Assumption
W-L: ( 7- 7) PR = 86.8376Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Christian Academy ( 6- 8, 84.8) 15- 3 311 H Atherton ( 5-14, 80.9) 13- 2 317 H South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 14- 6 319 A Eastern (10- 3, 97.1) 1-16 321 H Ballard ( 4- 9, 84.2) 7- 5 322 N South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 8- 5 322 H Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 7- 8 325 H Sacred Heart Academy (15- 5, 95.6) 4-17 422 A Louisville Collegiate ( 7- 8, 91.2) 9-14 423 A DuPont Manual ( 9- 7, 84.1) 7- 8 428 A Mercy Academy (10- 8, 84.4) 7- 5 430 A Notre Dame Academy (13- 1, 89.0) 14-15 504 H Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 82.3) 22- 8 510 N Louisville Collegiate ( 7- 8, 91.2) 11-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Christian Academy 15- 3 12 3 + 2.14
311 H Atherton 13- 2 11 7 0.00
317 H South Oldham 14- 6 8 4 1.38
319 A Eastern 1-16 -15 -11 0.00
321 H Ballard 7- 5 2 3 -1.49
322 N South Oldham 8- 5 3 3 0.20
322 H Oldham County 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.18
325 H Sacred Heart Academy 4-17 -13 -8 0.00
422 A Louisville Collegiate 9-14 -5 -5 0.00
423 A DuPont Manual 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.93
428 A Mercy Academy 7- 5 2 2 0.41
430 A Notre Dame Academy 14-15 -1 -3 1.95
504 H Lexington Catholic 22- 8 14 5 0.00
510 N Louisville Collegiate 11-14 -3 -4 1.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Oldham County 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.18 423 A DuPont Manual 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.93 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Christian Academy 15- 3 12 3 + 2.14 |
Assumption Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Atherton | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Ballard | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Bowling Green | Assumption | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Assumption | |
| Bryan Station | Assumption | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Assumption | |
| Central Hardin | Assumption | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Assumption | |
| Christian Academy | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Collins | Assumption | Assumption 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Cooper | Assumption | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Assumption | |
| Dixie Heights | Assumption | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Assumption | |
| DuPont Manual | DuPont Manual | DuPont Manual | ||
| Eastern | Eastern | Eastern | ||
| Fern Creek | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Frederick Douglass | Assumption | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Assumption | |
| Great Crossing | Assumption | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Assumption | |
| Greenwood | Assumption | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Assumption | |
| Henry Clay | Assumption | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) | Assumption | |
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 9- 0 vs 5- 4 | ||
| Lafayette | Assumption | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Assumption | |
| Lexington Catholic | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Lexington Christian | Assumption | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Assumption | |
| Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate | ||
| Male | Assumption | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Assumption | |
| Mercy Academy | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| North Oldham | Assumption | Assumption 5- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy | ||
| Oldham County | Oldham County | Oldham County | ||
| Owensboro | Assumption | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Assumption | |
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Assumption | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Assumption | |
| Presentation Academy | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Ryle | Assumption | Assumption 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | ||
| Sayre School | Sayre School | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Sayre School | |
| Scott County | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Shelby County | Assumption | Assumption 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| South Oldham | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| South Warren | Assumption | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Assumption | |
| St Henry | Assumption | Assumption | ||
| Tates Creek | Assumption | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Assumption | |
| Woodford County | Assumption | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Assumption |
PowerWise = 32
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Christian Acad ( 6- 8, 84.8) 15- 3 -15.10 13.20 -0.82 0.97 12.03
0 H Atherton ( 5-14, 80.9) 13- 2 -19.05 9.25 -0.82 0.97 8.19
0 H South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 14- 6 -15.86 12.44 -0.82 0.97 11.29
0 A Eastern (10- 3, 97.1) 1-16 -2.81 25.49 0.82 0.97 -1.93
0 H Ballard ( 4- 9, 84.2) 7- 5 -15.73 12.57 -0.82 0.97 11.41
0 N South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 8- 5 -15.86 12.44 -0.00 0.97 12.09
0 H Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 7- 8 -14.42 13.88 -0.82 0.97 -14.82
0 H Sacred Heart A (15- 5, 95.6) 4-17 -4.33 23.96 -0.82 0.97 -5.01
0 A Louisville Col ( 7- 8, 91.2) 9-14 -8.72 19.58 0.82 0.97 -7.67
0 A DuPont Manual ( 9- 7, 84.1) 7- 8 -15.81 12.48 0.82 0.97 -14.57
0 A Mercy Academy (10- 8, 84.4) 7- 5 -15.48 12.82 0.82 0.97 13.26
0 A Notre Dame Aca (13- 1, 89.0) 14-15 -10.94 17.36 0.82 0.97 -9.83
0 H Lexington Cath (10- 9, 82.3) 22- 8 -17.65 10.65 -0.82 0.97 9.55
0 N Louisville Col ( 7- 8, 91.2) 11-14 -8.72 19.58 -0.00 0.97 -8.47
------
15.51
|
winning pts = 77.8214 losing points = -62.3072
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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