---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:51 PDT

safe3step girls Beaver Country Day 1
  
Beaver Country Day    
W-L: ( 4- 9) PR = 80.8281

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 402 A Dana Hall School (13- 5, 91.0) 4-16 407 A Concord Academy ( 2-11, 79.4) 12- 9 411 H Wheeler School ( 8- 5, 87.3) 6-19 414 A Winsor School (11- 4, 91.7) 5-19 416 H Portsmouth Abbey (10- 9, 86.1) 13-20 423 H Lexington Christian ( 4-10, 79.2) 17- 9 425 A Landmark School ( 7- 6, 78.7) 10- 7 428 A Bancroft School ( 4- 9, 78.5) 15-19 502 H Concord Academy ( 2-11, 79.4) 13- 4 505 A Montrose School (10- 1, 85.1) 4-12 507 A Berwick Academy ( 7- 7, 84.4) 6-11 514 H Newton Country Day ( 6- 7, 84.6) 10-17 515 A Worcester Academy ( 2- 9, 81.2) 11-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Dana Hall School        4-16     -12   -10           0.00
   407 A Concord Academy        12- 9       3     1           1.94
   411 H Wheeler School          6-19     -13    -6           0.00
   414 A Winsor School           5-19     -14   -11           0.00
   416 H Portsmouth Abbey       13-20      -7    -5          -0.09
   423 H Lexington Christian    17- 9       8     2    +      3.04
   425 A Landmark School        10- 7       3     2           1.22
   428 A Bancroft School        15-19      -4     2    --    -6.00
   502 H Concord Academy        13- 4       9     2    +      3.28
   505 A Montrose School         4-12      -8    -5          -0.38
   507 A Berwick Academy         6-11      -5    -4          -1.12
   514 H Newton Country Day     10-17      -7    -3          -1.60
   515 A Worcester Academy      11-12      -1    -1          -0.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Bancroft School        15-19      -4     2    --    -6.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Lexington Christian    17- 9       8     2    +      3.04
   502 H Concord Academy        13- 4       9     2    +      3.28

