---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Athens Drive 1
  
Athens Drive          
W-L: (10-10) PR = 82.7924

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 226 H Willow Spring (13- 6, 86.4) 10-20 228 H Green Hope ( 9-12, 84.3) 4-21 303 H Corinth Holders ( 8- 9, 78.6) 20-14 304 H Cary HS ( 0-20, 67.5) 19- 2 307 A Green Level ( 3-13, 78.7) 16-12 311 H Millbrook (14-10, 83.1) 10- 7 313 A Wakefield (12- 9, 84.3) 16-15 318 H Panther Creek ( 3-13, 79.8) 10- 6 326 A Apex (20- 3, 92.1) 2-19 408 H Sanderson ( 8- 9, 79.2) 15- 3 414 A Cardinal Gibbons (17- 0, 99.9) 1-18 415 A Leesville Road ( 7- 9, 83.6) 13-16 422 H Broughton (14- 7, 86.8) 8-17 425 H Sanderson ( 8- 9, 79.2) 15- 8 429 H Enloe ( 0-12, 73.4) 14- 2 501 A Leesville Road ( 7- 9, 83.6) 11-12 506 H Cardinal Gibbons (17- 0, 99.9) 0-19 507 A Enloe ( 0-12, 73.4) 13- 2 508 A Broughton (14- 7, 86.8) 2-20 513 A Hoggard (17- 6, 91.5) 2-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H Willow Spring          10-20     -10    -3          -1.66
   228 H Green Hope              4-21     -17    -1    -     -3.83
   303 H Corinth Holders        20-14       6     5           0.48
   304 H Cary HS                19- 2      17    16           0.00
   307 A Green Level            16-12       4     4           0.18
   311 H Millbrook              10- 7       3     0    +      3.00
   313 A Wakefield              16-15       1    -2    +      2.77
   318 H Panther Creek          10- 6       4     3           0.67
   326 A Apex                    2-19     -17   -10           0.00
   408 H Sanderson              15- 3      12     4           1.12
   414 A Cardinal Gibbons        1-18     -17   -17           0.00
   415 A Leesville Road         13-16      -3    -1          -1.89
   422 H Broughton               8-17      -9    -4          -1.27
   425 H Sanderson              15- 8       7     4           1.12
   429 H Enloe                  14- 2      12    10           0.00
   501 A Leesville Road         11-12      -1    -1           0.11
   506 H Cardinal Gibbons        0-19     -19   -17           0.00
   507 A Enloe                  13- 2      11     9           0.00
   508 A Broughton               2-20     -18    -4          -0.66
   513 A Hoggard                 2-16     -14    -9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Green Hope              4-21     -17    -1    -     -3.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Millbrook              10- 7       3     0    +      3.00
   313 A Wakefield              16-15       1    -2    +      2.77

