Bay
W-L: (10-12) PR = 88.9935Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Brunswick ( 9-11, 84.4) 15- 8 322 A Jackson Massillon ( 9- 7, 93.0) 8-14 325 A Rocky River (13- 7, 90.0) 11-12 327 H Walsh Jesuit (13- 6, 89.2) 16- 8 401 H Magnificat (10- 9, 89.3) 9-12 403 H Westlake (11- 8, 83.2) 19- 4 405 A Hoover North Canton (12- 4, 93.2) 5-16 408 A Avon (12- 6, 87.6) 16- 4 410 A Avon Lake ( 4-11, 85.0) 10- 9 412 H St Francis DeSales (21- 1, 97.1) 7-18 416 A Medina (11- 5, 93.3) 6-20 422 A Columbus Academy (12- 8, 93.0) 10-19 424 A Bishop Watterson ( 8-12, 90.0) 4-18 426 A Olentangy (11- 6, 91.9) 10-16 429 H Olmsted Falls ( 7- 9, 84.8) 6-11 501 A Wooster (10- 9, 88.4) 17- 9 503 H Western Reserve Academ (10- 1, 94.2) 10-16 520 H Maumee Valley CDS ( 2- 5, 71.0) 1- 0 522 H Copley (15- 3, 88.7) 13-12 528 H Revere (13- 8, 89.9) 12- 9 530 H Walsh Jesuit (13- 6, 89.2) 12- 7 604 N Hathaway Brown (22- 2, 93.0) 8-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Brunswick 15- 8 7 5 0.00
322 A Jackson Massillon 8-14 -6 -5 -0.30
325 A Rocky River 11-12 -1 -2 0.68
327 H Walsh Jesuit 16- 8 8 0 ++ 4.58
401 H Magnificat 9-12 -3 0 - -3.33
403 H Westlake 19- 4 15 6 0.00
405 A Hoover North Canton 5-16 -11 -5 -0.16
408 A Avon 16- 4 12 1 ++ 4.28
410 A Avon Lake 10- 9 1 3 - -2.30
412 H St Francis DeSales 7-18 -11 -7 0.00
416 A Medina 6-20 -14 -5 -0.06
422 A Columbus Academy 10-19 -9 -5 -0.37
424 A Bishop Watterson 4-18 -14 -2 - -3.33
426 A Olentangy 10-16 -6 -4 -1.42
429 H Olmsted Falls 6-11 -5 5 --- -9.82
501 A Wooster 17- 9 8 0 ++ 5.08
503 H Western Reserve Academ 10-16 -6 -5 -0.44
522 H Copley 13-12 1 1 0.09
528 H Revere 12- 9 3 0 + 3.20
530 H Walsh Jesuit 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.58
604 N Hathaway Brown 8-16 -8 -4 -0.96
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 H Olmsted Falls 6-11 -5 5 --- -9.82 401 H Magnificat 9-12 -3 0 - -3.33 410 A Avon Lake 10- 9 1 3 - -2.30 424 A Bishop Watterson 4-18 -14 -2 - -3.33 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Walsh Jesuit 16- 8 8 0 ++ 4.58 408 A Avon 16- 4 12 1 ++ 4.28 501 A Wooster 17- 9 8 0 ++ 5.08 530 H Walsh Jesuit 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.58 528 H Revere 12- 9 3 0 + 3.20 |
Bay Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | Bay | Bay | ||
| Anthony Wayne | Bay | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bay | |
| Archbishop Alter | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Archbishop Hoban | Bay | Bay 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Archbishop McNicholas | Bay | Bay | ||
| Aurora | Bay | Bay 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Avon | Bay | Bay | ||
| Avon Lake | Bay | Bay | ||
| Beaumont School | Bay | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Beavercreek | Bay | Bay | ||
| Bellbrook | Bay | Bay | ||
| Bexley | Bay | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Bay | |
| Big Walnut | Bay | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bay | |
| Bishop Fenwick | Bay | Bay | ||
| Bishop Hartley | Bay | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Bay | |
| Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | ||
| Boardman | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Brecksville-Broadview | Bay | Bay 6- 2 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Brunswick | Bay | Bay | ||
| Buckeye Valley | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Canfield | Bay | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Cardinal Mooney | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Carroll | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Centerville | Bay | Bay | ||
| Chagrin Falls | Bay | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 3) | Bay | |
| Chaminade-Julienne | Bay | Bay | ||
| Chardon | Bay | Bay 2- 3 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Chillicothe | Bay | Bay | ||
| Cincinnati CDS | Bay | Bay | ||
| Cincinnati Hills Christi | Cincinnati Hills Christi | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Cincinnati Hills Christi | |
