---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Rochester Adams 1
  
Rochester Adams       
W-L: (14- 4) PR = 88.0145

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Notre Dame Prep ( 4-10, 84.3) 12-11 404 A Warren Regina ( 5- 7, 81.4) 15- 6 407 H Royal Oak ( 2-16, 79.2) 28- 0 409 A Farmington ( 5-10, 82.8) 17- 6 411 A Sacred Heart Academy ( 8- 7, 85.6) 14- 9 414 H Rochester Stoney Creek ( 9- 8, 86.8) 15- 9 416 A Oxford (12-10, 84.4) 17-13 421 A Chippewa Valley ( 4-11, 79.2) 17- 8 423 H Clarkston ( 7- 7, 85.0) 18- 6 428 H Rochester HS ( 9- 8, 82.1) 18- 6 502 A Lake Orion (15- 3, 91.1) 8-16 503 A Troy ( 6-10, 86.0) 18-16 505 H West Bloomfield ( 7- 8, 81.1) 13- 2 507 A Avondale ( 1-12, 72.2) 16- 1 509 H Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 11-12 512 H Bloomfield Hills (13-11, 91.2) 14-20 521 H Sacred Heart Academy ( 8- 7, 85.6) 15- 8 527 H Marian ( 9- 7, 91.9) 5-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Notre Dame Prep        12-11       1     4    -     -3.34
   404 A Warren Regina          15- 6       9     6           0.00
   407 H Royal Oak              28- 0      28     9           0.00
   409 A Farmington             17- 6      11     5           0.39
   411 A Sacred Heart Academy   14- 9       5     2    +      3.22
   414 H Rochester Stoney Creek 15- 9       6     2    +      3.14
   416 A Oxford                 17-13       4     3           0.96
   421 A Chippewa Valley        17- 8       9     8           0.00
   423 H Clarkston              18- 6      12     4           1.36
   428 H Rochester HS           18- 6      12     6           0.00
   502 A Lake Orion              8-16      -8    -4          -1.26
   503 A Troy                   18-16       2     1           0.62
   505 H West Bloomfield        13- 2      11     8           0.00
   507 A Avondale               16- 1      15    15           0.00
   509 H Troy Athens            11-12      -1     2    -     -2.98
   512 H Bloomfield Hills       14-20      -6    -3    -     -2.39
   521 H Sacred Heart Academy   15- 8       7     3           1.98
   527 H Marian                  5-19     -14    -3          -1.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Notre Dame Prep        12-11       1     4    -     -3.34
   509 H Troy Athens            11-12      -1     2    -     -2.98
   512 H Bloomfield Hills       14-20      -6    -3    -     -2.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Sacred Heart Academy   14- 9       5     2    +      3.22
   414 H Rochester Stoney Creek 15- 9       6     2    +      3.14

Rochester Adams Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Rochester Adams
Ann Arbor Huron Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Ann Arbor Pioneer Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Rochester Adams
Ann Arbor Skyline Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Avondale Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Battle Creek Harper Cree Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Bedford Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified   5- 2 vs 3- 4
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills  
Brighton Brighton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brighton
Brighton B Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Cass Tech Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Rochester Adams
Catholic Central Catholic Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Clarkston Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Comstock Park Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Davison Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Rochester Adams
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Detroit Country Day
DeWitt Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Rochester Adams
Dexter Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Divine Child Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   4- 2 vs 2- 4
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Lansing Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Farmington Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Rochester Adams tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rochester Adams
Flint Powers Catholic Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Flushing Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Rochester Adams
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Grand Haven Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Christian Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Grandville Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Grosse Pointe North Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   5- 2 vs 3- 4
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Hartland Hartland Hartland   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Haslett Haslett tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Haslett
Henry Ford II Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Holland West Ottawa Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Holt Holt tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Holt
Howell Rochester Adams tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rochester Adams
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jenison Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Kalamazoo Central Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Lake Fenton Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion  
Lakeview Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Lapeer Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Rochester Adams
Livonia United Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Lowell Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Marian Marian Marian  
Mattawan Mattawan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mattawan
Mercy Mercy Mercy   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Midland Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Mona Shores Mona Shores   Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Rochester Adams
Notre Dame Prep Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Novi Rochester Adams tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Rochester Adams
Okemos Rochester Adams tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rochester Adams
Oxford Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Plymouth Rochester Adams tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rochester Adams
Portage Northern Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Reeths-Puffer Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Rockford Rockford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rockford
Royal Oak Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Sacred Heart Academy Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Saginaw Heritage Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Rochester Adams
Salem Rochester Adams tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rochester Adams
Saline Saline   Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United South Lyon United   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   4- 0 vs 1- 3
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Rochester Adams tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rochester Adams
Swartz Creek Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Rochester Adams
Tecumseh Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central   Traverse City Central
Troy Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Troy Athens Troy Athens Troy Athens  
University Liggett Rochester Adams tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) Rochester Adams
Utica Eisenhower Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 4- 3) Rochester Adams
Walled Lake Northern Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Warren Regina Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Waterford United Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   4- 0 vs 1- 3
West Bloomfield Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland East Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams

PowerWise = 66


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Notre Dame Pre  ( 4-10, 84.3)    12-11      -15.61      13.59      -0.62         0.89            11.58
   0 A Warren Regina   ( 5- 7, 81.4)    15- 6      -18.50      10.69       0.62         0.89            10.11
   0 H Royal Oak       ( 2-16, 79.2)    28- 0      -20.74       8.45      -0.62         0.89             6.99
   0 A Farmington      ( 5-10, 82.8)    17- 6      -17.12      12.07       0.62         0.89            11.34
   0 A Sacred Heart A  ( 8- 7, 85.6)    14- 9      -14.29      14.90       0.62         0.89            13.87
   0 H Rochester Ston  ( 9- 8, 86.8)    15- 9      -13.13      16.06      -0.62         0.89            13.80
   0 A Oxford          (12-10, 84.4)    17-13      -15.55      13.65       0.62         0.89            12.75
   0 A Chippewa Valle  ( 4-11, 79.2)    17- 8      -20.67       8.52       0.62         0.89             8.17
   0 H Clarkston       ( 7- 7, 85.0)    18- 6      -14.91      14.28      -0.62         0.89            12.21
   0 H Rochester HS    ( 9- 8, 82.1)    18- 6      -17.75      11.44      -0.62         0.89             9.67
   0 A Lake Orion      (15- 3, 91.1)     8-16       -8.76      20.43       0.62         0.89            -7.28
   0 A Troy            ( 6-10, 86.0)    18-16      -13.89      15.30       0.62         0.89            14.23
   0 H West Bloomfiel  ( 7- 8, 81.1)    13- 2      -18.77      10.42      -0.62         0.89             8.76
   0 A Avondale        ( 1-12, 72.2)    16- 1      -27.68       1.51       0.62         0.89             1.91
   0 H Troy Athens     (14- 7, 86.7)    11-12      -13.24      15.95      -0.62         0.89           -12.39
   0 H Bloomfield Hil  (13-11, 91.2)    14-20       -8.65      20.54      -0.62         0.89            -8.29
   0 H Sacred Heart A  ( 8- 7, 85.6)    15- 8      -14.29      14.90      -0.62         0.89            12.76
   0 H Marian          ( 9- 7, 91.9)     5-19       -7.95      21.24      -0.62         0.89            -7.66
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       112.54

winning pts = 148.1443 losing points = -35.6056

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------