---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Bacon/East Hampton 1
  
Bacon/East Hampton    
W-L: (11- 7) PR = 75.4159

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 A Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 13- 3 410 A Griswold-Norwich Tech ( 2-14, 69.7) 14- 2 411 H Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 15- 2 417 H Enfield ( 5-10, 73.2) 14-13 419 H New London/St Bernards ( 7-10, 72.3) 12- 7 421 A RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 12-18 422 H Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 16-12 424 A New London/St Bernards ( 7-10, 72.3) 9- 6 501 H Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 5-10 503 A Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 9-19 508 H Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 24-11 510 H Griswold-Norwich Tech ( 2-14, 69.7) 17- 7 513 A Woodstock Academy ( 3-13, 72.3) 9- 8 515 A Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 8-12 517 A Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 9-10 520 H Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 10- 9 523 A Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 4-14 531 H Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 12-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Fitch                  13- 3      10     7           0.00
   410 A Griswold-Norwich Tech  14- 2      12     5           0.05
   411 H Cromwell               15- 2      13     5           0.04
   417 H Enfield                14-13       1     3          -1.97
   419 H New London/St Bernards 12- 7       5     4           1.16
   421 A RHAM                   12-18      -6    -2    -     -2.69
   422 H Wheeler                16-12       4    -2    ++     5.69
   424 A New London/St Bernards  9- 6       3     2           0.61
   501 H Montville               5-10      -5    -1    --    -4.01
   503 A Wheeler                 9-19     -10    -3          -1.86
   508 H Fitch                  24-11      13     8           0.00
   510 H Griswold-Norwich Tech  17- 7      10     6           0.00
   513 A Woodstock Academy       9- 8       1     2          -1.36
   515 A Montville               8-12      -4    -2          -1.56
   517 A Tolland                 9-10      -1    -7    ++     4.00
   520 H Ledyard                10- 9       1    -3    +      3.51
   523 A Waterford               4-14     -10    -7           0.00
   531 H Berlin                 12-16      -4    -1    -     -3.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Montville               5-10      -5    -1    --    -4.01
   421 A RHAM                   12-18      -6    -2    -     -2.69
   531 H Berlin                 12-16      -4    -1    -     -3.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Wheeler                16-12       4    -2    ++     5.69
   517 A Tolland                 9-10      -1    -7    ++     4.00
   520 H Ledyard                10- 9       1    -3    +      3.51

Bacon/East Hampton Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Avon HS
Berlin Berlin Berlin  
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Central Bacon/East Hampton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bacon/East Hampton
Bristol Eastern Bristol Eastern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bristol Eastern
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Canton Canton   Canton
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Conard
Cromwell Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton  
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic East Catholic   4- 1 vs 2- 4
East Lyme East Lyme tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 1) East Lyme
Ellington Ellington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ellington
Enfield Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton  
EO Smith EO Smith tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) EO Smith
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington Farmington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fitch Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton  
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Griswold-Norwich Tech Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton  
Guilford Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall   Hall
Hamden Hamden   Hamden
Housatonic Regional Bacon/East Hampton   Bacon/East Hampton
Immaculate Heart Bacon/East Hampton   Bacon/East Hampton
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Bacon/East Hampton   Bacon/East Hampton
Killingly Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton   6- 2 vs 2- 5
Lakeview United Bacon/East Hampton   Bacon/East Hampton
Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall   Lauralton Hall
Ledyard Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton  
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Lewis Mills
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   Lyman Hall
Masuk Masuk   Masuk
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mercy
Middletown-Coginchaug Bacon/East Hampton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Bacon/East Hampton
Montville Montville Montville  
Morgan School Bacon/East Hampton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Bacon/East Hampton
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) New Fairfield
New London/St Bernards Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton  
New Milford Bacon/East Hampton   Bacon/East Hampton
Newington Newington insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Newington
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford North Branford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North Branford
North Haven North Haven tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Haven
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Norwalk   Norwalk
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   8- 1 vs 5- 5
Notre Dame Fairfield Bacon/East Hampton   Bacon/East Hampton
Old Lyme Old Lyme tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Old Lyme
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Pomperaug   Pomperaug
RHAM RHAM RHAM  
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Rockville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rockville
Rocky Hill Rocky Hill tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Rocky Hill
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   Sacred Heart Academy
Sheehan Sheehan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Sheehan
Shelton Shelton   Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Simsbury
Somers Somers   Somers
South Windsor South Windsor insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) South Windsor
Southington Southington insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Southington
St Joseph St Joseph insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Joseph
St Paul Catholic Bacon/East Hampton   Bacon/East Hampton
Stamford Stamford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 6- 1) Stonington
Stratford-Bunnell Bacon/East Hampton   Bacon/East Hampton
Suffield HS Suffield HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Suffield HS
Tolland Tolland Tolland  
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Bacon/East Hampton tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Bacon/East Hampton
Waterford Waterford Waterford  
Watertown Bacon/East Hampton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bacon/East Hampton
West Haven Bacon/East Hampton   Bacon/East Hampton
Westhill Westhill   Westhill
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Bacon/East Hampton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Bacon/East Hampton
Wheeler Wheeler insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) Wheeler
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Wolcott Bacon/East Hampton   Bacon/East Hampton
Woodstock Academy Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton  

PowerWise = 25


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Fitch           ( 0-15, 67.7)    13- 3      -32.17       2.64       0.73         0.97             3.27
   0 A Griswold-Norwi  ( 2-14, 69.7)    14- 2      -30.16       4.65       0.73         0.97             5.23
   0 H Cromwell        ( 1-14, 71.2)    15- 2      -28.72       6.09      -0.73         0.97             5.21
   0 H Enfield         ( 5-10, 73.2)    14-13      -26.72       8.08      -0.73         0.97             7.16
   0 H New London/St   ( 7-10, 72.3)    12- 7      -27.60       7.21      -0.73         0.97             6.30
   0 A RHAM            ( 6-10, 77.0)    12-18      -22.90      11.91       0.73         0.97           -21.56
   0 H Wheeler         (12- 6, 77.8)    16-12      -22.07      12.74      -0.73         0.97            11.68
   0 A New London/St   ( 7-10, 72.3)     9- 6      -27.60       7.21       0.73         0.97             7.72
   0 H Montville       (11- 7, 77.1)     5-10      -22.77      12.04      -0.73         0.97           -22.85
   0 A Wheeler         (12- 6, 77.8)     9-19      -22.07      12.74       0.73         0.97           -20.76
   0 H Fitch           ( 0-15, 67.7)    24-11      -32.17       2.64      -0.73         0.97             1.86
   0 H Griswold-Norwi  ( 2-14, 69.7)    17- 7      -30.16       4.65      -0.73         0.97             3.82
   0 A Woodstock Acad  ( 3-13, 72.3)     9- 8      -27.57       7.24       0.73         0.97             7.75
   0 A Montville       (11- 7, 77.1)     8-12      -22.77      12.04       0.73         0.97           -21.43
   0 A Tolland         (14- 4, 81.2)     9-10      -18.71      16.10       0.73         0.97           -17.48
   0 H Ledyard         ( 9- 8, 78.7)    10- 9      -21.24      13.56      -0.73         0.97            12.49
   0 A Waterford       (12- 7, 81.5)     4-14      -18.44      16.37       0.73         0.97           -17.23
   0 H Berlin          ( 9-10, 77.0)    12-16      -22.91      11.90      -0.73         0.97           -22.99
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -71.81

winning pts = 72.4869 losing points = -144.3018

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------