Amity Regional
W-L: (15- 6) PR = 89.1594Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Shelton ( 6-10, 76.3) 19- 1 409 A Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 12-13 411 A Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 2-16 414 H Guilford ( 8- 9, 82.9) 17- 7 417 H Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 18-11 419 H Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 14- 5 422 A Ridgefield (11- 5, 93.9) 11-20 425 H Sacred Heart Academy (10-10, 80.3) 20- 8 428 H Lauralton Hall (14- 7, 82.7) 21- 7 430 A Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 21-10 505 A Cheshire HS (16- 4, 90.2) 8-17 507 A Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 18-11 512 A Foran (10- 7, 81.1) 23- 4 514 H Daniel Hand (13- 9, 86.3) 20- 8 516 A Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 9-16 519 H Hamden ( 6-10, 77.9) 23- 3 527 H Daniel Hand (13- 9, 86.3) 13-11 529 H Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 13- 9 603 H EO Smith (10- 8, 76.7) 23- 4 606 H East Lyme (17- 4, 85.2) 18- 5 610 N Cheshire HS (16- 4, 90.2) 11-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
407 A Shelton 19- 1 18 12 0.00
409 A Staples 12-13 -1 -1 0.14
411 A Wilton 2-16 -14 -7 0.00
414 H Guilford 17- 7 10 7 0.00
417 H Conard 18-11 7 -2 +++ 7.45
419 H Weston 14- 5 9 6 0.00
422 A Ridgefield 11-20 -9 -5 0.00
425 H Sacred Heart Academy 20- 8 12 10 0.00
428 H Lauralton Hall 21- 7 14 7 0.00
430 A Southington 21-10 11 7 0.00
505 A Cheshire HS 8-17 -9 -2 - -3.27
507 A Branford 18-11 7 3 + 2.21
512 A Foran 23- 4 19 7 0.00
514 H Daniel Hand 20- 8 12 4 1.42
516 A Masuk 9-16 -7 -1 -- -4.40
519 H Hamden 23- 3 20 12 0.00
527 H Daniel Hand 13-11 2 4 -1.58
529 H Branford 13- 9 4 4 -0.25
603 H EO Smith 23- 4 19 13 0.00
606 H East Lyme 18- 5 13 5 0.31
610 N Cheshire HS 11-14 -3 -1 -1.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 A Masuk 9-16 -7 -1 -- -4.40 505 A Cheshire HS 8-17 -9 -2 - -3.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Conard 18-11 7 -2 +++ 7.45 507 A Branford 18-11 7 3 + 2.21 |
Amity Regional Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avon HS | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Berlin | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Bethel | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Branford | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Brien McMahon | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Amity Regional | |
| Bristol Central | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Bristol Eastern | Amity Regional | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Brookfield | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Amity Regional | |
| Canton | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Cromwell | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Danbury | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Amity Regional | |
| Daniel Hand | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| East Catholic | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| East Lyme | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Ellington | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Enfield | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| EO Smith | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Amity Regional | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) | Amity Regional | |
| Fairfield Warde | Amity Regional | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Amity Regional | |
| Farmington | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Amity Regional | |
| Fitch | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Foran | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Glastonbury | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 4- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Granby Memorial | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Greenwich HS | |
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Guilford | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Hall | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Hamden | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Housatonic Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Immaculate Heart | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Amity Regional | |
| Joel Barlow | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Jonathan Law | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Killingly | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Lakeview United | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Lauralton Hall | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Ledyard | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Lewis Mills | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Lyman Hall | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Mercy | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 6- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Montville | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Morgan School | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) | New Fairfield | |
| New London/St Bernards | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| New Milford | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Newington | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Newtown | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) | Amity Regional | |
| North Branford | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| North Haven | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Northwest Catholic | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Norwalk | Amity Regional | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Amity Regional | |
| Norwich Free Academy | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Amity Regional | |
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Old Lyme | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Old Saybrook | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Pomperaug | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| RHAM | Amity Regional | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Rocky Hill | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Sheehan | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Shelton | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) | Simsbury | |
| Somers | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| South Windsor | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Southington | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| St Joseph | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Stamford | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Amity Regional | |
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Stratford-Bunnell | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Suffield HS | Amity Regional | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Tolland | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Trumbull | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Valley Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Waterford | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Watertown | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| West Haven | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Westhill | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Weston | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Wethersfield | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Wheeler | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Wolcott | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Amity Regional |
PowerWise = 86
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Shelton ( 6-10, 76.3) 19- 1 -23.55 11.26 0.73 0.83 9.99
0 A Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 12-13 -10.33 24.48 0.73 0.83 -8.01
0 A Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 2-16 -4.11 30.70 0.73 0.83 -2.82
0 H Guilford ( 8- 9, 82.9) 17- 7 -17.00 17.81 -0.73 0.83 14.24
0 H Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 18-11 -7.57 27.24 -0.73 0.83 22.10
0 H Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 14- 5 -16.24 18.57 -0.73 0.83 14.87
0 A Ridgefield (11- 5, 93.9) 11-20 -5.98 28.83 0.73 0.83 -4.38
0 H Sacred Heart A (10-10, 80.3) 20- 8 -19.62 15.19 -0.73 0.83 12.06
0 H Lauralton Hall (14- 7, 82.7) 21- 7 -17.23 17.58 -0.73 0.83 14.05
0 A Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 21-10 -18.17 16.64 0.73 0.83 14.48
0 A Cheshire HS (16- 4, 90.2) 8-17 -9.73 25.08 0.73 0.83 -7.51
0 A Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 18-11 -14.26 20.55 0.73 0.83 17.73
0 A Foran (10- 7, 81.1) 23- 4 -18.79 16.01 0.73 0.83 13.95
0 H Daniel Hand (13- 9, 86.3) 20- 8 -13.60 21.21 -0.73 0.83 17.08
0 A Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 9-16 -10.87 23.94 0.73 0.83 -8.45
0 H Hamden ( 6-10, 77.9) 23- 3 -22.02 12.79 -0.73 0.83 10.05
0 H Daniel Hand (13- 9, 86.3) 13-11 -13.60 21.21 -0.73 0.83 17.08
0 H Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 13- 9 -14.26 20.55 -0.73 0.83 16.52
0 H EO Smith (10- 8, 76.7) 23- 4 -23.20 11.61 -0.73 0.83 9.07
0 H East Lyme (17- 4, 85.2) 18- 5 -14.70 20.11 -0.73 0.83 16.15
0 N Cheshire HS (16- 4, 90.2) 11-14 -9.73 25.08 -0.00 0.83 -8.11
------
180.15
|
winning pts = 219.4327 losing points = -39.2833
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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