safe3step girls Bethesda-Chevy Chase 1

  
Bethesda-Chevy Chase  
W-L: ( 9- 5)  PR =    83.4586
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 321 H Blake                                ( 3-10, 72.6)    17- 1   
 326 A Quince Orchard                       (14- 3, 86.4)     7-13   
 328 A Sherwood                             (16- 1, 89.3)     2-14   
 402 H Whitman                              (10- 5, 84.7)     7- 8   
 404 A Winston Churchill                    ( 7- 6, 81.2)     7- 6   
 407 H Paint Branch                         ( 3-10, 68.9)    11- 2   
 408 H Walter Johnson                       ( 9- 4, 84.4)     6-10   
 409 A Seneca Valley                        ( 4- 9, 68.4)    11- 0   
 411 H Gaithersburg                         ( 0-13, 65.2)    13- 0   
 424 A Northwest                            ( 8- 5, 76.9)    10- 5   
 428 H Northwood                            ( 4- 9, 70.2)    13- 2   
 502 A Wootton                              ( 9- 6, 80.4)    10- 4   
 507 H Winston Churchill                    ( 7- 6, 81.2)    10- 5   
 509 A Quince Orchard                       (14- 3, 86.4)     9-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Blake                  17- 1      16    11           0.00
   326 A Quince Orchard          7-13      -6    -3          -1.59
   328 A Sherwood                2-14     -12    -6           0.00
   402 H Whitman                 7- 8      -1    -1          -0.20
   404 A Winston Churchill       7- 6       1     2          -0.78
   407 H Paint Branch           11- 2       9    15           0.00
   408 H Walter Johnson          6-10      -4     0    -     -3.53
   409 A Seneca Valley          11- 0      11    15           0.00
   411 H Gaithersburg           13- 0      13    19           0.00
   424 A Northwest              10- 5       5     6           0.00
   428 H Northwood              13- 2      11    14           0.00
   502 A Wootton                10- 4       6     3    +      2.41
   507 H Winston Churchill      10- 5       5     3    +      2.32
   509 A Quince Orchard          9-10      -1    -3    +      2.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Walter Johnson          6-10      -4     0    -     -3.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Wootton                10- 4       6     3    +      2.41
   507 H Winston Churchill      10- 5       5     3    +      2.32
   509 A Quince Orchard          9-10      -1    -3    +      2.41

