---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:45 PDT

safe3step girls Alpharetta 1
  
Alpharetta            
W-L: (11- 8) PR = 88.9888

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 212 H West Forsyth (15- 1, 98.7) 4-22 227 H South Forsyth (11- 9, 90.7) 10- 7 306 A Lambert (12- 5, 95.2) 2-18 311 H Chattahoochee (14- 3, 89.2) 9-10 313 A Sequoyah ( 6-11, 81.1) 14- 4 318 H North Forsyth ( 3-12, 75.9) 18- 5 320 H Forsyth Central ( 1-12, 74.8) 15- 1 326 A Milton (15- 1, 99.9) 4-18 327 H Westminster School ( 8-11, 85.1) 13- 3 401 H Buford (12- 7, 85.3) 19- 8 402 A Hillgrove ( 9-10, 87.5) 9-10 416 H Starrs Mill (12- 4, 89.0) 9-13 417 A Cherokee (14- 3, 92.0) 6-12 422 H Woodstock ( 5-12, 82.0) 16- 4 424 A Roswell ( 9- 9, 91.1) 16-15 425 A River Ridge ( 6- 9, 83.2) 11- 7 429 H McEachern ( 6- 9, 73.8) 22- 2 501 A Harrison (10- 6, 88.8) 9- 8 506 A Walton (17- 4, 94.5) 5-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 H West Forsyth            4-22     -18    -9           0.00
   227 H South Forsyth          10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.00
   306 A Lambert                 2-18     -16    -7           0.00
   311 H Chattahoochee           9-10      -1     0          -1.47
   313 A Sequoyah               14- 4      10     7           0.00
   318 H North Forsyth          18- 5      13    14           0.00
   320 H Forsyth Central        15- 1      14    15           0.00
   326 A Milton                  4-18     -14   -12           0.00
   327 H Westminster School     13- 3      10     5           0.39
   401 H Buford                 19- 8      11     4           0.60
   402 A Hillgrove               9-10      -1     1          -1.75
   416 H Starrs Mill             9-13      -4     1    --    -4.71
   417 A Cherokee                6-12      -6    -4          -1.23
   422 H Woodstock              16- 4      12     8           0.00
   424 A Roswell                16-15       1    -3    +      3.86
   425 A River Ridge            11- 7       4     5          -1.00
   429 H McEachern              22- 2      20    16           0.00
   501 A Harrison                9- 8       1    -1           1.57
   506 A Walton                  5-16     -11    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Starrs Mill             9-13      -4     1    --    -4.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H South Forsyth          10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.00
   424 A Roswell                16-15       1    -3    +      3.86

