---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:51 PDT

safe3step girls Austin Prep 1
  
Austin Prep           
W-L: ( 8-12) PR = 86.8693

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 329 H Pomfret School ( 9- 9, 86.6) 4- 5 331 A Mount St Charles Acade ( 9- 5, 83.7) 17-15 402 H Newton Country Day ( 6- 7, 84.6) 11- 2 405 A Holderness School ( 9- 6, 92.0) 3-14 409 H Dana Hall School (13- 5, 91.0) 5-19 416 A Pingree School (12- 5, 95.7) 3-18 421 A Hebron Academy ( 7- 4, 82.2) 2-14 423 H St Pauls School (16- 5, 96.9) 5-19 426 A Marianapolis Prep ( 0- 7, 74.6) 10- 1 428 H New Hampton School ( 9- 6, 92.9) 5- 7 430 A Concord Academy ( 2-11, 79.4) 16- 3 502 A Proctor Academy ( 7- 7, 88.3) 11-16 503 H Phillips Academy Andov (20- 2, 98.8) 3-20 505 A Winsor School (11- 4, 91.7) 8-16 507 H Tilton School ( 5- 7, 83.4) 11- 3 509 A Williston Northampton ( 9- 4, 91.4) 4-14 510 N Deerfield Academy (11- 7, 93.3) 3- 8 517 A Cushing Academy ( 3- 9, 82.4) 16- 4 519 H Berwick Academy ( 7- 7, 84.4) 18- 3 521 A Wheeler School ( 8- 5, 87.3) 12- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Pomfret School          4- 5      -1     1          -1.60
   331 A Mount St Charles Acade 17-15       2     3          -0.88
   402 H Newton Country Day     11- 2       9     3    +      2.36
   405 A Holderness School       3-14     -11    -5           0.00
   409 H Dana Hall School        5-19     -14    -4          -1.24
   416 A Pingree School          3-18     -15    -9           0.00
   421 A Hebron Academy          2-14     -12     4    ---   -9.37
   423 H St Pauls School         5-19     -14   -10           0.00
   426 A Marianapolis Prep      10- 1       9    12           0.00
   428 H New Hampton School      5- 7      -2    -6    +      3.00
   430 A Concord Academy        16- 3      13     7           0.00
   502 A Proctor Academy        11-16      -5    -2    -     -3.27
   503 H Phillips Academy Andov  3-20     -17   -12           0.00
   505 A Winsor School           8-16      -8    -5           0.00
   507 H Tilton School          11- 3       8     4           1.22
   509 A Williston Northampton   4-14     -10    -5          -0.11
   510 N Deerfield Academy       3- 8      -5    -6           0.00
   517 A Cushing Academy        16- 4      12     4           0.83
   519 H Berwick Academy        18- 3      15     3    +      2.18
   521 A Wheeler School         12- 8       4    -1    ++     4.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Hebron Academy          2-14     -12     4    ---   -9.37
   502 A Proctor Academy        11-16      -5    -2    -     -3.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 A Wheeler School         12- 8       4    -1    ++     4.74
   402 H Newton Country Day     11- 2       9     3    +      2.36
   428 H New Hampton School      5- 7      -2    -6    +      3.00
   519 H Berwick Academy        18- 3      15     3    +      2.18

