---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:49 PDT

safe3step girls Auburn 1
  
Auburn                
W-L: (11- 8) PR = 80.3941

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Blackstone Valley Tech ( 3-14, 75.4) 16- 7 404 A Tantasqua (17- 5, 84.7) 10-14 407 H Assabet Valley RVT ( 1-13, 74.0) 19- 3 410 H Montachusett RVT ( 4-15, 75.2) 18- 3 411 H Shepherd Hill (15- 4, 84.2) 7- 8 414 H Blackstone Valley Tech ( 3-14, 75.4) 17-10 415 A Doherty Memorial (11- 6, 79.7) 6- 9 417 H Bay Path RVT ( 7-10, 77.7) 5- 3 429 H Hopedale (13- 6, 80.2) 7-11 502 A Marlborough ( 1-14, 75.5) 12- 6 505 A Shepherd Hill (15- 4, 84.2) 3-17 506 H Littleton (14- 4, 85.9) 4-17 509 A Assabet Valley RVT ( 1-13, 74.0) 11- 3 513 A Montachusett RVT ( 4-15, 75.2) 14- 6 515 H Doherty Memorial (11- 6, 79.7) 12- 8 519 H Tantasqua (17- 5, 84.7) 7-14 520 A Bay Path RVT ( 7-10, 77.7) 19-11 521 A Hopedale (13- 6, 80.2) 12-11 531 A Wilmington ( 9-13, 84.0) 7-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Blackstone Valley Tech 16- 7       9     4           0.57
   404 A Tantasqua              10-14      -4    -5           0.91
   407 H Assabet Valley RVT     19- 3      16     7           0.00
   410 H Montachusett RVT       18- 3      15     6           0.00
   411 H Shepherd Hill           7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.25
   414 H Blackstone Valley Tech 17-10       7     6           0.00
   415 A Doherty Memorial        6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.12
   417 H Bay Path RVT            5- 3       2     3          -1.24
   429 H Hopedale                7-11      -4     1    --    -4.78
   502 A Marlborough            12- 6       6     4           0.73
   505 A Shepherd Hill           3-17     -14    -4          -0.60
   506 H Littleton               4-17     -13    -5          -0.12
   509 A Assabet Valley RVT     11- 3       8     6           0.00
   513 A Montachusett RVT       14- 6       8     5           0.42
   515 H Doherty Memorial       12- 8       4     1    +      2.73
   519 H Tantasqua               7-14      -7    -4          -1.24
   520 A Bay Path RVT           19-11       8     2    +      2.91
   521 A Hopedale               12-11       1     0           1.37
   531 A Wilmington              7-15      -8    -4          -0.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Hopedale                7-11      -4     1    --    -4.78
   415 A Doherty Memorial        6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Shepherd Hill           7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.25
   515 H Doherty Memorial       12- 8       4     1    +      2.73
   520 A Bay Path RVT           19-11       8     2    +      2.91

