Bel Air
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 87.5812Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Harford Tech ( 8- 4, 83.8) 16- 8 324 A Patterson Mill ( 4- 9, 79.4) 22-15 327 H Catonsville ( 7- 7, 88.9) 14-13 404 A CM Wright (11- 5, 88.2) 15-13 408 H Urbana (12- 5, 90.2) 4-10 411 H Fallston (11- 6, 88.0) 10-12 414 A Rising Sun ( 8- 8, 77.9) 16- 5 422 A Aberdeen ( 4- 9, 73.5) 18- 3 423 H Havre De Grace (10- 4, 83.1) 14- 4 428 H Mercy (12- 2, 92.0) 6-13 430 A North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.3) 12-11 502 A CM Wright (11- 5, 88.2) 14-12 505 H Fallston (11- 6, 88.0) 9-10 509 H City College ( 6- 4, 78.9) 16- 4 512 A Baltimore Polytechnic (10- 2, 79.9) 18- 3 514 A Towson (13- 4, 92.4) 8-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Harford Tech 16- 8 8 4 0.76
324 A Patterson Mill 22-15 7 8 0.00
327 H Catonsville 14-13 1 -1 1.91
404 A CM Wright 15-13 2 -1 + 3.05
408 H Urbana 4-10 -6 -2 - -2.81
411 H Fallston 10-12 -2 0 -1.98
414 A Rising Sun 16- 5 11 9 0.00
422 A Aberdeen 18- 3 15 14 0.00
423 H Havre De Grace 14- 4 10 5 0.05
428 H Mercy 6-13 -7 -4 -1.02
430 A North Harford 12-11 1 3 -1.80
502 A CM Wright 14-12 2 -1 + 3.05
505 H Fallston 9-10 -1 0 -0.98
509 H City College 16- 4 12 9 0.00
512 A Baltimore Polytechnic 18- 3 15 7 0.00
514 A Towson 8-16 -8 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Urbana 4-10 -6 -2 - -2.81 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A CM Wright 15-13 2 -1 + 3.05 502 A CM Wright 14-12 2 -1 + 3.05 |
Bel Air Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Brookewood SG | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Bryn Mawr SG | |
| Bullis School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Calverton School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Concordia Prep | Bel Air | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| DC International | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| FCA | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Field School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Friends School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Garrison Forest | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Gerstell Academy | |
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Indian Creek | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Jackson-Reed | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Jemicy | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| KIPP College Prep | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Maret School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Mount de Sales | |
| National Cathedral | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Park School | Bel Air | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Rockbridge Academy | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Roland Park Country | |
| Salisbury School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| School Without Walls | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| St James School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Marys Ryken | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Timothys | |
| St Vincent Pallotti | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Tome School | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Washington Latin | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Worcester Prep | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Aberdeen | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Bel Air | Bel Air 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Annapolis | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Arundel | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Atholton | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bladensburg | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Blair | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Blake | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Bel Air | Bel Air 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Boonsboro | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bowie | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Broadneck | |
| Brunswick | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Calvert | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Cambridge SD | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Carver A&T | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Catoctin | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Catonsville | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Central PG | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Century | Century | Century 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| CH Flowers | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Chesapeake BC | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Chopticon | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| City College | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Clarksburg | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| CM Wright | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| CMIT North | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Crofton | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Damascus | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Dundalk | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| DuVal | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Eastern Technical | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Bel Air | Bel Air 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Einstein | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Elkton | Bel Air | Bel Air 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Franklin | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bel Air | |
| Frederick | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bel Air | |
| Frederick Douglass PG | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Gaithersburg | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Glen Burnie | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bel Air | |
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Great Mills | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Guilford Park | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Gwynn Park | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Hammond | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Harford Tech | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Havre De Grace | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Hereford | Bel Air | Bel Air 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Kennedy | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Kent County | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| La Plata | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Lackey | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Lansdowne | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Laurel | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Leonardtown | |
| Liberty | Liberty | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Liberty | |
| Linganore | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Loch Raven | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Long Reach | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Magruder | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Manchester Valley | |
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Middletown | Bel Air | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Milford Mill | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| MJ McDonough | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount Hebron | |
| New Town | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| North Caroline | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| North County | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| North Dorchester | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| North East Cecil | Bel Air | Bel Air 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| North Hagerstown | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| North Harford | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| North Point | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Northeast | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Northwestern PG | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Northwood | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Oakdale | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Oakland Mills | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Old Mill | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Overlea | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Owings Mills | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Oxon Hill | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Paint Branch | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Parkdale | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Parkside | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Parkville | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Patapsco | Bel Air | Bel Air 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Patterson Mill | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Patuxent | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Perry Hall | Bel Air | Bel Air 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Perryville | Bel Air | Bel Air 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Pikesville | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Poolesville | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Randallstown | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Randallstown | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Reservoir | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Rising Sun | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| River Hill | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Rockville | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Seneca Valley | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Severn Run | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Severna Park | |
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| South Hagerstown | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| South River | South River | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South River | |
| Southern | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Sparrows Point | Bel Air | Bel Air 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Springbrook | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| St Charles | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Suitland | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Thomas Stone | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana | ||
| Walkersville | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Walter Johnson | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Watkins Mill | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Western Baltimore | Bel Air | Bel Air 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Western STES | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Westlake | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Westminster | |
| Wheaton | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Whitman | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Wicomico | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Wilde Lake | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Winston Churchill | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Winters Mill | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Woodlawn | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Wootton | Bel Air | Bel Air |
PowerWise = 176
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Harford Tech ( 8- 4, 83.8) 16- 8 -16.11 21.81 -0.45 0.75 15.97
0 A Patterson Mill ( 4- 9, 79.4) 22-15 -20.45 17.47 0.45 0.75 13.40
0 H Catonsville ( 7- 7, 88.9) 14-13 -10.96 26.96 -0.45 0.75 19.82
0 A CM Wright (11- 5, 88.2) 15-13 -11.71 26.21 0.45 0.75 19.93
0 H Urbana (12- 5, 90.2) 4-10 -9.68 28.24 -0.45 0.75 -7.58
0 H Fallston (11- 6, 88.0) 10-12 -11.85 26.07 -0.45 0.75 -9.20
0 A Rising Sun ( 8- 8, 77.9) 16- 5 -21.97 15.95 0.45 0.75 12.26
0 A Aberdeen ( 4- 9, 73.5) 18- 3 -26.39 11.53 0.45 0.75 8.96
0 H Havre De Grace (10- 4, 83.1) 14- 4 -16.82 21.10 -0.45 0.75 15.44
0 H Mercy (12- 2, 92.0) 6-13 -7.89 30.03 -0.45 0.75 -6.23
0 A North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.3) 12-11 -15.57 22.35 0.45 0.75 17.05
0 A CM Wright (11- 5, 88.2) 14-12 -11.71 26.21 0.45 0.75 19.93
0 H Fallston (11- 6, 88.0) 9-10 -11.85 26.07 -0.45 0.75 -9.20
0 H City College ( 6- 4, 78.9) 16- 4 -21.01 16.91 -0.45 0.75 12.30
0 A Baltimore Poly (10- 2, 79.9) 18- 3 -19.99 17.93 0.45 0.75 13.74
0 A Towson (13- 4, 92.4) 8-16 -7.51 30.41 0.45 0.75 -5.28
------
131.33
|
winning pts = 168.8110 losing points = -37.4830
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------