Alpharetta Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allatoona Alpharetta insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Alpharetta
Archer Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Blessed Trinity Blessed Trinity insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Blessed Trinity
Bremen Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Brookwood Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Buford Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Calvary Day Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Cambridge Cambridge Cambridge   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Campbell Alpharetta Alpharetta   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Carrollton Alpharetta insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Alpharetta
Centennial Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Chamblee Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Chattahoochee Chattahoochee Chattahoochee  
Cherokee Cherokee Cherokee  
Collins Hill Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Columbus Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Creekview Creekview Creekview   6- 4 vs 4- 6
Dacula Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Dalton Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alpharetta
Darlington Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Decatur Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Alpharetta
Denmark Alpharetta tied - ( 3- 5) ( 3- 5) Alpharetta
Druid Hills Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Duluth Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Dunwoody Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Dutchtown Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Eagles Landing Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Eagles Landing Christian Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
East Coweta Alpharetta   Alpharetta
East Forsyth Alpharetta insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) Alpharetta
East Paulding Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Effingham County Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Etowah Alpharetta Alpharetta   5- 2 vs 1- 6
Evans Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Fayette County Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Fellowship Christian Fellowship Christian insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Fellowship Christian
Forsyth Central Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Gainesville Alpharetta   Alpharetta
George Walton Academy Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Grayson Alpharetta Alpharetta   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Greater Atlanta Christia Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Greenbrier Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Grovetown Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Hampton Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Harrison Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Hebron Christian Alpharetta Alpharetta   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Hillgrove Hillgrove Hillgrove  
Holy Innocents Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Jackson County Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Johns Creek Johns Creek Johns Creek   8- 2 vs 6- 4
Kell Alpharetta Alpharetta   4- 2 vs 0- 6
Kennesaw Mountain Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alpharetta
Kings Ridge Christian Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Lakeside DeKalb Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Lakeside Evans Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Lambert Lambert Lambert  
Lanier Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Lassiter Lassiter Lassiter   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Lovett Alpharetta insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Alpharetta
Marietta Alpharetta Alpharetta   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Marist Alpharetta Alpharetta   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Maynard Jackson Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
McDonough Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
McEachern Alpharetta Alpharetta  
McIntosh Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Alpharetta
Midtown Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Mill Creek Mill Creek tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Mill Creek
Milton Milton Milton  
Mount Bethel Christian Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Mount Paran Christian Alpharetta Alpharetta   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Mount Pisgah Christian Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Mountain View Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Newnan Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alpharetta
Norcross Alpharetta   Alpharetta
North Atlanta Alpharetta Alpharetta   3- 1 vs 1- 3
North Cobb Alpharetta Alpharetta   4- 1 vs 1- 4
North Cobb Christian Alpharetta   Alpharetta
North Forsyth Alpharetta Alpharetta  
North Gwinnett North Gwinnett insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 4- 4) North Gwinnett
North Oconee Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alpharetta
North Paulding Alpharetta insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) Alpharetta
North Springs Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Northgate Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Northview Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Oconee County Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Ola Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Pace Academy Alpharetta tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Alpharetta
Parkview Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Peachtree Ridge Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Pinecrest Academy Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Pope Pope insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) Pope
Richmond Hill Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Alpharetta
River Ridge Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Riverwood Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Roswell Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Savannah Christian Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Seckinger Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Sequoyah Alpharetta Alpharetta  
South Effingham Alpharetta   Alpharetta
South Forsyth Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Southwest DeKalb Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Sprayberry Alpharetta   Alpharetta
St Pius X Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alpharetta
St Vincents Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Starrs Mill Starrs Mill Starrs Mill  
Stratford Academy Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Strong Rock Christian Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Trinity Christian Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Union Grove Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alpharetta
Walker School Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Walton Walton Walton  
Wesleyan School Wesleyan School tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Wesleyan School
West Forsyth West Forsyth West Forsyth  
Westminster School Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Wheeler Alpharetta tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Alpharetta
Whitewater Alpharetta insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Alpharetta
Woodland Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Woodstock Alpharetta Alpharetta  
Woodward Academy Alpharetta Alpharetta   2- 0 vs 0- 2

PowerWise = 101


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.75

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H West Forsyth    (15- 1, 98.7)     4-22       -1.23      43.18      -0.72         0.78            -1.52
   0 H South Forsyth   (11- 9, 90.7)    10- 7       -9.19      35.22      -0.72         0.78            26.78
   0 A Lambert         (12- 5, 95.2)     2-18       -4.66      39.75       0.72         0.78            -3.06
   0 H Chattahoochee   (14- 3, 89.2)     9-10      -10.66      33.75      -0.72         0.78            -8.84
   0 A Sequoyah        ( 6-11, 81.1)    14- 4      -18.77      25.64       0.72         0.78            20.47
   0 H North Forsyth   ( 3-12, 75.9)    18- 5      -23.99      20.42      -0.72         0.78            15.29
   0 H Forsyth Centra  ( 1-12, 74.8)    15- 1      -25.13      19.28      -0.72         0.78            14.40
   0 A Milton          (15- 1, 99.9)     4-18       -0.00      44.41       0.72         0.78            -0.56
   0 H Westminster Sc  ( 8-11, 85.1)    13- 3      -14.79      29.62      -0.72         0.78            22.43
   0 H Buford          (12- 7, 85.3)    19- 8      -14.59      29.82      -0.72         0.78            22.59
   0 A Hillgrove       ( 9-10, 87.5)     9-10      -12.39      32.02       0.72         0.78            -9.06
   0 H Starrs Mill     (12- 4, 89.0)     9-13      -10.90      33.51      -0.72         0.78            -9.02
   0 A Cherokee        (14- 3, 92.0)     6-12       -7.87      36.54       0.72         0.78            -5.55
   0 H Woodstock       ( 5-12, 82.0)    16- 4      -17.93      26.48      -0.72         0.78            19.99
   0 A Roswell         ( 9- 9, 91.1)    16-15       -8.78      35.63       0.72         0.78            28.23
   0 A River Ridge     ( 6- 9, 83.2)    11- 7      -16.67      27.74       0.72         0.78            22.10
   0 H McEachern       ( 6- 9, 73.8)    22- 2      -26.07      18.34      -0.72         0.78            13.68
   0 A Harrison        (10- 6, 88.8)     9- 8      -11.07      33.34       0.72         0.78            26.45
   0 A Walton          (17- 4, 94.5)     5-16       -5.38      39.03       0.72         0.78            -3.62
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       191.19

winning pts = 232.3998 losing points = -41.2140

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------