---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:53 PDT

safe3step girls Bernards 1
  
Bernards              
W-L: (13- 8) PR = 94.3299

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Ridge ( 8-11, 88.7) 19- 6 403 A Hillsborough ( 8-12, 90.7) 8- 4 408 H Montgomery (14- 8, 90.3) 14-10 410 A North Hunterdon ( 6-11, 89.7) 15- 8 415 A Phillipsburg ( 2-15, 83.0) 14- 2 417 H Mount St Mary (14- 9, 91.9) 8- 9 419 A West Morris Mendham (15- 7, 97.2) 5- 9 422 A Pingry School (22- 2, 98.5) 6- 8 424 H Voorhees (10-11, 91.3) 15-10 426 H Somerville (13- 8, 87.9) 15-10 501 A Bridgewater-Raritan (15- 6, 96.2) 13-16 505 H Randolph ( 4-15, 90.5) 11- 4 507 H Watchung Hills ( 3-16, 86.7) 19- 9 513 H Hillsborough ( 8-12, 90.7) 16- 8 515 A Pingry School (22- 2, 98.5) 8-13 517 A West Morris Central (14- 8, 92.8) 14-11 519 A Hunterdon Central (19- 3, 98.2) 8-12 527 H Westfield (18- 4, 98.9) 8-13 529 H Gateway Regional (16- 3, 83.3) 17- 5 602 H Delaware Valley (19- 2, 91.0) 17- 4 605 A Haddonfield (17- 4, 96.5) 6-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Ridge                  19- 6      13     6           0.00
   403 A Hillsborough            8- 4       4     3           1.21
   408 H Montgomery             14-10       4     5          -0.81
   410 A North Hunterdon        15- 8       7     4           1.12
   415 A Phillipsburg           14- 2      12    11           0.00
   417 H Mount St Mary           8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.18
   419 A West Morris Mendham     5- 9      -4    -4          -0.36
   422 A Pingry School           6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.00
   424 H Voorhees               15-10       5     4           1.17
   426 H Somerville             15-10       5     7           0.00
   501 A Bridgewater-Raritan    13-16      -3    -3          -0.37
   505 H Randolph               11- 4       7     5           0.41
   507 H Watchung Hills         19- 9      10     8           0.00
   513 H Hillsborough           16- 8       8     4           0.61
   515 A Pingry School           8-13      -5    -5           0.00
   517 A West Morris Central    14-11       3     1    +      2.23
   519 A Hunterdon Central       8-12      -4    -5           0.63
   527 H Westfield               8-13      -5    -4          -1.24
   529 H Gateway Regional       17- 5      12    12           0.00
   602 H Delaware Valley        17- 4      13     4           0.88
   605 A Haddonfield             6-16     -10    -3    -     -2.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Mount St Mary           8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.18
   605 A Haddonfield             6-16     -10    -3    -     -2.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Pingry School           6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.00
   517 A West Morris Central    14-11       3     1    +      2.23

