safe3step girls Apex 1

  
Apex                  
W-L: (20- 3)  PR =    92.0586
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 224 H Willow Spring                        (13- 6, 86.4)    16-10   
 226 H Seaforth                             (10- 7, 84.8)    17- 3   
 311 A Green Level                          ( 3-13, 78.7)    18- 4   
 313 A Cary HS                              ( 0-20, 67.5)    19- 0   
 317 H Panther Creek                        ( 3-13, 79.8)    20- 1   
 320 A Apex Friendship                      (13- 9, 87.6)    14- 4   
 321 A Broughton                            (14- 7, 86.8)    17- 2   
 325 H Middle Creek                         (10- 9, 86.6)    22-10   
 326 H Athens Drive                         (10-10, 82.8)    19- 2   
 328 A Green Hope                           ( 9-12, 84.3)    21- 7   
 408 H Holly Springs                        (23- 2, 93.8)    11-13   
 410 A Green Level                          ( 3-13, 78.7)    20- 2   
 415 A Cary HS                              ( 0-20, 67.5)    19- 0   
 424 H Apex Friendship                      (13- 9, 87.6)    11- 6   
 429 A Middle Creek                         (10- 9, 86.6)    22-10   
 430 A Panther Creek                        ( 3-13, 79.8)    16- 4   
 501 H Green Hope                           ( 9-12, 84.3)    20- 9   
 506 A Holly Springs                        (23- 2, 93.8)     7-13   
 507 A Wake Forest                          ( 9- 6, 84.0)    19- 9   
 508 H Wakefield                            (12- 9, 84.3)    18- 8   
 513 H Heritage                             (10- 9, 80.6)    16- 3   
 516 A Wakefield                            (12- 9, 84.3)    19-10   
 520 A Chapel Hill                          (21- 1, 97.3)    10-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Willow Spring          16-10       6     6           0.00
   226 H Seaforth               17- 3      14     8           0.00
   311 A Green Level            18- 4      14    13           0.00
   313 A Cary HS                19- 0      19    24           0.00
   317 H Panther Creek          20- 1      19    13           0.00
   320 A Apex Friendship        14- 4      10     4           0.83
   321 A Broughton              17- 2      15     5           0.07
   325 H Middle Creek           22-10      12     6           0.00
   326 H Athens Drive           19- 2      17    10           0.00
   328 A Green Hope             21- 7      14     7           0.00
   408 H Holly Springs          11-13      -2    -1          -0.55
   410 A Green Level            20- 2      18    13           0.00
   415 A Cary HS                19- 0      19    24           0.00
   424 H Apex Friendship        11- 6       5     5           0.22
   429 A Middle Creek           22-10      12     5           0.00
   430 A Panther Creek          16- 4      12    12           0.00
   501 H Green Hope             20- 9      11     8           0.00
   506 A Holly Springs           7-13      -6    -2    -     -2.94
   507 A Wake Forest            19- 9      10     8           0.00
   508 H Wakefield              18- 8      10     8           0.00
   513 H Heritage               16- 3      13    12           0.00
   516 A Wakefield              19-10       9     8           0.00
   520 A Chapel Hill            10-13      -3    -6    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Holly Springs           7-13      -6    -2    -     -2.94

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 A Chapel Hill            10-13      -3    -6    +      2.00

