Concordia Prep
W-L: ( 5- 7) PR = 83.1770Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Garrison Forest ( 4-11, 87.5) 4-12 311 H FCA (12- 4, 77.9) 17- 8 325 A St Johns Catholic Prep ( 1-10, 78.0) 11- 4 327 H City College ( 6- 4, 78.9) 9- 4 401 H Annapolis Area Christi ( 9- 2, 79.8) 10- 2 403 A St Timothys ( 6- 4, 87.9) 6-16 408 A Indian Creek ( 3- 8, 79.5) 15- 8 410 H Park School ( 6- 6, 84.5) 6-10 415 H Mercy (12- 2, 92.0) 2-15 424 H Gerstell Academy (11- 4, 90.7) 3-17 429 H Mount de Sales ( 9- 5, 91.9) 3-18 502 A Gerstell Academy (11- 4, 90.7) 2-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 A Garrison Forest 4-12 -8 -5 -0.20
311 H FCA 17- 8 9 6 0.00
325 A St Johns Catholic Prep 11- 4 7 5 0.28
327 H City College 9- 4 5 5 0.26
401 H Annapolis Area Christi 10- 2 8 4 1.19
403 A St Timothys 6-16 -10 -5 0.00
408 A Indian Creek 15- 8 7 3 1.73
410 H Park School 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.11
415 H Mercy 2-15 -13 -8 0.00
424 H Gerstell Academy 3-17 -14 -7 0.00
429 H Mount de Sales 3-18 -15 -8 0.00
502 A Gerstell Academy 2-16 -14 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Park School 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Concordia Prep Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| Bishop McNamara | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| Brookewood SG | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Bryn Mawr SG | |
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Concordia Prep | |
| Catholic High Baltimore | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| Chapelgate Christian | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| DC International | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| FCA | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Field School | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Friends School | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Glenelg Country School | |
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Concordia Prep | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Concordia Prep | |
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Holy Child | |
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Holy Cross | |
| Indian Creek | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Jemicy | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| John Carroll | John Carroll | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | John Carroll | |
| Key School | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| KIPP College Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Maret School | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Maryvale Prep | |
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | McDonogh School | |
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | ||
| National Cathedral | National Cathedral | National Cathedral | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Notre Dame Prep | |
| Oldfields School | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Salisbury School | Concordia Prep | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Concordia Prep | |
| Sandy Spring Friends | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| School Without Walls | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | Concordia Prep | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| St James School | Concordia Prep | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Concordia Prep | |
| St Johns Catholic Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Marys | |
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Pauls SG | |
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Sts Peter & Paul | |
| Tome School | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| Washington Latin | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Worcester Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Concordia Prep | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| Bel Air | Bel Air | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Blair | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Blake | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Boonsboro | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Bowie | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Calvert | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cambridge SD | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Carver A&T | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Catoctin | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Central PG | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Chopticon | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| City College | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Clarksburg | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dulaney | |
| Dundalk | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| DuVal | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Eastern Technical | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Einstein | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Elkton | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Concordia Prep | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| Franklin | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Frederick | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| Frederick Douglass PG | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Gaithersburg | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Glen Burnie | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Great Mills | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Guilford Park | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Gwynn Park | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Hammond | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Hereford | |
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Kennedy | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Kent County | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Lansdowne | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Laurel | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Liberty | |
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Long Reach | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Magruder | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Marriotts Ridge | |
| Meade | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| MJ McDonough | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| New Town | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| North Dorchester | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| North East Cecil | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| North Hagerstown | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Northeast | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Northwestern PG | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Northwood | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Old Mill | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Overlea | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Owings Mills | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Oxon Hill | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Paint Branch | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Parkdale | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Parkside | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Parkville | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Patapsco | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| Patterson Mill | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Patuxent | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Perry Hall | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Perryville | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Pikesville | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Poolesville | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Randallstown | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Reservoir | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Rising Sun | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Seneca Valley | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Severn Run | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Severna Park | |
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern | Southern | Southern | ||
| Sparrows Point | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Springbrook | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| St Charles | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Thomas Stone | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Western Baltimore | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Concordia Prep | |
| Western STES | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Westlake | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Whitman | Whitman | Whitman | ||
| Wicomico | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Wilde Lake | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Winston Churchill | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Wootton | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep |
PowerWise = 144
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Garrison Fores ( 4-11, 87.5) 4-12 -12.37 25.55 0.45 1.00 -11.89
0 H FCA (12- 4, 77.9) 17- 8 -22.02 15.90 -0.45 1.00 15.41
0 A St Johns Catho ( 1-10, 78.0) 11- 4 -21.89 16.03 0.45 1.00 16.43
0 H City College ( 6- 4, 78.9) 9- 4 -21.01 16.91 -0.45 1.00 16.41
0 H Annapolis Area ( 9- 2, 79.8) 10- 2 -20.08 17.84 -0.45 1.00 17.34
0 A St Timothys ( 6- 4, 87.9) 6-16 -12.02 25.90 0.45 1.00 -11.54
0 A Indian Creek ( 3- 8, 79.5) 15- 8 -20.45 17.47 0.45 1.00 17.87
0 H Park School ( 6- 6, 84.5) 6-10 -15.38 22.54 -0.45 1.00 -15.79
0 H Mercy (12- 2, 92.0) 2-15 -7.89 30.03 -0.45 1.00 -8.31
0 H Gerstell Acade (11- 4, 90.7) 3-17 -9.17 28.75 -0.45 1.00 -9.59
0 H Mount de Sales ( 9- 5, 91.9) 3-18 -8.03 29.89 -0.45 1.00 -8.45
0 A Gerstell Acade (11- 4, 90.7) 2-16 -9.17 28.75 0.45 1.00 -8.70
------
9.19
|
winning pts = 83.4462 losing points = -74.2595
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------