---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Arundel 1
  
Arundel               
W-L: ( 6- 7) PR = 87.4944

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A South River (10- 4, 92.1) 2- 9 325 A Howard ( 9- 4, 88.8) 10-14 326 A Stephen Decatur ( 8- 5, 85.4) 14-10 328 H Severna Park (18- 2, 95.0) 4- 7 401 H Centennial ( 9- 5, 89.1) 7- 8 404 A Southern ( 7- 9, 85.9) 10- 6 407 H Chesapeake AA ( 9- 4, 87.1) 6- 3 411 H Crofton ( 7- 8, 87.2) 7- 8 423 A Annapolis ( 8- 7, 83.6) 9- 7 424 A North County ( 4- 9, 82.0) 11- 7 429 H Broadneck (14- 2, 93.8) 7-14 502 H Meade ( 0-12, 67.4) 15- 0 506 A Crofton ( 7- 8, 87.2) 6-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A South River             2- 9      -7    -5           0.00
   325 A Howard                 10-14      -4    -2    -     -2.21
   326 A Stephen Decatur        14-10       4     2    +      2.33
   328 H Severna Park            4- 7      -3    -7    +      2.00
   401 H Centennial              7- 8      -1    -1           0.15
   404 A Southern               10- 6       4     1    +      2.87
   407 H Chesapeake AA           6- 3       3     1    +      2.17
   411 H Crofton                 7- 8      -1     1          -1.75
   423 A Annapolis               9- 7       2     3          -1.41
   424 A North County           11- 7       4     5          -1.00
   429 H Broadneck               7-14      -7    -6           0.00
   502 H Meade                  15- 0      15    21           0.00
   506 A Crofton                 6-13      -7     0    --    -4.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Crofton                 6-13      -7     0    --    -4.85
   325 A Howard                 10-14      -4    -2    -     -2.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Stephen Decatur        14-10       4     2    +      2.33
   328 H Severna Park            4- 7      -3    -7    +      2.00
   404 A Southern               10- 6       4     1    +      2.87
   407 H Chesapeake AA           6- 3       3     1    +      2.17

