Ann Arbor Pioneer
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 82.2503Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Troy ( 6-10, 86.0) 8-17 409 A Northville (10-10, 86.9) 3-20 411 H Waterford United ( 2- 8, 77.1) 10- 8 415 H Ann Arbor Skyline ( 5- 6, 82.6) 9-10 416 H Bedford ( 0- 9, 76.8) 9- 4 421 A Dexter (10- 6, 84.6) 8- 9 423 H Tecumseh ( 5-11, 79.6) 11- 4 426 A Grosse Pointe South (13- 5, 89.0) 1-20 428 A Divine Child ( 6- 7, 84.3) 11-15 430 A Ann Arbor Skyline ( 5- 6, 82.6) 8- 7 502 A South Lyon United (21- 0, 97.2) 1-15 505 H Ann Arbor Huron ( 4-10, 80.0) 13-12 514 H Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 4-17 516 A Farmington ( 5-10, 82.8) 12- 7 522 H Novi ( 9-10, 87.3) 7-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
407 H Troy 8-17 -9 -3 -1.86
409 A Northville 3-20 -17 -5 0.00
411 H Waterford United 10- 8 2 6 - -3.00
415 H Ann Arbor Skyline 9-10 -1 0 -1.27
416 H Bedford 9- 4 5 6 0.00
421 A Dexter 8- 9 -1 -3 1.94
423 H Tecumseh 11- 4 7 3 1.75
426 A Grosse Pointe South 1-20 -19 -7 0.00
428 A Divine Child 11-15 -4 -3 -1.35
430 A Ann Arbor Skyline 8- 7 1 -1 1.97
502 A South Lyon United 1-15 -14 -16 0.00
505 H Ann Arbor Huron 13-12 1 3 -1.90
514 H Saline 4-17 -13 -10 0.00
516 A Farmington 12- 7 5 -1 +++ 6.15
522 H Novi 7-15 -8 -4 -0.61
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Waterford United 10- 8 2 6 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 A Farmington 12- 7 5 -1 +++ 6.15 |
Ann Arbor Pioneer Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | |
| Ann Arbor Huron | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Ann Arbor Skyline | |
| Avondale | Ann Arbor Pioneer | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Battle Creek Harper Cree | Battle Creek Harper Cree | Battle Creek Harper Cree | ||
| Bedford | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills 4- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Brighton | Brighton | Brighton 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Brighton B | Brighton B | Brighton B | ||
| Byron Center | Byron Center | Byron Center | ||
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Ann Arbor Pioneer | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Cass Tech | Ann Arbor Pioneer | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Catholic Central | Catholic Central | Catholic Central | ||
| Chippewa Valley | Ann Arbor Pioneer | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Clarkston | Clarkston | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Clarkston | |
| Comstock Park | Comstock Park | Comstock Park | ||
| Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Davison | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| DeWitt | DeWitt | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | DeWitt | |
| Dexter | Dexter | Dexter | ||
| Divine Child | Divine Child | Divine Child | ||
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | ||
| East Lansing | East Lansing | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Lansing | |
| Farmington | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Fenton-Linden Co-Op | Fenton-Linden Co-Op | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Fenton-Linden Co-Op | |
| Flint Powers Catholic | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Flushing | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | ||
| Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grand Blanc | |
| Grand Haven | Grand Haven | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Grand Haven | |
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | ||
| Grand Rapids Christian | Grand Rapids Christian | Grand Rapids Christian | ||
| Grandville | Grandville | Grandville | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Grosse Pointe North | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Grosse Pointe North | |
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | ||
| Hartland | Hartland | Hartland 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Haslett | Haslett | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Haslett | |
| Henry Ford II | Ann Arbor Pioneer | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Holland West Ottawa | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Holly-Brandon Co-Op | Ann Arbor Pioneer | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Holt | Holt | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 1) | Holt | |