| Clay | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Cleveland Heights | Bay | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 6) | Bay | |
| Columbus Academy | Columbus Academy | Columbus Academy | ||
| Columbus SG | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 4) | Bay | |
| Copley | Bay | Bay | ||
| Cuyahoga Valley Christia | Bay | Bay 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Delaware Hayes | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Dublin Scioto | Bay | Bay | ||
| Edgewood | Bay | Bay | ||
| Fairfield | Bay | Bay | ||
| Fairmont | Bay | Bay | ||
| Findlay | Bay | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Bay | |
| Gahanna Lincoln | Bay | Bay | ||
| Gilmour Academy | Bay | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) | Bay | |
| GlenOak | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bay | |
| Granville | Bay | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Bay | |
| Green | Bay | Bay 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Grove City | Bay | Bay | ||
| Hathaway Brown | Hathaway Brown | Hathaway Brown | ||
| Hathaway Brown B | Bay | Bay | ||
| Hawken School | Bay | Bay 3- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Highland | Bay | Bay 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Hilliard Bradley | Bay | Bay | ||
| Hilliard Darby | Bay | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Bay | |
| Hilliard Davidson | Bay | Bay | ||
| Holy Name | Bay | Bay | ||
| Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton | ||
| Hudson | Hudson | Hudson 6- 0 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Indian Hill | Indian Hill | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Indian Hill | |
| Jackson Massillon | Jackson Massillon | Jackson Massillon | ||
| Jonathan Alder | Bay | Bay | ||
| Kenston | Bay | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Kent Roosevelt | Bay | Bay 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Kings | Kings | Kings | ||
| Lake | Bay | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Bay | |
| Lake Catholic | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Bay | |
| Lakewood | Bay | Bay 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lakota East | Bay | Bay | ||
| Lakota West | Bay | Bay | ||
| Laurel School | Bay | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Lebanon | Bay | Bay | ||
| Lima | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Little Miami | Bay | Bay | ||
| Louisville | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Loveland | Bay | Bay | ||
| Madeira | Bay | Bay | ||
| Magnificat | Magnificat | Magnificat | ||
| Mariemont | Mariemont | Mariemont 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Marysville | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Mason | Bay | Bay | ||
| Maumee Valley CDS | Bay | Bay | ||
| Medina | Medina | Medina | ||
| Mentor | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bay | |
| Mercy McAuley | Bay | Bay | ||
| Miami Valley School | Bay | Bay | ||
| Miamisburg | Bay | Bay | ||
| Milford | Milford | Milford | ||
| Mt Notre Dame | Bay | Bay | ||
| New Albany | New Albany | New Albany 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Newark | Bay | Bay | ||
| Northmont | Bay | Bay | ||
| Notre Dame Academy | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Notre Dame-Cathedral Lat | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Oak Hills | Bay | Bay | ||
| Oakwood | Bay | Bay | ||
| Olentangy | Olentangy | Olentangy | ||
| Olentangy Berlin | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Olentangy Orange | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Olmsted Falls | Olmsted Falls | Olmsted Falls | ||
| Orange | Bay | Bay | ||
| Ottawa Hills | Bay | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Bay | |
| Padua Franciscan | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Perrysburg | Bay | Bay 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Pickerington Central | Pickerington Central | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Pickerington Central | |
