---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Apple Valley 1
  
Apple Valley          
W-L: ( 3-12) PR = 77.5761

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 H Simley ( 6- 7, 85.9) 6-16 422 A Prior Lake (19- 0, 99.9) 4-19 424 H Minneapolis Co-Op ( 4- 9, 71.7) 14- 2 426 A Spring Lake Park/Coon ( 5-10, 82.6) 7-12 429 A Lakeville North ( 5-11, 79.5) 9-10 501 H Holy Angels Academy ( 8- 6, 86.0) 8-16 502 H Bloomington Jefferson (12- 3, 91.9) 4-18 506 H Eastview/Eagan ( 5-10, 81.0) 9-14 508 H Farmington (11- 5, 90.3) 8-17 513 H Lakeville South (14- 5, 94.5) 6-21 515 A Shakopee ( 8- 7, 88.2) 9-21 520 A Rosemount (12- 3, 95.9) 5-23 522 A Bloomington Kennedy/Bu ( 2-11, 70.0) 16- 4 527 H Minneapolis Co-Op ( 4- 9, 71.7) 17- 2 529 A Prior Lake (19- 0, 99.9) 2-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Simley                  6-16     -10    -8           0.00
   422 A Prior Lake              4-19     -15   -23           0.00
   424 H Minneapolis Co-Op      14- 2      12     7           0.00
   426 A Spring Lake Park/Coon   7-12      -5    -6           0.00
   429 A Lakeville North         9-10      -1    -3           1.53
   501 H Holy Angels Academy     8-16      -8    -8           0.00
   502 H Bloomington Jefferson   4-18     -14   -14           0.00
   506 H Eastview/Eagan          9-14      -5    -3    -     -2.13
   508 H Farmington              8-17      -9   -12           0.00
   513 H Lakeville South         6-21     -15   -16           0.00
   515 A Shakopee                9-21     -12   -11           0.00
   520 A Rosemount               5-23     -18   -19           0.00
   522 A Bloomington Kennedy/Bu 16- 4      12     7           0.00
   527 H Minneapolis Co-Op      17- 2      15     7           0.00
   529 A Prior Lake              2-19     -17   -23           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Eastview/Eagan          9-14      -5    -3    -     -2.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Apple Valley Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Andover insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Andover
Anoka Anoka tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Anoka
Becker Becker   Becker
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Benilde-St Margarets
Big Lake Apple Valley   Apple Valley
Blaine Blaine insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Blaine
Blake School Blake School insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Blake School
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson  
Bloomington Kennedy/Burn Apple Valley Apple Valley  
Brainerd Brainerd   Brainerd
Breck School Breck School Breck School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Buffalo Buffalo insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Buffalo
Centennial Centennial insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Centennial
Champlin Park Champlin Park Champlin Park   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Chanhassen Chanhassen tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Chanhassen
Chaska Chaska tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Chaska
Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Chisago Lakes
Columbia Heights Apple Valley Apple Valley   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall   Cretin-Derham Hall
Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford   Delano/Rockford
Duluth Co-Op Duluth Co-Op insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Duluth Co-Op
Duluth Marshall Duluth Marshall tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duluth Marshall
East Ridge East Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Ridge
Eastview/Eagan Eastview/Eagan Eastview/Eagan  
Eden Prairie Eden Prairie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Eden Prairie
Edina Edina Edina   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Farmington Farmington Farmington  
Forest Lake Forest Lake   Forest Lake
Gentry/Mounds Park Acade Gentry/Mounds Park Acade   Gentry/Mounds Park Acade
Grand Rapids-Greenway Grand Rapids-Greenway   Grand Rapids-Greenway
Hastings Apple Valley tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Apple Valley
Hermantown-Proctor Hermantown-Proctor tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hermantown-Proctor
Hill-Murray Hill-Murray insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hill-Murray
Holy Angels Academy Holy Angels Academy Holy Angels Academy  
Holy Family Catholic Holy Family Catholic   Holy Family Catholic
Hopkins Hopkins insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hopkins
Hutchinson Hutchinson   Hutchinson
Irondale Irondale tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Irondale
Lakeville North Lakeville North Lakeville North  
Lakeville South Lakeville South Lakeville South  
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mahtomedi
Mankato Co-Op Mankato Co-Op tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Mankato Co-Op
Maple Grove Maple Grove tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Maple Grove
Minneapolis Co-Op Apple Valley Apple Valley  
Minnetonka Minnetonka insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Minnetonka
Monticello Monticello   Monticello
Moorhead Moorhead   Moorhead
Mound Westonka Mound Westonka   Mound Westonka
Mounds View Mounds View   Mounds View
New Prague New Prague tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) New Prague
Northfield Apple Valley tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Apple Valley
Orono Orono insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Orono
Osseo-Park Center Osseo-Park Center insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Osseo-Park Center
Owatonna Owatonna insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Owatonna
Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Prior Lake Prior Lake Prior Lake  
Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co   Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co
Rochester Century Rochester Century insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Rochester Century
Rochester JM/Lourdes Apple Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Apple Valley
Rochester Mayo Rochester Mayo   Rochester Mayo
Rocori Apple Valley   Apple Valley
Rogers Rogers   Rogers
Rosemount Rosemount Rosemount  
Roseville Roseville   Roseville
Sartell-Sauk Rapids Apple Valley   Apple Valley
Shakopee Shakopee Shakopee  
Simley Simley Simley  
Southwest Christian Southwest Christian tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Southwest Christian
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra  
St Cloud Area St Cloud Area   St Cloud Area
St Croix Prep St Croix Prep St Croix Prep   4- 0 vs 2- 2
St Louis Park St Louis Park tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Louis Park
St Michael-Albertville St Michael-Albertville   St Michael-Albertville
St Paul Academy Apple Valley tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Apple Valley
St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
Stillwater Stillwater insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Stillwater
Tartan/North St Paul Apple Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Apple Valley
Totino-Grace Totino-Grace insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Totino-Grace
Visitation Visitation tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Visitation
Waconia Waconia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Waconia
Wayzata Wayzata   Wayzata
White Bear Lake White Bear Lake   White Bear Lake
Woodbury Woodbury   Woodbury

