Berlin
W-L: ( 9-10) PR = 76.9897Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 A RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 15-22 414 A Norwich Free Academy (12- 6, 80.0) 11-19 416 A Middletown-Coginchaug ( 6-11, 72.9) 18- 3 419 H Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 11-18 422 H Avon HS ( 1-14, 78.1) 12-10 424 H Watertown ( 9- 8, 74.0) 11-10 501 A Watertown ( 9- 8, 74.0) 14-13 503 A North Haven ( 6-10, 76.2) 11-10 506 A Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 6-15 507 H East Catholic (11- 8, 79.0) 9-16 509 H Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 6-15 513 H Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 12-15 515 A Northwest Catholic ( 8-11, 78.4) 17-11 520 H Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 5-19 522 A Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 14- 6 523 A Rocky Hill ( 5-11, 76.5) 8- 7 527 A Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 5-16 531 A Bacon/East Hampton (11- 7, 75.4) 16-12 603 H New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 3-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 A RHAM 15-22 -7 -1 -- -4.26
414 A Norwich Free Academy 11-19 -8 -4 -1.27
416 A Middletown-Coginchaug 18- 3 15 3 1.59
419 H Newington 11-18 -7 0 -- -4.95
422 H Avon HS 12-10 2 0 + 2.38
424 H Watertown 11-10 1 4 - -2.72
501 A Watertown 14-13 1 2 -1.27
503 A North Haven 11-10 1 0 0.94
506 A Farmington 6-15 -9 -7 0.00
507 H East Catholic 9-16 -7 -1 - -3.74
509 H Glastonbury 6-15 -9 -4 -1.30
513 H Tolland 12-15 -3 -3 0.48
515 A Northwest Catholic 17-11 6 -2 +++ 7.14
520 H Southington 5-19 -14 -4 -0.98
522 A Morgan School 14- 6 8 1 + 3.53
523 A Rocky Hill 8- 7 1 0 1.25
527 A Farmington 5-16 -11 -7 0.00
531 A Bacon/East Hampton 16-12 4 1 + 3.15
603 H New Fairfield 3-16 -13 -13 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A RHAM 15-22 -7 -1 -- -4.26 419 H Newington 11-18 -7 0 -- -4.95 424 H Watertown 11-10 1 4 - -2.72 507 H East Catholic 9-16 -7 -1 - -3.74 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 A Northwest Catholic 17-11 6 -2 +++ 7.14 422 H Avon HS 12-10 2 0 + 2.38 522 A Morgan School 14- 6 8 1 + 3.53 531 A Bacon/East Hampton 16-12 4 1 + 3.15 |
Berlin Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Berlin | Berlin | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | Berlin | Berlin | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Branford | Branford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Branford | |
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Brien McMahon | |
| Bristol Central | Berlin | Berlin 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Brookfield | |
| Canton | Canton | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Canton | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard 7- 0 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Cromwell | Berlin | Berlin 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Danbury | Berlin | Berlin | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Ellington | |
| Enfield | Berlin | Berlin 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| EO Smith | Berlin | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Berlin | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairfield Ludlowe | |
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch | Berlin | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Berlin | |
| Foran | Foran | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Foran | |
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Greenwich HS | |
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Berlin | Berlin 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Guilford | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Berlin | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Berlin | |
| Hall | Hall | Hall 6- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Hamden | Hamden | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Hamden | |
| Housatonic Regional | Berlin | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Berlin | |
| Immaculate Heart | Berlin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Berlin | |
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Joel Barlow | |
| Jonathan Law | Berlin | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Berlin | |
| Killingly | Berlin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Berlin | |
| Lakeview United | Berlin | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Berlin | |
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Lauralton Hall | |
| Ledyard | Ledyard | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Ledyard | |
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lyman Hall | |
| Masuk | Masuk | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Masuk | |
| Mercy | Mercy | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Mercy | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Berlin | Berlin | ||
| Montville | Montville | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Montville | |
| Morgan School | Berlin | Berlin | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield | ||
| New London/St Bernards | Berlin | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Berlin | |
| New Milford | Berlin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Berlin | |
| Newington | Newington | Newington | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | Berlin | Berlin 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| North Haven | Berlin | Berlin | ||
| Northwest Catholic | Berlin | Berlin | ||
| Norwalk | Norwalk | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Norwalk | |
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Berlin | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Berlin | |
| Old Lyme | Old Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Lyme | |
| Old Saybrook | Berlin | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Berlin | |
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pomperaug | |
| RHAM | RHAM | RHAM | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ridgefield | |
| Rockville | Berlin | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Berlin | |
| Rocky Hill | Berlin | Berlin | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sheehan | |
| Shelton | Berlin | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Berlin | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury 7- 0 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Somers | Somers | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | South Windsor | South Windsor 3- 5 vs 1- 7 | ||
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Joseph | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Joseph | |
| St Paul Catholic | Berlin | Berlin 4- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Staples | |
| Stonington | Stonington | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Stonington | |
| Stratford-Bunnell | Berlin | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Berlin | |
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Suffield HS | |
| Tolland | Tolland | Tolland | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Valley Regional | Berlin | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Berlin | |
| Waterford | Waterford | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Waterford | |
| Watertown | Berlin | Berlin | ||
| West Haven | Berlin | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Berlin | |
| Westhill | Westhill | Westhill | ||
| Weston | Weston | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | Berlin | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Berlin | |
| Wheeler | Wheeler | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Wheeler | |
| Wilton | Wilton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Wilton | |
| Windsor | Berlin | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Berlin | |
| Wolcott | Berlin | Berlin 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Berlin | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Berlin |
PowerWise = 36
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 15-22 -22.90 11.91 0.73 0.92 -20.43
0 A Norwich Free A (12- 6, 80.0) 11-19 -19.91 14.90 0.73 0.92 -17.67
0 A Middletown-Cog ( 6-11, 72.9) 18- 3 -27.04 7.77 0.73 0.92 7.82
0 H Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 11-18 -22.13 12.68 -0.73 0.92 -21.06
0 H Avon HS ( 1-14, 78.1) 12-10 -21.80 13.00 -0.73 0.92 11.31
0 H Watertown ( 9- 8, 74.0) 11-10 -25.90 8.90 -0.73 0.92 7.54
0 A Watertown ( 9- 8, 74.0) 14-13 -25.90 8.90 0.73 0.92 8.87
0 A North Haven ( 6-10, 76.2) 11-10 -23.69 11.12 0.73 0.92 10.91
0 A Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 6-15 -16.60 18.20 0.73 0.92 -14.63
0 H East Catholic (11- 8, 79.0) 9-16 -20.93 13.88 -0.73 0.92 -19.95
0 H Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 6-15 -18.48 16.33 -0.73 0.92 -17.69
0 H Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 12-15 -18.71 16.10 -0.73 0.92 -17.90
0 A Northwest Cath ( 8-11, 78.4) 17-11 -21.50 13.31 0.73 0.92 12.93
0 H Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 5-19 -18.17 16.64 -0.73 0.92 -17.41
0 A Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 14- 6 -25.11 9.70 0.73 0.92 9.61
0 A Rocky Hill ( 5-11, 76.5) 8- 7 -23.38 11.43 0.73 0.92 11.20
0 A Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 5-16 -16.60 18.20 0.73 0.92 -14.63
0 A Bacon/East Ham (11- 7, 75.4) 16-12 -24.48 10.33 0.73 0.92 10.18
0 H New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 3-16 -8.80 26.01 -0.73 0.92 -8.77
------
-79.77
|
winning pts = 90.3759 losing points = -170.1441
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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