Ballard
W-L: ( 4- 9) PR = 84.1702Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Atherton ( 5-14, 80.9) 10- 7 310 H North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 9-10 313 A Christian Academy ( 6- 8, 84.8) 10-15 321 A Assumption ( 7- 7, 86.8) 5- 7 322 H Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 4- 5 412 H Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 5- 8 416 A Eastern (10- 3, 97.1) 1-20 418 A South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 10- 6 422 H Paul Laurence Dunbar (14- 5, 84.7) 15-10 428 H Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 11- 9 505 A Sacred Heart Academy (15- 5, 95.6) 1-18 506 A Kentucky Country Day (19- 0, 99.9) 2-20 508 H Kentucky Country Day (19- 0, 99.9) 1-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Atherton 10- 7 3 4 -1.14
310 H North Oldham 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.42
313 A Christian Academy 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.54
321 A Assumption 5- 7 -2 -3 1.49
322 H Collins 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.13
412 H Henry Clay 5- 8 -3 -2 -1.16
416 A Eastern 1-20 -19 -14 0.00
418 A South Oldham 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 4.69
422 H Paul Laurence Dunbar 15-10 5 0 ++ 4.72
428 H Oldham County 11- 9 2 0 + 2.49
505 A Sacred Heart Academy 1-18 -17 -12 0.00
506 A Kentucky Country Day 2-20 -18 -17 0.00
508 H Kentucky Country Day 1-20 -19 -15 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H North Oldham 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.42 313 A Christian Academy 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.54 322 H Collins 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.13 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A South Oldham 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 4.69 422 H Paul Laurence Dunbar 15-10 5 0 ++ 4.72 428 H Oldham County 11- 9 2 0 + 2.49 |
Ballard Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Assumption | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Atherton | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Bowling Green | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Bryan Station | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Ballard | |
| Central Hardin | Ballard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Christian Academy | Christian Academy | Christian Academy | ||
| Collins | Collins | Collins | ||
| Cooper | Ballard | Ballard 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Dixie Heights | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| DuPont Manual | Ballard | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Ballard | |
| Eastern | Eastern | Eastern | ||
| Fern Creek | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Frederick Douglass | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Ballard | |
| Great Crossing | Ballard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Greenwood | Ballard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Henry Clay | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | ||
| Lafayette | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Ballard | |
| Lexington Catholic | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) | Ballard | |
| Lexington Christian | Ballard | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Ballard | |
| Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Male | Ballard | Ballard 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Mercy Academy | Mercy Academy | insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 4- 4) | Mercy Academy | |
| North Oldham | North Oldham | North Oldham | ||
| Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Oldham County | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Owensboro | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard | |
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Presentation Academy | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Ryle | Ballard | Ballard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | ||
| Sayre School | Sayre School | Sayre School 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Scott County | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Ballard | |
| Shelby County | Ballard | Ballard 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| South Oldham | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| South Warren | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| St Henry | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Tates Creek | Ballard | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Ballard | |
| Woodford County | Ballard | Ballard 2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
PowerWise = 28
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Atherton ( 5-14, 80.9) 10- 7 -19.05 9.25 -0.82 1.05 8.82
0 H North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 9-10 -18.33 9.96 -0.82 1.05 -20.05
0 A Christian Acad ( 6- 8, 84.8) 10-15 -15.10 13.20 0.82 1.05 -14.94
0 A Assumption ( 7- 7, 86.8) 5- 7 -13.06 15.23 0.82 1.05 -12.81
0 H Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 4- 5 -17.04 11.26 -0.82 1.05 -18.70
0 H Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 5- 8 -13.07 15.23 -0.82 1.05 -14.54
0 A Eastern (10- 3, 97.1) 1-20 -2.81 25.49 0.82 1.05 -2.08
0 A South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 10- 6 -15.86 12.44 0.82 1.05 13.88
0 H Paul Laurence (14- 5, 84.7) 15-10 -15.19 13.10 -0.82 1.05 12.86
0 H Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 11- 9 -14.42 13.88 -0.82 1.05 13.67
0 A Sacred Heart A (15- 5, 95.6) 1-18 -4.33 23.96 0.82 1.05 -3.67
0 A Kentucky Count (19- 0, 99.9) 2-20 -0.00 28.30 0.82 1.05 -0.86
0 H Kentucky Count (19- 0, 99.9) 1-20 -0.00 28.30 -0.82 1.05 -0.86
------
-39.30
|
winning pts = 49.2243 losing points = -88.5254
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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