---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:02 PDT

safe3step girls Auburn-Riverside 1
  
Auburn-Riverside      
W-L: ( 3- 8) PR = 81.2332

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 313 H Sumner ( 6- 7, 93.4) 2-20 318 A Puyallup (13- 1, 95.7) 5-19 320 H Garfield ( 4- 8, 81.0) 14- 4 325 A Graham-Kapowsin ( 1-10, 77.4) 8- 8 331 A Curtis ( 5- 6, 87.8) 5-12 403 H Peninsula SD ( 6- 5, 88.1) 6-18 417 H Bellarmine Prep ( 8- 4, 91.1) 4-16 419 H Evergreen ( 2- 9, 77.3) 21- 6 423 A Tahoma ( 7- 6, 85.3) 8-15 426 A Klahowya ( 1- 9, 76.3) 20- 6 428 H Shoreline ( 8- 4, 85.0) 10-18 502 A Stadium (11- 2, 91.5) 5-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Sumner                  2-20     -18   -12           0.00
   318 A Puyallup                5-19     -14   -15           0.00
   320 H Garfield               14- 4      10     1    ++     4.21
   325 A Graham-Kapowsin         8- 8       0     3    -     -3.33
   331 A Curtis                  5-12      -7    -7           0.00
   403 H Peninsula SD            6-18     -12    -6           0.00
   417 H Bellarmine Prep         4-16     -12    -9           0.00
   419 H Evergreen              21- 6      15     4           0.58
   423 A Tahoma                  8-15      -7    -5          -0.39
   426 A Klahowya               20- 6      14     4           0.64
   428 H Shoreline              10-18      -8    -3          -1.76
   502 A Stadium                 5-17     -12   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Graham-Kapowsin         8- 8       0     3    -     -3.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Garfield               14- 4      10     1    ++     4.21

Auburn-Riverside Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anacortes Anacortes   Anacortes
Bainbridge Island Bainbridge Island Bainbridge Island   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Ballard Ballard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Ballard
Bellarmine Prep Bellarmine Prep Bellarmine Prep  
Bellevue Bellevue insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bellevue
Big Cat Auburn-Riverside   Auburn-Riverside
Bishop Blanchet Bishop Blanchet tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop Blanchet
Camas Camas   Camas
Curtis Curtis Curtis  
Eastlake Eastlake   Eastlake
Eastside Catholic Eastside Catholic Eastside Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Evergreen Auburn-Riverside Auburn-Riverside  
Garfield Auburn-Riverside Auburn-Riverside  
Gonzaga Prep Gonzaga Prep tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Gonzaga Prep
Graham-Kapowsin Auburn-Riverside Auburn-Riverside   3- 7 vs 1- 9
Holy Names Academy Holy Names Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Holy Names Academy
Issaquah Issaquah insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Issaquah
Kamiakin Auburn-Riverside   Auburn-Riverside
Kennedy Kennedy insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Kennedy
Klahowya Auburn-Riverside Auburn-Riverside  
Lakeside School Lakeside School Lakeside School   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lincoln Auburn-Riverside insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Auburn-Riverside
Mercer Island Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Mount Si Mount Si insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Mount Si
Nathan Hale/Ingraham Nathan Hale/Ingraham tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Nathan Hale/Ingraham
Newport Sammamish Interl Newport Sammamish Interl insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Newport Sammamish Interl
Northshore Northshore insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northshore
Overlake Overlake tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Overlake
Peninsula SD Peninsula SD Peninsula SD  
Puyallup Puyallup Puyallup  
Richland Hanford Richland Hanford   Richland Hanford
Roosevelt Roosevelt tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Roosevelt
Sandpoint Sandpoint   Sandpoint
Seattle Academy Seattle Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Seattle Academy
Seattle Prep Seattle Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Seattle Prep
Shoreline Shoreline Shoreline  
Snohomish Snohomish Snohomish   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Spokane Spokane   Spokane
Squalicum Squalicum   Squalicum
Stadium Stadium Stadium  
Stanwood Auburn-Riverside insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Auburn-Riverside
Sumner Sumner Sumner  
Tahoma Tahoma Tahoma  
West Seattle West Seattle insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 3) West Seattle
Woodinville Woodinville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Woodinville

PowerWise = 8


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.30

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Sumner          ( 6- 7, 93.4)     2-20       -6.53      17.23      -0.53         1.03            -7.25
   0 A Puyallup        (13- 1, 95.7)     5-19       -4.23      19.54       0.53         1.03            -3.79
   0 H Garfield        ( 4- 8, 81.0)    14- 4      -18.92       4.84      -0.53         1.03             4.42
   0 A Graham-Kapowsi  ( 1-10, 77.4)     8- 8      -22.53       1.24       0.53         1.03             0.00
   0 A Curtis          ( 5- 6, 87.8)     5-12      -12.10      11.67       0.53         1.03           -11.86
   0 H Peninsula SD    ( 6- 5, 88.1)     6-18      -11.76      12.01      -0.53         1.03           -12.60
   0 H Bellarmine Pre  ( 8- 4, 91.1)     4-16       -8.82      14.94      -0.53         1.03            -9.59
   0 H Evergreen       ( 2- 9, 77.3)    21- 6      -22.56       1.21      -0.53         1.03             0.69
   0 A Tahoma          ( 7- 6, 85.3)     8-15      -14.59       9.18       0.53         1.03           -14.42
   0 A Klahowya        ( 1- 9, 76.3)    20- 6      -23.56       1.00       0.53         1.03             1.57
   0 H Shoreline       ( 8- 4, 85.0)    10-18      -14.90       8.87      -0.53         1.03           -15.82
   0 A Stadium         (11- 2, 91.5)     5-17       -8.42      15.35       0.53         1.03            -8.08
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -76.73

winning pts = 6.6852 losing points = -83.4139

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------