Avon Lake
W-L: ( 4-11) PR = 85.0290Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 325 A Olmsted Falls ( 7- 9, 84.8) 17- 6 327 H Rocky River (13- 7, 90.0) 4-19 401 H Brunswick ( 9-11, 84.4) 7-10 404 A Perrysburg ( 5-11, 79.9) 14- 4 405 A Copley (15- 3, 88.7) 7-15 408 H Westlake (11- 8, 83.2) 6- 3 410 H Bay (10-12, 89.0) 9-10 412 A Brecksville-Broadview (14- 5, 88.1) 6-11 415 A Avon (12- 6, 87.6) 5- 8 503 A Chagrin Falls (12- 4, 88.7) 5-12 506 H Walsh Jesuit (13- 6, 89.2) 9-13 510 A Magnificat (10- 9, 89.3) 11-17 513 A Wooster (10- 9, 88.4) 10-16 515 H Notre Dame Academy ( 2- 8, 77.9) 20- 6 519 A Walsh Jesuit (13- 6, 89.2) 6-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
325 A Olmsted Falls 17- 6 11 0 ++ 5.47
327 H Rocky River 4-19 -15 -4 -0.68
401 H Brunswick 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.31
404 A Perrysburg 14- 4 10 5 0.49
405 A Copley 7-15 -8 -4 -0.62
408 H Westlake 6- 3 3 2 0.53
410 H Bay 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.30
412 A Brecksville-Broadview 6-11 -5 -4 -1.23
415 A Avon 5- 8 -3 -3 0.25
503 A Chagrin Falls 5-12 -7 -4 -0.62
506 H Walsh Jesuit 9-13 -4 -4 -0.45
510 A Magnificat 11-17 -6 -5 -0.04
513 A Wooster 10-16 -6 -4 -0.95
515 H Notre Dame Academy 20- 6 14 8 0.00
519 A Walsh Jesuit 6-17 -11 -5 -0.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Brunswick 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.31 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Olmsted Falls 17- 6 11 0 ++ 5.47 410 H Bay 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.30 |
Avon Lake Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Anthony Wayne | Avon Lake | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Archbishop Alter | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Archbishop Hoban | Avon Lake | Avon Lake 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Archbishop McNicholas | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Aurora | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| Avon | Avon | Avon | ||
| Bay | Bay | Bay | ||
| Beaumont School | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Beavercreek | Beavercreek | Beavercreek | ||
| Bellbrook | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Bexley | Bexley | Bexley | ||
| Big Walnut | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Bishop Fenwick | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Bishop Hartley | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Boardman | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Brecksville-Broadview | Brecksville-Broadview | Brecksville-Broadview | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Buckeye Valley | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Canfield | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Carroll | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Centerville | Centerville | Centerville | ||
| Chagrin Falls | Chagrin Falls | Chagrin Falls | ||
| Chaminade-Julienne | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Chardon | Chardon | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Chardon | |
| Chillicothe | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Cincinnati CDS | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Cincinnati Hills Christi | Cincinnati Hills Christi | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cincinnati Hills Christi | |
| Clay | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Cleveland Heights | Cleveland Heights | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Cleveland Heights | |
| Columbus Academy | Columbus Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Columbus Academy | |
| Columbus SG | Columbus SG | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Columbus SG | |
| Copley | Copley | Copley | ||
| Cuyahoga Valley Christia | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| Delaware Hayes | Avon Lake | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Avon Lake | |
| Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman | ||
| Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome | ||
| Dublin Scioto | Dublin Scioto | Dublin Scioto | ||
| Edgewood | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Fairfield | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Fairmont | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Findlay | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Gahanna Lincoln | Gahanna Lincoln | Gahanna Lincoln | ||
| Gilmour Academy | Avon Lake | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| GlenOak | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Granville | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Green | Avon Lake | Avon Lake 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Grove City | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Hathaway Brown | Hathaway Brown | Hathaway Brown 4- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Hathaway Brown B | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Hawken School | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Avon Lake | |
| Highland | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Avon Lake | |
| Hilliard Bradley | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Hilliard Darby | Hilliard Darby | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hilliard Darby | |
| Hilliard Davidson | Hilliard Davidson | Hilliard Davidson | ||
| Holy Name | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Hudson | Hudson | Hudson 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Indian Hill | Indian Hill | Indian Hill | ||
| Jackson Massillon | Jackson Massillon | Jackson Massillon 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Jonathan Alder | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Kenston | Kenston | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kenston | |
| Kent Roosevelt | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Avon Lake | |
| Kings | Kings | Kings | ||
| Lake | Lake | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Lake | |
| Lake Catholic | Lake Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Catholic | |
| Lakewood | Avon Lake | Avon Lake 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lakota East | Lakota East | Lakota East | ||
| Lakota West | Lakota West | Lakota West | ||
| Laurel School | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Lebanon | Lebanon | Lebanon | ||
