---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:49 PDT

safe3step girls Algonquin 1
  
Algonquin             
W-L: ( 7-12) PR = 87.4542

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 329 A Beverly (13- 7, 90.0) 9-12 401 H Leominster ( 2-17, 84.1) 12- 9 403 A Shrewsbury (17- 3, 90.8) 5-13 405 H North Middlesex (12- 9, 86.5) 11-12 408 H Grafton (12- 9, 91.2) 10-16 410 H Nashoba Regional (11- 8, 87.9) 10- 4 415 A Wachusett ( 4-14, 84.4) 14- 7 417 A Leominster ( 2-17, 84.1) 20- 6 422 H Acton-Boxborough ( 8-10, 91.1) 7-11 424 H Medfield (22- 3, 95.3) 7-17 429 H Shrewsbury (17- 3, 90.8) 8-12 503 H Hopkinton (11- 8, 88.5) 12-14 506 A Nashoba Regional (11- 8, 87.9) 7-14 508 H Wachusett ( 4-14, 84.4) 15- 6 512 A Medway ( 8-11, 85.1) 10- 8 514 A Westborough (13- 6, 89.1) 10-12 520 A Groton-Dunstable ( 3-15, 82.0) 17- 6 524 A Dover-Sherborn (10-10, 87.3) 9-10 530 A Scituate (12- 6, 92.0) 8-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Beverly                 9-12      -3    -3           0.12
   401 H Leominster             12- 9       3     4          -0.97
   403 A Shrewsbury              5-13      -8    -4          -1.13
   405 H North Middlesex        11-12      -1     2    -     -2.57
   408 H Grafton                10-16      -6    -3          -1.82
   410 H Nashoba Regional       10- 4       6     0    ++     4.87
   415 A Wachusett              14- 7       7     2    +      2.50
   417 A Leominster             20- 6      14     3    +      2.18
   422 H Acton-Boxborough        7-11      -4    -3          -0.94
   424 H Medfield                7-17     -10    -7           0.00
   429 H Shrewsbury              8-12      -4    -3          -1.28
   503 H Hopkinton              12-14      -2     0          -1.53
   506 A Nashoba Regional        7-14      -7    -1    -     -3.97
   508 H Wachusett              15- 6       9     4           1.35
   512 A Medway                 10- 8       2     2           0.26
   514 A Westborough            10-12      -2    -2           0.21
   520 A Groton-Dunstable       17- 6      11     5           0.10
   524 A Dover-Sherborn          9-10      -1     0          -0.53
   530 A Scituate                8-10      -2    -5    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H North Middlesex        11-12      -1     2    -     -2.57
   506 A Nashoba Regional        7-14      -7    -1    -     -3.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Nashoba Regional       10- 4       6     0    ++     4.87
   415 A Wachusett              14- 7       7     2    +      2.50
   417 A Leominster             20- 6      14     3    +      2.18
   530 A Scituate                8-10      -2    -5    +      3.00