Athens Drive Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex Apex  
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   5- 2 vs 3- 4
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Asheville HS Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ashley
Atkins Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Ballantyne Ridge Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness   Bishop McGuinness
Broughton Broughton Broughton  
Butler Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Cape Fear HS Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons  
Carrboro Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Cary Academy Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Cary HS Athens Drive Athens Drive  
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton Athens Drive Athens Drive   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Cleveland Athens Drive insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Athens Drive
Community School Davidso Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Corinth Holders Athens Drive Athens Drive  
Croatan Croatan insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Davie Athens Drive   Athens Drive
DH Conley Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Durham Academy Athens Drive   Athens Drive
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   2- 1 vs 0- 3
East Forsyth Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Enloe Athens Drive Athens Drive  
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike Athens Drive   Athens Drive
First Flight Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS   Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Fuquay-Varina
Garner Athens Drive Athens Drive   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Glenn Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Green Hope Green Hope Green Hope  
Green Level Athens Drive Athens Drive  
Greensboro Day School Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Grimsley Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Havelock Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Heritage Athens Drive Athens Drive   5- 2 vs 3- 4
Hickory Athens Drive   Athens Drive
High Point Central Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Hoggard Hoggard Hoggard  
Holly Springs Holly Springs Holly Springs   9- 0 vs 5- 4
Hopewell Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Athens Drive Athens Drive   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Independence Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Jack Britt Athens Drive tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Athens Drive
Jacksonville Athens Drive   Athens Drive
JH Rose JH Rose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) JH Rose
Jordan Athens Drive Athens Drive   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road Leesville Road  
Lincoln Charter Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) Middle Creek
Millbrook Athens Drive Athens Drive  
Mooresville Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Mount Tabor Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Myers Park Myers Park tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Myers Park
New Bern New Bern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 1) New Hanover
North Brunswick Athens Drive tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Athens Drive
North Davidson Athens Drive   Athens Drive
North Lincoln Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Northern Guilford Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Northside Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Page Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Panther Creek Athens Drive Athens Drive  
Parkwood Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Patton Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Pine Forest Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Pine Lake Prep Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Pinecrest Pinecrest insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 0) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Providence Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Ragsdale Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham Athens Drive insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Athens Drive
RJ Reynolds Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Rolesville Athens Drive Athens Drive   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Ronald Reagan Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Sanderson Athens Drive Athens Drive  
Seaforth Seaforth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Seaforth
South Brunswick Athens Drive tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Athens Drive
South Iredell Athens Drive   Athens Drive
South Mecklenburg Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Southeast Guilford Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Southlake Christian Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Southwest Guilford Athens Drive   Athens Drive
St Davids School Athens Drive   Athens Drive
St Marys Athens Drive tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Athens Drive
St Stephens Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Sun Valley Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Swansboro Swansboro tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Swansboro
TC Roberson Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Terry Sanford Athens Drive insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Athens Drive
Topsail Topsail Topsail   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) Wake Forest
Wakefield Athens Drive Athens Drive  
Watauga Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Weddington Weddington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Weddington
West Brunswick Athens Drive tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Athens Drive
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes Athens Drive   Athens Drive
White Oak Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Willow Spring Willow Spring Willow Spring  

PowerWise = 79


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Willow Spring   (13- 6, 86.4)    10-20      -13.47      26.34      -0.31         0.84           -11.61
   0 H Green Hope      ( 9-12, 84.3)     4-21      -15.63      24.18      -0.31         0.84           -13.44
   0 H Corinth Holder  ( 8- 9, 78.6)    20-14      -21.32      18.48      -0.31         0.84            15.33
   0 H Cary HS         ( 0-20, 67.5)    19- 2      -32.38       7.43      -0.31         0.84             6.01
   0 A Green Level     ( 3-13, 78.7)    16-12      -21.23      18.57       0.31         0.84            15.92
   0 H Millbrook       (14-10, 83.1)    10- 7      -16.81      23.00      -0.31         0.84            19.14
   0 A Wakefield       (12- 9, 84.3)    16-15      -15.65      24.16       0.31         0.84            20.63
   0 H Panther Creek   ( 3-13, 79.8)    10- 6      -20.13      19.67      -0.31         0.84            16.33
   0 A Apex            (20- 3, 92.1)     2-19       -7.84      31.96       0.31         0.84            -6.36
   0 H Sanderson       ( 8- 9, 79.2)    15- 3      -20.68      19.13      -0.31         0.84            15.87
   0 A Cardinal Gibbo  (17- 0, 99.9)     1-18       -0.00      39.80       0.31         0.84            -0.26
   0 A Leesville Road  ( 7- 9, 83.6)    13-16      -16.31      23.50       0.31         0.84           -13.49
   0 H Broughton       (14- 7, 86.8)     8-17      -13.07      26.73      -0.31         0.84           -11.28
   0 H Sanderson       ( 8- 9, 79.2)    15- 8      -20.68      19.13      -0.31         0.84            15.87
   0 H Enloe           ( 0-12, 73.4)    14- 2      -26.55      13.25      -0.31         0.84            10.92
   0 A Leesville Road  ( 7- 9, 83.6)    11-12      -16.31      23.50       0.31         0.84           -13.49
   0 H Cardinal Gibbo  (17- 0, 99.9)     0-19       -0.00      39.80      -0.31         0.84            -0.26
   0 A Enloe           ( 0-12, 73.4)    13- 2      -26.55      13.25       0.31         0.84            11.43
   0 A Broughton       (14- 7, 86.8)     2-20      -13.07      26.73       0.31         0.84           -10.77
   0 A Hoggard         (17- 6, 91.5)     2-16       -8.36      31.45       0.31         0.84            -6.79
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        59.71

winning pts = 147.4560 losing points = -87.7484

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------