Apple Valley
W-L: ( 3-12) PR = 77.5761
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
410 H Simley ( 6- 7, 85.9) 6-16
422 A Prior Lake (19- 0, 99.9) 4-19
424 H Minneapolis Co-Op ( 4- 9, 71.7) 14- 2
426 A Spring Lake Park/Coon ( 5-10, 82.6) 7-12
429 A Lakeville North ( 5-11, 79.5) 9-10
501 H Holy Angels Academy ( 8- 6, 86.0) 8-16
502 H Bloomington Jefferson (12- 3, 91.9) 4-18
506 H Eastview/Eagan ( 5-10, 81.0) 9-14
508 H Farmington (11- 5, 90.3) 8-17
513 H Lakeville South (14- 5, 94.5) 6-21
515 A Shakopee ( 8- 7, 88.2) 9-21
520 A Rosemount (12- 3, 95.9) 5-23
522 A Bloomington Kennedy/Bu ( 2-11, 70.0) 16- 4
527 H Minneapolis Co-Op ( 4- 9, 71.7) 17- 2
529 A Prior Lake (19- 0, 99.9) 2-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
410 H Simley 6-16 -10 -8 0.00
422 A Prior Lake 4-19 -15 -23 0.00
424 H Minneapolis Co-Op 14- 2 12 7 0.00
426 A Spring Lake Park/Coon 7-12 -5 -6 0.00
429 A Lakeville North 9-10 -1 -3 1.53
501 H Holy Angels Academy 8-16 -8 -8 0.00
502 H Bloomington Jefferson 4-18 -14 -14 0.00
506 H Eastview/Eagan 9-14 -5 -3 - -2.13
508 H Farmington 8-17 -9 -12 0.00
513 H Lakeville South 6-21 -15 -16 0.00
515 A Shakopee 9-21 -12 -11 0.00
520 A Rosemount 5-23 -18 -19 0.00
522 A Bloomington Kennedy/Bu 16- 4 12 7 0.00
527 H Minneapolis Co-Op 17- 2 15 7 0.00
529 A Prior Lake 2-19 -17 -23 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
506 H Eastview/Eagan 9-14 -5 -3 - -2.13
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Apple Valley Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Andover |
Andover |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Andover |
Anoka |
Anoka |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Anoka |
Becker |
Becker |
|
 
| Becker |
Benilde-St Margarets |
Benilde-St Margarets |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Benilde-St Margarets |
Big Lake |
Apple Valley |
|
 
| Apple Valley |
Blaine |
Blaine |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Blaine |
Blake School |
Blake School |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Blake School |
Bloomington Jefferson |
Bloomington Jefferson |
Bloomington Jefferson |
 
| |
Bloomington Kennedy/Burn |
Apple Valley |
Apple Valley |
 
| |
Brainerd |
Brainerd |
|
 
| Brainerd |
Breck School |
Breck School |
|
Breck School   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Buffalo |
Buffalo |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Buffalo |
Centennial |
Centennial |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Centennial |
Champlin Park |
Champlin Park |
|
Champlin Park   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Chanhassen |
Chanhassen |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Chanhassen |
Chaska |
Chaska |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Chaska |
Chisago Lakes |
Chisago Lakes |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Chisago Lakes |
Columbia Heights |
Apple Valley |
|
Apple Valley   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Cretin-Derham Hall |
Cretin-Derham Hall |
|
 
| Cretin-Derham Hall |
Delano/Rockford |
Delano/Rockford |
|
 
| Delano/Rockford |
Duluth Co-Op |
Duluth Co-Op |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Duluth Co-Op |
Duluth Marshall |
Duluth Marshall |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Duluth Marshall |
East Ridge |
East Ridge |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
East Ridge |
Eastview/Eagan |
Eastview/Eagan |
Eastview/Eagan |
 
| |
Eden Prairie |
Eden Prairie |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Eden Prairie |
Edina |
Edina |
|
Edina   3- 2 vs 0- 5 |
|
Elk River/Zimmerman |
Elk River/Zimmerman |
|
 
| Elk River/Zimmerman |
Farmington |
Farmington |
Farmington |
 
| |
Forest Lake |
Forest Lake |
|
 
| Forest Lake |
Gentry/Mounds Park Acade |
Gentry/Mounds Park Acade |
|
 
| Gentry/Mounds Park Acade |
Grand Rapids-Greenway |
Grand Rapids-Greenway |
|
 
| Grand Rapids-Greenway |
Hastings |
Apple Valley |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Apple Valley |
Hermantown-Proctor |
Hermantown-Proctor |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Hermantown-Proctor |
Hill-Murray |
Hill-Murray |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Hill-Murray |
Holy Angels Academy |
Holy Angels Academy |
Holy Angels Academy |
 
| |
Holy Family Catholic |
Holy Family Catholic |
|
 
| Holy Family Catholic |
Hopkins |
Hopkins |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Hopkins |
Hutchinson |
Hutchinson |
|
 
