Annapolis Area Chris
W-L: ( 9- 2) PR = 79.8182Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 313 H Indian Creek ( 3- 8, 79.5) 11-16 320 A FCA (12- 4, 77.9) 15- 8 401 A Concordia Prep ( 5- 7, 83.2) 2-10 403 H Catholic High Baltimor ( 7- 3, 78.0) 24-16 408 H Key School ( 4- 5, 74.3) 15- 4 415 A Friends School ( 2- 8, 72.3) 9- 6 422 A St Vincent Pallotti ( 0- 8, 65.7) 13- 4 424 H Chapelgate Christian ( 6- 6, 73.1) 19- 5 430 A Beth TFiloh ( 6- 4, 75.9) 15- 8 507 H Key School ( 4- 5, 74.3) 18- 6 510 N Catholic High Baltimor ( 7- 3, 78.0) 20-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
313 H Indian Creek 11-16 -5 1 -- -5.81
320 A FCA 15- 8 7 1 + 3.51
401 A Concordia Prep 2-10 -8 -4 -1.19
403 H Catholic High Baltimor 24-16 8 2 + 2.76
408 H Key School 15- 4 11 6 0.00
415 A Friends School 9- 6 3 7 - -2.00
422 A St Vincent Pallotti 13- 4 9 14 0.00
424 H Chapelgate Christian 19- 5 14 7 0.00
430 A Beth TFiloh 15- 8 7 3 1.58
507 H Key School 18- 6 12 6 0.00
510 N Catholic High Baltimor 20-11 9 2 + 3.21
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Indian Creek 11-16 -5 1 -- -5.81 415 A Friends School 9- 6 3 7 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 A FCA 15- 8 7 1 + 3.51 403 H Catholic High Baltimor 24-16 8 2 + 2.76 510 N Catholic High Baltimor 20-11 9 2 + 3.21 |
Annapolis Area Christian Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Arundel County | Annapolis Area Christian | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Annapolis Area Christian | |
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Annapolis Area Christian | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Annapolis Area Christian | |
| Brookewood SG | Annapolis Area Christian | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Annapolis Area Christian | |
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| DC International | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Elizabeth Seton | |
| FCA | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Field School | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Friends School | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Garrison Forest | |
| Georgetown Day School | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Annapolis Area Christian | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Annapolis Area Christian | |
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Indian Creek | Indian Creek | Indian Creek | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Jemicy | Annapolis Area Christian | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Annapolis Area Christian | |
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| KIPP College Prep | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Maret School | Maret School | Maret School | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| National Cathedral | National Cathedral | National Cathedral | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Salisbury School | |
| Sandy Spring Friends | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| School Without Walls | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James School | St James School | St James School | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | Annapolis Area Christian | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Annapolis Area Christian | |
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Annapolis Area Christian | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Annapolis Area Christian | |
| Washington Latin | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Worcester Prep | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Aberdeen | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Blair | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Blake | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Carver A&T | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Central PG | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Chopticon | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| City College | Annapolis Area Christian | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Annapolis Area Christian | |
| Clarksburg | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dundalk | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| DuVal | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Eastern Technical | |
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Einstein | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Elkton | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Frederick Douglass PG | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Gaithersburg | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Glen Burnie | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Great Mills | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Guilford Park | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Gwynn Park | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Hammond | Annapolis Area Christian | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Annapolis Area Christian | |
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Kennedy | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Kent County | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Lansdowne | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Laurel | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Long Reach | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Magruder | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| MJ McDonough | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| New Town | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| North East Cecil | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| North Hagerstown | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Northeast | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Northwestern PG | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Northwood | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Old Mill | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Overlea | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Owings Mills | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Oxon Hill | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Paint Branch | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Parkdale | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Parkside | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Parkville | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Patapsco | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Patterson Mill | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Patuxent | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | Perry Hall | ||
| Perryville | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Pikesville | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Poolesville | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Randallstown | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Reservoir | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Rising Sun | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Seneca Valley | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Severn Run | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern | Southern | Southern | ||
| Sparrows Point | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Springbrook | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| St Charles | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Thomas Stone | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana | ||
| Walkersville | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Western Baltimore | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Western STES | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Westlake | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Whitman | Whitman | Whitman | ||
| Wicomico | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Wilde Lake | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Wootton | Wootton | Wootton |
PowerWise = 123
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Indian Creek ( 3- 8, 79.5) 11-16 -20.45 17.47 -0.45 1.09 -22.73
0 A FCA (12- 4, 77.9) 15- 8 -22.02 15.90 0.45 1.09 17.78
0 A Concordia Prep ( 5- 7, 83.2) 2-10 -16.72 21.20 0.45 1.09 -17.70
0 H Catholic High ( 7- 3, 78.0) 24-16 -21.87 16.05 -0.45 1.09 16.97
0 H Key School ( 4- 5, 74.3) 15- 4 -25.62 12.30 -0.45 1.09 12.89
0 A Friends School ( 2- 8, 72.3) 9- 6 -27.61 10.31 0.45 1.09 11.71
0 A St Vincent Pal ( 0- 8, 65.7) 13- 4 -34.21 3.71 0.45 1.09 4.52
0 H Chapelgate Chr ( 6- 6, 73.1) 19- 5 -26.82 11.10 -0.45 1.09 11.58
0 A Beth TFiloh ( 6- 4, 75.9) 15- 8 -23.95 13.97 0.45 1.09 15.68
0 H Key School ( 4- 5, 74.3) 18- 6 -25.62 12.30 -0.45 1.09 12.89
0 N Catholic High ( 7- 3, 78.0) 20-11 -21.87 16.05 -0.00 1.09 17.46
------
81.05
|
winning pts = 121.4800 losing points = -40.4269
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------