---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Ashley 1
  
Ashley                
W-L: ( 7-12) PR = 84.3277

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 H Swansboro (11- 6, 85.4) 10- 8 318 H Topsail (17- 3, 90.3) 6-17 321 A West Brunswick ( 2-15, 76.3) 15- 0 325 H Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 6-16 327 A New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 11-12 329 H Holly Springs (23- 2, 93.8) 7-13 401 A Hoggard (17- 6, 91.5) 5-19 404 H South Brunswick ( 6-11, 82.2) 20- 6 408 A North Brunswick ( 5-17, 75.3) 23- 8 410 A Topsail (17- 3, 90.3) 8-13 415 A Croatan (13- 9, 87.2) 5-12 422 H New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 9-16 424 H Hoggard (17- 6, 91.5) 5-19 426 H East Chapel Hill (22- 4, 94.1) 4-19 429 H West Brunswick ( 2-15, 76.3) 17- 3 502 A Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 5-17 505 A South Brunswick ( 6-11, 82.2) 15-12 507 H North Brunswick ( 5-17, 75.3) 14- 5 513 A Broughton (14- 7, 86.8) 4-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Swansboro              10- 8       2    -1    +      2.76
   318 H Topsail                 6-17     -11    -6           0.00
   321 A West Brunswick         15- 0      15     8           0.00
   325 H Laney                   6-16     -10    -1    -     -3.59
   327 A New Hanover            11-12      -1    -5    +      3.75
   329 H Holly Springs           7-13      -6    -9           0.00
   401 A Hoggard                 5-19     -14    -8           0.00
   404 H South Brunswick        20- 6      14     2    +      2.62
   408 A North Brunswick        23- 8      15     9           0.00
   410 A Topsail                 8-13      -5    -6           0.00
   415 A Croatan                 5-12      -7    -3          -1.86
   422 H New Hanover             9-16      -7    -4          -0.86
   424 H Hoggard                 5-19     -14    -7           0.00
   426 H East Chapel Hill        4-19     -15    -9           0.00
   429 H West Brunswick         17- 3      14     8           0.00
   502 A Laney                   5-17     -12    -2    -     -2.98
   505 A South Brunswick        15-12       3     2           1.23
   507 H North Brunswick        14- 5       9     9           0.00
   513 A Broughton               4-18     -14    -3    -     -2.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Laney                   6-16     -10    -1    -     -3.59
   502 A Laney                   5-17     -12    -2    -     -2.98
   513 A Broughton               4-18     -14    -3    -     -2.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Swansboro              10- 8       2    -1    +      2.76
   327 A New Hanover            11-12      -1    -5    +      3.75
   404 H South Brunswick        20- 6      14     2    +      2.62

