Avon
W-L: (12- 6) PR = 87.6117Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Strongsville (13- 6, 91.8) 8-12 322 H Boardman ( 2-15, 78.0) 17- 5 401 A Westlake (11- 8, 83.2) 9- 2 403 A Rocky River (13- 7, 90.0) 10-15 404 H Riverside ( 9-10, 82.2) 17- 8 408 H Bay (10-12, 89.0) 4-16 410 A Brunswick ( 9-11, 84.4) 15- 9 415 H Avon Lake ( 4-11, 85.0) 8- 5 417 A Cleveland Heights ( 6-10, 85.8) 14-10 426 H Cuyahoga Valley Christ ( 7- 8, 82.7) 8- 5 426 H Copley (15- 3, 88.7) 5- 8 429 A Magnificat (10- 9, 89.3) 7- 9 501 H St Joseph Academy (13- 6, 86.3) 13-11 503 A Perrysburg ( 5-11, 79.9) 14- 4 505 H Olmsted Falls ( 7- 9, 84.8) 11- 6 509 A Highland (12- 7, 84.2) 18- 7 515 A Cleveland Heights ( 6-10, 85.8) 12-11 522 H Medina (11- 5, 93.3) 6-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Strongsville 8-12 -4 -5 0.86
322 H Boardman 17- 5 12 10 0.00
401 A Westlake 9- 2 7 4 1.28
403 A Rocky River 10-15 -5 -3 -1.94
404 H Riverside 17- 8 9 6 0.00
408 H Bay 4-16 -12 -1 -- -4.28
410 A Brunswick 15- 9 6 3 + 2.43
415 H Avon Lake 8- 5 3 3 -0.25
417 A Cleveland Heights 14-10 4 1 + 2.87
426 H Cuyahoga Valley Christ 8- 5 3 6 - -2.00
426 H Copley 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.53
429 A Magnificat 7- 9 -2 -2 0.38
501 H St Joseph Academy 13-11 2 2 0.06
503 A Perrysburg 14- 4 10 7 0.00
505 H Olmsted Falls 11- 6 5 3 1.56
509 A Highland 18- 7 11 3 + 2.28
515 A Cleveland Heights 12-11 1 1 -0.13
522 H Medina 6-12 -6 -5 -0.01
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Bay 4-16 -12 -1 -- -4.28 426 H Cuyahoga Valley Christ 8- 5 3 6 - -2.00 426 H Copley 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Brunswick 15- 9 6 3 + 2.43 417 A Cleveland Heights 14-10 4 1 + 2.87 509 A Highland 18- 7 11 3 + 2.28 |
Avon Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | Avon | Avon | ||
| Anthony Wayne | Avon | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Avon | |
| Archbishop Alter | Avon | Avon | ||
| Archbishop Hoban | Avon | Avon 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Archbishop McNicholas | Avon | Avon | ||
| Aurora | Avon | Avon 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Avon Lake | Avon | Avon | ||
| Bay | Bay | Bay | ||
| Beaumont School | Avon | Avon 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Beavercreek | Avon | Avon | ||
| Bellbrook | Avon | Avon | ||
| Bexley | Bexley | Bexley | ||
| Big Walnut | Avon | Avon | ||
| Bishop Fenwick | Avon | Avon | ||
| Bishop Hartley | Avon | Avon | ||
| Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Boardman | Avon | Avon | ||
| Brecksville-Broadview | Brecksville-Broadview | tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) | Brecksville-Broadview | |
| Brunswick | Avon | Avon | ||
| Buckeye Valley | Avon | Avon | ||
| Canfield | Avon | Avon 3- 0 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Avon | Avon 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Carroll | Avon | Avon | ||
| Centerville | Centerville | Centerville | ||
| Chagrin Falls | Chagrin Falls | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Chagrin Falls | |
| Chaminade-Julienne | Avon | Avon | ||
| Chardon | Chardon | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Chardon | |
| Chillicothe | Avon | Avon | ||
| Cincinnati CDS | Avon | Avon | ||
| Cincinnati Hills Christi | Cincinnati Hills Christi | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Cincinnati Hills Christi | |
| Clay | Avon | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Avon | |
| Cleveland Heights | Avon | Avon | ||
| Columbus Academy | Columbus Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Columbus Academy | |
| Columbus SG | Columbus SG | Columbus SG | ||
| Copley | Copley | Copley | ||
| Cuyahoga Valley Christia | Avon | Avon | ||
| Delaware Hayes | Avon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Avon | |
| Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman | ||
| Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome | ||
| Dublin Scioto | Avon | Avon | ||
| Edgewood | Avon | Avon | ||
| Fairfield | Avon | Avon | ||
| Fairmont | Avon | Avon | ||
| Findlay | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Gahanna Lincoln | Avon | Avon | ||
| Gilmour Academy | Avon | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Avon | |
| GlenOak | Avon | Avon 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Granville | Avon | Avon | ||
| Green | Avon | Avon 5- 1 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Grove City | Avon | Avon | ||
| Hathaway Brown | Hathaway Brown | Hathaway Brown 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Hathaway Brown B | Avon | Avon | ||
| Hawken School | Avon | Avon 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Highland | Avon | Avon | ||
| Hilliard Bradley | Avon | Avon | ||
| Hilliard Darby | Hilliard Darby | Hilliard Darby | ||
| Hilliard Davidson | Avon | Avon | ||
| Holy Name | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Hudson | Hudson | Hudson 7- 0 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Indian Hill | Indian Hill | Indian Hill | ||
| Jackson Massillon | Jackson Massillon | Jackson Massillon 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Jonathan Alder | Avon | Avon | ||
| Kenston | Avon | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Avon | |
| Kent Roosevelt | Avon | Avon 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Kings | Kings | Kings | ||
| Lake | Avon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Avon | |
| Lake Catholic | Avon | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Avon | |
| Lakewood | Avon | Avon 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lakota East | Avon | Avon | ||
| Lakota West | Lakota West | Lakota West | ||
| Laurel School | Avon | Avon 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Lebanon | Lebanon | Lebanon | ||
| Lima | Avon | Avon | ||
| Little Miami | Avon | Avon | ||
| Louisville | Avon | Avon 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Loveland | Avon | Avon | ||
| Madeira | Avon | Avon | ||
| Magnificat | Magnificat | Magnificat | ||
| Mariemont | Mariemont | Mariemont | ||
| Marysville | Avon | Avon | ||
| Mason | Avon | Avon | ||
| Maumee Valley CDS | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Avon | |
| Medina | Medina | Medina | ||
| Mentor | Avon | Avon 5- 2 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Mercy McAuley | Avon | Avon | ||
| Miami Valley School | Avon | Avon | ||
| Miamisburg | Avon | Avon | ||
| Milford | Milford | Milford | ||
| Mt Notre Dame | Avon | Avon | ||
| New Albany | New Albany | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Albany | |
| Newark | Avon | Avon | ||
| Northmont | Avon | Avon | ||
| Notre Dame Academy | Avon | Avon 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Notre Dame-Cathedral Lat | Avon | Avon 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Oak Hills | Avon | Avon | ||
| Oakwood | Avon | Avon | ||
| Olentangy | Olentangy | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Olentangy | |
| Olentangy Berlin | Avon | Avon | ||
| Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Olentangy Liberty | |
| Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Olentangy Orange | |
| Olmsted Falls | Avon | Avon | ||
| Orange | Avon | Avon 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ottawa Hills | Avon | Avon 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Padua Franciscan | Avon | Avon 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Perrysburg | Avon | Avon | ||
| Pickerington Central | Pickerington Central | Pickerington Central | ||
| Pickerington North | Pickerington North | Pickerington North | ||
| Poland Seminary | Avon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Avon | |
| Princeton | Avon | Avon | ||
| Revere | Revere | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) | Revere | |