Bernards Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Absegami Bernards   Bernards
Allentown Allentown tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Allentown
Arthur L Johnson Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Atlantic City Bernards   Bernards
Barnegat Township Bernards   Bernards
Bergen Tech Bernards   Bernards
Bishop Eustace Prep Bernards tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) Bernards
Blair Academy Bernards tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bernards
Boonton Bernards   Bernards
Brick Memorial Bernards   Bernards
Brick Township Bernards   Bernards
Bridgewater-Raritan Bridgewater-Raritan Bridgewater-Raritan  
Burlington City Bernards   Bernards
Camden Catholic Bernards   Bernards
Cedar Creek Bernards tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bernards
Cedar Grove Bernards   Bernards
Central Regional Bernards   Bernards
Chatham Chatham Chatham   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cherokee Bernards tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Bernards
Cherry Hill East Bernards   Bernards
Cherry Hill West Cherry Hill West tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Cherry Hill West
Cinnaminson Bernards   Bernards
Clearview Regional Bernards tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Bernards
Clifton Bernards   Bernards
Collingswood Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Colts Neck Bernards   Bernards
Columbia Bernards tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bernards
Cranford Bernards Bernards   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Delaware Valley Bernards Bernards  
Delran Bernards   Bernards
DePaul Catholic Bernards   Bernards
Donovan Catholic Bernards   Bernards
Dwight-Englewood Bernards   Bernards
East Brunswick Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bernards
East Side Newark Bernards   Bernards
Eastern Regional Bernards   Bernards
Edison Bernards   Bernards
Egg Harbor Twp Bernards   Bernards
Ewing Township Bernards   Bernards
Fair Lawn Bernards   Bernards
Freehold Township Bernards   Bernards
Gateway Regional Bernards Bernards  
Gill St Bernards Bernards Bernards   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Glen Ridge Glen Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Glen Ridge
Glen Rock Bernards tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bernards
Gloucester Catholic Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Governor Livingston Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Hackettstown Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Haddon Heights Bernards   Bernards
Haddon Township Bernards   Bernards
Haddonfield Haddonfield Haddonfield  
Hamilton East-Steinert Bernards   Bernards
Hamilton North-Nottingha Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Hamilton West Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Hammonton Bernards   Bernards
High Point Regional Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Highland Regional Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Hightstown Bernards   Bernards
Hillsborough Bernards Bernards  
Hoboken Bernards tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bernards
Holmdel Bernards   Bernards
Holy Angels Academy Bernards   Bernards
Holy Cross Bernards   Bernards
Holy Spirit Bernards   Bernards
Hopewell Valley Bernards Bernards   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Howell Bernards   Bernards
Hun School Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bernards
Hunterdon Central Hunterdon Central Hunterdon Central  
Immaculata Bernards Bernards   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Immaculate Heart Bernards tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bernards
Indian Hills Bernards   Bernards
Irvington Bernards   Bernards
Jackson Liberty Bernards   Bernards
Jackson Memorial Bernards   Bernards
James Caldwell Bernards   Bernards
Jefferson Township Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Jonathan Dayton Bernards   Bernards
JP Stevens Bernards   Bernards
Kent Place Kent Place Kent Place   3- 1 vs 1- 4
Kingsway Bernards tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Bernards
Kinnelon Bernards Bernards   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kittatinny Regional Bernards   Bernards
Lacey Township Bernards   Bernards
Lakeland Regional Bernards   Bernards
Lawrence Bernards   Bernards
Lawrenceville School Bernards tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bernards
Lenape Bernards   Bernards
Lenape Valley Bernards tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Bernards
Livingston Bernards   Bernards
Long Branch Bernards   Bernards
Lower Cape May Bernards   Bernards
Madison Madison tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Madison
Mahwah Bernards   Bernards
Mainland Regional Bernards   Bernards
Manalapan Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Manasquan Bernards tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Bernards
Manchester Township Bernards   Bernards
Maple Shade Bernards   Bernards
Marlboro Bernards   Bernards
Mary Help of Christians Bernards   Bernards
Mercersburg Academy Bernards   Bernards
Middle Township Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Middletown North Bernards   Bernards
Middletown South Bernards   Bernards
Millburn Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Millville Bernards   Bernards
Monmouth Regional Bernards   Bernards
Monroe Township Bernards   Bernards
Montclair HS Bernards tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Bernards
Montclair Kimberley Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bernards
Montgomery Bernards Bernards  
Montville Township Bernards insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Bernards
Moorestown Moorestown Moorestown   2- 0 vs 0- 1
Moorestown Friends Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Morris Catholic Bernards   Bernards
Morris Hills Bernards   Bernards
Morris Knolls Morris Knolls insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Morris Knolls
Morristown Morristown insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Morristown
Morristown-Beard Bernards tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bernards
Mount Olive Bernards insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Bernards
Mount St Dominic Academy Bernards   Bernards
Mount St Mary Mount St Mary Mount St Mary  
Mountain Lakes Mountain Lakes tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Mountain Lakes
Neptune Bernards   Bernards
New Egypt Bernards tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Bernards
New Providence Bernards insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 3) Bernards
Newark Academy Bernards   Bernards
North Brunswick Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
North Hunterdon Bernards Bernards  
North Warren Bernards   Bernards
Northern Burlington Bernards   Bernards
Northern Highlands Bernards tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bernards
Notre Dame Bernards tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Bernards
NV-Demarest Bernards   Bernards
NV-Old Tappan Bernards   Bernards
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Oak Knoll School
Oakcrest Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Ocean City Bernards tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Bernards
Ocean Township Bernards   Bernards
Old Bridge Bernards tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bernards
Our Lady of Mercy Bernards   Bernards
Paramus Catholic Bernards   Bernards
Paramus HS Bernards   Bernards
Park Regional Bernards   Bernards
Park Ridge-Emerson Bernards   Bernards
Parsippany Bernards   Bernards
Parsippany Hills Bernards   Bernards
Pascack Hills Bernards   Bernards
Pascack Valley Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Passaic County Tech Bernards   Bernards
Passaic Valley Bernards   Bernards
Paul VI Bernards   Bernards
Peddie School Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Pennington School Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Pennsauken Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Pequannock Township Bernards   Bernards
Phillipsburg Bernards Bernards  
Pinelands Regional Bernards   Bernards
Pingry School Pingry School Pingry School  
Point Pleasant Beach Bernards   Bernards
Point Pleasant Boro Bernards   Bernards
Pompton Lakes Bernards   Bernards
Pope John XXIII Bernards   Bernards
Princeton Day School Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Princeton HS Bernards insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Bernards
Ramapo Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Ramsey Bernards   Bernards
Rancocas Valley Bernards   Bernards
Randolph Bernards Bernards  
Ranney School Bernards   Bernards
Red Bank Catholic Bernards tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Bernards
Red Bank Regional Bernards insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bernards
Ridge Bernards Bernards  
Ridgewood Ridgewood Ridgewood   3- 1 vs 1- 4
River Dell Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Robbinsville Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Roxbury Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bernards
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Rutgers Prep Bernards Bernards   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Rutherford Bernards   Bernards
Saddle Brook/Garfield Bernards   Bernards
Saddle River Day School Bernards   Bernards
Sayreville Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Scotch Plains-Fanwood Bernards Bernards   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Seneca Bernards   Bernards
Shawnee Shawnee tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Shawnee
Shore Regional Bernards tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bernards
Somerville Bernards Bernards  
South Brunswick Bernards   Bernards
South Plainfield Bernards   Bernards
Southern Regional Bernards tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Bernards
Sparta Sparta insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 4- 2) Sparta
St Elizabeth Academy Bernards   Bernards
St John Vianney Bernards tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bernards
St Joseph Hammonton Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
St Rose Belmar Bernards   Bernards
St Thomas Aquinas Bernards   Bernards
Sterling Bernards   Bernards
Stuart CDS Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bernards
Summit Summit Summit   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Tenafly Bernards   Bernards
Timber Creek Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Toms River East Bernards   Bernards
Toms River North Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Toms River South Bernards   Bernards
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Trinity Hall
Triton Regional Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bernards
Union Catholic Bernards   Bernards
Vernon Township Bernards Bernards   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Verona Bernards   Bernards
Villa Walsh Academy Bernards   Bernards
Voorhees Bernards Bernards  
Waldwick Bernards   Bernards
Wall Township Bernards   Bernards
Warren Hills Bernards Bernards   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Washington Township Bernards   Bernards
Watchung Hills Bernards Bernards  
Wayne Hills Bernards   Bernards
Wayne Valley Bernards   Bernards
West Deptford Bernards tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Bernards
West Essex Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Bernards
West Milford Bernards   Bernards
West Morris Central Bernards Bernards  
West Morris Mendham West Morris Mendham West Morris Mendham  
West Orange Bernards   Bernards
West Windsor-PB North Bernards   Bernards
West Windsor-PB South Bernards   Bernards
Westfield Westfield Westfield  
Westwood Bernards   Bernards
Wilberforce Bernards   Bernards
Williamstown Bernards   Bernards
Winslow Bernards   Bernards
Woodstown Bernards tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Bernards

