Aspen
W-L: (11- 6) PR = 86.3398Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 313 H Summit ( 4-12, 75.5) 23- 3 315 H Steamboat Springs (11- 5, 87.9) 9-11 319 A Summit ( 4-12, 75.5) 23- 7 321 A Eagle Valley ( 0-14, 69.2) 25- 0 402 H Battle Mountain (13- 5, 90.0) 7-17 405 H Fruita Monument ( 9- 8, 82.7) 19- 5 410 A Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 16- 9 412 A Steamboat Springs (11- 5, 87.9) 16-20 417 H Eagle Valley ( 0-14, 69.2) 24- 5 419 A Roaring Fork (12- 5, 87.0) 11-12 422 H Telluride ( 8- 9, 82.2) 15- 6 424 H Roaring Fork (12- 5, 87.0) 13-11 429 H Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 20- 8 501 A Battle Mountain (13- 5, 90.0) 9-20 503 A Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 22- 3 508 H Durango (10- 4, 82.9) 17- 4 510 A Evergreen (16- 2, 95.3) 9-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
313 H Summit 23- 3 20 11 0.00
315 H Steamboat Springs 9-11 -2 -1 -0.88
319 A Summit 23- 7 16 10 0.00
321 A Eagle Valley 25- 0 25 17 0.00
402 H Battle Mountain 7-17 -10 -3 -1.83
405 H Fruita Monument 19- 5 14 4 0.88
410 A Grand Junction 16- 9 7 4 0.87
412 A Steamboat Springs 16-20 -4 -2 -1.99
417 H Eagle Valley 24- 5 19 18 0.00
419 A Roaring Fork 11-12 -1 -1 0.12
422 H Telluride 15- 6 9 5 0.43
424 H Roaring Fork 13-11 2 0 + 2.22
429 H Grand Junction 20- 8 12 5 0.00
501 A Battle Mountain 9-20 -11 -4 -0.94
503 A Montrose 22- 3 19 14 0.00
508 H Durango 17- 4 13 4 1.13
510 A Evergreen 9-18 -9 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H Roaring Fork 13-11 2 0 + 2.22 |
Aspen Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Aspen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arapahoe | |
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | ||
| Castle View | Castle View | Castle View | ||
| Chatfield | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Cherokee Trail | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Aspen | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Aspen | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | ||
| Columbine | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Conifer | Aspen | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Aspen | |
| Dakota Ridge | Aspen | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Aspen | |
| Denver East | Denver East | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Denver East | |
| Denver North | Aspen | Aspen 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Denver South | Aspen | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Aspen | |
| Durango | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Eagle Valley | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Eaglecrest | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairview | |
| Fruita Monument | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Golden | Golden | Golden 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Grand Junction | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Grandview | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Green Mountain | Green Mountain | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) | Green Mountain | |
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Holy Family | Aspen | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Aspen | |
| Horizon | Aspen | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Aspen | |
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kent Denver | |
| Legend | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Liberty | Aspen | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Mead | Mead | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Mead | |
| Montrose | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Mullen | Aspen | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Aspen | |
| Northfield | Northfield | Northfield | ||
| Palmer | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | ||
| Pine Creek | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Poudre District | Poudre District | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Pueblo West | Aspen | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ralston Valley | |
| Rampart | Aspen | Aspen 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | ||
| Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 6- 1) | Roaring Fork | |
| Rock Canyon | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| St Marys Academy | Aspen | Aspen 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | ||
| Summit | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Telluride | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | ThunderRidge | |
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Valor Christian |
PowerWise = 27
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Summit ( 4-12, 75.5) 23- 3 -24.36 6.36 -0.45 0.90 5.35
0 H Steamboat Spri (11- 5, 87.9) 9-11 -11.99 18.73 -0.45 0.90 -11.26
0 A Summit ( 4-12, 75.5) 23- 7 -24.36 6.36 0.45 0.90 6.16
0 A Eagle Valley ( 0-14, 69.2) 25- 0 -30.72 1.00 0.45 0.90 1.31
0 H Battle Mountai (13- 5, 90.0) 7-17 -9.94 20.78 -0.45 0.90 -9.40
0 H Fruita Monumen ( 9- 8, 82.7) 19- 5 -17.23 13.49 -0.45 0.90 11.80
0 A Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 16- 9 -18.14 12.58 0.45 0.90 11.79
0 A Steamboat Spri (11- 5, 87.9) 16-20 -11.99 18.73 0.45 0.90 -10.45
0 H Eagle Valley ( 0-14, 69.2) 24- 5 -30.72 1.00 -0.45 0.90 0.50
0 A Roaring Fork (12- 5, 87.0) 11-12 -12.89 17.83 0.45 0.90 -11.26
0 H Telluride ( 8- 9, 82.2) 15- 6 -17.68 13.05 -0.45 0.90 11.40
0 H Roaring Fork (12- 5, 87.0) 13-11 -12.89 17.83 -0.45 0.90 15.73
0 H Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 20- 8 -18.14 12.58 -0.45 0.90 10.98
0 A Battle Mountai (13- 5, 90.0) 9-20 -9.94 20.78 0.45 0.90 -8.59
0 A Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 22- 3 -28.32 2.40 0.45 0.90 2.58
0 H Durango (10- 4, 82.9) 17- 4 -16.98 13.74 -0.45 0.90 12.03
0 A Evergreen (16- 2, 95.3) 9-18 -4.59 26.13 0.45 0.90 -3.75
------
34.93
|
winning pts = 89.6459 losing points = -54.7180
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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