Ashley Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ashley   Ashley
Arendell Parrott Academy Ashley   Ashley
Asheville HS Ashley   Ashley
Asheville School Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Ashley tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ashley
Atkins Ashley   Ashley
Ballantyne Ridge Ashley   Ashley
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness   Bishop McGuinness
Broughton Broughton Broughton  
Butler Ashley   Ashley
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Ashley Ashley   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Cape Fear HS Ashley   Ashley
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Carrboro Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Cary Academy Ashley   Ashley
Cary HS Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Ashley   Ashley
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton Ashley   Ashley
Cleveland Ashley   Ashley
Community School Davidso Ashley   Ashley
Corinth Holders Ashley   Ashley
Croatan Croatan Croatan  
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Ashley   Ashley
Davie Ashley   Ashley
DH Conley Ashley   Ashley
Durham Academy Ashley   Ashley
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill  
East Forsyth Ashley   Ashley
Enloe Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike Ashley   Ashley
First Flight Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ashley
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS   Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ashley
Garner Ashley   Ashley
Glenn Ashley   Ashley
Green Hope Ashley tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Ashley
Green Level Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Greensboro Day School Ashley   Ashley
Grimsley Ashley   Ashley
Havelock Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ashley
Heritage Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Hickory Ashley   Ashley
High Point Central Ashley   Ashley
Hoggard Hoggard Hoggard  
Holly Springs Holly Springs Holly Springs  
Hopewell Ashley   Ashley
Hough Ashley   Ashley
Hunt Ashley   Ashley
Independence Ashley   Ashley
Jack Britt Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ashley
Jacksonville Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ashley
JH Rose JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) JH Rose
Jordan Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney Laney  
Leesville Road Ashley tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ashley
Lincoln Charter Ashley   Ashley
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Middle Creek
Millbrook Ashley tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Ashley
Mooresville Ashley   Ashley
Mount Tabor Ashley   Ashley
Myers Park Myers Park tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Myers Park
New Bern New Bern insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 2) New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover New Hanover  
North Brunswick Ashley Ashley  
North Davidson Ashley   Ashley
North Lincoln Ashley   Ashley
Northern Guilford Ashley   Ashley
Northside Ashley Ashley   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ashley
Page Ashley   Ashley
Panther Creek Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Parkwood Ashley   Ashley
Patton Ashley   Ashley
Pine Forest Ashley   Ashley
Pine Lake Prep Ashley   Ashley
Pinecrest Pinecrest Pinecrest   2- 2 vs 0- 5
Porter Ridge Ashley   Ashley
Providence Ashley   Ashley
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Ashley   Ashley
Ragsdale Ashley   Ashley
Ravenscroft School Ashley   Ashley
Riverside Durham Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
RJ Reynolds Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Rolesville Ashley   Ashley
Ronald Reagan Ashley   Ashley
Sanderson Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Seaforth Seaforth insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Seaforth
South Brunswick Ashley Ashley  
South Iredell Ashley   Ashley
South Mecklenburg Ashley   Ashley
Southeast Guilford Ashley   Ashley
Southlake Christian Ashley   Ashley
Southwest Guilford Ashley   Ashley
St Davids School Ashley   Ashley
St Marys Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
St Stephens Ashley   Ashley
Sun Valley Ashley   Ashley
Swansboro Ashley Ashley  
TC Roberson Ashley   Ashley
Terry Sanford Ashley   Ashley
Topsail Topsail Topsail  
Union Pines Union Pines insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Union Pines
Wake Forest Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Wakefield Ashley tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ashley
Watauga Ashley   Ashley
Weddington Weddington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Weddington
West Brunswick Ashley Ashley  
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes Ashley   Ashley
White Oak Ashley Ashley   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Willow Spring Willow Spring tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Willow Spring

PowerWise = 90


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Swansboro       (11- 6, 85.4)    10- 8      -14.51      25.30      -0.31         0.89            22.19
   0 H Topsail         (17- 3, 90.3)     6-17       -9.61      30.19      -0.31         0.89            -8.80
   0 A West Brunswick  ( 2-15, 76.3)    15- 0      -23.64      16.17       0.31         0.89            14.62
   0 H Laney           ( 9- 8, 86.0)     6-16      -13.86      25.95      -0.31         0.89           -12.57
   0 A New Hanover     (18- 4, 88.8)    11-12      -11.13      28.68       0.31         0.89            -9.61
   0 H Holly Springs   (23- 2, 93.8)     7-13       -6.08      33.72      -0.31         0.89            -5.67
   0 A Hoggard         (17- 6, 91.5)     5-19       -8.36      31.45       0.31         0.89            -7.15
   0 H South Brunswic  ( 6-11, 82.2)    20- 6      -17.65      22.15      -0.31         0.89            19.39
   0 A North Brunswic  ( 5-17, 75.3)    23- 8      -24.60      15.20       0.31         0.89            13.77
   0 A Topsail         (17- 3, 90.3)     8-13       -9.61      30.19       0.31         0.89            -8.26
   0 A Croatan         (13- 9, 87.2)     5-12      -12.74      27.07       0.31         0.89           -11.04
   0 H New Hanover     (18- 4, 88.8)     9-16      -11.13      28.68      -0.31         0.89           -10.15
   0 H Hoggard         (17- 6, 91.5)     5-19       -8.36      31.45      -0.31         0.89            -7.69
   0 H East Chapel Hi  (22- 4, 94.1)     4-19       -5.77      34.03      -0.31         0.89            -5.39
   0 H West Brunswick  ( 2-15, 76.3)    17- 3      -23.64      16.17      -0.31         0.89            14.08
   0 A Laney           ( 9- 8, 86.0)     5-17      -13.86      25.95       0.31         0.89           -12.03
   0 A South Brunswic  ( 6-11, 82.2)    15-12      -17.65      22.15       0.31         0.89            19.94
   0 H North Brunswic  ( 5-17, 75.3)    14- 5      -24.60      15.20      -0.31         0.89            13.23
   0 A Broughton       (14- 7, 86.8)     4-18      -13.07      26.73       0.31         0.89           -11.33
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         7.52

winning pts = 117.2114 losing points = -109.6924

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------