| Hutchinson |
Irondale |
Irondale |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Irondale |
Lakeville North |
Lakeville North |
Lakeville North |
 
| |
Lakeville South |
Lakeville South |
Lakeville South |
 
| |
Mahtomedi |
Mahtomedi |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Mahtomedi |
Mankato Co-Op |
Mankato Co-Op |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Mankato Co-Op |
Maple Grove |
Maple Grove |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Maple Grove |
Minneapolis Co-Op |
Apple Valley |
Apple Valley |
 
| |
Minnetonka |
Minnetonka |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) |
Minnetonka |
Monticello |
Monticello |
|
 
| Monticello |
Moorhead |
Moorhead |
|
 
| Moorhead |
Mound Westonka |
Mound Westonka |
|
 
| Mound Westonka |
Mounds View |
Mounds View |
|
 
| Mounds View |
New Prague |
New Prague |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
New Prague |
Northfield |
Apple Valley |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Apple Valley |
Orono |
Orono |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) |
Orono |
Osseo-Park Center |
Osseo-Park Center |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Osseo-Park Center |
Owatonna |
Owatonna |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Owatonna |
Park of Cottage Grove |
Park of Cottage Grove |
|
Park of Cottage Grove   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Prior Lake |
Prior Lake |
Prior Lake |
 
| |
Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co |
Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co |
|
 
| Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co |
Rochester Century |
Rochester Century |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Rochester Century |
Rochester JM/Lourdes |
Apple Valley |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Apple Valley |
Rochester Mayo |
Rochester Mayo |
|
 
| Rochester Mayo |
Rocori |
Apple Valley |
|
 
| Apple Valley |
Rogers |
Rogers |
|
 
| Rogers |
Rosemount |
Rosemount |
Rosemount |
 
| |
Roseville |
Roseville |
|
 
| Roseville |
Sartell-Sauk Rapids |
Apple Valley |
|
 
| Apple Valley |
Shakopee |
Shakopee |
Shakopee |
 
| |
Simley |
Simley |
Simley |
 
| |
Southwest Christian |
Southwest Christian |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Southwest Christian |
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra |
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra |
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra |
 
| |
St Cloud Area |
St Cloud Area |
|
 
| St Cloud Area |
St Croix Prep |
St Croix Prep |
|
St Croix Prep   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
St Louis Park |
St Louis Park |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
St Louis Park |
St Michael-Albertville |
St Michael-Albertville |
|
 
| St Michael-Albertville |
St Paul Academy |
Apple Valley |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Apple Valley |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Stillwater |
Stillwater |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Stillwater |
Tartan/North St Paul |
Apple Valley |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Apple Valley |
Totino-Grace |
Totino-Grace |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Totino-Grace |
Visitation |
Visitation |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) |
Visitation |
Waconia |
Waconia |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Waconia |
Wayzata |
Wayzata |
|
 
| Wayzata |
White Bear Lake |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Woodbury |
Woodbury |
|
 
| Woodbury |
PowerWise = 11

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Simley ( 6- 7, 85.9) 6-16 -13.97 19.09 -0.59 0.98 -14.25
0 A Prior Lake (19- 0, 99.9) 4-19 -0.00 33.06 0.59 0.98 -0.58
0 H Minneapolis Co ( 4- 9, 71.7) 14- 2 -28.24 4.82 -0.59 0.98 4.14
0 A Spring Lake Pa ( 5-10, 82.6) 7-12 -17.33 15.73 0.59 0.98 -16.38
0 A Lakeville Nort ( 5-11, 79.5) 9-10 -20.39 12.67 0.59 0.98 -19.38
0 H Holy Angels Ac ( 8- 6, 86.0) 8-16 -13.88 19.18 -0.59 0.98 -14.16
0 H Bloomington Je (12- 3, 91.9) 4-18 -8.02 25.04 -0.59 0.98 -8.43
0 H Eastview/Eagan ( 5-10, 81.0) 9-14 -18.87 14.19 -0.59 0.98 -19.05
0 H Farmington (11- 5, 90.3) 8-17 -9.55 23.50 -0.59 0.98 -9.93
0 H Lakeville Sout (14- 5, 94.5) 6-21 -5.42 27.64 -0.59 0.98 -5.89
0 A Shakopee ( 8- 7, 88.2) 9-21 -11.74 21.32 0.59 0.98 -10.91
0 A Rosemount (12- 3, 95.9) 5-23 -4.04 29.02 0.59 0.98 -3.38
0 A Bloomington Ke ( 2-11, 70.0) 16- 4 -29.94 3.12 0.59 0.98 3.63
0 H Minneapolis Co ( 4- 9, 71.7) 17- 2 -28.24 4.82 -0.59 0.98 4.14
0 A Prior Lake (19- 0, 99.9) 2-19 -0.00 33.06 0.59 0.98 -0.58
------
-111.01
|
winning pts = 11.9059 losing points = -122.9109
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------