Arapahoe
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 87.3751Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 H Telluride ( 8- 9, 82.2) 22-11 310 H Pueblo West ( 1-13, 71.9) 21- 6 311 A Kent Denver ( 9- 8, 92.3) 9-11 313 A St Marys Academy ( 5-10, 76.8) 19- 5 318 A Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 6-20 320 A Air Academy ( 6-11, 84.3) 17-11 402 A Grandview ( 4-11, 79.2) 18- 3 407 A Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 4-22 409 H Cherry Creek ( 6- 8, 89.1) 8-18 414 A Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 11-12 416 A Denver South ( 4-11, 85.9) 18- 9 421 H Pine Creek ( 9- 7, 87.5) 4-14 423 H Denver East (10- 7, 90.5) 7-14 429 H Cherokee Trail ( 4-11, 83.9) 24-12 502 H Eaglecrest ( 5- 9, 77.4) 23- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 H Telluride 22-11 11 6 0.00
310 H Pueblo West 21- 6 15 16 0.00
311 A Kent Denver 9-11 -2 -5 + 3.00
313 A St Marys Academy 19- 5 14 10 0.00
318 A Heritage 6-20 -14 -6 0.00
320 A Air Academy 17-11 6 3 + 2.35
402 A Grandview 18- 3 15 8 0.00
407 A Regis Jesuit 4-22 -18 -10 0.00
409 H Cherry Creek 8-18 -10 -1 - -3.76
414 A Northfield 11-12 -1 -2 0.62
416 A Denver South 18- 9 9 1 ++ 4.00
421 H Pine Creek 4-14 -10 0 -- -5.28
423 H Denver East 7-14 -7 -3 - -2.32
429 H Cherokee Trail 24-12 12 4 1.05
502 H Eaglecrest 23- 6 17 10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 H Pine Creek 4-14 -10 0 -- -5.28 409 H Cherry Creek 8-18 -10 -1 - -3.76 423 H Denver East 7-14 -7 -3 - -2.32 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A Denver South 18- 9 9 1 ++ 4.00 311 A Kent Denver 9-11 -2 -5 + 3.00 320 A Air Academy 17-11 6 3 + 2.35 |
Arapahoe Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Aspen | Arapahoe | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arapahoe | |
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Battle Mountain | |
| Castle View | Castle View | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 4) | Castle View | |
| Chatfield | Chatfield | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Chatfield | |
| Cherokee Trail | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Arapahoe | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Arapahoe | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Colorado Academy | |
| Columbine | Arapahoe | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Arapahoe | |
| Conifer | Arapahoe | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Arapahoe | |
| Dakota Ridge | Arapahoe | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Arapahoe | |
| Denver East | Denver East | Denver East | ||
| Denver North | Arapahoe | Arapahoe 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Denver South | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Durango | Arapahoe | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Arapahoe | |
| Eagle Valley | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Eaglecrest | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Evergreen | |
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview 5- 1 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Fruita Monument | Arapahoe | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arapahoe | |
| Golden | Golden | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Golden | |
| Grand Junction | Arapahoe | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Arapahoe | |
| Grandview | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Green Mountain | Green Mountain | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Green Mountain | |
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Holy Family | Arapahoe | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) | Arapahoe | |
| Horizon | Arapahoe | Arapahoe 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | Kent Denver | ||
| Legend | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Liberty | Arapahoe | Arapahoe 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Mead | Mead | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Mead | |
| Montrose | Arapahoe | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arapahoe | |
| Mullen | Arapahoe | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Arapahoe | |
| Northfield | Northfield | Northfield | ||
| Palmer | Arapahoe | Arapahoe 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | Palmer Ridge | |
| Pine Creek | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Poudre District | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Poudre District | |
| Pueblo West | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Ralston Valley | |
| Rampart | Arapahoe | Arapahoe 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | ||
| Roaring Fork | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Rock Canyon | Arapahoe | tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) | Arapahoe | |
| St Marys Academy | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | ||
| Summit | Arapahoe | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arapahoe | |
| Telluride | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian 5- 0 vs 1- 4 |
PowerWise = 29
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Telluride ( 8- 9, 82.2) 22-11 -17.68 13.05 -0.45 1.03 12.92
0 H Pueblo West ( 1-13, 71.9) 21- 6 -28.00 2.72 -0.45 1.03 2.33
0 A Kent Denver ( 9- 8, 92.3) 9-11 -7.61 23.11 0.45 1.03 -7.35
0 A St Marys Acade ( 5-10, 76.8) 19- 5 -23.07 7.65 0.45 1.03 8.30
0 A Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 6-20 -6.78 23.95 0.45 1.03 -6.49
0 A Air Academy ( 6-11, 84.3) 17-11 -15.63 15.10 0.45 1.03 15.94
0 A Grandview ( 4-11, 79.2) 18- 3 -20.68 10.04 0.45 1.03 10.76
0 A Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 4-22 -2.83 27.90 0.45 1.03 -2.44
0 H Cherry Creek ( 6- 8, 89.1) 8-18 -10.83 19.89 -0.45 1.03 -11.57
0 A Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 11-12 -11.35 19.37 0.45 1.03 -11.18
0 A Denver South ( 4-11, 85.9) 18- 9 -13.97 16.76 0.45 1.03 17.64
0 H Pine Creek ( 9- 7, 87.5) 4-14 -12.35 18.37 -0.45 1.03 -13.13
0 H Denver East (10- 7, 90.5) 7-14 -9.40 21.33 -0.45 1.03 -10.10
0 H Cherokee Trail ( 4-11, 83.9) 24-12 -16.03 14.70 -0.45 1.03 14.62
0 H Eaglecrest ( 5- 9, 77.4) 23- 6 -22.53 8.19 -0.45 1.03 7.95
------
28.21
|
winning pts = 90.4641 losing points = -62.2586
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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