| Lima | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Little Miami | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Louisville | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Loveland | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Madeira | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Magnificat | Magnificat | Magnificat | ||
| Mariemont | Mariemont | Mariemont | ||
| Marysville | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Mason | Mason | Mason | ||
| Maumee Valley CDS | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| Medina | Medina | Medina 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Mentor | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Mercy McAuley | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Miami Valley School | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Miamisburg | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Milford | Milford | Milford | ||
| Mt Notre Dame | Mt Notre Dame | Mt Notre Dame | ||
| New Albany | New Albany | New Albany | ||
| Newark | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Northmont | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Notre Dame Academy | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Notre Dame-Cathedral Lat | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| Oak Hills | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Oakwood | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Olentangy | Olentangy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Olentangy | |
| Olentangy Berlin | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty | ||
| Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | ||
| Olmsted Falls | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Orange | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Ottawa Hills | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Padua Franciscan | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Perrysburg | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Pickerington Central | Pickerington Central | Pickerington Central | ||
| Pickerington North | Pickerington North | Pickerington North | ||
| Poland Seminary | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Princeton | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Revere | Revere | Revere 2- 4 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Riverside | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Rocky River | Rocky River | Rocky River | ||
| Roger Bacon | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| Seven Hills School | Seven Hills School | Seven Hills School | ||
| Shaker Heights | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| Solon | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Avon Lake | |
| Southeast | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Springboro | Springboro | Springboro | ||
| St Francis DeSales | St Francis DeSales | St Francis DeSales 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Joseph Academy | St Joseph Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | St Joseph Academy | |
| St Ursula Cincinnati | St Ursula Cincinnati | St Ursula Cincinnati | ||
| St Ursula Toledo | Avon Lake | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Avon Lake | |
| St Vincent-St Mary | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Stow-Munroe Falls | Avon Lake | insuffient: ( 0- 6)( 1- 5) | Avon Lake | |
| Strongsville | Strongsville | Strongsville 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Summit CDS | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Sycamore | Sycamore | Sycamore | ||
| Sylvania Northview | Avon Lake | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Sylvania Southview | Avon Lake | Avon Lake 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | ||
| Tippecanoe | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Toledo Central Catholic | Avon Lake | Avon Lake 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Turpin | Turpin | Turpin | ||
| Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | ||
| Ursuline Academy | Ursuline Academy | Ursuline Academy | ||
| Wadsworth | Avon Lake | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Avon Lake | |
| Walnut Hills | Walnut Hills | Walnut Hills | ||
| Walsh Jesuit | Walsh Jesuit | Walsh Jesuit | ||
| Waynesville | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Wellington School | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| West Geauga | Avon Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon Lake | |
| Western Reserve Academy | Western Reserve Academy | Western Reserve Academy 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Westerville Central | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Westerville North | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Westerville South | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Westlake | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Wooster | Wooster | Wooster | ||
| Worthington Kilbourne | Worthington Kilbourne | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Worthington Kilbourne | |
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming |
PowerWise = 85
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.74
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Olmsted Falls ( 7- 9, 84.8) 17- 6 -15.07 16.62 0.66 1.12 19.28
0 H Rocky River (13- 7, 90.0) 4-19 -9.89 21.80 -0.66 1.12 -11.77
0 H Brunswick ( 9-11, 84.4) 7-10 -15.52 16.16 -0.66 1.12 -18.06
0 A Perrysburg ( 5-11, 79.9) 14- 4 -20.04 11.64 0.66 1.12 13.73
0 A Copley (15- 3, 88.7) 7-15 -11.15 20.53 0.66 1.12 -11.71
0 H Westlake (11- 8, 83.2) 6- 3 -16.68 15.01 -0.66 1.12 16.00
0 H Bay (10-12, 89.0) 9-10 -10.91 20.78 -0.66 1.12 -12.91
0 A Brecksville-Br (14- 5, 88.1) 6-11 -11.76 19.92 0.66 1.12 -12.39
0 A Avon (12- 6, 87.6) 5- 8 -12.29 19.40 0.66 1.12 -12.97
0 A Chagrin Falls (12- 4, 88.7) 5-12 -11.15 20.53 0.66 1.12 -11.70
0 H Walsh Jesuit (13- 6, 89.2) 9-13 -10.66 21.02 -0.66 1.12 -12.64
0 A Magnificat (10- 9, 89.3) 11-17 -10.58 21.11 0.66 1.12 -11.06
0 A Wooster (10- 9, 88.4) 10-16 -11.49 20.20 0.66 1.12 -12.08
0 H Notre Dame Aca ( 2- 8, 77.9) 20- 6 -21.95 9.73 -0.66 1.12 10.12
0 A Walsh Jesuit (13- 6, 89.2) 6-17 -10.66 21.02 0.66 1.12 -11.15
------
-79.30
|
winning pts = 59.1348 losing points = -138.4339
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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