Algonquin Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Algonquin   Algonquin
Acton-Boxborough Acton-Boxborough Acton-Boxborough  
Agawam Algonquin   Algonquin
Amherst-Pelham Algonquin   Algonquin
AMSA Charter Algonquin   Algonquin
Andover HS Andover HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Andover HS
Apponequet Apponequet tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Apponequet
Archbishop Williams Algonquin   Algonquin
Arlington Catholic Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Arlington HS Algonquin   Algonquin
Ashland Ashland Ashland   4- 3 vs 2- 5
Assabet Valley RVT Algonquin   Algonquin
Attleboro Algonquin   Algonquin
Auburn Algonquin   Algonquin
Barnstable Algonquin   Algonquin
Bay Path RVT Algonquin   Algonquin
Bedford HS Bedford HS insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Bedford HS
Belchertown Algonquin   Algonquin
Bellingham Algonquin insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Algonquin
Belmont Belmont   Belmont
Beverly Beverly Beverly  
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial   4- 0 vs 2- 3
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick Bishop Fenwick   Bishop Fenwick
Bishop Stang Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Blackstone Valley Tech Algonquin   Algonquin
Boston Latin Academy Algonquin   Algonquin
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Boston Latin School
Bourne Algonquin   Algonquin
Braintree Braintree   Braintree
Bridgewater-Raynham Bridgewater-Raynham   Bridgewater-Raynham
Bristol County Agricultu Algonquin   Algonquin
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Algonquin   Algonquin
Bromfield Algonquin Algonquin   3- 4 vs 1- 5
Brookline Brookline tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Brookline
Burlington Burlington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Burlington
Cambridge Rindge/Latin Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Canton Algonquin   Algonquin
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cape Cod Academy
Cape Cod Tech Algonquin   Algonquin
Cardinal Spellman Algonquin   Algonquin
Central Catholic Central Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Central Catholic
Chelmsford Chelmsford tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 0) Chelmsford
Chicopee Comp Algonquin   Algonquin
Chicopee HS Algonquin   Algonquin
Cohasset Cohasset   Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Concord-Carlisle
Danvers Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Dartmouth Dartmouth   Dartmouth
Dedham Algonquin insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Algonquin
Dennis-Yarmouth Algonquin   Algonquin
Dighton-Rehoboth Algonquin   Algonquin
Doherty Memorial Algonquin   Algonquin
Dover-Sherborn Dover-Sherborn Dover-Sherborn  
Dracut Algonquin   Algonquin
Duxbury Duxbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Duxbury
East Bridgewater Algonquin   Algonquin
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Longmeadow
Essex North Shore Tech Algonquin   Algonquin
Everett Algonquin   Algonquin
Fairhaven Algonquin   Algonquin
Falmouth Academy Algonquin   Algonquin
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Falmouth HS
Fontbonne Academy Algonquin   Algonquin
Foxborough Foxborough Foxborough   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Framingham Algonquin   Algonquin
Franklin Franklin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Franklin
Georgetown Algonquin   Algonquin
Gloucester Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Grafton Grafton Grafton  
Granby Algonquin   Algonquin
Greater Lowell Tech Algonquin   Algonquin
Greater New Bedford RVT Algonquin   Algonquin
Groton-Dunstable Algonquin Algonquin  
Hamilton-Wenham Hamilton-Wenham   Hamilton-Wenham
Hampshire Regional Algonquin   Algonquin
Hanover Hanover tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hanover
Haverhill Algonquin insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Algonquin
Hingham Hingham Hingham   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Holliston Algonquin insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) Algonquin
Hoosac Valley Algonquin   Algonquin
Hopedale Algonquin   Algonquin
Hopkinton Hopkinton Hopkinton  
Hudson/Clinton Algonquin   Algonquin
Hull Algonquin   Algonquin
Ipswich Ipswich   Ipswich
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) King Philip Regional
Lee/Lenox/Monument Mtn Algonquin   Algonquin
Leominster Algonquin Algonquin  
Lexington HS Lexington HS Lexington HS   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lincoln-Sudbury Lincoln-Sudbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lincoln-Sudbury
Littleton Algonquin insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Algonquin
Longmeadow Longmeadow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Longmeadow
Lowell Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Lowell Catholic Algonquin   Algonquin
Lunenburg Algonquin Algonquin   2- 3 vs 0- 4
Lynnfield Algonquin   Algonquin
Malden Algonquin   Algonquin
Malden Catholic Algonquin   Algonquin
Manchester-Essex Manchester-Essex insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Manchester-Essex
Mansfield Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Marblehead Marblehead tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Marblehead
Marlborough Algonquin   Algonquin
Marshfield Marshfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard Algonquin insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Algonquin
Masconomet Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Mashpee Algonquin   Algonquin
McCann Tech Algonquin   Algonquin
Medfield Medfield Medfield  
Medford Algonquin   Algonquin
Medway Algonquin Algonquin  
Melrose Melrose insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Melrose
Methuen Methuen insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Methuen
Middleboro Algonquin   Algonquin
Milford Algonquin   Algonquin
Milton HS Algonquin   Algonquin
Minnechaug Regional Algonquin insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Algonquin
Monomoy Algonquin   Algonquin
Monson Algonquin   Algonquin
Montachusett RVT Algonquin   Algonquin
Mount Greylock Regional Algonquin   Algonquin
Mystic Valley Charter Algonquin   Algonquin
Nantucket Nantucket   Nantucket
Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 3) Nashoba Regional
Nashoba Valley Tech Algonquin   Algonquin
Natick Natick tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Natick
Nauset Regional Nauset Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Needham Needham insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Needham
New Bedford New Bedford   New Bedford
Newburyport Newburyport insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Newburyport
Newton North Newton North   Newton North
Newton South Newton South tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newton South
Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Nipmuc Regional
North Andover North Andover insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Andover
North Attleborough Algonquin   Algonquin
North Middlesex North Middlesex North Middlesex  
North Quincy Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
North Reading Algonquin   Algonquin
Northampton Northampton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northampton
Northbridge Algonquin   Algonquin
Northeast RVT Algonquin   Algonquin
Norton Algonquin insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Algonquin
Norwell Norwell Norwell   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Norwood Algonquin tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Algonquin
Notre Dame Hingham Notre Dame Hingham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Notre Dame Hingham
Notre Dame Worcester Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Oakmont Regional Algonquin insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 3) Algonquin
Old Colony RVT Algonquin   Algonquin
Old Rochester Regional Old Rochester Regional   Old Rochester Regional
Oliver Ames Algonquin   Algonquin
Peabody Veterans Memoria Peabody Veterans Memoria tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Peabody Veterans Memoria
Pembroke Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional   Pentucket Regional
Pittsfield/Taconic Algonquin   Algonquin
Plymouth North Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Plymouth South Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Pope Francis Algonquin   Algonquin
Quincy Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reading Memorial
Revere Algonquin   Algonquin
Rockland Algonquin   Algonquin
Salem Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Sandwich Sandwich insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sandwich
Saugus Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Scituate Scituate Scituate  
Seekonk Algonquin   Algonquin
Sharon Algonquin insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Algonquin
Shawsheen Valley Tech Algonquin   Algonquin
Shepherd Hill Algonquin   Algonquin
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury Shrewsbury  
Silver Lake Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Smith VoTech Algonquin   Algonquin
Somerset Berkley Algonquin   Algonquin
Somerville Algonquin   Algonquin
South Hadley Algonquin   Algonquin
South Shore RVT Algonquin   Algonquin
Southeastern RVT Algonquin   Algonquin
Springfield Central Algonquin   Algonquin
St Bernards Algonquin   Algonquin
St John Paul II Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
St Marys Lynn Algonquin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Algonquin
Stoneham Algonquin   Algonquin
Stoughton Algonquin   Algonquin
Sturgis Charter East Algonquin   Algonquin
Sturgis Charter West Algonquin   Algonquin
Swampscott Swampscott tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Swampscott
Tahanto Regional Algonquin   Algonquin
Tantasqua Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Taunton Algonquin   Algonquin
Tewksbury Memorial Algonquin   Algonquin
Tri-County RVT Algonquin   Algonquin
Triton Regional Algonquin   Algonquin
Tyngsborough Algonquin insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Algonquin
Upper Cape Cod RVT Algonquin   Algonquin
Ursuline Academy Algonquin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Algonquin
Wachusett Algonquin Algonquin  
Wahconah Regional Algonquin   Algonquin
Wakefield Memorial Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Walpole Walpole insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Walpole
Waltham Waltham tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Waltham
Watertown Algonquin   Algonquin
Wayland Wayland Wayland   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Wellesley Wellesley   Wellesley
West Springfield West Springfield West Springfield   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Westborough Westborough Westborough  
Westfield Algonquin   Algonquin
Westford Academy Westford Academy insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Westford Academy
Weston Weston Weston   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Westwood Westwood Westwood   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Weymouth Weymouth   Weymouth
Whitman-Hanson Regional Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Whittier RVT Algonquin   Algonquin
Wilmington Algonquin   Algonquin
Winchester Algonquin   Algonquin
Winthrop Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Woburn Memorial Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin

PowerWise = 140


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.83

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Beverly         (13- 7, 90.0)     9-12       -9.90      23.40       0.58         0.99            -9.24
   0 H Leominster      ( 2-17, 84.1)    12- 9      -15.84      17.46      -0.58         0.99            16.73
   0 A Shrewsbury      (17- 3, 90.8)     5-13       -9.15      24.15       0.58         0.99            -8.49
   0 H North Middlese  (12- 9, 86.5)    11-12      -13.44      19.86      -0.58         0.99           -13.89
   0 H Grafton         (12- 9, 91.2)    10-16       -8.69      24.61      -0.58         0.99            -9.18
   0 H Nashoba Region  (11- 8, 87.9)    10- 4      -12.00      21.30      -0.58         0.99            20.54
   0 A Wachusett       ( 4-14, 84.4)    14- 7      -15.52      17.78       0.58         0.99            18.19
   0 A Leominster      ( 2-17, 84.1)    20- 6      -15.84      17.46       0.58         0.99            17.87
   0 H Acton-Boxborou  ( 8-10, 91.1)     7-11       -8.81      24.49      -0.58         0.99            -9.30
   0 H Medfield        (22- 3, 95.3)     7-17       -4.58      28.72      -0.58         0.99            -5.11
   0 H Shrewsbury      (17- 3, 90.8)     8-12       -9.15      24.15      -0.58         0.99            -9.64
   0 H Hopkinton       (11- 8, 88.5)    12-14      -11.40      21.90      -0.58         0.99           -11.87
   0 A Nashoba Region  (11- 8, 87.9)     7-14      -12.00      21.30       0.58         0.99           -11.32
   0 H Wachusett       ( 4-14, 84.4)    15- 6      -15.52      17.78      -0.58         0.99            17.05
   0 A Medway          ( 8-11, 85.1)    10- 8      -14.76      18.54       0.58         0.99            18.95
   0 A Westborough     (13- 6, 89.1)    10-12      -10.81      22.49       0.58         0.99           -10.14
   0 A Groton-Dunstab  ( 3-15, 82.0)    17- 6      -17.92      15.38       0.58         0.99            15.81
   0 A Dover-Sherborn  (10-10, 87.3)     9-10      -12.55      20.75       0.58         0.99           -11.87
   0 A Scituate        (12- 6, 92.0)     8-10       -7.86      25.44       0.58         0.99            -7.22
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         7.86

winning pts = 125.1397 losing points = -117.2784

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------