Severn Run
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 75.0992Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Meade ( 0-12, 67.4) 14- 1 325 A Guilford Park ( 3-10, 70.9) 11-10 328 H Old Mill ( 3-10, 76.2) 6- 5 401 H Long Reach (10- 4, 80.6) 8-15 404 A Northeast ( 5- 8, 77.4) 8- 7 407 H Hammond ( 3-10, 71.7) 15- 8 409 H Patuxent ( 5- 9, 73.8) 9- 8 411 H Meade ( 0-12, 67.4) 15- 1 423 A Glen Burnie ( 4- 9, 75.4) 7-11 425 H Severna Park (18- 2, 95.0) 1-23 429 A North County ( 4- 9, 82.0) 4-19 502 A Southern ( 7- 9, 85.9) 4-18 507 H Westminster ( 8- 8, 90.4) 1-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Meade 14- 1 13 7 0.00
325 A Guilford Park 11-10 1 4 - -2.72
328 H Old Mill 6- 5 1 -1 1.66
401 H Long Reach 8-15 -7 -5 0.00
404 A Northeast 8- 7 1 -3 + 3.76
407 H Hammond 15- 8 7 4 1.12
409 H Patuxent 9- 8 1 2 -0.70
411 H Meade 15- 1 14 8 0.00
423 A Glen Burnie 7-11 -4 -1 - -3.21
425 H Severna Park 1-23 -22 -19 0.00
429 A North County 4-19 -15 -7 0.00
502 A Southern 4-18 -14 -11 0.00
507 H Westminster 1-18 -17 -15 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Guilford Park 11-10 1 4 - -2.72 423 A Glen Burnie 7-11 -4 -1 - -3.21 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Northeast 8- 7 1 -3 + 3.76 |
Severn Run Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Archbishop Spalding | |
| Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Severn Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Severn Run | |
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | ||
| DC International | DC International | DC International | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | ||
| FCA | FCA | FCA | ||
| Field School | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Friends School | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Georgetown Day School | Georgetown Day School | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Gunston Day School | Gunston Day School | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holy Child | |
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Indian Creek | Indian Creek | Indian Creek | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Jackson-Reed | Jackson-Reed | ||
| Jemicy | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | John Carroll | |
| Key School | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | ||
| Maret School | Maret School | Maret School | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount de Sales | |
| National Cathedral | National Cathedral | National Cathedral | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Oldfields School | Oldfields School | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| School Without Walls | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James School | St James School | St James School | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Marys | |
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Washington Latin | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Worcester Prep | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Aberdeen | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Severn Run | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Severn Run | |
| Annapolis | Annapolis | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | Annapolis | |
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Atholton | Atholton | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Atholton | |
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Baltimore Polytechnic | |
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Blair | Blair | Blair | ||
| Blake | Severn Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn Run | |
| Bohemia Manor | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Brunswick | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Calvert | |
| Cambridge SD | Severn Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Severn Run | |
| Carver A&T | Carver A&T | Carver A&T | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Centennial | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Centennial | |
| Central PG | Central PG | Central PG | ||
| Century | Century | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Century | |
| CH Flowers | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Chopticon | |
| City College | City College | City College | ||
| Clarksburg | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton 4- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dulaney | |
| Dundalk | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| DuVal | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Einstein | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Elkton | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Frederick | Frederick | ||
| Frederick Douglass PG | Severn Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn Run | |
| Gaithersburg | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Glenelg HS | |
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | ||
| Great Mills | Severn Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn Run | |
| Guilford Park | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Gwynn Park | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Hammond | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hereford | |
| Howard | Howard | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Howard | |
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Huntingtown | |
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Kennedy | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Kent County | Kent County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kent County | |
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | La Plata | |
| Lackey | Severn Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn Run | |
| Lansdowne | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Laurel | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Liberty | |
| Linganore | Linganore | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Linganore | |
| Loch Raven | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Long Reach | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Magruder | Magruder | Magruder | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Meade | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Milford Mill | Milford Mill | ||
| MJ McDonough | Severn Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Severn Run | |
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| New Town | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| North East Cecil | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| North Hagerstown | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | North Point | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Point | |
| Northeast | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Northwood | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Severn Run | Severn Run 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Old Mill | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Overlea | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Owings Mills | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Oxon Hill | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Paint Branch | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Parkdale | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Patapsco | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | Perry Hall | ||
| Perryville | Perryville | Perryville | ||
| Pikesville | Pikesville | Pikesville | ||
| Poolesville | Poolesville | Poolesville | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Quince Orchard | |
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Reservoir | |
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | River Hill | |
| Rockville | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Seneca Valley | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sherwood | |
| Smithsburg | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | ||
| South River | South River | South River 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Southern | Southern | Southern | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| St Charles | Severn Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn Run | |
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | ||
| Towson | Towson | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Towson | |
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Western Baltimore | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Western STES | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Westlake | Severn Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn Run | |
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Whitman | Whitman | Whitman | ||
| Wicomico | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Wilde Lake | Severn Run | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Severn Run | |
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Winters Mill | |
| Woodlawn | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Wootton | Wootton | Wootton |
PowerWise = 81
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Meade ( 0-12, 67.4) 14- 1 -32.46 5.46 0.45 0.92 5.44
0 A Guilford Park ( 3-10, 70.9) 11-10 -28.97 8.95 0.45 0.92 8.65
0 H Old Mill ( 3-10, 76.2) 6- 5 -23.70 14.22 -0.45 0.92 12.68
0 H Long Reach (10- 4, 80.6) 8-15 -19.27 18.65 -0.45 0.92 -18.15
0 A Northeast ( 5- 8, 77.4) 8- 7 -22.49 15.43 0.45 0.92 14.61
0 H Hammond ( 3-10, 71.7) 15- 8 -28.23 9.69 -0.45 0.92 8.50
0 H Patuxent ( 5- 9, 73.8) 9- 8 -26.06 11.86 -0.45 0.92 10.50
0 H Meade ( 0-12, 67.4) 15- 1 -32.46 5.46 -0.45 0.92 4.61
0 A Glen Burnie ( 4- 9, 75.4) 7-11 -24.46 13.46 0.45 0.92 -22.10
0 H Severna Park (18- 2, 95.0) 1-23 -4.93 32.99 -0.45 0.92 -4.95
0 A North County ( 4- 9, 82.0) 4-19 -17.88 20.04 0.45 0.92 -16.04
0 A Southern ( 7- 9, 85.9) 4-18 -13.98 23.94 0.45 0.92 -12.46
0 H Westminster ( 8- 8, 90.4) 1-18 -9.53 28.39 -0.45 0.92 -9.18
------
-17.88
|
winning pts = 64.9972 losing points = -82.8813
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------