Beaver Country Day Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Austin Prep Austin Prep Austin Prep   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Bancroft School Bancroft School Bancroft School  
Berkshire School Berkshire School   Berkshire School
Berwick Academy Berwick Academy Berwick Academy  
Boston Trinity Academy Beaver Country Day tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Beaver Country Day
Brewster Academy Brewster Academy   Brewster Academy
Brimmer and May Beaver Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Beaver Country Day
Brooks School Brooks School   Brooks School
Buckingham B&N Buckingham B&N Buckingham B&N   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cambridge School Cambridge School   Cambridge School
Canterbury School Canterbury School   Canterbury School
Chapel Hill-Chauncy Hall Beaver Country Day insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Beaver Country Day
Cheshire Academy Cheshire Academy   Cheshire Academy
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall   Choate Rosemary Hall
Christian Heritage Beaver Country Day   Beaver Country Day
Concord Academy Beaver Country Day Beaver Country Day  
Cushing Academy Cushing Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cushing Academy
Dana Hall School Dana Hall School Dana Hall School  
Deerfield Academy Deerfield Academy   Deerfield Academy
Dexter Southfield Dexter Southfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dexter Southfield
Dublin School Beaver Country Day   Beaver Country Day
Ethel Walker School Ethel Walker School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ethel Walker School
Forman School Beaver Country Day   Beaver Country Day
Frederick Gunn School Frederick Gunn School   Frederick Gunn School
Gann Academy Beaver Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Beaver Country Day
Gould Academy Beaver Country Day   Beaver Country Day
Governors Academy Governors Academy   Governors Academy
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy   Greens Farms Academy
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy   Greenwich Academy
Greenwich Academy B Greenwich Academy B   Greenwich Academy B
Greenwich CDS Greenwich CDS   Greenwich CDS
Groton School Groton School   Groton School
Hamden Hall CDS Beaver Country Day   Beaver Country Day
Harvey School Beaver Country Day   Beaver Country Day
Hebron Academy Hebron Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hebron Academy
Holderness School Holderness School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holderness School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Hoosac School Beaver Country Day   Beaver Country Day
Hopkins School Hopkins School   Hopkins School
Hotchkiss School Hotchkiss School   Hotchkiss School
Hyde School Beaver Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Beaver Country Day
Kent School Kent School   Kent School
Kents Hill School Kents Hill School tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Kents Hill School
Kimball Union Academy Kimball Union Academy   Kimball Union Academy
King School King School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) King School
Kingswood Oxford Kingswood Oxford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kingswood Oxford
Landmark School Beaver Country Day Beaver Country Day  
Lawrence Academy Beaver Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Beaver Country Day
Lexington Christian Beaver Country Day Beaver Country Day  
Loomis Chaffee School Loomis Chaffee School   Loomis Chaffee School
Marianapolis Prep Beaver Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Beaver Country Day
Masters School Masters School   Masters School
Middlesex School Middlesex School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Middlesex School
Millbrook School Millbrook School   Millbrook School
Milton Academy Milton Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Milton Academy
Miss Halls School Beaver Country Day   Beaver Country Day
Miss Porters School Miss Porters School   Miss Porters School
Montrose School Montrose School Montrose School  
Mount St Charles Academy Mount St Charles Academy tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Mount St Charles Academy
New Hampton School New Hampton School   New Hampton School
Newton Country Day Newton Country Day Newton Country Day  
Noble & Greenough Noble & Greenough   Noble & Greenough
Northfield Mt Hermon Northfield Mt Hermon   Northfield Mt Hermon
Phillips Academy Andover Phillips Academy Andover insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Phillips Academy Andover
Phillips Exeter Academy Phillips Exeter Academy   Phillips Exeter Academy
Pingree School Pingree School Pingree School   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Pomfret School Pomfret School Pomfret School   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Portsmouth Abbey Portsmouth Abbey Portsmouth Abbey  
Proctor Academy Proctor Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Proctor Academy
Rivers School Rivers School   Rivers School
Rye Country Day Rye Country Day   Rye Country Day
Sacred Heart Greenwich Sacred Heart Greenwich   Sacred Heart Greenwich
Sacred Heart Greenwich B Sacred Heart Greenwich B   Sacred Heart Greenwich B
St Andrews Beaver Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Beaver Country Day
St Georges School St Georges School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Georges School
St Lukes School St Lukes School   St Lukes School
St Marks St Marks   St Marks
St Pauls School St Pauls School   St Pauls School
Storm King School Beaver Country Day   Beaver Country Day
Suffield Academy Suffield Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Suffield Academy
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tabor Academy
Taft School Taft School   Taft School
Thayer Academy Thayer Academy   Thayer Academy
Tilton School Tilton School tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Tilton School
Vermont Academy Vermont Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Vermont Academy
Waring School Beaver Country Day tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Beaver Country Day
Westminster School Westminster School   Westminster School
Wheeler School Wheeler School Wheeler School  
White Mountain White Mountain   White Mountain
Wilbraham & Monson Wilbraham & Monson Wilbraham & Monson   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Williams School Beaver Country Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Beaver Country Day
Williston Northampton Williston Northampton   Williston Northampton
Winchendon School Beaver Country Day   Beaver Country Day
Winsor School Winsor School Winsor School  
Wooster School Wooster School   Wooster School
Worcester Academy Worcester Academy Worcester Academy  
Rocky Hill Country Day S Rocky Hill Country Day S tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Rocky Hill Country Day S

PowerWise = 23


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Dana Hall Scho  (13- 5, 91.0)     4-16       -8.94      19.14       0.33         0.99            -8.56
   0 A Concord Academ  ( 2-11, 79.4)    12- 9      -20.46       7.62       0.33         0.99             7.90
   0 H Wheeler School  ( 8- 5, 87.3)     6-19      -12.62      15.46      -0.33         0.99           -12.87
   0 A Winsor School   (11- 4, 91.7)     5-19       -8.16      19.92       0.33         0.99            -7.78
   0 H Portsmouth Abb  (10- 9, 86.1)    13-20      -13.83      14.25      -0.33         0.99           -14.07
   0 H Lexington Chri  ( 4-10, 79.2)    17- 9      -20.70       7.38      -0.33         0.99             7.00
   0 A Landmark Schoo  ( 7- 6, 78.7)    10- 7      -21.19       6.89       0.33         0.99             7.18
   0 A Bancroft Schoo  ( 4- 9, 78.5)    15-19      -21.40       6.68       0.33         0.99           -20.94
   0 H Concord Academ  ( 2-11, 79.4)    13- 4      -20.46       7.62      -0.33         0.99             7.24
   0 A Montrose Schoo  (10- 1, 85.1)     4-12      -14.79      13.29       0.33         0.99           -14.36
   0 A Berwick Academ  ( 7- 7, 84.4)     6-11      -15.52      12.56       0.33         0.99           -15.09
   0 H Newton Country  ( 6- 7, 84.6)    10-17      -15.34      12.74      -0.33         0.99           -15.57
   0 A Worcester Acad  ( 2- 9, 81.2)    11-12      -18.74       9.34       0.33         0.99           -18.30
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -98.22

winning pts = 29.3224 losing points = -127.5473

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------