadneck		Broadneck 2- 0 vs 0- 2
JM Bennett	Broadneck			Broadneck
Kennedy	Broadneck			Broadneck
Kent County	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Kent Island	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Kenwood	Broadneck			Broadneck
La Plata	Broadneck			Broadneck
Lackey	Broadneck			Broadneck
Lansdowne	Broadneck			Broadneck
Laurel	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Leonardtown	Broadneck	Broadneck
Liberty	Broadneck		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Broadneck
Linganore	Broadneck		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Loch Raven	Broadneck			Broadneck
Long Reach	Broadneck		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Broadneck
Magruder	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0)	Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2)	Broadneck
Meade	Broadneck		Broadneck 4- 0 vs 0- 4
Middletown	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Milford Mill	Broadneck			Broadneck
MJ McDonough	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Mount Hebron	Broadneck	Broadneck
New Town	Broadneck			Broadneck
North Caroline	Broadneck			Broadneck
North County	Broadneck	Broadneck
North Dorchester	Broadneck			Broadneck
North East Cecil	Broadneck			Broadneck
North Hagerstown	Broadneck			Broadneck
North Harford	Broadneck			Broadneck
North Point	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Northeast	Broadneck		Broadneck 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Northern Calvert	Broadneck		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Broadneck
Northwest	Broadneck		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Broadneck
Northwestern PG	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Northwood	Broadneck			Broadneck
Oakdale	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Oakland Mills	Broadneck			Broadneck
Old Mill	Broadneck	Broadneck
Overlea	Broadneck			Broadneck
Owings Mills	Broadneck			Broadneck
Oxon Hill	Broadneck		Broadneck 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Paint Branch	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Parkdale	Broadneck			Broadneck
Parkside	Broadneck			Broadneck
Parkville	Broadneck			Broadneck
Patapsco	Broadneck			Broadneck
Patterson Mill	Broadneck			Broadneck
Patuxent	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Perry Hall	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Perryville	Broadneck			Broadneck
Pikesville	Broadneck			Broadneck
Poolesville	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Queen Annes County	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0)	Broadneck
Quince Orchard	Broadneck	Broadneck
Randallstown	Broadneck			Broadneck
Randallstown	Broadneck			Broadneck
Reservoir	Broadneck		Broadneck 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Richard Montgomery	Broadneck	Broadneck
Rising Sun	Broadneck			Broadneck
River Hill	Broadneck		Broadneck 4- 0 vs 2- 2
Rockville	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Seneca Valley	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Severn Run	Broadneck		Broadneck 3- 1 vs 1- 3
Severna Park	Severna Park	Severna Park
Sherwood	Broadneck		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Broadneck
Smithsburg	Broadneck			Broadneck
South Carroll	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	Broadneck
South Hagerstown	Broadneck			Broadneck
South River	Broadneck	Broadneck
Southern	Broadneck	Broadneck
Sparrows Point	Broadneck			Broadneck
Springbrook	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
St Charles	Broadneck			Broadneck
Stephen Decatur	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Suitland	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Thomas Stone	Broadneck			Broadneck
Towson	Broadneck		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	Broadneck
Tuscarora	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Urbana	Broadneck	Broadneck
Walkersville	Broadneck			Broadneck
Walter Johnson	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Broadneck
Watkins Mill	Broadneck			Broadneck
Western Baltimore	Broadneck			Broadneck
Western STES	Broadneck			Broadneck
Westlake	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Westminster	Broadneck		Broadneck 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Wheaton	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Whitman	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Broadneck
Wicomico	Broadneck			Broadneck
Wilde Lake	Broadneck		Broadneck 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Winston Churchill	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Broadneck
Winters Mill	Broadneck			Broadneck
Woodlawn	Broadneck			Broadneck
Wootton	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Broadneck

PowerWise = 207

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H North County    ( 4- 9, 82.0)    18- 4      -17.88      20.04      -0.45         0.75            14.65
   0 H Glenelg HS      (16- 4, 93.6)    13- 7       -6.27      31.65      -0.45         0.75            23.33
   0 A Chesapeake AA   ( 9- 4, 87.1)    18- 6      -12.79      25.13       0.45         0.75            19.13
   0 A Mount Hebron    ( 5-10, 89.3)    14- 4      -10.62      27.30       0.45         0.75            20.75
   0 A South River     (10- 4, 92.1)     6- 5       -7.83      30.09       0.45         0.75            22.84
   0 A St Marys        ( 9- 8, 94.8)    10-14       -5.09      32.83       0.45         0.75            -3.47
   0 H Severna Park    (18- 2, 95.0)     7- 8       -4.93      32.99      -0.45         0.75            -4.02
   0 H Southern        ( 7- 9, 85.9)    14- 5      -13.98      23.94      -0.45         0.75            17.56
   0 H Crofton         ( 7- 8, 87.2)    14- 3      -12.70      25.22      -0.45         0.75            18.52
   0 A Arundel         ( 6- 7, 87.5)    14- 7      -12.41      25.51       0.45         0.75            19.41
   0 A Old Mill        ( 3-10, 76.2)    17- 1      -23.70      14.22       0.45         0.75            10.97
   0 A Bowie           ( 9- 4, 72.6)    21- 2      -27.33      10.59       0.45         0.75             8.25
   0 A Leonardtown     (12- 3, 89.4)    14- 3      -10.52      27.40       0.45         0.75            20.82
   0 H Richard Montgo  ( 9- 6, 75.7)    18- 4      -24.21      13.71      -0.45         0.75             9.91
   0 A Quince Orchard  (14- 3, 86.4)    19-14      -13.48      24.44       0.45         0.75            18.61
   0 A Urbana          (12- 5, 90.2)     8- 6       -9.68      28.24       0.45         0.75            21.45
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       238.72

winning pts = 246.2132 losing points = -7.4940

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------