---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Ardrey Kell 1
  
Ardrey Kell           
W-L: ( 7-11) PR = 82.8644

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Porter Ridge ( 7-10, 76.4) 12- 2 303 H Butler ( 3-12, 71.9) 20- 1 306 A Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 5-21 310 A Providence ( 3-10, 77.9) 15- 3 312 A Independence ( 0-15, 66.8) 20- 0 317 H South Mecklenburg (10- 6, 82.0) 11-12 319 A Hough (11- 4, 84.1) 11-13 324 H Ballantyne Ridge (10- 6, 80.6) 14- 8 326 H Marvin Ridge (19- 4, 94.0) 5-19 401 H Charlotte Catholic (14- 5, 94.1) 2-17 404 A Weddington (17- 6, 95.6) 1-17 408 H Hough (11- 4, 84.1) 15-19 423 H Cannon School (11- 8, 90.0) 6-14 425 H Providence ( 3-10, 77.9) 17- 6 428 A Myers Park (14- 7, 90.0) 11-22 506 H Cuthbertson (10- 9, 90.6) 3-15 514 H South Mecklenburg (10- 6, 82.0) 11- 7 516 H Charlotte Catholic (14- 5, 94.1) 4-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Porter Ridge           12- 2      10     6           0.00
   303 H Butler                 20- 1      19    11           0.00
   306 A Charlotte CDS           5-21     -16   -12           0.00
   310 A Providence             15- 3      12     5           0.31
   312 A Independence           20- 0      20    16           0.00
   317 H South Mecklenburg      11-12      -1     1    -     -2.16
   319 A Hough                  11-13      -2    -2          -0.45
   324 H Ballantyne Ridge       14- 8       6     3    +      2.46
   326 H Marvin Ridge            5-19     -14   -11           0.00
   401 H Charlotte Catholic      2-17     -15   -11           0.00
   404 A Weddington              1-17     -16   -13           0.00
   408 H Hough                  15-19      -4    -1    -     -3.06
   423 H Cannon School           6-14      -8    -7           0.00
   425 H Providence             17- 6      11     5           0.00
   428 A Myers Park             11-22     -11    -7           0.00
   506 H Cuthbertson             3-15     -12    -7           0.00
   514 H South Mecklenburg      11- 7       4     1    +      2.84
   516 H Charlotte Catholic      4-21     -17   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H South Mecklenburg      11-12      -1     1    -     -2.16
   408 H Hough                  15-19      -4    -1    -     -3.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Ballantyne Ridge       14- 8       6     3    +      2.46
   514 H South Mecklenburg      11- 7       4     1    +      2.84

Ardrey Kell Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Arendell Parrott Academy Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Asheville HS Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Atkins Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Ballantyne Ridge Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell  
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness   Bishop McGuinness
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell  
Cannon School Cannon School Cannon School  
Cape Fear Academy Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Cape Fear HS Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Carrboro Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Cary Academy Ardrey Kell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ardrey Kell
Cary HS Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic  
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS  
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Christ the King Christ the King tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Christ the King
Clayton Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Cleveland Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Community School Davidso Ardrey Kell insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) Ardrey Kell
Corinth Holders Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson Cuthbertson  
Davidson Day School Ardrey Kell insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Ardrey Kell
Davie Ardrey Kell insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ardrey Kell
DH Conley Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Durham Academy Ardrey Kell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ardrey Kell
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth Ardrey Kell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ardrey Kell
Enloe Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
First Flight Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Glenn Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Greensboro Day School Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Grimsley Ardrey Kell tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ardrey Kell
Havelock Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Heritage Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Hickory Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
High Point Central Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Hoggard Hoggard insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holly Springs
Hopewell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Hough Hough Hough  
Hunt Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Independence Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell  
Jack Britt Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Jacksonville Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
Jordan Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   3- 3 vs 1- 6
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Ardrey Kell insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Ardrey Kell
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge  
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   5- 2 vs 2- 4
Mount Tabor Ardrey Kell insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ardrey Kell
Myers Park Myers Park Myers Park  
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
North Davidson Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
North Lincoln Ardrey Kell insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Ardrey Kell
Northern Guilford Ardrey Kell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ardrey Kell
Northside Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Page Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Panther Creek Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Parkwood Ardrey Kell insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 4) Ardrey Kell
Patton Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Pine Forest Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Pine Lake Prep Ardrey Kell insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ardrey Kell
Pinecrest Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell  
Providence Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell  
Providence Day Providence Day Providence Day   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Ragsdale Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
RJ Reynolds Ardrey Kell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Ardrey Kell
Rolesville Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Ronald Reagan Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Sanderson Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
South Iredell Ardrey Kell tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ardrey Kell
South Mecklenburg Ardrey Kell insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) Ardrey Kell
Southeast Guilford Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Southlake Christian Ardrey Kell insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) Ardrey Kell
Southwest Guilford Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
St Davids School Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
St Marys Ardrey Kell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ardrey Kell
St Stephens Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Sun Valley Ardrey Kell insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Ardrey Kell
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Terry Sanford Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Topsail Topsail tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wakefield
Watauga Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Weddington Weddington Weddington  
West Brunswick Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
West Forsyth West Forsyth tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) West Forsyth
West Stokes Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
White Oak Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 78


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Porter Ridge    ( 7-10, 76.4)    12- 2      -23.50      16.31       0.31         0.94            15.57
   0 H Butler          ( 3-12, 71.9)    20- 1      -27.98      11.82      -0.31         0.94            10.79
   0 A Charlotte CDS   (15- 5, 94.3)     5-21       -5.62      34.18       0.31         0.94            -4.98
   0 A Providence      ( 3-10, 77.9)    15- 3      -22.03      17.77       0.31         0.94            16.94
   0 A Independence    ( 0-15, 66.8)    20- 0      -33.12       6.69       0.31         0.94             6.55
   0 H South Mecklenb  (10- 6, 82.0)    11-12      -17.89      21.91      -0.31         0.94           -17.05
   0 A Hough           (11- 4, 84.1)    11-13      -15.79      24.01       0.31         0.94           -14.51
   0 H Ballantyne Rid  (10- 6, 80.6)    14- 8      -19.27      20.53      -0.31         0.94            18.95
   0 H Marvin Ridge    (19- 4, 94.0)     5-19       -5.95      33.86      -0.31         0.94            -5.86
   0 H Charlotte Cath  (14- 5, 94.1)     2-17       -5.83      33.98      -0.31         0.94            -5.75
   0 A Weddington      (17- 6, 95.6)     1-17       -4.31      35.50       0.31         0.94            -3.75
   0 H Hough           (11- 4, 84.1)    15-19      -15.79      24.01      -0.31         0.94           -15.08
   0 H Cannon School   (11- 8, 90.0)     6-14       -9.88      29.93      -0.31         0.94            -9.54
   0 H Providence      ( 3-10, 77.9)    17- 6      -22.03      17.77      -0.31         0.94            16.37
   0 A Myers Park      (14- 7, 90.0)    11-22       -9.91      29.90       0.31         0.94            -9.00
   0 H Cuthbertson     (10- 9, 90.6)     3-15       -9.32      30.49      -0.31         0.94            -9.02
   0 H South Mecklenb  (10- 6, 82.0)    11- 7      -17.89      21.91      -0.31         0.94            20.25
   0 H Charlotte Cath  (14- 5, 94.1)     4-21       -5.83      33.98      -0.31         0.94            -5.75
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         5.13

winning pts = 105.4157 losing points = -100.2851

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------