Bethesda-Chevy Chase Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Annapolis Area Christian	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Anne Arundel County	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Archbishop Spalding	Archbishop Spalding			Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bishop McNamara	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Brookewood SG	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bryn Mawr SG	Bryn Mawr SG			Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School	Bullis School			Bullis School
Calverton School	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Catholic High Baltimore	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Chapelgate Christian	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Concordia Prep	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Cristo Rey Jesuit	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
DC International	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
EL Haynes Charter	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Elizabeth Seton	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
FCA	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Field School	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Friends School	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Garrison Forest	Garrison Forest			Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Georgetown Visitation	Georgetown Visitation			Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy	Gerstell Academy			Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School	Glenelg Country School			Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel	Good Counsel			Good Counsel
Gunston Day School	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Holton-Arms School	Holton-Arms School			Holton-Arms School
Holy Child	Holy Child			Holy Child
Holy Cross	Holy Cross			Holy Cross
Indian Creek	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Jackson-Reed	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Jemicy	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
John Carroll	John Carroll			John Carroll
Key School	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
KIPP College Prep	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Maret School	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Maryvale Prep	Maryvale Prep			Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School	McDonogh School			McDonogh School
Mercy	Mercy			Mercy
Mount de Sales	Mount de Sales			Mount de Sales
National Cathedral	National Cathedral			National Cathedral
Notre Dame Prep	Notre Dame Prep			Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Park School	Park School			Park School
Rockbridge Academy	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Roland Park Country	Roland Park Country			Roland Park Country
Salisbury School	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Sandy Spring Friends	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
School Without Walls	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Severn School	Severn School			Severn School
Sidwell Friends	Sidwell Friends			Sidwell Friends
St Andrews Episcopal	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
St James School	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
St Johns Catholic Prep	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
St Johns College	St Johns College			St Johns College
St Marys	St Marys			St Marys
St Marys Ryken	St Marys Ryken			St Marys Ryken
St Pauls SG	St Pauls SG			St Pauls SG
St Timothys	St Timothys			St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Stone Ridge School	Stone Ridge School			Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul	Sts Peter & Paul			Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Washington Latin	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Worcester Prep	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Aberdeen	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Academy for College & Ca	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Annapolis	Annapolis			Annapolis
Arundel	Arundel			Arundel
Atholton	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Baltimore Polytechnic	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bel Air	Bel Air			Bel Air
Bladensburg	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Blair	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		Bethesda-Chevy Chase 4- 3 vs 2- 5
Blake	Bethesda-Chevy Chase	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bohemia Manor	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Boonsboro	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bowie	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Broadneck	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Broadneck
Brunswick	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Calvert	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Cambridge SD	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Carver A&T	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Catoctin	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Catonsville	Catonsville			Catonsville
Centennial	Centennial			Centennial
Central PG	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Century	Century			Century
CH Flowers	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Chesapeake AA	Chesapeake AA			Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Chopticon	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
City College	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Clarksburg	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		Bethesda-Chevy Chase 5- 1 vs 3- 3
CM Wright	CM Wright			CM Wright
CMIT North	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Crofton	Crofton			Crofton
Damascus	Damascus		Damascus 5- 2 vs 3- 4
Dr Henry Wise	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Dulaney	Dulaney			Dulaney
Dundalk	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
DuVal	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Eastern Technical	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Easton	Easton			Easton
Edgewood	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Einstein	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		Bethesda-Chevy Chase 5- 1 vs 3- 3
Eleanor Roosevelt	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Elkton	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Fairmont Heights	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Fallston	Fallston			Fallston
Francis Scott Key	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Franklin	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Frederick	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Frederick Douglass PG	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Gaithersburg	Bethesda-Chevy Chase	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Glen Burnie	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Glenelg HS	Glenelg HS			Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Great Mills	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Guilford Park	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Gwynn Park	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Hammond	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Harford Tech	Harford Tech			Harford Tech
Havre De Grace	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Hereford	Hereford			Hereford
Howard	Howard			Howard
Huntingtown	Huntingtown			Huntingtown
JM Bennett	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Kennedy	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		Bethesda-Chevy Chase 4- 1 vs 1- 4
Kent County	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Kent Island	Kent Island			Kent Island
Kenwood	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
La Plata	La Plata			La Plata
Lackey	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Lansdowne	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Laurel	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Leonardtown	Leonardtown			Leonardtown
Liberty	Liberty			Liberty
Linganore	Linganore			Linganore
Loch Raven	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Long Reach	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Magruder	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2)	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge	Marriotts Ridge		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Marriotts Ridge
Meade	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Middletown	Middletown			Middletown
Milford Mill	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
MJ McDonough	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Mount Hebron	Mount Hebron			Mount Hebron
New Town	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
North Caroline	North Caroline			North Caroline
North County	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
North Dorchester	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
North East Cecil	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
North Hagerstown	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
North Harford	North Harford			North Harford
North Point	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Northeast	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Northern Calvert	Northern Calvert			Northern Calvert
Northwest	Bethesda-Chevy Chase	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Northwestern PG	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Northwood	Bethesda-Chevy Chase	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Oakdale	Oakdale			Oakdale
Oakland Mills	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Old Mill	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Overlea	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Owings Mills	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Oxon Hill	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Paint Branch	Bethesda-Chevy Chase	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Parkdale	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Parkside	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Parkville	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Patapsco	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Patterson Mill	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Patuxent	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Perry Hall	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Perryville	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Pikesville	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Poolesville	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3)	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Queen Annes County	Queen Annes County			Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard	Quince Orchard	Quince Orchard
Randallstown	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Randallstown	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Reservoir	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Richard Montgomery	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		Bethesda-Chevy Chase 6- 2 vs 3- 5
Rising Sun	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
River Hill	River Hill			River Hill
Rockville	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		Bethesda-Chevy Chase 3- 2 vs 0- 5
Seneca Valley	Bethesda-Chevy Chase	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Severn Run	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Severna Park	Severna Park			Severna Park
Sherwood	Sherwood	Sherwood
Smithsburg	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
South Carroll	South Carroll			South Carroll
South Hagerstown	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
South River	South River			South River
Southern	Southern			Southern
Sparrows Point	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Springbrook	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2)	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
St Charles	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Stephen Decatur	Stephen Decatur			Stephen Decatur
Suitland	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Thomas Stone	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Towson	Towson			Towson
Tuscarora	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Urbana	Urbana			Urbana
Walkersville	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Walter Johnson	Walter Johnson	Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		Bethesda-Chevy Chase 5- 1 vs 0- 6
Western Baltimore	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Western STES	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Westlake	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Westminster	Westminster			Westminster
Wheaton	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1)	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Whitman	Whitman	Whitman
Wicomico	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Wilde Lake	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Winston Churchill	Bethesda-Chevy Chase	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Winters Mill	Winters Mill			Winters Mill
Woodlawn	Bethesda-Chevy Chase			Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Wootton	Bethesda-Chevy Chase	Bethesda-Chevy Chase

PowerWise = 145

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Blake           ( 3-10, 72.6)    17- 1      -27.27      10.65      -0.45         0.85             8.71
   0 A Quince Orchard  (14- 3, 86.4)     7-13      -13.48      24.44       0.45         0.85           -11.13
   0 A Sherwood        (16- 1, 89.3)     2-14      -10.60      27.32       0.45         0.85            -8.68
   0 H Whitman         (10- 5, 84.7)     7- 8      -15.20      22.72      -0.45         0.85           -13.37
   0 A Winston Church  ( 7- 6, 81.2)     7- 6      -18.67      19.25       0.45         0.85            16.83
   0 H Paint Branch    ( 3-10, 68.9)    11- 2      -31.04       6.88      -0.45         0.85             5.50
   0 H Walter Johnson  ( 9- 4, 84.4)     6-10      -15.52      22.40      -0.45         0.85           -13.65
   0 A Seneca Valley   ( 4- 9, 68.4)    11- 0      -31.49       6.43       0.45         0.85             5.88
   0 H Gaithersburg    ( 0-13, 65.2)    13- 0      -34.72       3.20      -0.45         0.85             2.35
   0 A Northwest       ( 8- 5, 76.9)    10- 5      -23.05      14.87       0.45         0.85            13.09
   0 H Northwood       ( 4- 9, 70.2)    13- 2      -29.71       8.21      -0.45         0.85             6.63
   0 A Wootton         ( 9- 6, 80.4)    10- 4      -19.48      18.44       0.45         0.85            16.14
   0 H Winston Church  ( 7- 6, 81.2)    10- 5      -18.67      19.25      -0.45         0.85            16.07
   0 A Quince Orchard  (14- 3, 86.4)     9-10      -13.48      24.44       0.45         0.85           -11.13
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        33.25

winning pts = 91.2092 losing points = -57.9634

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------