| Pickerington North | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Poland Seminary | Bay | Bay | ||
| Princeton | Bay | Bay | ||
| Revere | Bay | Bay | ||
| Riverside | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Rocky River | Rocky River | Rocky River | ||
| Roger Bacon | Bay | Bay | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| Seven Hills School | Bay | Bay | ||
| Shaker Heights | Bay | Bay 2- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Solon | Bay | Bay 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Southeast | Bay | Bay | ||
| Springboro | Springboro | Springboro | ||
| St Francis DeSales | St Francis DeSales | St Francis DeSales | ||
| St Joseph Academy | Bay | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 3) | Bay | |
| St Ursula Cincinnati | Bay | Bay | ||
| St Ursula Toledo | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bay | |
| St Vincent-St Mary | Bay | Bay | ||
| Stow-Munroe Falls | Bay | Bay 4- 3 vs 1- 7 | ||
| Strongsville | Strongsville | Strongsville 6- 3 vs 2- 7 | ||
| Summit CDS | Bay | Bay | ||
| Sycamore | Sycamore | Sycamore | ||
| Sylvania Northview | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Sylvania Southview | Bay | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bay | |
| Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Tippecanoe | Bay | Bay | ||
| Toledo Central Catholic | Bay | Bay | ||
| Turpin | Bay | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bay | |
| Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ursuline Academy | Ursuline Academy | Ursuline Academy | ||
| Wadsworth | Bay | Bay 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Walnut Hills | Bay | Bay | ||
| Walsh Jesuit | Bay | Bay | ||
| Waynesville | Bay | Bay | ||
| Wellington School | Bay | Bay | ||
| West Geauga | Bay | Bay | ||
| Western Reserve Academy | Western Reserve Academy | Western Reserve Academy | ||
| Westerville Central | Bay | Bay | ||
| Westerville North | Bay | Bay | ||
| Westerville South | Bay | Bay | ||
| Westlake | Bay | Bay | ||
| Wooster | Bay | Bay | ||
| Worthington Kilbourne | Worthington Kilbourne | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Worthington Kilbourne | |
| Wyoming | Bay | Bay |
PowerWise = 120
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.74
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Brunswick ( 9-11, 84.4) 15- 8 -15.52 16.16 -0.66 0.80 12.35
0 A Jackson Massil ( 9- 7, 93.0) 8-14 -6.87 24.82 0.66 0.80 -4.94
0 A Rocky River (13- 7, 90.0) 11-12 -9.89 21.80 0.66 0.80 -7.35
0 H Walsh Jesuit (13- 6, 89.2) 16- 8 -10.66 21.02 -0.66 0.80 16.23
0 H Magnificat (10- 9, 89.3) 9-12 -10.58 21.11 -0.66 0.80 -8.96
0 H Westlake (11- 8, 83.2) 19- 4 -16.68 15.01 -0.66 0.80 11.43
0 A Hoover North C (12- 4, 93.2) 5-16 -6.73 24.96 0.66 0.80 -4.83
0 A Avon (12- 6, 87.6) 16- 4 -12.29 19.40 0.66 0.80 15.99
0 A Avon Lake ( 4-11, 85.0) 10- 9 -14.87 16.81 0.66 0.80 13.93
0 H St Francis DeS (21- 1, 97.1) 7-18 -2.82 28.86 -0.66 0.80 -2.78
0 A Medina (11- 5, 93.3) 6-20 -6.63 25.05 0.66 0.80 -4.76
0 A Columbus Acade (12- 8, 93.0) 10-19 -6.94 24.75 0.66 0.80 -5.00
0 A Bishop Watters ( 8-12, 90.0) 4-18 -9.90 21.79 0.66 0.80 -7.36
0 A Olentangy (11- 6, 91.9) 10-16 -7.99 23.69 0.66 0.80 -5.84
0 H Olmsted Falls ( 7- 9, 84.8) 6-11 -15.07 16.62 -0.66 0.80 -12.54
0 A Wooster (10- 9, 88.4) 17- 9 -11.49 20.20 0.66 0.80 16.63
0 H Western Reserv (10- 1, 94.2) 10-16 -5.69 26.00 -0.66 0.80 -5.06
0 H Maumee Valley ( 2- 5, 71.0) 1- 0 -28.90 2.79 -0.66 0.80 1.69
0 H Copley (15- 3, 88.7) 13-12 -11.15 20.53 -0.66 0.80 15.83
0 H Revere (13- 8, 89.9) 12- 9 -10.04 21.64 -0.66 0.80 16.72
0 H Walsh Jesuit (13- 6, 89.2) 12- 7 -10.66 21.02 -0.66 0.80 16.23
0 N Hathaway Brown (22- 2, 93.0) 8-16 -6.87 24.82 -0.00 0.80 -5.47
------
62.14
|
winning pts = 137.0291 losing points = -74.8925
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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