Auburn Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Auburn   Auburn
Acton-Boxborough Acton-Boxborough   Acton-Boxborough
Agawam Agawam insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Agawam
Algonquin Algonquin   Algonquin
Amherst-Pelham Amherst-Pelham   Amherst-Pelham
AMSA Charter Auburn insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 3- 4) Auburn
Andover HS Andover HS   Andover HS
Apponequet Apponequet   Apponequet
Archbishop Williams Archbishop Williams   Archbishop Williams
Arlington Catholic Auburn   Auburn
Arlington HS Arlington HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arlington HS
Ashland Ashland   Ashland
Assabet Valley RVT Auburn Auburn  
Attleboro Attleboro   Attleboro
Barnstable Barnstable   Barnstable
Bay Path RVT Auburn Auburn  
Bedford HS Bedford HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bedford HS
Belchertown Auburn tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Auburn
Bellingham Auburn   Auburn
Belmont Belmont insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Belmont
Beverly Beverly   Beverly
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial   Billerica Memorial
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan   Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick Bishop Fenwick   Bishop Fenwick
Bishop Stang Bishop Stang   Bishop Stang
Blackstone Valley Tech Auburn Auburn  
Boston Latin Academy Auburn   Auburn
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School   Boston Latin School
Bourne Auburn   Auburn
Braintree Braintree   Braintree
Bridgewater-Raynham Bridgewater-Raynham   Bridgewater-Raynham
Bristol County Agricultu Auburn   Auburn
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Auburn insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Auburn
Bromfield Bromfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bromfield
Brookline Brookline   Brookline
Burlington Burlington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Burlington
Cambridge Rindge/Latin Cambridge Rindge/Latin   Cambridge Rindge/Latin
Canton Canton   Canton
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy   Cape Cod Academy
Cape Cod Tech Auburn   Auburn
Cardinal Spellman Auburn   Auburn
Central Catholic Central Catholic   Central Catholic
Chelmsford Chelmsford   Chelmsford
Chicopee Comp Auburn   Auburn
Chicopee HS Chicopee HS   Chicopee HS
Cohasset Cohasset   Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle   Concord-Carlisle
Danvers Danvers   Danvers
Dartmouth Dartmouth   Dartmouth
Dedham Dedham   Dedham
Dennis-Yarmouth Dennis-Yarmouth   Dennis-Yarmouth
Dighton-Rehoboth Dighton-Rehoboth   Dighton-Rehoboth
Doherty Memorial Auburn insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 2) Auburn
Dover-Sherborn Dover-Sherborn   Dover-Sherborn
Dracut Dracut tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dracut
Duxbury Duxbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Duxbury
East Bridgewater Auburn   Auburn
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow   East Longmeadow
Essex North Shore Tech Essex North Shore Tech tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Essex North Shore Tech
Everett Auburn   Auburn
Fairhaven Fairhaven   Fairhaven
Falmouth Academy Auburn   Auburn
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS   Falmouth HS
Fontbonne Academy Auburn   Auburn
Foxborough Foxborough   Foxborough
Framingham Framingham tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Framingham
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Georgetown Auburn   Auburn
Gloucester Auburn   Auburn
Grafton Grafton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grafton
Granby Auburn   Auburn
Greater Lowell Tech Auburn tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Auburn
Greater New Bedford RVT Auburn   Auburn
Groton-Dunstable Groton-Dunstable tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Groton-Dunstable
Hamilton-Wenham Hamilton-Wenham   Hamilton-Wenham
Hampshire Regional Auburn   Auburn
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Haverhill Haverhill   Haverhill
Hingham Hingham   Hingham
Holliston Holliston   Holliston
Hoosac Valley Hoosac Valley   Hoosac Valley
Hopedale Auburn insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 2) Auburn
Hopkinton Hopkinton   Hopkinton
Hudson/Clinton Auburn insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 3) Auburn
Hull Auburn   Auburn
Ipswich Ipswich   Ipswich
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional   King Philip Regional
Lee/Lenox/Monument Mtn Auburn   Auburn
Leominster Leominster   Leominster
Lexington HS Lexington HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lexington HS
Lincoln-Sudbury Lincoln-Sudbury   Lincoln-Sudbury
Littleton Littleton Littleton  
Longmeadow Longmeadow   Longmeadow
Lowell Auburn   Auburn
Lowell Catholic Auburn   Auburn
Lunenburg Lunenburg insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lunenburg
Lynnfield Lynnfield   Lynnfield
Malden Auburn   Auburn
Malden Catholic Malden Catholic tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Malden Catholic
Manchester-Essex Manchester-Essex   Manchester-Essex
Mansfield Mansfield   Mansfield
Marblehead Marblehead   Marblehead
Marlborough Auburn Auburn  
Marshfield Marshfield   Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard Auburn   Auburn
Masconomet Masconomet   Masconomet
Mashpee Mashpee   Mashpee
McCann Tech Auburn   Auburn
Medfield Medfield   Medfield
Medford Medford   Medford
Medway Medway   Medway
Melrose Melrose insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Melrose
Methuen Methuen   Methuen
Middleboro Auburn   Auburn
Milford Milford   Milford
Milton HS Milton HS   Milton HS
Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Monomoy Monomoy   Monomoy
Monson Auburn tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Auburn
Montachusett RVT Auburn Auburn  
Mount Greylock Regional Mount Greylock Regional   Mount Greylock Regional
Mystic Valley Charter Auburn   Auburn
Nantucket Nantucket   Nantucket
Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional   Nashoba Regional
Nashoba Valley Tech Auburn tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Auburn
Natick Natick   Natick
Nauset Regional Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Needham Needham   Needham
New Bedford New Bedford   New Bedford
Newburyport Newburyport   Newburyport
Newton North Newton North   Newton North
Newton South Newton South   Newton South
Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Nipmuc Regional
North Andover North Andover   North Andover
North Attleborough North Attleborough   North Attleborough
North Middlesex North Middlesex tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Middlesex
North Quincy Auburn   Auburn
North Reading North Reading   North Reading
Northampton Northampton   Northampton
Northbridge Auburn insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 4) Auburn
Northeast RVT Auburn   Auburn
Norton Norton   Norton
Norwell Norwell   Norwell
Norwood Norwood   Norwood
Notre Dame Hingham Notre Dame Hingham   Notre Dame Hingham
Notre Dame Worcester Auburn insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 3) Auburn
Oakmont Regional Oakmont Regional insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Oakmont Regional
Old Colony RVT Auburn   Auburn
Old Rochester Regional Old Rochester Regional   Old Rochester Regional
Oliver Ames Oliver Ames   Oliver Ames
Peabody Veterans Memoria Peabody Veterans Memoria   Peabody Veterans Memoria
Pembroke Pembroke   Pembroke
Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pentucket Regional
Pittsfield/Taconic Auburn   Auburn
Plymouth North Plymouth North   Plymouth North
Plymouth South Auburn   Auburn
Pope Francis Pope Francis tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pope Francis
Quincy Quincy   Quincy
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Reading Memorial
Revere Auburn   Auburn
Rockland Auburn   Auburn
Salem Auburn   Auburn
Sandwich Sandwich   Sandwich
Saugus Auburn   Auburn
Scituate Scituate   Scituate
Seekonk Auburn   Auburn
Sharon Sharon   Sharon
Shawsheen Valley Tech Shawsheen Valley Tech tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shawsheen Valley Tech
Shepherd Hill Shepherd Hill Shepherd Hill  
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury   Shrewsbury
Silver Lake Silver Lake   Silver Lake
Smith VoTech Auburn   Auburn
Somerset Berkley Auburn   Auburn
Somerville Auburn   Auburn
South Hadley South Hadley   South Hadley
South Shore RVT Auburn   Auburn
Southeastern RVT Auburn   Auburn
Springfield Central Auburn   Auburn
St Bernards Auburn tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Auburn
St John Paul II St John Paul II   St John Paul II
St Marys Lynn St Marys Lynn   St Marys Lynn
Stoneham Stoneham tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stoneham
Stoughton Auburn   Auburn
Sturgis Charter East Auburn   Auburn
Sturgis Charter West Auburn   Auburn
Swampscott Swampscott   Swampscott
Tahanto Regional Tahanto Regional   Tahanto Regional
Tantasqua Tantasqua Tantasqua  
Taunton Auburn   Auburn
Tewksbury Memorial Tewksbury Memorial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tewksbury Memorial
Tri-County RVT Auburn Auburn   3- 0 vs 1- 1
Triton Regional Triton Regional   Triton Regional
Tyngsborough Tyngsborough tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Tyngsborough
Upper Cape Cod RVT Auburn   Auburn
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Wachusett Wachusett   Wachusett
Wahconah Regional Wahconah Regional   Wahconah Regional
Wakefield Memorial Wakefield Memorial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wakefield Memorial
Walpole Walpole   Walpole
Waltham Waltham   Waltham
Watertown Watertown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Watertown
Wayland Wayland   Wayland
Wellesley Wellesley   Wellesley
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Westborough Westborough   Westborough
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
Westford Academy Westford Academy   Westford Academy
Weston Weston tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) Weston
Westwood Westwood insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westwood
Weymouth Weymouth   Weymouth
Whitman-Hanson Regional Whitman-Hanson Regional   Whitman-Hanson Regional
Whittier RVT Auburn   Auburn
Wilmington Wilmington Wilmington  
Winchester Winchester insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Winchester
Winthrop Auburn   Auburn
Woburn Memorial Woburn Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Woburn Memorial

