---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Atholton 1
  
Atholton              
W-L: ( 5-10) PR = 76.1712

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Reservoir ( 7- 9, 79.5) 6- 9 325 A Chesapeake AA ( 9- 4, 87.1) 1-16 327 H Hammond ( 3-10, 71.7) 15- 7 328 H Long Reach (10- 4, 80.6) 8-11 401 H Old Mill ( 3-10, 76.2) 8- 7 403 H Guilford Park ( 3-10, 70.9) 15- 4 407 A Mount Hebron ( 5-10, 89.3) 0-24 410 A Long Reach (10- 4, 80.6) 6-12 411 H Howard ( 9- 4, 88.8) 1-15 422 A River Hill ( 8- 6, 87.4) 1-17 423 A Oakland Mills ( 0-12, 68.4) 11- 0 424 H Wilde Lake ( 3-10, 73.8) 11- 6 428 A Northeast ( 5- 8, 77.4) 5-10 430 A Winters Mill ( 8- 9, 86.6) 3-15 508 A Reservoir ( 7- 9, 79.5) 7-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Reservoir               6- 9      -3    -4           0.78
   325 A Chesapeake AA           1-16     -15   -11           0.00
   327 H Hammond                15- 7       8     5           0.05
   328 H Long Reach              8-11      -3    -4           1.01
   401 H Old Mill                8- 7       1     0           0.58
   403 H Guilford Park          15- 4      11     6           0.00
   407 A Mount Hebron            0-24     -24   -14           0.00
   410 A Long Reach              6-12      -6    -5          -0.10
   411 H Howard                  1-15     -14   -12           0.00
   422 A River Hill              1-17     -16   -12           0.00
   423 A Oakland Mills          11- 0      11     7           0.00
   424 H Wilde Lake             11- 6       5     3    +      2.17
   428 A Northeast               5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.32
   430 A Winters Mill            3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   508 A Reservoir               7-15      -8    -4          -1.22

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Northeast               5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Wilde Lake             11- 6       5     3    +      2.17