PowerWise = 209


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.07

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Ridge           ( 8-11, 88.7)    19- 6      -11.16      24.55      -0.80         0.86            20.44
   0 A Hillsborough    ( 8-12, 90.7)     8- 4       -9.16      26.55       0.80         0.86            23.53
   0 H Montgomery      (14- 8, 90.3)    14-10       -9.58      26.14      -0.80         0.86            21.80
   0 A North Hunterdo  ( 6-11, 89.7)    15- 8      -10.25      25.47       0.80         0.86            22.60
   0 A Phillipsburg    ( 2-15, 83.0)    14- 2      -16.91      18.81       0.80         0.86            16.87
   0 H Mount St Mary   (14- 9, 91.9)     8- 9       -7.95      27.77      -0.80         0.86            -7.53
   0 A West Morris Me  (15- 7, 97.2)     5- 9       -2.73      32.99       0.80         0.86            -1.66
   0 A Pingry School   (22- 2, 98.5)     6- 8       -1.35      34.36       0.80         0.86            -0.48
   0 H Voorhees        (10-11, 91.3)    15-10       -8.60      27.12      -0.80         0.86            22.64
   0 H Somerville      (13- 8, 87.9)    15-10      -12.01      23.70      -0.80         0.86            19.71
   0 A Bridgewater-Ra  (15- 6, 96.2)    13-16       -3.74      31.98       0.80         0.86            -2.53
   0 H Randolph        ( 4-15, 90.5)    11- 4       -9.36      26.35      -0.80         0.86            21.99
   0 H Watchung Hills  ( 3-16, 86.7)    19- 9      -13.19      22.53      -0.80         0.86            18.70
   0 H Hillsborough    ( 8-12, 90.7)    16- 8       -9.16      26.55      -0.80         0.86            22.16
   0 A Pingry School   (22- 2, 98.5)     8-13       -1.35      34.36       0.80         0.86            -0.48
   0 A West Morris Ce  (14- 8, 92.8)    14-11       -7.14      28.58       0.80         0.86            25.27
   0 A Hunterdon Cent  (19- 3, 98.2)     8-12       -1.74      33.98       0.80         0.86            -0.81
   0 H Westfield       (18- 4, 98.9)     8-13       -1.01      34.71      -0.80         0.86            -1.56
   0 H Gateway Region  (16- 3, 83.3)    17- 5      -16.60      19.11      -0.80         0.86            15.76
   0 H Delaware Valle  (19- 2, 91.0)    17- 4       -8.89      26.83      -0.80         0.86            22.39
   0 A Haddonfield     (17- 4, 96.5)     6-16       -3.41      32.30       0.80         0.86            -2.25
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       256.58

winning pts = 273.8605 losing points = -17.2842

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------