PowerWise = 11


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Simley          ( 6- 7, 85.9)     6-16      -13.97      19.09      -0.59         0.98           -14.25
   0 A Prior Lake      (19- 0, 99.9)     4-19       -0.00      33.06       0.59         0.98            -0.58
   0 H Minneapolis Co  ( 4- 9, 71.7)    14- 2      -28.24       4.82      -0.59         0.98             4.14
   0 A Spring Lake Pa  ( 5-10, 82.6)     7-12      -17.33      15.73       0.59         0.98           -16.38
   0 A Lakeville Nort  ( 5-11, 79.5)     9-10      -20.39      12.67       0.59         0.98           -19.38
   0 H Holy Angels Ac  ( 8- 6, 86.0)     8-16      -13.88      19.18      -0.59         0.98           -14.16
   0 H Bloomington Je  (12- 3, 91.9)     4-18       -8.02      25.04      -0.59         0.98            -8.43
   0 H Eastview/Eagan  ( 5-10, 81.0)     9-14      -18.87      14.19      -0.59         0.98           -19.05
   0 H Farmington      (11- 5, 90.3)     8-17       -9.55      23.50      -0.59         0.98            -9.93
   0 H Lakeville Sout  (14- 5, 94.5)     6-21       -5.42      27.64      -0.59         0.98            -5.89
   0 A Shakopee        ( 8- 7, 88.2)     9-21      -11.74      21.32       0.59         0.98           -10.91
   0 A Rosemount       (12- 3, 95.9)     5-23       -4.04      29.02       0.59         0.98            -3.38
   0 A Bloomington Ke  ( 2-11, 70.0)    16- 4      -29.94       3.12       0.59         0.98             3.63
   0 H Minneapolis Co  ( 4- 9, 71.7)    17- 2      -28.24       4.82      -0.59         0.98             4.14
   0 A Prior Lake      (19- 0, 99.9)     2-19       -0.00      33.06       0.59         0.98            -0.58
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -111.01

winning pts = 11.9059 losing points = -122.9109

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------