Atholton Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Annapolis Area Christian   Annapolis Area Christian
Anne Arundel County Atholton   Atholton
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Atholton   Atholton
Bishop McNamara Atholton   Atholton
Brookewood SG Brookewood SG   Brookewood SG
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Atholton   Atholton
Catholic High Baltimore Catholic High Baltimore   Catholic High Baltimore
Chapelgate Christian Atholton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Atholton
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DC International DC International   DC International
EL Haynes Charter Atholton   Atholton
Elizabeth Seton Elizabeth Seton   Elizabeth Seton
FCA FCA   FCA
Field School Atholton   Atholton
Friends School Atholton   Atholton
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School   Georgetown Day School
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Gunston Day School   Gunston Day School
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Indian Creek Indian Creek   Indian Creek
Jackson-Reed Jackson-Reed   Jackson-Reed
Jemicy Atholton   Atholton
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Atholton   Atholton
KIPP College Prep KIPP College Prep   KIPP College Prep
Maret School Maret School   Maret School
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales   Mount de Sales
National Cathedral National Cathedral   National Cathedral
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Oldfields School   Oldfields School
Park School Park School   Park School
Rockbridge Academy Atholton   Atholton
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Atholton   Atholton
School Without Walls Atholton   Atholton
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal   St Andrews Episcopal
St James School St James School   St James School
St Johns Catholic Prep St Johns Catholic Prep   St Johns Catholic Prep
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Atholton   Atholton
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Atholton   Atholton
Washington Latin Atholton   Atholton
Worcester Prep Atholton   Atholton
Aberdeen Atholton   Atholton
Academy for College & Ca Atholton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Atholton
Annapolis Annapolis Annapolis   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Arundel Arundel insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Arundel
Baltimore Polytechnic Baltimore Polytechnic   Baltimore Polytechnic
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Atholton   Atholton
Blair Blair   Blair
Blake Atholton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Atholton
Bohemia Manor Atholton   Atholton
Boonsboro Boonsboro   Boonsboro
Bowie Atholton   Atholton
Broadneck Broadneck Broadneck   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Brunswick Atholton   Atholton
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Atholton   Atholton
Carver A&T Carver A&T   Carver A&T
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Catonsville
Centennial Centennial Centennial   7- 1 vs 3- 5
Central PG Central PG   Central PG
Century Century Century   3- 0 vs 1- 2
CH Flowers Atholton   Atholton
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Chesapeake BC Atholton   Atholton
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Atholton   Atholton
CM Wright CM Wright insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) CM Wright
CMIT North Atholton   Atholton
Crofton Crofton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Crofton
Damascus Damascus insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Damascus
Dr Henry Wise Atholton   Atholton
Dulaney Dulaney insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dulaney
Dundalk Atholton   Atholton
DuVal Atholton   Atholton
Eastern Technical Eastern Technical   Eastern Technical
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Atholton   Atholton
Einstein Atholton   Atholton
Eleanor Roosevelt Atholton   Atholton
Elkton Atholton   Atholton
Fairmont Heights Atholton   Atholton
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Francis Scott Key
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Frederick   Frederick
Frederick Douglass PG Atholton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Atholton
Gaithersburg Atholton   Atholton
Glen Burnie Atholton insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Atholton
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Gov Thomas Johnson Gov Thomas Johnson   Gov Thomas Johnson
Great Mills Atholton   Atholton
Guilford Park Atholton Atholton  
Gwynn Park Atholton   Atholton
Hammond Atholton Atholton  
Harford Tech Harford Tech   Harford Tech
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace   Havre De Grace
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
Howard Howard Howard  
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Kennedy Atholton   Atholton
Kent County Kent County   Kent County
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Atholton   Atholton
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Atholton   Atholton
Lansdowne Atholton   Atholton
Laurel Atholton   Atholton
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Atholton   Atholton
Long Reach Long Reach Long Reach  
Magruder Magruder   Magruder
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Meade Atholton Atholton   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Milford Mill   Milford Mill
MJ McDonough Atholton   Atholton
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron Mount Hebron  
New Town Atholton   Atholton
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County North County insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) North County
North Dorchester Atholton   Atholton
North East Cecil Atholton   Atholton
North Hagerstown Atholton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Atholton
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point North Point   North Point
Northeast Northeast Northeast  
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Northwest   Northwest
Northwestern PG Atholton   Atholton
Northwood Atholton   Atholton
Oakdale Oakdale insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oakdale
Oakland Mills Atholton Atholton  
Old Mill Atholton Atholton  
Overlea Atholton   Atholton
Owings Mills Atholton   Atholton
Oxon Hill Atholton   Atholton
Paint Branch Atholton   Atholton
Parkdale Atholton   Atholton
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Atholton   Atholton
Patapsco Atholton   Atholton
Patterson Mill Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Patuxent Atholton   Atholton
Perry Hall Perry Hall   Perry Hall
Perryville Atholton   Atholton
Pikesville Atholton   Atholton
Poolesville Atholton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Atholton
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Reservoir Reservoir Reservoir  
Richard Montgomery Atholton   Atholton
Rising Sun Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill River Hill  
Rockville Atholton   Atholton
Seneca Valley Atholton   Atholton
Severn Run Atholton insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Atholton
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Sherwood
Smithsburg Atholton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Atholton
South Carroll South Carroll South Carroll   2- 0 vs 0- 2
South Hagerstown South Hagerstown   South Hagerstown
South River South River South River   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Southern Southern insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Southern
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point   Sparrows Point
Springbrook Atholton   Atholton
St Charles Atholton   Atholton
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Atholton   Atholton
Thomas Stone Thomas Stone   Thomas Stone
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Atholton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Atholton
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Atholton   Atholton
Western Baltimore Atholton   Atholton
Western STES Atholton   Atholton
Westlake Atholton   Atholton
Westminster Westminster Westminster   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wheaton Atholton   Atholton
Whitman Whitman   Whitman
Wicomico Atholton   Atholton
Wilde Lake Atholton Atholton  
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill   Winston Churchill
Winters Mill Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Woodlawn Atholton   Atholton
Wootton Wootton   Wootton

PowerWise = 88


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Reservoir       ( 7- 9, 79.5)     6- 9      -20.40      17.52       0.45         0.80           -15.91
   0 A Chesapeake AA   ( 9- 4, 87.1)     1-16      -12.79      25.13       0.45         0.80            -9.84
   0 H Hammond         ( 3-10, 71.7)    15- 7      -28.23       9.69      -0.45         0.80             7.37
   0 H Long Reach      (10- 4, 80.6)     8-11      -19.27      18.65      -0.45         0.80           -15.73
   0 H Old Mill        ( 3-10, 76.2)     8- 7      -23.70      14.22      -0.45         0.80            10.99
   0 H Guilford Park   ( 3-10, 70.9)    15- 4      -28.97       8.95      -0.45         0.80             6.78
   0 A Mount Hebron    ( 5-10, 89.3)     0-24      -10.62      27.30       0.45         0.80            -8.12
   0 A Long Reach      (10- 4, 80.6)     6-12      -19.27      18.65       0.45         0.80           -15.01
   0 H Howard          ( 9- 4, 88.8)     1-15      -11.06      26.85      -0.45         0.80            -9.18
   0 A River Hill      ( 8- 6, 87.4)     1-17      -12.48      25.44       0.45         0.80            -9.60
   0 A Oakland Mills   ( 0-12, 68.4)    11- 0      -31.53       6.39       0.45         0.80             5.46
   0 H Wilde Lake      ( 3-10, 73.8)    11- 6      -26.11      11.81      -0.45         0.80             9.06
   0 A Northeast       ( 5- 8, 77.4)     5-10      -22.49      15.43       0.45         0.80           -17.58
   0 A Winters Mill    ( 8- 9, 86.6)     3-15      -13.25      24.67       0.45         0.80           -10.21
   0 A Reservoir       ( 7- 9, 79.5)     7-15      -20.40      17.52       0.45         0.80           -15.91
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -87.45

winning pts = 39.6516 losing points = -127.1051

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------