Arundel Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Arundel   Arundel
Anne Arundel County Arundel   Arundel
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Arundel   Arundel
Bishop McNamara Arundel   Arundel
Brookewood SG Arundel   Arundel
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Arundel   Arundel
Calverton School Arundel   Arundel
Catholic High Baltimore Arundel   Arundel
Chapelgate Christian Arundel   Arundel
Concordia Prep Arundel   Arundel
Cristo Rey Jesuit Arundel   Arundel
DC International Arundel   Arundel
EL Haynes Charter Arundel   Arundel
Elizabeth Seton Arundel   Arundel
FCA Arundel   Arundel
Field School Arundel   Arundel
Friends School Arundel   Arundel
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Arundel   Arundel
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Arundel   Arundel
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Holy Cross Arundel   Arundel
Indian Creek Arundel   Arundel
Jackson-Reed Arundel   Arundel
Jemicy Arundel   Arundel
John Carroll John Carroll tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) John Carroll
Key School Arundel   Arundel
KIPP College Prep Arundel   Arundel
Maret School Arundel   Arundel
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mount de Sales
National Cathedral Arundel   Arundel
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Arundel   Arundel
Park School Arundel   Arundel
Rockbridge Academy Arundel   Arundel
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Arundel   Arundel
Sandy Spring Friends Arundel   Arundel
School Without Walls Arundel   Arundel
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Arundel   Arundel
St Andrews Episcopal Arundel   Arundel
St James School Arundel   Arundel
St Johns Catholic Prep Arundel   Arundel
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys St Marys   2- 1 vs 0- 3
St Marys Ryken Arundel   Arundel
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Arundel   Arundel
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Arundel   Arundel
Tome School Arundel   Arundel
Washington Latin Arundel   Arundel
Worcester Prep Arundel   Arundel
Aberdeen Arundel   Arundel
Academy for College & Ca Arundel tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Arundel
Annapolis Arundel Arundel  
Atholton Arundel insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Arundel
Baltimore Polytechnic Arundel   Arundel
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Arundel   Arundel
Bladensburg Arundel   Arundel
Blair Arundel   Arundel
Blake Arundel   Arundel
Bohemia Manor Arundel   Arundel
Boonsboro Arundel   Arundel
Bowie Arundel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arundel
Broadneck Broadneck Broadneck  
Brunswick Arundel   Arundel
Calvert Arundel   Arundel
Cambridge SD Arundel Arundel   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Carver A&T Arundel   Arundel
Catoctin Arundel   Arundel
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial Centennial  
Central PG Arundel   Arundel
Century Century insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Century
CH Flowers Arundel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Arundel
Chesapeake AA Arundel Arundel  
Chesapeake BC Arundel   Arundel
Chopticon Arundel   Arundel
City College Arundel   Arundel
Clarksburg Arundel   Arundel
CM Wright CM Wright tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) CM Wright
CMIT North Arundel   Arundel
Crofton Crofton Crofton  
Damascus Arundel   Arundel
Dr Henry Wise Arundel   Arundel
Dulaney Dulaney tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Dulaney
Dundalk Arundel   Arundel
DuVal Arundel   Arundel
Eastern Technical Arundel   Arundel
Easton Easton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Easton
Edgewood Arundel   Arundel
Einstein Arundel   Arundel
Eleanor Roosevelt Arundel   Arundel
Elkton Arundel   Arundel
Fairmont Heights Arundel   Arundel
Fallston Fallston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fallston
Francis Scott Key Arundel   Arundel
Franklin Arundel   Arundel
Frederick Arundel   Arundel
Frederick Douglass PG Arundel   Arundel
Gaithersburg Arundel   Arundel
Glen Burnie Arundel Arundel   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Gov Thomas Johnson Arundel   Arundel
Great Mills Arundel   Arundel
Guilford Park Arundel tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Arundel
Gwynn Park Arundel   Arundel
Hammond Arundel tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Arundel
Harford Tech Arundel   Arundel
Havre De Grace Arundel   Arundel
Hereford Arundel   Arundel
Howard Howard Howard  
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett Arundel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Arundel
Kennedy Arundel   Arundel
Kent County Arundel Arundel   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kent Island Kent Island tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Kent Island
Kenwood Arundel   Arundel
La Plata Arundel   Arundel
Lackey Arundel   Arundel
Lansdowne Arundel   Arundel
Laurel Arundel   Arundel
Leonardtown Leonardtown tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Arundel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arundel
Loch Raven Arundel   Arundel
Long Reach Arundel tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Arundel
Magruder Arundel   Arundel
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Meade Arundel Arundel  
Middletown Arundel   Arundel
Milford Mill Arundel   Arundel
MJ McDonough Arundel   Arundel
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Mount Hebron
New Town Arundel   Arundel
North Caroline Arundel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Arundel
North County Arundel Arundel  
North Dorchester Arundel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Arundel
North East Cecil Arundel   Arundel
North Hagerstown Arundel   Arundel
North Harford Arundel   Arundel
North Point Arundel   Arundel
Northeast Arundel Arundel   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Arundel   Arundel
Northwestern PG Arundel   Arundel
Northwood Arundel   Arundel
Oakdale Arundel   Arundel
Oakland Mills Arundel tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Arundel
Old Mill Arundel Arundel   4- 3 vs 1- 6
Overlea Arundel   Arundel
Owings Mills Arundel   Arundel
Oxon Hill Arundel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arundel
Paint Branch Arundel   Arundel
Parkdale Arundel   Arundel
Parkside Arundel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Arundel
Parkville Arundel   Arundel
Patapsco Arundel   Arundel
Patterson Mill Arundel   Arundel
Patuxent Arundel   Arundel
Perry Hall Arundel   Arundel
Perryville Arundel   Arundel
Pikesville Arundel   Arundel
Poolesville Arundel   Arundel
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Arundel tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Arundel
Randallstown Arundel   Arundel
Randallstown Arundel   Arundel
Reservoir Arundel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Arundel
Richard Montgomery Arundel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arundel
Rising Sun Arundel   Arundel
River Hill Arundel insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Arundel
Rockville Arundel   Arundel
Seneca Valley Arundel   Arundel
Severn Run Arundel Arundel   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park  
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Arundel   Arundel
South Carroll South Carroll tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Carroll
South Hagerstown Arundel   Arundel
South River South River South River  
Southern Arundel Arundel  
Sparrows Point Arundel   Arundel
Springbrook Arundel   Arundel
St Charles Arundel   Arundel
Stephen Decatur Arundel Arundel  
Suitland Arundel   Arundel
Thomas Stone Arundel   Arundel
Towson Towson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Towson
Tuscarora Arundel   Arundel
Urbana Urbana tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urbana
Walkersville Arundel   Arundel
Walter Johnson Arundel   Arundel
Watkins Mill Arundel   Arundel
Western Baltimore Arundel   Arundel
Western STES Arundel   Arundel
Westlake Arundel   Arundel
Westminster Westminster Westminster   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Wheaton Arundel   Arundel
Whitman Arundel   Arundel
Wicomico Arundel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Arundel
Wilde Lake Arundel Arundel   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Winston Churchill Arundel   Arundel
Winters Mill Arundel tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Arundel
Woodlawn Arundel   Arundel
Wootton Arundel   Arundel

PowerWise = 171


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A South River     (10- 4, 92.1)     2- 9       -7.83      30.09       0.45         0.92            -6.79
   0 A Howard          ( 9- 4, 88.8)    10-14      -11.06      26.85       0.45         0.92            -9.77
   0 A Stephen Decatu  ( 8- 5, 85.4)    14-10      -14.52      23.40       0.45         0.92            21.95
   0 H Severna Park    (18- 2, 95.0)     4- 7       -4.93      32.99      -0.45         0.92            -4.95
   0 H Centennial      ( 9- 5, 89.1)     7- 8      -10.81      27.11      -0.45         0.92           -10.36
   0 A Southern        ( 7- 9, 85.9)    10- 6      -13.98      23.94       0.45         0.92            22.44
   0 H Chesapeake AA   ( 9- 4, 87.1)     6- 3      -12.79      25.13      -0.45         0.92            22.71
   0 H Crofton         ( 7- 8, 87.2)     7- 8      -12.70      25.22      -0.45         0.92           -12.10
   0 A Annapolis       ( 8- 7, 83.6)     9- 7      -16.27      21.65       0.45         0.92            20.34
   0 A North County    ( 4- 9, 82.0)    11- 7      -17.88      20.04       0.45         0.92            18.86
   0 H Broadneck       (14- 2, 93.8)     7-14       -6.12      31.80      -0.45         0.92            -6.04
   0 H Meade           ( 0-12, 67.4)    15- 0      -32.46       5.46      -0.45         0.92             4.61
   0 A Crofton         ( 7- 8, 87.2)     6-13      -12.70      25.22       0.45         0.92           -11.28
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        49.62

winning pts = 110.9122 losing points = -61.2925

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------