Avon HS
W-L: ( 1-14) PR = 78.0957Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 4-18 407 H Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 9-10 422 A Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 10-12 425 H Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 4-18 428 A Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 9-10 501 H Suffield HS (19- 2, 85.4) 6-16 503 A Guilford ( 8- 9, 82.9) 4-12 505 A Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 4-11 507 A RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 12-11 513 A South Windsor ( 3-12, 77.5) 9-10 514 A Ellington (10- 9, 81.7) 3-13 516 H Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 6- 7 520 H Simsbury (17- 2, 91.0) 0-15 523 A Northwest Catholic ( 8-11, 78.4) 8-12 524 A Somers (13- 7, 81.3) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 A Southington 4-18 -14 -4 -0.64
407 H Glastonbury 9-10 -1 -3 1.60
422 A Berlin 10-12 -2 0 - -2.38
425 H Conard 4-18 -14 -14 0.00
428 A Tolland 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.83
501 H Suffield HS 6-16 -10 -7 0.00
503 A Guilford 4-12 -8 -6 0.00
505 A Hall 4-11 -7 -6 0.00
507 A RHAM 12-11 1 0 0.63
513 A South Windsor 9-10 -1 0 -0.84
514 A Ellington 3-13 -10 -4 -0.62
516 H Farmington 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.47
520 H Simsbury 0-15 -15 -12 0.00
523 A Northwest Catholic 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.97
524 A Somers 6-16 -10 -4 -1.10
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Berlin 10-12 -2 0 - -2.38 523 A Northwest Catholic 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.97 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 A Tolland 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.83 516 H Farmington 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.47 |
Avon HS Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Avon HS | |
| Berlin | Berlin | Berlin | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Branford | Branford 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Brien McMahon | |
| Bristol Central | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Canton | Canton | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Canton | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Danbury | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic 3- 4 vs 1- 6 | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Enfield | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| EO Smith | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Avon HS | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Foran | Foran | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Foran | |
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Greenwich HS | |
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Avon HS | |
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Housatonic Regional | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Immaculate Heart | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Joel Barlow | |
| Jonathan Law | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Killingly | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Lakeview United | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ledyard | Ledyard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ledyard | |
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Masuk | |
| Mercy | Mercy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mercy | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Montville | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Morgan School | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| New London/St Bernards | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| New Milford | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Newington | Avon HS | tied - ( 1- 7) ( 1- 7) | Avon HS | |
| Newtown | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| North Haven | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Norwalk | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Old Lyme | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Old Saybrook | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| RHAM | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ridgefield | |
| Rockville | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Avon HS | |
| Rocky Hill | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) | Avon HS | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | Sheehan | ||
| Shelton | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | Somers | ||
| South Windsor | South Windsor | South Windsor | ||
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Joseph | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | St Joseph | |
| St Paul Catholic | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Staples | |
| Stonington | Stonington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stonington | |
| Stratford-Bunnell | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | Suffield HS | ||
| Tolland | Tolland | Tolland | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Trumbull | |
| Valley Regional | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Waterford | |
| Watertown | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| West Haven | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Westhill | Westhill | Westhill | ||
| Weston | Weston | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Wheeler | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Wolcott | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Avon HS | |
| Woodstock Academy | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon HS |
PowerWise = 41
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 4-18 -18.17 16.64 0.73 1.17 -20.35
0 H Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 9-10 -18.48 16.33 -0.73 1.17 -22.41
0 A Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 10-12 -22.91 11.90 0.73 1.17 -25.89
0 H Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 4-18 -7.57 27.24 -0.73 1.17 -9.68
0 A Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 9-10 -18.71 16.10 0.73 1.17 -20.98
0 H Suffield HS (19- 2, 85.4) 6-16 -14.54 20.27 -0.73 1.17 -17.82
0 A Guilford ( 8- 9, 82.9) 4-12 -17.00 17.81 0.73 1.17 -18.99
0 A Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 4-11 -16.99 17.82 0.73 1.17 -18.98
0 A RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 12-11 -22.90 11.91 0.73 1.17 14.75
0 A South Windsor ( 3-12, 77.5) 9-10 -22.37 12.44 0.73 1.17 -25.26
0 A Ellington (10- 9, 81.7) 3-13 -18.15 16.66 0.73 1.17 -20.34
0 H Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 6- 7 -16.60 18.20 -0.73 1.17 -20.22
0 H Simsbury (17- 2, 91.0) 0-15 -8.92 25.89 -0.73 1.17 -11.26
0 A Northwest Cath ( 8-11, 78.4) 8-12 -21.50 13.31 0.73 1.17 -24.24
0 A Somers (13- 7, 81.3) 6-16 -18.63 16.18 0.73 1.17 -20.89
------
-262.57
|
winning pts = 14.7465 losing points = -277.3159
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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