Bellows Free Academy
W-L: ( 2-11) PR = 91.8023Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 419 H Champlain Valley Union (15- 2, 98.9) 4-17 426 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham ( 8- 9, 93.2) 6-11 505 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 16- 9 510 H South Burlington (12- 6, 96.9) 4-16 512 H Burr & Burton Academy (12- 5, 98.5) 3-13 513 A Middlebury Union (11- 4, 96.5) 8-17 516 H Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 3-17 520 A Champlain Valley Union (15- 2, 98.9) 8-16 522 A Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 7-14 523 H Mt Mansfield Union ( 4-12, 93.5) 9- 8 527 A South Burlington (12- 6, 96.9) 5-14 530 H Rutland ( 3-13, 91.2) 7- 8 603 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 6- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
419 H Champlain Valley Union 4-17 -13 -7 0.00
426 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.14
505 H Spaulding 16- 9 7 3 1.67
510 H South Burlington 4-16 -12 -5 -0.38
512 H Burr & Burton Academy 3-13 -10 -6 0.00
513 A Middlebury Union 8-17 -9 -5 0.00
516 H Essex 3-17 -14 -5 0.00
520 A Champlain Valley Union 8-16 -8 -8 0.00
522 A Essex 7-14 -7 -6 0.00
523 H Mt Mansfield Union 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.18
527 A South Burlington 5-14 -9 -6 0.00
530 H Rutland 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.09
603 A Rice Memorial 6- 9 -3 -5 1.77
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.14 530 H Rutland 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 523 H Mt Mansfield Union 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.18 |
Bellows Free Academy - S Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brattleboro Union | Brattleboro Union | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Brattleboro Union | |
| Burlington | Burlington | Burlington 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Burr & Burton Academy | Burr & Burton Academy | Burr & Burton Academy | ||
| Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | ||
| Colchester | Bellows Free Academy - S | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Bellows Free Academy - S | |
| Essex | Essex | Essex | ||
| Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Green Mountain Valley | |
| Hartford | Hartford | Hartford 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Harwood Union | Bellows Free Academy - S | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) | Bellows Free Academy - S | |
| Lamoille Union | Bellows Free Academy - S | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bellows Free Academy - S | |
| Lyndon Institute | Bellows Free Academy - S | Bellows Free Academy - S 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Milton | Bellows Free Academy - S | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Bellows Free Academy - S | |
| Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Mt Mansfield Union | Bellows Free Academy - S | Bellows Free Academy - S | ||
| Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | ||
| Rutland | Rutland | Rutland | ||
| South Burlington | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Spaulding | Bellows Free Academy - S | Bellows Free Academy - S | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | St Johnsbury Academy | |
| Stowe | Bellows Free Academy - S | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Bellows Free Academy - S | |
| Stratton Mountain School | Bellows Free Academy - S | Bellows Free Academy - S | ||
| U-32 | U-32 | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | U-32 | |
| Vergennes/Mt Abraham | Vergennes/Mt Abraham | Vergennes/Mt Abraham | ||
| Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Woodstock Union |
PowerWise = 9
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Champlain Vall (15- 2, 98.9) 4-17 -1.04 16.36 -0.48 1.20 -1.81
0 A Vergennes/Mt A ( 8- 9, 93.2) 6-11 -6.72 10.68 0.48 1.20 -7.46
0 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 16- 9 -10.95 6.45 -0.48 1.20 7.14
0 H South Burlingt (12- 6, 96.9) 4-16 -3.00 14.41 -0.48 1.20 -4.15
0 H Burr & Burton (12- 5, 98.5) 3-13 -1.38 16.02 -0.48 1.20 -2.23
0 A Middlebury Uni (11- 4, 96.5) 8-17 -3.36 14.04 0.48 1.20 -3.45
0 H Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 3-17 -2.60 14.80 -0.48 1.20 -3.68
0 A Champlain Vall (15- 2, 98.9) 8-16 -1.04 16.36 0.48 1.20 -0.67
0 A Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 7-14 -2.60 14.80 0.48 1.20 -2.54
0 H Mt Mansfield U ( 4-12, 93.5) 9- 8 -6.44 10.96 -0.48 1.20 12.53
0 A South Burlingt (12- 6, 96.9) 5-14 -3.00 14.41 0.48 1.20 -3.01
0 H Rutland ( 3-13, 91.2) 7- 8 -8.71 8.69 -0.48 1.20 -10.99
0 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 6- 9 -3.80 13.60 0.48 1.20 -3.98
------
-24.31
|
winning pts = 19.6696 losing points = -43.9750
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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