Arrowhead
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 94.4873Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 403 A Mukwonago (13- 6, 92.9) 15- 9 410 H Kettle Moraine (19- 4, 95.8) 4- 8 415 A Whitefish Bay (15- 4, 93.6) 8- 7 417 A Muskego (10-10, 91.9) 7- 2 422 A Oconomowoc ( 8- 9, 91.0) 8- 5 424 A Waukesha ( 3-14, 87.8) 10- 6 426 H University Milwaukee (16- 2, 96.8) 7-13 501 H Mukwonago (13- 6, 92.9) 13- 8 503 A Brookfield (15- 3, 93.5) 13-15 506 A Kettle Moraine (19- 4, 95.8) 9-11 508 H Muskego (10-10, 91.9) 13- 3 513 A Waukesha ( 3-14, 87.8) 16- 7 516 H Oconomowoc ( 8- 9, 91.0) 16- 3 529 H West Bend ( 4- 8, 86.8) 15- 3 603 H Mukwonago (13- 6, 92.9) 9- 8 605 A Kettle Moraine (19- 4, 95.8) 6- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
403 A Mukwonago 15- 9 6 1 + 3.99
410 H Kettle Moraine 4- 8 -4 -1 - -3.26
415 A Whitefish Bay 8- 7 1 0 0.69
417 A Muskego 7- 2 5 2 + 3.06
422 A Oconomowoc 8- 5 3 3 0.07
424 A Waukesha 10- 6 4 6 -1.00
426 H University Milwaukee 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.27
501 H Mukwonago 13- 8 5 2 + 2.78
503 A Brookfield 13-15 -2 0 - -2.34
506 A Kettle Moraine 9-11 -2 -2 -0.05
508 H Muskego 13- 3 10 3 1.85
513 A Waukesha 16- 7 9 6 0.00
516 H Oconomowoc 16- 3 13 4 0.86
529 H West Bend 15- 3 12 8 0.00
603 H Mukwonago 9- 8 1 2 -1.22
605 A Kettle Moraine 6- 9 -3 -2 -1.05
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Kettle Moraine 4- 8 -4 -1 - -3.26 426 H University Milwaukee 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.27 503 A Brookfield 13-15 -2 0 - -2.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Mukwonago 15- 9 6 1 + 3.99 417 A Muskego 7- 2 5 2 + 3.06 501 H Mukwonago 13- 8 5 2 + 2.78 |
Arrowhead Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appleton | Arrowhead | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Arrowhead | |
| Bay Port | Arrowhead | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arrowhead | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Cedarburg | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Central Wisconsin | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| De Pere | Arrowhead | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Arrowhead | |
| DeForest | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Divine Savior | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 5- 2 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Franklin | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 5- 2 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Hamilton | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Homestead | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Hudson | Hudson | Hudson 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Janesville | Arrowhead | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Arrowhead | |
| Kenosha | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | ||
| Kimberly | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Madison | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Middleton | Arrowhead | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arrowhead | |
| Mukwonago | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Muskego | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Neenah | Arrowhead | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arrowhead | |
| Notre Dame | Arrowhead | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Arrowhead | |
| Oak Creek | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Oconomowoc | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Oregon | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Pulaski | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Sun Prairie | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Superior | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| University Milwaukee | University Milwaukee | University Milwaukee | ||
| Verona | Arrowhead | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Arrowhead | |
| Waukesha | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Waunakee | Arrowhead | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arrowhead | |
| Wauwatosa | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| West Bend | Arrowhead | Arrowhead | ||
| Whitefish Bay | Arrowhead | Arrowhead |
PowerWise = 31
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Mukwonago (13- 6, 92.9) 15- 9 -7.03 13.87 0.60 0.98 14.22
0 H Kettle Moraine (19- 4, 95.8) 4- 8 -4.07 16.84 -0.60 0.98 -4.59
0 A Whitefish Bay (15- 4, 93.6) 8- 7 -6.33 14.57 0.60 0.98 14.91
0 A Muskego (10-10, 91.9) 7- 2 -7.96 12.94 0.60 0.98 13.31
0 A Oconomowoc ( 8- 9, 91.0) 8- 5 -8.95 11.96 0.60 0.98 12.34
0 A Waukesha ( 3-14, 87.8) 10- 6 -12.12 8.78 0.60 0.98 9.22
0 H University Mil (16- 2, 96.8) 7-13 -3.07 17.83 -0.60 0.98 -3.61
0 H Mukwonago (13- 6, 92.9) 13- 8 -7.03 13.87 -0.60 0.98 13.04
0 A Brookfield (15- 3, 93.5) 13-15 -6.36 14.54 0.60 0.98 -5.66
0 A Kettle Moraine (19- 4, 95.8) 9-11 -4.07 16.84 0.60 0.98 -3.40
0 H Muskego (10-10, 91.9) 13- 3 -7.96 12.94 -0.60 0.98 12.13
0 A Waukesha ( 3-14, 87.8) 16- 7 -12.12 8.78 0.60 0.98 9.22
0 H Oconomowoc ( 8- 9, 91.0) 16- 3 -8.95 11.96 -0.60 0.98 11.16
0 H West Bend ( 4- 8, 86.8) 15- 3 -13.09 7.81 -0.60 0.98 7.08
0 H Mukwonago (13- 6, 92.9) 9- 8 -7.03 13.87 -0.60 0.98 13.04
0 A Kettle Moraine (19- 4, 95.8) 6- 9 -4.07 16.84 0.60 0.98 -3.40
------
109.00
|
winning pts = 129.6675 losing points = -20.6625
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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