Air Academy
W-L: ( 6-11) PR = 84.2742Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 A Chatfield ( 6-10, 89.1) 5-19 313 A Rampart ( 7- 9, 78.6) 15- 6 318 H Palmer Ridge ( 9- 7, 88.2) 4-17 320 H Arapahoe ( 8- 7, 87.4) 11-17 401 H Pine Creek ( 9- 7, 87.5) 10-11 403 A Green Mountain (14- 5, 91.8) 7-11 408 H Mead (13- 3, 91.3) 11-19 411 A Cheyenne Mountain ( 9- 7, 85.3) 9-11 415 H Cherokee Trail ( 4-11, 83.9) 11-12 417 H Liberty ( 2-14, 73.6) 16- 5 422 H Rampart ( 7- 9, 78.6) 19- 2 424 A Palmer ( 2-11, 73.2) 21- 0 428 A Pueblo West ( 1-13, 71.9) 22- 1 501 H Cheyenne Mountain ( 9- 7, 85.3) 10-11 503 A Castle View ( 7- 8, 87.8) 7-16 506 A Holy Family ( 9- 6, 80.9) 13- 6 508 A Battle Mountain (13- 5, 90.0) 4-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 A Chatfield 5-19 -14 -5 0.00
313 A Rampart 15- 6 9 5 0.00
318 H Palmer Ridge 4-17 -13 -3 -1.55
320 H Arapahoe 11-17 -6 -3 - -2.35
401 H Pine Creek 10-11 -1 -3 1.83
403 A Green Mountain 7-11 -4 -8 1.00
408 H Mead 11-19 -8 -7 0.00
411 A Cheyenne Mountain 9-11 -2 -1 -0.54
415 H Cherokee Trail 11-12 -1 1 -1.85
417 H Liberty 16- 5 11 11 0.00
422 H Rampart 19- 2 17 6 0.00
424 A Palmer 21- 0 21 11 0.00
428 A Pueblo West 22- 1 21 12 0.00
501 H Cheyenne Mountain 10-11 -1 -1 -0.44
503 A Castle View 7-16 -9 -4 -1.07
506 A Holy Family 13- 6 7 3 + 2.06
508 A Battle Mountain 4-18 -14 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 H Arapahoe 11-17 -6 -3 - -2.35 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 A Holy Family 13- 6 7 3 + 2.06 |
Air Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Aspen | Aspen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | ||
| Castle View | Castle View | Castle View | ||
| Chatfield | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | ||
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Columbine | Columbine | insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) | Columbine | |
| Conifer | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Air Academy | |
| Dakota Ridge | Air Academy | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Air Academy | |
| Denver East | Denver East | Denver East 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Denver North | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Air Academy | |
| Denver South | Denver South | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Denver South | |
| Durango | Air Academy | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Air Academy | |
| Eagle Valley | Air Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Academy | |
| Eaglecrest | Air Academy | Air Academy 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Fruita Monument | Air Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Academy | |
| Golden | Golden | Golden 3- 3 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Grand Junction | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Air Academy | |
| Grandview | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Air Academy | |
| Green Mountain | Green Mountain | Green Mountain | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Holy Family | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Horizon | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Air Academy | |
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | Kent Denver 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Legend | Legend | Legend | ||
| Liberty | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Mead | Mead | Mead | ||
| Montrose | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Mullen | Air Academy | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Air Academy | |
| Northfield | Northfield | Northfield 4- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Palmer | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | ||
| Pine Creek | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Poudre District | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Pueblo West | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Rampart | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Roaring Fork | Roaring Fork | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Roaring Fork | |
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 4) | Rock Canyon | |
| St Marys Academy | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Air Academy | |
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Steamboat Springs | |
| Summit | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Air Academy | |
| Telluride | Air Academy | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Air Academy | |
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian 2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
PowerWise = 20
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Chatfield ( 6-10, 89.1) 5-19 -10.84 19.88 0.45 0.90 -9.41
0 A Rampart ( 7- 9, 78.6) 15- 6 -21.32 9.41 0.45 0.90 8.92
0 H Palmer Ridge ( 9- 7, 88.2) 4-17 -11.72 19.00 -0.45 0.90 -11.02
0 H Arapahoe ( 8- 7, 87.4) 11-17 -12.52 18.20 -0.45 0.90 -11.74
0 H Pine Creek ( 9- 7, 87.5) 10-11 -12.35 18.37 -0.45 0.90 -11.58
0 A Green Mountain (14- 5, 91.8) 7-11 -8.14 22.58 0.45 0.90 -6.96
0 H Mead (13- 3, 91.3) 11-19 -8.63 22.09 -0.45 0.90 -8.22
0 A Cheyenne Mount ( 9- 7, 85.3) 9-11 -14.61 16.11 0.45 0.90 -12.82
0 H Cherokee Trail ( 4-11, 83.9) 11-12 -16.03 14.70 -0.45 0.90 -14.91
0 H Liberty ( 2-14, 73.6) 16- 5 -26.30 4.42 -0.45 0.90 3.60
0 H Rampart ( 7- 9, 78.6) 19- 2 -21.32 9.41 -0.45 0.90 8.11
0 A Palmer ( 2-11, 73.2) 21- 0 -26.71 4.01 0.45 0.90 4.03
0 A Pueblo West ( 1-13, 71.9) 22- 1 -28.00 2.72 0.45 0.90 2.87
0 H Cheyenne Mount ( 9- 7, 85.3) 10-11 -14.61 16.11 -0.45 0.90 -13.63
0 A Castle View ( 7- 8, 87.8) 7-16 -12.15 18.58 0.45 0.90 -10.59
0 A Holy Family ( 9- 6, 80.9) 13- 6 -19.01 11.71 0.45 0.90 11.00
0 A Battle Mountai (13- 5, 90.0) 4-18 -9.94 20.78 0.45 0.90 -8.59
------
-80.93
|
winning pts = 38.5295 losing points = -119.4641
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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