---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:51 PDT

safe3step girls Alvirne 1
  
Alvirne               
W-L: ( 1-14) PR = 76.4113

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 414 H Keene-Monadnock ( 3- 9, 79.3) 8-14 416 H Hanover (11- 8, 90.6) 4-16 418 A Merrimack (14- 2, 91.0) 3-24 422 H ConVal ( 6-10, 81.6) 5- 9 423 A Spaulding ( 2-14, 78.6) 8-12 425 H Oyster River-Newmarket ( 9- 7, 87.7) 2-21 505 A Winnacunnet (19- 1, 95.7) 2-14 507 H Goffstown ( 6-11, 87.0) 7-14 514 A Keene-Monadnock ( 3- 9, 79.3) 7-16 516 H Timberlane (10- 6, 89.7) 5-16 519 A Merrimack Valley (12- 5, 90.1) 3-13 521 H Manchester Memorial ( 1-15, 76.5) 20- 8 523 H Hollis-Brookline ( 8-10, 88.5) 0-20 527 H Kingswood ( 6-10, 83.8) 7-18 530 A Kennett ( 5- 9, 83.9) 4-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Keene-Monadnock         8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.31
   416 H Hanover                 4-16     -12   -14           0.00
   418 A Merrimack               3-24     -21   -15           0.00
   422 H ConVal                  5- 9      -4    -5           1.00
   423 A Spaulding               8-12      -4    -2          -1.62
   425 H Oyster River-Newmarket  2-21     -19   -11           0.00
   505 A Winnacunnet             2-14     -12   -19           0.00
   507 H Goffstown               7-14      -7   -10           0.00
   514 A Keene-Monadnock         7-16      -9    -3    -     -2.00
   516 H Timberlane              5-16     -11   -13           0.00
   519 A Merrimack Valley        3-13     -10   -14           0.00
   521 H Manchester Memorial    20- 8      12     0    ++     4.91
   523 H Hollis-Brookline        0-20     -20   -12           0.00
   527 H Kingswood               7-18     -11    -7           0.00
   530 A Kennett                 4-20     -16    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Keene-Monadnock         8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.31
   514 A Keene-Monadnock         7-16      -9    -3    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 H Manchester Memorial    20- 8      12     0    ++     4.91

Alvirne Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bedford Bedford Bedford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Belmont Alvirne tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alvirne
Bishop Brady Bishop Brady tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop Brady
Bishop Guertin Bishop Guertin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop Guertin
Bow Bow insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bow
Campbell Campbell   Campbell
Coe-Brown Coe-Brown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Coe-Brown
Concord Concord   Concord
Concord Christian Concord Christian tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Concord Christian
ConVal ConVal ConVal  
Derryfield Derryfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Derryfield
Dover Dover Dover   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Exeter HS Exeter HS Exeter HS   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Gilford Gilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Gilford
Goffstown Goffstown Goffstown  
Hanover Hanover Hanover  
Hollis-Brookline Hollis-Brookline Hollis-Brookline  
Hopkinton Hopkinton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hopkinton
Inter-Lakes-Moultonborou Inter-Lakes-Moultonborou tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Inter-Lakes-Moultonborou
John Stark John Stark insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) John Stark
Kearsarge Kearsarge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kearsarge
Keene-Monadnock Keene-Monadnock Keene-Monadnock  
Kennett Kennett Kennett  
Kingswood Kingswood Kingswood  
Laconia Laconia   Laconia
Lebanon Lebanon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lebanon
Londonderry Londonderry tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Londonderry
Manchester Central-West Manchester Central-West insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Manchester Central-West
Manchester Memorial Alvirne Alvirne  
Merrimack Merrimack Merrimack  
Merrimack Valley Merrimack Valley Merrimack Valley  
Milford Milford   Milford
Nashua North Nashua North   Nashua North
Nashua South Nashua South insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Nashua South
Oyster River-Newmarket Oyster River-Newmarket Oyster River-Newmarket  
Pelham Pelham   Pelham
Pembroke Academy Pembroke Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pembroke Academy
Pinkerton Academy Pinkerton Academy Pinkerton Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Plymouth Plymouth insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Plymouth
Portsmouth Portsmouth Portsmouth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Salem Salem tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Salem
Souhegan Souhegan   Souhegan
Spaulding Spaulding Spaulding  
St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas   St Thomas Aquinas
Timberlane Timberlane Timberlane  
Trinity Manchester Trinity Manchester tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Trinity Manchester
Windham Windham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Windham
Winnacunnet Winnacunnet Winnacunnet  

PowerWise = 2


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Keene-Monadnoc  ( 3- 9, 79.3)     8-14      -20.65       7.28      -0.16         1.06           -22.13
   0 H Hanover         (11- 8, 90.6)     4-16       -9.29      18.64      -0.16         1.06           -10.05
   0 A Merrimack       (14- 2, 91.0)     3-24       -8.95      18.98       0.16         1.06            -9.35
   0 H ConVal          ( 6-10, 81.6)     5- 9      -18.29       9.63      -0.16         1.06           -19.63
   0 A Spaulding       ( 2-14, 78.6)     8-12      -21.26       6.66       0.16         1.06           -22.46
   0 H Oyster River-N  ( 9- 7, 87.7)     2-21      -12.20      15.73      -0.16         1.06           -13.15
   0 A Winnacunnet     (19- 1, 95.7)     2-14       -4.17      23.76       0.16         1.06            -4.27
   0 H Goffstown       ( 6-11, 87.0)     7-14      -12.89      15.04      -0.16         1.06           -13.88
   0 A Keene-Monadnoc  ( 3- 9, 79.3)     7-16      -20.65       7.28       0.16         1.06           -21.80
   0 H Timberlane      (10- 6, 89.7)     5-16      -10.15      17.77      -0.16         1.06           -10.97
   0 A Merrimack Vall  (12- 5, 90.1)     3-13       -9.84      18.09       0.16         1.06           -10.30
   0 H Manchester Mem  ( 1-15, 76.5)    20- 8      -23.43       4.50      -0.16         1.06             4.62
   0 H Hollis-Brookli  ( 8-10, 88.5)     0-20      -11.44      16.49      -0.16         1.06           -12.34
   0 H Kingswood       ( 6-10, 83.8)     7-18      -16.12      11.81      -0.16         1.06           -17.32
   0 A Kennett         ( 5- 9, 83.9)     4-20      -16.04      11.89       0.16         1.06           -16.90
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -199.91

winning pts = 4.6210 losing points = -204.5309

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------