Austin Prep Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bancroft School Austin Prep Austin Prep   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Beaver Country Day Austin Prep Austin Prep   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Berkshire School Berkshire School Berkshire School   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Berwick Academy Austin Prep Austin Prep  
Boston Trinity Academy Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Brewster Academy Austin Prep tied - ( 1- 5) ( 1- 5) Austin Prep
Brimmer and May Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Brooks School Brooks School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brooks School
Buckingham B&N Buckingham B&N Buckingham B&N   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cambridge School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Canterbury School Canterbury School insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Canterbury School
Chapel Hill-Chauncy Hall Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Cheshire Academy Austin Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Austin Prep
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 2) Choate Rosemary Hall
Christian Heritage Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Concord Academy Austin Prep Austin Prep  
Cushing Academy Austin Prep Austin Prep  
Dana Hall School Dana Hall School Dana Hall School  
Deerfield Academy Deerfield Academy Deerfield Academy  
Dexter Southfield Dexter Southfield Dexter Southfield   6- 2 vs 0- 8
Dublin School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Ethel Walker School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Forman School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Frederick Gunn School Austin Prep tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Gann Academy Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Gould Academy Austin Prep tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Governors Academy Governors Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Governors Academy
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy   Greens Farms Academy
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy   Greenwich Academy
Greenwich Academy B Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Greenwich CDS Greenwich CDS   Greenwich CDS
Groton School Groton School insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Groton School
Hamden Hall CDS Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Harvey School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Hebron Academy Hebron Academy Hebron Academy  
Holderness School Holderness School Holderness School  
Holy Child Holy Child tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Holy Child
Hoosac School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Hopkins School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Hotchkiss School Hotchkiss School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hotchkiss School
Hyde School Austin Prep tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Kent School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Austin Prep
Kents Hill School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Austin Prep
Kimball Union Academy Kimball Union Academy Kimball Union Academy   4- 3 vs 2- 5
King School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Kingswood Oxford Austin Prep tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Austin Prep
Landmark School Austin Prep tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Lawrence Academy Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Lexington Christian Austin Prep Austin Prep   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Loomis Chaffee School Loomis Chaffee School tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Loomis Chaffee School
Marianapolis Prep Austin Prep Austin Prep  
Masters School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Middlesex School Middlesex School insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Middlesex School
Millbrook School Austin Prep tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Milton Academy Milton Academy insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Milton Academy
Miss Halls School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Miss Porters School Austin Prep tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Austin Prep
Montrose School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Austin Prep
Mount St Charles Academy Austin Prep Austin Prep  
New Hampton School New Hampton School New Hampton School  
Newton Country Day Austin Prep Austin Prep  
Noble & Greenough Noble & Greenough Noble & Greenough   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Northfield Mt Hermon Austin Prep tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Austin Prep
Phillips Academy Andover Phillips Academy Andover Phillips Academy Andover  
Phillips Exeter Academy Phillips Exeter Academy Phillips Exeter Academy   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Pingree School Pingree School Pingree School  
Pomfret School Pomfret School Pomfret School  
Portsmouth Abbey Austin Prep insuffient: ( 5- 4)( 4- 5) Austin Prep
Proctor Academy Proctor Academy Proctor Academy  
Rivers School Rivers School tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Rivers School
Rye Country Day Rye Country Day   Rye Country Day
Sacred Heart Greenwich Sacred Heart Greenwich insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Sacred Heart Greenwich
Sacred Heart Greenwich B Austin Prep   Austin Prep
St Andrews Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
St Georges School St Georges School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Georges School
St Lukes School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
St Marks St Marks tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Marks
St Pauls School St Pauls School St Pauls School  
Storm King School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Suffield Academy Austin Prep tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy   Tabor Academy
Taft School Taft School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Taft School
Thayer Academy Thayer Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Thayer Academy
Tilton School Austin Prep Austin Prep  
Vermont Academy Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Waring School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Westminster School Westminster School insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Westminster School
Wheeler School Austin Prep Austin Prep  
White Mountain Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Wilbraham & Monson Wilbraham & Monson tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Wilbraham & Monson
Williams School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Williston Northampton Williston Northampton Williston Northampton  
Winchendon School Austin Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Austin Prep
Winsor School Winsor School Winsor School  
Wooster School Austin Prep   Austin Prep
Worcester Academy Austin Prep Austin Prep   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Rocky Hill Country Day S Austin Prep insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Austin Prep

PowerWise = 56


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Pomfret School  ( 9- 9, 86.6)     4- 5      -13.30      14.78      -0.33         0.65            -8.80
   0 A Mount St Charl  ( 9- 5, 83.7)    17-15      -16.24      11.84       0.33         0.65             7.86
   0 H Newton Country  ( 6- 7, 84.6)    11- 2      -15.34      12.74      -0.33         0.65             8.02
   0 A Holderness Sch  ( 9- 6, 92.0)     3-14       -7.88      20.20       0.33         0.65            -4.88
   0 H Dana Hall Scho  (13- 5, 91.0)     5-19       -8.94      19.14      -0.33         0.65            -5.99
   0 A Pingree School  (12- 5, 95.7)     3-18       -4.21      23.87       0.33         0.65            -2.51
   0 A Hebron Academy  ( 7- 4, 82.2)     2-14      -17.73      10.35       0.33         0.65           -11.24
   0 H St Pauls Schoo  (16- 5, 96.9)     5-19       -3.02      25.06      -0.33         0.65            -2.17
   0 A Marianapolis P  ( 0- 7, 74.6)    10- 1      -25.25       2.83       0.33         0.65             2.04
   0 H New Hampton Sc  ( 9- 6, 92.9)     5- 7       -6.98      21.10      -0.33         0.65            -4.72
   0 A Concord Academ  ( 2-11, 79.4)    16- 3      -20.46       7.62       0.33         0.65             5.14
   0 A Proctor Academ  ( 7- 7, 88.3)    11-16      -11.63      16.45       0.33         0.65            -7.30
   0 H Phillips Acade  (20- 2, 98.8)     3-20       -1.07      27.01      -0.33         0.65            -0.91
   0 A Winsor School   (11- 4, 91.7)     8-16       -8.16      19.92       0.33         0.65            -5.06
   0 H Tilton School   ( 5- 7, 83.4)    11- 3      -16.48      11.60      -0.33         0.65             7.28
   0 A Williston Nort  ( 9- 4, 91.4)     4-14       -8.47      19.61       0.33         0.65            -5.26
   0 N Deerfield Acad  (11- 7, 93.3)     3- 8       -6.61      21.47      -0.00         0.65            -4.27
   0 A Cushing Academ  ( 3- 9, 82.4)    16- 4      -17.53      10.55       0.33         0.65             7.03
   0 H Berwick Academ  ( 7- 7, 84.4)    18- 3      -15.52      12.56      -0.33         0.65             7.90
   0 A Wheeler School  ( 8- 5, 87.3)    12- 8      -12.62      15.46       0.33         0.65            10.20
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -7.63

winning pts = 55.4627 losing points = -63.0921

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------