| Howell | Howell | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 2) | Howell | |
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | Hudsonville | ||
| Jenison | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Kalamazoo Central | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Lake Fenton | Ann Arbor Pioneer | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Lakeview | Ann Arbor Pioneer | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Lansing Catholic-Waverly | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lansing Catholic-Waverly | |
| Lapeer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Livonia United | Livonia United | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Livonia United | |
| Lowell | Lowell | Lowell | ||
| Marian | Marian | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marian | |
| Mattawan | Mattawan | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Mattawan | |
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy 3- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Midland | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | Mona Shores | ||
| Northview | Northview | Northview | ||
| Northville | Northville | Northville | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Notre Dame Prep | |
| Novi | Novi | Novi | ||
| Okemos | Okemos | Okemos | ||
| Oxford | Oxford | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | Oxford | |
| Plymouth | Plymouth | tied - ( 2- 6) ( 2- 5) | Plymouth | |
| Portage Northern | Portage Northern | Portage Northern | ||
| Reeths-Puffer | Reeths-Puffer | Reeths-Puffer | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Rochester Adams | |
| Rochester HS | Ann Arbor Pioneer | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Rochester Stoney Creek | Rochester Stoney Creek | Rochester Stoney Creek 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Rockford | Rockford | Rockford | ||
| Royal Oak | Ann Arbor Pioneer | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | ||
| Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Salem | Ann Arbor Pioneer | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 4) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Saline | Saline | Saline | ||
| South Lyon United | South Lyon United | South Lyon United | ||
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | Spring Lake | ||
| St Catherine of Siena | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Ann Arbor Pioneer | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Tecumseh | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Traverse City Central | |
| Troy | Troy | Troy | ||
| Troy Athens | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| University Liggett | University Liggett | University Liggett | ||
| Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Utica Eisenhower | |
| Walled Lake Northern | Ann Arbor Pioneer | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Warren Regina | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Waterford United | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| West Bloomfield | Ann Arbor Pioneer | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Zeeland East | Zeeland East | Zeeland East |
PowerWise = 29
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Troy ( 6-10, 86.0) 8-17 -13.89 15.30 -0.62 1.07 -15.55
0 A Northville (10-10, 86.9) 3-20 -13.02 16.17 0.62 1.07 -13.30
0 H Waterford Unit ( 2- 8, 77.1) 10- 8 -22.80 6.39 -0.62 1.07 6.19
0 H Ann Arbor Skyl ( 5- 6, 82.6) 9-10 -17.30 11.89 -0.62 1.07 -19.21
0 H Bedford ( 0- 9, 76.8) 9- 4 -23.08 6.11 -0.62 1.07 5.89
0 A Dexter (10- 6, 84.6) 8- 9 -15.33 13.86 0.62 1.07 -15.77
0 H Tecumseh ( 5-11, 79.6) 11- 4 -20.28 8.91 -0.62 1.07 8.89
0 A Grosse Pointe (13- 5, 89.0) 1-20 -10.88 18.31 0.62 1.07 -11.00
0 A Divine Child ( 6- 7, 84.3) 11-15 -15.62 13.57 0.62 1.07 -16.08
0 A Ann Arbor Skyl ( 5- 6, 82.6) 8- 7 -17.30 11.89 0.62 1.07 13.42
0 A South Lyon Uni (21- 0, 97.2) 1-15 -2.74 26.45 0.62 1.07 -2.27
0 H Ann Arbor Huro ( 4-10, 80.0) 13-12 -19.93 9.26 -0.62 1.07 9.26
0 H Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 4-17 -7.25 21.94 -0.62 1.07 -8.44
0 A Farmington ( 5-10, 82.8) 12- 7 -17.12 12.07 0.62 1.07 13.61
0 H Novi ( 9-10, 87.3) 7-15 -12.64 16.55 -0.62 1.07 -14.21
------
-58.59
|
winning pts = 57.2522 losing points = -115.8436
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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