Apex Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Apex Friendship	Apex	Apex
Ardrey Kell	Apex			Apex
Arendell Parrott Academy	Apex			Apex
Asheville HS	Apex			Apex
Asheville School	Apex			Apex
Ashley	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Apex
Athens Drive	Apex	Apex
Atkins	Apex			Apex
Ballantyne Ridge	Apex			Apex
Bishop McGuinness	Apex		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Apex
Broughton	Apex	Apex
Butler	Apex			Apex
Cannon School	Apex			Apex
Cape Fear Academy	Apex			Apex
Cape Fear HS	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Cardinal Gibbons	Cardinal Gibbons		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0)	Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Apex
Cary Academy	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Cary HS	Apex	Apex
Chapel Hill	Chapel Hill	Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic	Charlotte Catholic			Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS	Charlotte CDS			Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian	Apex			Apex
Charlotte Latin School	Charlotte Latin School			Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King	Apex			Apex
Clayton	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2)	Apex
Cleveland	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Community School Davidso	Apex			Apex
Corinth Holders	Apex		Apex 2- 0 vs 0- 3
Croatan	Apex		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Apex
Cuthbertson	Apex		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Apex
Davidson Day School	Apex			Apex
Davie	Apex			Apex
DH Conley	Apex			Apex
Durham Academy	Apex			Apex
East Chapel Hill	East Chapel Hill		insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1)	East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth	Apex			Apex
Enloe	Apex		Apex 3- 0 vs 0- 4
Fayetteville Academy	Apex			Apex
Fike	Apex			Apex
First Flight	Apex			Apex
Forsyth CDS	Apex			Apex
Fuquay-Varina	Apex		Apex 4- 0 vs 1- 4
Garner	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Glenn	Apex			Apex
Green Hope	Apex	Apex
Green Level	Apex	Apex
Greensboro Day School	Apex			Apex
Grimsley	Apex			Apex
Havelock	Apex			Apex
Heritage	Apex	Apex
Hickory	Apex			Apex
High Point Central	Apex			Apex
Hoggard	Apex		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Apex
Holly Springs	Holly Springs	Holly Springs
Hopewell	Apex			Apex
Hough	Apex			Apex
Hunt	Apex		Apex 2- 0 vs 0- 3
Independence	Apex			Apex
Jack Britt	Apex		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Apex
Jacksonville	Apex			Apex
JH Rose	Apex		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Apex
Jordan	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Apex
Lake Norman Charter	Apex			Apex
Lake Norman HS	Apex			Apex
Laney	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Apex
Leesville Road	Apex		Apex 7- 0 vs 3- 4
Lincoln Charter	Apex			Apex
Marvin Ridge	Marvin Ridge			Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek	Apex	Apex
Millbrook	Apex		Apex 5- 1 vs 2- 5
Mooresville	Apex			Apex
Mount Tabor	Apex			Apex
Myers Park	Apex		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Apex
New Bern	Apex			Apex
New Hanover	Apex			Apex
North Brunswick	Apex			Apex
North Davidson	Apex			Apex
North Lincoln	Apex			Apex
Northern Guilford	Apex			Apex
Northside	Apex			Apex
Northwest Guilford	Apex		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)	Apex
Northwood	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Apex
Page	Apex			Apex
Panther Creek	Apex	Apex
Parkwood	Apex			Apex
Patton	Apex			Apex
Pine Forest	Apex			Apex
Pine Lake Prep	Apex			Apex
Pinecrest	Apex		insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 2)	Apex
Porter Ridge	Apex			Apex
Providence	Apex			Apex
Providence Day	Providence Day			Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee	Apex			Apex
Ragsdale	Apex			Apex
Ravenscroft School	Apex			Apex
Riverside Durham	Apex		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Apex
RJ Reynolds	Apex			Apex
Rolesville	Apex		Apex 3- 0 vs 1- 3
Ronald Reagan	Apex			Apex
Sanderson	Apex		Apex 3- 0 vs 1- 3
Seaforth	Apex	Apex
South Brunswick	Apex			Apex
South Iredell	Apex			Apex
South Mecklenburg	Apex			Apex
Southeast Guilford	Apex			Apex
Southlake Christian	Apex			Apex
Southwest Guilford	Apex			Apex
St Davids School	Apex			Apex
St Marys	Apex			Apex
St Stephens	Apex			Apex
Sun Valley	Apex			Apex
Swansboro	Apex		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Apex
TC Roberson	Apex			Apex
Terry Sanford	Apex			Apex
Topsail	Apex		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Apex
Union Pines	Apex		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Apex
Wake Forest	Apex	Apex
Wakefield	Apex	Apex
Watauga	Apex			Apex
Weddington	Weddington		insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)	Weddington
West Brunswick	Apex			Apex
West Forsyth	Apex			Apex
West Stokes	Apex			Apex
White Oak	Apex			Apex
Willow Spring	Apex	Apex

PowerWise = 116

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Willow Spring   (13- 6, 86.4)    16-10      -13.47      26.34      -0.31         0.73            19.09
   0 H Seaforth        (10- 7, 84.8)    17- 3      -15.13      24.67      -0.31         0.73            17.87
   0 A Green Level     ( 3-13, 78.7)    18- 4      -21.23      18.57       0.31         0.73            13.84
   0 A Cary HS         ( 0-20, 67.5)    19- 0      -32.38       7.43       0.31         0.73             5.67
   0 H Panther Creek   ( 3-13, 79.8)    20- 1      -20.13      19.67      -0.31         0.73            14.20
   0 A Apex Friendshi  (13- 9, 87.6)    14- 4      -12.32      27.49       0.31         0.73            20.38
   0 A Broughton       (14- 7, 86.8)    17- 2      -13.07      26.73       0.31         0.73            19.83
   0 H Middle Creek    (10- 9, 86.6)    22-10      -13.33      26.47      -0.31         0.73            19.19
   0 H Athens Drive    (10-10, 82.8)    19- 2      -17.11      22.70      -0.31         0.73            16.42
   0 A Green Hope      ( 9-12, 84.3)    21- 7      -15.63      24.18       0.31         0.73            17.95
   0 H Holly Springs   (23- 2, 93.8)    11-13       -6.08      33.72      -0.31         0.73            -4.69
   0 A Green Level     ( 3-13, 78.7)    20- 2      -21.23      18.57       0.31         0.73            13.84
   0 A Cary HS         ( 0-20, 67.5)    19- 0      -32.38       7.43       0.31         0.73             5.67
   0 H Apex Friendshi  (13- 9, 87.6)    11- 6      -12.32      27.49      -0.31         0.73            19.93
   0 A Middle Creek    (10- 9, 86.6)    22-10      -13.33      26.47       0.31         0.73            19.64
   0 A Panther Creek   ( 3-13, 79.8)    16- 4      -20.13      19.67       0.31         0.73            14.65
   0 H Green Hope      ( 9-12, 84.3)    20- 9      -15.63      24.18      -0.31         0.73            17.50
   0 A Holly Springs   (23- 2, 93.8)     7-13       -6.08      33.72       0.31         0.73            -4.24
   0 A Wake Forest     ( 9- 6, 84.0)    19- 9      -15.95      23.86       0.31         0.73            17.72
   0 H Wakefield       (12- 9, 84.3)    18- 8      -15.65      24.16      -0.31         0.73            17.49
   0 H Heritage        (10- 9, 80.6)    16- 3      -19.32      20.49      -0.31         0.73            14.80
   0 A Wakefield       (12- 9, 84.3)    19-10      -15.65      24.16       0.31         0.73            17.94
   0 A Chapel Hill     (21- 1, 97.3)    10-13       -2.63      37.18       0.31         0.73            -1.70
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       313.00

winning pts = 323.6237 losing points = -10.6273

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------