---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:01 PDT

safe3step girls Austin 1
  
Austin                
W-L: ( 5- 6) PR = 88.2422

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 123 H Westwood (10- 3, 88.6) 13- 5 203 H Cedar Park ( 6- 5, 84.7) 13- 1 212 A Dripping Springs ( 5- 9, 84.8) 19- 5 303 A St Andrews ES ( 4-10, 89.0) 11-10 307 H Westlake ( 7- 3, 91.6) 11-13 311 A St Michaels Academy ( 6- 5, 89.4) 12-18 405 A Prosper ( 4- 8, 90.0) 10-11 408 A Anderson (12- 1, 94.6) 7-20 415 A Lake Travis ( 3-10, 84.2) 10- 5 417 A Vandegrift ( 3- 7, 85.3) 12-16 429 H St Andrews ES ( 4-10, 89.0) 6-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   123 H Westwood               13- 5       8     1    ++     4.42
   203 H Cedar Park             13- 1      12     4           0.54
   212 A Dripping Springs       19- 5      14     3    +      2.50
   303 A St Andrews ES          11-10       1    -2    +      2.68
   307 H Westlake               11-13      -2    -2           0.49
   311 A St Michaels Academy    12-18      -6    -2    -     -2.92
   405 A Prosper                10-11      -1    -3           1.67
   408 A Anderson                7-20     -13    -7           0.00
   415 A Lake Travis            10- 5       5     3           1.83
   417 A Vandegrift             12-16      -4     2    ---   -6.04
   429 H St Andrews ES           6-17     -11     0    --    -5.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Vandegrift             12-16      -4     2    ---   -6.04
   429 H St Andrews ES           6-17     -11     0    --    -5.15
   311 A St Michaels Academy    12-18      -6    -2    -     -2.92

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   123 H Westwood               13- 5       8     1    ++     4.42
   212 A Dripping Springs       19- 5      14     3    +      2.50
   303 A St Andrews ES          11-10       1    -2    +      2.68

Austin Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alamo Heights Alamo Heights tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alamo Heights
Allen Austin   Austin
Anderson Anderson Anderson  
Antonian College Prep Austin   Austin
Atascocita Austin   Austin
Awty International Austin   Austin
Bellaire Austin   Austin
Bishop Lynch Austin   Austin
Boerne Austin   Austin
Bowie Austin Austin   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Bridge LC Austin insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin
Canyon Austin   Austin
Cedar Park Austin Austin  
Clear Springs Austin   Austin
Coppell Austin   Austin
Cy-Fair Cy-Fair tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cy-Fair
Dripping Springs Austin Austin  
Duchesne Academy Austin insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Austin
Emery-Weiner School Austin   Austin
Episcopal Dallas Episcopal Dallas Episcopal Dallas   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Episcopal Houston Episcopal Houston tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Episcopal Houston
Flower Mound Flower Mound tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Flower Mound
Friendswood Austin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Austin
Frisco Frisco Frisco   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Grapevine Austin   Austin
Greenhill School Austin insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Austin
Highland Park Highland Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Highland Park
Hockaday Hockaday insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Hockaday
Houston Christian Austin   Austin
John Paul II Austin   Austin
Katy Austin   Austin
Keller Keller tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Keller
Kingwood Austin   Austin
Kinkaid School Kinkaid School tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Kinkaid School
Klein Austin   Austin
Lake Travis Austin Austin  
Lamar Lamar tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Lamar
LASA Austin Austin   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lovejoy Lovejoy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Lovejoy
McKinney Austin insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin
Memorial Houston Memorial Houston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memorial Houston
Parish Episcopal Austin insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Austin
Plano Austin   Austin
Prosper Prosper Prosper  
Reagan Austin   Austin
Regents School Austin Austin Austin   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Rockwall Rockwall insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rockwall
Smithson Valley Austin   Austin
Southlake Carroll Southlake Carroll Southlake Carroll   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Agnes Academy St Agnes Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Agnes Academy
St Andrews ES St Andrews ES tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) St Andrews ES
St Francis St Francis   St Francis
St Johns St Johns insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) St Johns
St Marys Hall Austin   Austin
St Michaels Academy St Michaels Academy St Michaels Academy  
St Pius X Austin   Austin
St Stephens ES St Stephens ES insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 2) St Stephens ES
Stratford Austin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Austin
TMI Episcopal Austin insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Austin
Ursuline Academy Austin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Austin
Vandegrift Vandegrift Vandegrift  
Village School Austin   Austin
Westlake Westlake Westlake  
Westwood Austin Austin  
Woodlands Woodlands insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Woodlands

PowerWise = 39


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.27

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Westwood        (10- 3, 88.6)    13- 5      -11.33      12.90      -0.91         1.02            12.28
   0 H Cedar Park      ( 6- 5, 84.7)    13- 1      -15.20       9.02      -0.91         1.02             8.31
   0 A Dripping Sprin  ( 5- 9, 84.8)    19- 5      -15.07       9.15       0.91         1.02            10.31
   0 A St Andrews ES   ( 4-10, 89.0)    11-10      -10.90      13.33       0.91         1.02            14.60
   0 H Westlake        ( 7- 3, 91.6)    11-13       -8.25      15.97      -0.91         1.02            -9.39
   0 A St Michaels Ac  ( 6- 5, 89.4)    12-18      -10.49      13.73       0.91         1.02            -9.82
   0 A Prosper         ( 4- 8, 90.0)    10-11       -9.91      14.32       0.91         1.02            -9.21
   0 A Anderson        (12- 1, 94.6)     7-20       -5.26      18.97       0.91         1.02            -4.45
   0 A Lake Travis     ( 3-10, 84.2)    10- 5      -15.74       8.49       0.91         1.02             9.63
   0 A Vandegrift      ( 3- 7, 85.3)    12-16      -14.61       9.61       0.91         1.02           -14.04
   0 H St Andrews ES   ( 4-10, 89.0)     6-17      -10.90      13.33      -0.91         1.02           -12.10
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -3.89

winning pts = 55.1296 losing points = -59.0197

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------