PowerWise = 68


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.83

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Blackstone Val  ( 3-14, 75.4)    16- 7      -24.51       8.79       0.58         0.99             9.28
   0 A Tantasqua       (17- 5, 84.7)    10-14      -15.17      18.13       0.58         0.99           -14.46
   0 H Assabet Valley  ( 1-13, 74.0)    19- 3      -25.88       7.42      -0.58         0.99             6.79
   0 H Montachusett R  ( 4-15, 75.2)    18- 3      -24.67       8.63      -0.58         0.99             7.98
   0 H Shepherd Hill   (15- 4, 84.2)     7- 8      -15.68      17.62      -0.58         0.99           -16.11
   0 H Blackstone Val  ( 3-14, 75.4)    17-10      -24.51       8.79      -0.58         0.99             8.14
   0 A Doherty Memori  (11- 6, 79.7)     6- 9      -20.20      13.10       0.58         0.99           -19.45
   0 H Bay Path RVT    ( 7-10, 77.7)     5- 3      -22.17      11.13      -0.58         0.99            10.46
   0 H Hopedale        (13- 6, 80.2)     7-11      -19.71      13.59      -0.58         0.99           -20.10
   0 A Marlborough     ( 1-14, 75.5)    12- 6      -24.35       8.95       0.58         0.99             9.44
   0 A Shepherd Hill   (15- 4, 84.2)     3-17      -15.68      17.62       0.58         0.99           -14.97
   0 H Littleton       (14- 4, 85.9)     4-17      -14.05      19.25      -0.58         0.99           -14.49
   0 A Assabet Valley  ( 1-13, 74.0)    11- 3      -25.88       7.42       0.58         0.99             7.93
   0 A Montachusett R  ( 4-15, 75.2)    14- 6      -24.67       8.63       0.58         0.99             9.13
   0 H Doherty Memori  (11- 6, 79.7)    12- 8      -20.20      13.10      -0.58         0.99            12.41
   0 H Tantasqua       (17- 5, 84.7)     7-14      -15.17      18.13      -0.58         0.99           -15.60
   0 A Bay Path RVT    ( 7-10, 77.7)    19-11      -22.17      11.13       0.58         0.99            11.60
   0 A Hopedale        (13- 6, 80.2)    12-11      -19.71      13.59       0.58         0.99            14.04
   0 A Wilmington      ( 9-13, 84.0)     7-15      -15.90      17.40       0.58         0.99           -15.19
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -23.19

winning pts = 107.1893 losing points = -130.3762

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------