| Riverside | Avon | Avon | ||
| Rocky River | Rocky River | Rocky River | ||
| Roger Bacon | Avon | Avon | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| Seven Hills School | Avon | Avon | ||
| Shaker Heights | Avon | Avon 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Solon | Avon | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Avon | |
| Southeast | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Springboro | Springboro | Springboro | ||
| St Francis DeSales | St Francis DeSales | St Francis DeSales 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Joseph Academy | Avon | Avon | ||
| St Ursula Cincinnati | Avon | Avon | ||
| St Ursula Toledo | Avon | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Avon | |
| St Vincent-St Mary | Avon | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Avon | |
| Stow-Munroe Falls | Avon | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Avon | |
| Strongsville | Strongsville | Strongsville | ||
| Summit CDS | Avon | Avon | ||
| Sycamore | Sycamore | Sycamore | ||
| Sylvania Northview | Avon | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Avon | |
| Sylvania Southview | Avon | Avon 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Thomas Worthington | |
| Tippecanoe | Avon | Avon | ||
| Toledo Central Catholic | Avon | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Turpin | Turpin | Turpin | ||
| Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Upper Arlington | |
| Ursuline Academy | Ursuline Academy | Ursuline Academy | ||
| Wadsworth | Avon | Avon 4- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Walnut Hills | Avon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon | |
| Walsh Jesuit | Walsh Jesuit | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Walsh Jesuit | |
| Waynesville | Avon | Avon | ||
| Wellington School | Avon | Avon | ||
| West Geauga | Avon | Avon | ||
| Western Reserve Academy | Western Reserve Academy | Western Reserve Academy 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Westerville Central | Avon | Avon | ||
| Westerville North | Avon | Avon | ||
| Westerville South | Avon | Avon | ||
| Westlake | Avon | Avon | ||
| Wooster | Wooster | tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) | Wooster | |
| Worthington Kilbourne | Worthington Kilbourne | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Worthington Kilbourne | |
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming |
PowerWise = 103
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.74
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Strongsville (13- 6, 91.8) 8-12 -8.10 23.59 0.66 0.93 -6.91
0 H Boardman ( 2-15, 78.0) 17- 5 -21.85 9.83 -0.66 0.93 8.52
0 A Westlake (11- 8, 83.2) 9- 2 -16.68 15.01 0.66 0.93 14.57
0 A Rocky River (13- 7, 90.0) 10-15 -9.89 21.80 0.66 0.93 -8.58
0 H Riverside ( 9-10, 82.2) 17- 8 -17.70 13.99 -0.66 0.93 12.39
0 H Bay (10-12, 89.0) 4-16 -10.91 20.78 -0.66 0.93 -10.76
0 A Brunswick ( 9-11, 84.4) 15- 9 -15.52 16.16 0.66 0.93 15.65
0 H Avon Lake ( 4-11, 85.0) 8- 5 -14.87 16.81 -0.66 0.93 15.02
0 A Cleveland Heig ( 6-10, 85.8) 14-10 -14.08 17.60 0.66 0.93 16.98
0 H Cuyahoga Valle ( 7- 8, 82.7) 8- 5 -17.20 14.49 -0.66 0.93 12.85
0 H Copley (15- 3, 88.7) 5- 8 -11.15 20.53 -0.66 0.93 -10.99
0 A Magnificat (10- 9, 89.3) 7- 9 -10.58 21.11 0.66 0.93 -9.22
0 H St Joseph Acad (13- 6, 86.3) 13-11 -13.56 18.12 -0.66 0.93 16.23
0 A Perrysburg ( 5-11, 79.9) 14- 4 -20.04 11.64 0.66 0.93 11.44
0 H Olmsted Falls ( 7- 9, 84.8) 11- 6 -15.07 16.62 -0.66 0.93 14.83
0 A Highland (12- 7, 84.2) 18- 7 -15.67 16.01 0.66 0.93 15.51
0 A Cleveland Heig ( 6-10, 85.8) 12-11 -14.08 17.60 0.66 0.93 16.98
0 H Medina (11- 5, 93.3) 6-12 -6.63 25.05 -0.66 0.93 -6.79
------
117.75
|
winning pts = 170.9834 losing points = -53.2371
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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